North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2012
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The 2nd Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
Incumbent Renee Ellmers (R) won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6th, 2012.[1]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Primary: North Carolina has a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party may vote in that party's primary.
Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by April 13. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 12.[2]
- See also: North Carolina elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Renee Ellmers (R), who was first elected to the House in 2010. She won re-election on November 6, 2012.
This was the first election using district maps based on data from the 2010 Census. North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District was located in the central portion of the state and included Vance, Franklin, Nash, Johnston, Harnett, Sampson, Harnett, Lee, and Chatham counties.[3]
In 2011 redistricting, The Hill published a list of the Top Ten House Members who were helped by redistricting.[4] Renee Ellmers ranked 2nd on the list.[4]
Candidates
Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. Click here for more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan. Please contact us about errors in this list.
General election candidates
May 8, 2012, primary results
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Election results
General Election
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Wilkins | 41.4% | 128,973 | |
| Republican |  Renee Ellmers Incumbent |
55.9% | 174,066 | |
| Libertarian | Brian Irving | 2.7% | 8,358 | |
| Total Votes | 311,397 | |||
| Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
Steve Wilkins |
54.4% | 24,327 |
| Toni Morris | 45.6% | 20,431 |
| Total Votes | 44,758 | |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
Renee Ellmers Incumbent |
56% | 37,661 |
| Sonya Holmes | 9.7% | 6,535 |
| Clement F. Munno | 4.4% | 2,982 |
| Richard Speer | 29.9% | 20,099 |
| Total Votes | 67,277 | |
Race background
The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in North Carolina in 2012 as one of the states that could have determined whether Democrats retook the House or Republicans held their majority in 2013.[11] North Carolina was rated 8th on the list.[11]
Campaign contributions
Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.
Renee Ellmers
| Renee Ellmers (2012) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| April Quarterly[12] | April 15, 2012 | $328,116.48 | $122,502.62 | $(133,792.89) | $316,826.21 | ||||
| Pre-primary[13] | April 26, 2012 | $316,826.21 | $33,586.1 | $(70,196.44) | $280,215.87 | ||||
| July Quarterly[14] | July 15, 2012 | $280,215.87 | $148,031.02 | $(217,442.43) | $210,804.46 | ||||
| October Quarterly[15] | October 15 | $210,804.46 | $157,829.09 | $(164,421.98) | $204,211.57 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $461,948.83 | $(585,853.74) | ||||||||
Steve Wilkins
| Steve Wilkins(2012) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| April Quarterly[16] | April 15, 2012 | $0.00 | $5,373.98 | $(4,270.55) | $1,103.43 | ||||
| Pre-primary[17] | April 23, 2012 | $1,103.43 | $3,264.80 | $(1,835.74) | $2,532.49 | ||||
| July Quarterly[18] | July 15, 2012 | $2,532.49 | $13,549.00 | $(9,758.51) | $6,322.98 | ||||
| October Quarterly[19] | October 15, 2012 | $6,322.00 | $41,984.68 | $(25,512.97) | $22,793.71 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $64,172.46 | $(41,377.77) | ||||||||
Impact of redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in North Carolina
Following the 2010 Census results, North Carolina did not gain or lose any congressional seats, maintaining its 13 representatives. Under the new map, the 2nd District was more heavily Republican than it was in 2010, when Republican Renee Ellmers defeated Democratic incumbent Bob Etheridge.[20]
In redistricting, The Hill published a list of the Top Ten House Members who were helped by redistricting.[4] Ellmers ranked 2nd on the list.[4] According to the article, after 2001 redistricting by Democrats attempted to make the district more Democratic-leaning, the 2011 redistricting by Republicans took the district from a slightly Republican-leaning district to one that’s more solidly Republican.[4]
Registration statistics
As of May 11, 2012, District 2 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the North Carolina Board of Elections:
| North Carolina Congressional District 2[21] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congressional District | District Total | Democrats | Republicans | Other & Unaffiliated | Advantage | Party Advantage | Change in Advantage from 2010 |
| District 2 | 453,968 | 166,167 | 162,729 | 125,072 | Democratic | 2.11% | -79.20% |
| "Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only. | |||||||
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. North Carolina's 2nd District became more Republican because of redistricting.[22]
- 2012: 40D / 60R
- 2010: 49D / 51R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District has a PVI of R+11, which is the 98th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 56-44 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 63-37 percent over John Kerry (D).[23]
District history
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2010
On November 2, 2010, Renee Ellmers was elected to the United States House. She defeated Bob Etheridge (D) and Tom Rose (Libertarian).[24]
| United States House, North Carolina General Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Renee Ellmers |
49.5% | 93,876 | |
| Democratic | Bob Etheridge | 48.7% | 92,393 | |
| Libertarian | Tom Rose | 1.8% | 3,505 | |
| Total Votes | 189,774 | |||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
Footnotes
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Carolina," accessed November 7, 2012
- ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Registering to Vote in North Carolina," accessed July 26, 2012
- ↑ North Carolina Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed August 24, 2012
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 The Hill, "House members most helped by redistricting," accessed April 17, 2012
- ↑ Opensecrets.org "North Carolina" accessed February 6, 2012
- ↑ wbtv.com "NC candidate filings for federal, statewide races" accessed March 2, 2012
- ↑ Fayetteville Observer" Renee Ellmers gets another opponent in U.S. congressional race" accessed February 25, 2012
- ↑ Fayetteville Observer" Renee Ellmers gets another opponent in U.S. congressional race" accessed February 25, 2012
- ↑ wral.com "NC GOP candidates seek Ellmers, Myrick seats" accessed February 25, 2012
- ↑ NBC17 "Republican challenger joins race for District 4" "Democrat Jim Bibbs dropping out of 2nd District congressional election" accessed April 27, 2012
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 Washington Post, "The 10 states that will determine control of the House in 2012," accessed April 25, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Renee Ellmers April Quarterly," accessed August 12, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Renee Ellmers Pre-primary," accessed October 18, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Renee Ellmers July Quarterly," accessed August 12, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Renee Ellmers October Quarterly," accessed October 18, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Steve Wilkins April Quarterly," accessed August 12, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Steve Wilkins Pre-primary," accessed October 18, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Steve Wilkins July Quarterly," accessed August 12, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Steve Wilkins October Quarterly," accessed October 18, 2012
- ↑ Roll Call, "Race Ratings: GOP looks for major gains in North Carolina," accessed December 26, 2011
- ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "US Congressional Districts by County and Precinct," May 11, 2012
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in North Carolina," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
