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North Carolina's 9th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
North Carolina's 9th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 20, 2019
Primary: March 3, 2020
Primary runoff: June 23, 2020 (canceled)
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Dan Bishop (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in North Carolina
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
North Carolina's 9th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
North Carolina elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 9th Congressional District of North Carolina, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Dan Bishop won election in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 9.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
December 20, 2019
March 3, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Dan Bishop, who was first elected in 2019.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 45.5 44.4
Republican candidate Republican Party 53.4 55.6
Difference 7.9 11.2

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

North Carolina modified its absentee/mail-in voting and early voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: The witness signature requirement on completed absentee ballots decreased from two to one. The receipt deadline was extended to 5 p.m. on November 12, 2020, for ballots postmarked on or before Election Day.
  • Early voting: Early voting sites were required to be open for at least 10 hours on the weekends of October 17-18, 2020, and October 24-25, 2020. Counties had to open at least one early voting site per 20,000 registered voters.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 9

Incumbent Dan Bishop defeated Cynthia Wallace in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 9 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dan Bishop
Dan Bishop (R)
 
55.6
 
224,661
Image of Cynthia Wallace
Cynthia Wallace (D)
 
44.4
 
179,463

Total votes: 404,124
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9

Cynthia Wallace defeated Harry Southerland, Clayton Brooks III, and Marcus Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Cynthia Wallace
Cynthia Wallace
 
56.0
 
45,359
Harry Southerland
 
16.3
 
13,163
Image of Clayton Brooks III
Clayton Brooks III Candidate Connection
 
14.7
 
11,913
Image of Marcus Williams
Marcus Williams Candidate Connection
 
13.0
 
10,527

Total votes: 80,962
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Dan Bishop advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Six of 100 North Carolina counties—6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Bladen County, North Carolina 9.39% 1.97% 2.07%
Gates County, North Carolina 9.07% 4.11% 5.22%
Granville County, North Carolina 2.49% 4.54% 6.58%
Martin County, North Carolina 0.43% 4.65% 4.64%
Richmond County, North Carolina 9.74% 2.95% 1.50%
Robeson County, North Carolina 4.27% 17.41% 13.78%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won North Carolina with 49.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 46.2 percent. In presidential elections between 1792 and 2016, North Carolina voted Democratic 53.5 percent of the time and Republican 25 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, North Carolina voted Republican all five times with the exception of the 2008 presidential election.[1]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in North Carolina. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 40 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 38.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 44 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 36.4 points. Clinton won three districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 80 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 22.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 76 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 27.7 points. Trump won five districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 9th Congressional District the 175th most Republican nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.90. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.90 points toward that party.[5]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Dan Bishop Republican Party $4,411,123 $4,350,727 $60,396 As of December 31, 2020
Cynthia Wallace Democratic Party $825,710 $808,400 $17,310 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]

Race ratings: North Carolina's 9th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District election history

2019

See also: North Carolina's 9th Congressional District special election, 2019

General election

Special general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 9

Dan Bishop defeated Dan McCready, Jeff Scott, and Allen Smith in the special general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 9 on September 10, 2019.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dan Bishop
Dan Bishop (R)
 
50.7
 
96,573
Image of Dan McCready
Dan McCready (D)
 
48.7
 
92,785
Image of Jeff Scott
Jeff Scott (L)
 
0.4
 
773
Image of Allen Smith
Allen Smith (G)
 
0.2
 
375

Total votes: 190,506
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Dan McCready advanced from the special Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9.

Republican primary election

Special Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9

The following candidates ran in the special Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9 on May 14, 2019.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dan Bishop
Dan Bishop
 
47.7
 
14,405
Image of Stony Rushing
Stony Rushing
 
19.5
 
5,882
Image of Matthew Ridenhour
Matthew Ridenhour
 
17.1
 
5,166
Image of Leigh Thomas Brown
Leigh Thomas Brown
 
8.8
 
2,672
Image of Stevie Rivenbark
Stevie Rivenbark Candidate Connection
 
3.0
 
906
Image of Fern Shubert
Fern Shubert
 
1.4
 
438
Image of Chris Anglin
Chris Anglin
 
1.3
 
382
Image of Kathie Day
Kathie Day
 
0.6
 
193
Image of Gary M. Dunn
Gary M. Dunn Candidate Connection
 
0.3
 
105
Image of Albert Wiley Jr.
Albert Wiley Jr.
 
0.2
 
62

Total votes: 30,211
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Green primary election

The Green primary election was canceled. Allen Smith advanced from the special Green primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9.

Libertarian primary election

The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Jeff Scott advanced from the special Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9.

2018

See also: North Carolina's 9th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 9

No candidate won the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 9 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mark Harris
Mark Harris (R)
 
49.3
 
139,246
Image of Dan McCready
Dan McCready (D)
 
48.9
 
138,341
Image of Jeff Scott
Jeff Scott (L)
 
1.8
 
5,130

Vote totals may be incomplete for this race.

Total votes: 282,717
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9

Dan McCready defeated Christian Cano in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dan McCready
Dan McCready
 
82.8
 
38,098
Image of Christian Cano
Christian Cano
 
17.2
 
7,922

Total votes: 46,020
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9

Mark Harris defeated incumbent Robert Pittenger and Clarence Goins in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mark Harris
Mark Harris
 
48.5
 
17,302
Image of Robert Pittenger
Robert Pittenger
 
46.2
 
16,474
Image of Clarence Goins
Clarence Goins
 
5.2
 
1,867

Total votes: 35,643
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9

Jeff Scott advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 9 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Jeff Scott
Jeff Scott

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2016

See also: North Carolina's 9th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Robert Pittenger (R) defeated Christian Cano (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Pittenger defeated Mark Harris and Todd Johnson in the Republican primary. A recount was required in the Republican primary, after which Pittenger led Harris by 133 votes. Harris then conceded the race. The primary election took place on June 7, 2016.[12][13]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 9 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRobert Pittenger Incumbent 58.2% 193,452
     Democratic Christian Cano 41.8% 139,041
Total Votes 332,493
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections


U.S. House, North Carolina District 9 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRobert Pittenger Incumbent 35% 9,299
Mark Harris 34.4% 9,165
Todd Johnson 30.6% 8,142
Total Votes 26,606
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections


2014

See also: North Carolina's 9th Congressional District elections, 2014
U.S. House, North Carolina District 9 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRobert Pittenger Incumbent 93.9% 163,080
     Write-in Shawn Eckles 1.4% 2,369
     Write-in Write-in (miscellaneous) 4.7% 8,219
Total Votes 173,668
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
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District 8
District 9
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Republican Party (12)
Democratic Party (4)