North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Democratic primary)
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North Carolina's 10th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: December 15, 2023 |
Primary: March 5, 2024 Primary runoff: May 14, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in North Carolina |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th North Carolina elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
A Democratic Party primary took place on March 5, 2024, in North Carolina's 10th Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.
Ralph Scott Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10.
All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 72.6%-27.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 57.4%-41.4%.[2]
North Carolina conducted redistricting between the 2022 and 2024 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. To review how redistricting took place in North Carolina and to see maps of the new districts, click here. For a list of all states that drew new district lines between 2022 and 2024, click here.
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
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A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. North Carolina utilizes a semi-closed primary system. Parties decide who may vote in their respective primaries. Voters may choose a primary ballot without impacting their unaffiliated status.[3][4]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
This page focuses on North Carolina's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)
- North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2024
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Ralph Scott Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10.
Candidate profiles
There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in North Carolina
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Ralph Scott Jr. | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2024 election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map used in the 2022 election next to the map in place for the 2024 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.
2022

2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in North Carolina.
North Carolina U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 64 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 46.4% | 4 | 44.4% | ||||
2022 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 100 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 78.6% | 7 | 70.0% | ||||
2020 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 | 30.0% | ||||
2018 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 56 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 65.4% | 8 | 61.5% | ||||
2016 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 74 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 61.5% | 9 | 75.0% | ||||
2014 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 60 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 65.4% | 6 | 60.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in North Carolina in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/10/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Sixty-four candidates filed to run for North Carolina’s 14 U.S. House districts in 2024, including 15 Democrats and 49 Republicans. That’s 4.6 candidates per district, less than the 7.14 candidates per district in 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in North Carolina increased from 13 to 14.
In 2020, when the state still had 13 Congressional districts, 4.9 candidates filed to run. In 2018, 4.3 candidates filed, and, in 2016, 5.7 did.
The 2024 election was the first to take place under new district lines that the North Carolina General Assembly adopted on October 25, 2023.
The 64 candidates who filed to run in 2024 were fewer than the 100 who ran in 2022. In 2020, 64 candidates also ran, although North Carolina had one fewer district then. Fifty-six candidates ran in 2018, the decade low.
Five seats were open in 2024, one more than in 2022 and a decade high.
Reps. Jeff Jackson (D-14th) and Dan Bishop (R-8th) did not run for re-election in order to run for state attorney general, while Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-10th) retired from public office. Reps. Kathy Manning (D-6th) and Wiley Nickel (D-13th), who did not run for re-election either, cited the partisan lean of their redrawn districts as the reason.
Fifteen candidates—one Democrat and 14 Republicans—ran for the open 13th district, the most candidates running for a seat in 2024. Thirteen primaries—two Democratic and 11 Republican—were contested. That was fewer than the 22 contested primaries in 2022, and tied with 2020 as the lowest number of contested primaries this decade. As a percentage of all possible primaries, the 13 contested primaries in 2024 were the lowest this decade (46%). North Carolina had 13 districts in 2020, making the 13 contested primaries that year 50% of all possible major party primaries.
Four incumbents—one Democrat and three Republicans—faced primary challengers. The 3rd and 6th Congressional districts were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run. Republicans filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+10. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 10th the 146th most Republican district nationally.[5]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in North Carolina's 10th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
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Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
41.4% | 57.4% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[6] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
40.5 | 58.7 | R+18.2 |
Presidential voting history
North Carolina presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 18 Democratic wins
- 13 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
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Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of North Carolina's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from North Carolina | |||
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Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Republican | 2 | 10 | 12 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 14 | 16 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in North Carolina's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in North Carolina, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
North Carolina State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
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Democratic Party | 20 | |
Republican Party | 30 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
North Carolina House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
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Democratic Party | 48 | |
Republican Party | 72 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 120 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2024
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
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Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in North Carolina in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in North Carolina, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
North Carolina | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 5% of registered voters in the same party or 8,000, whichever is greater[7] | $1,740.00 | 12/15/2023 | Source |
North Carolina | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 10,000[8] | $1,740.00 | 3/5/2024 | Source |
See also
- North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)
- North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2024
- United States House elections in North Carolina, 2024 (March 5 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in North Carolina, 2024 (March 5 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2024
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2024
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2024
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2024
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed October 7, 2024
- ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Election Information," accessed October 7, 2024
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Petition signatures only required in lieu of filing fee.
- ↑ Petition signatures only required in lieu of filing fee.