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North Carolina's 11th Congressional District election, 2020

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North Carolina's 11th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
Republican primary runoff
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 20, 2019
Primary: March 3, 2020
Primary runoff: June 23, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Vacant
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in North Carolina
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
Inside Elections: Lean Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
North Carolina's 11th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th
North Carolina elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 11th Congressional District of North Carolina, held elections in 2020.

Madison Cawthorn won election in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 11.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
December 20, 2019
March 3, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election North Carolina's 11th Congressional District is vacant. It was last represented by Republican Mark Meadows, who was first elected in 2012.

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, North Carolina's 11th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 43.3 42.3
Republican candidate Republican Party 55.4 54.5
Difference 12.1 12.2

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

North Carolina modified its absentee/mail-in voting and early voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: The witness signature requirement on completed absentee ballots decreased from two to one. The receipt deadline was extended to 5 p.m. on November 12, 2020, for ballots postmarked on or before Election Day.
  • Early voting: Early voting sites were required to be open for at least 10 hours on the weekends of October 17-18, 2020, and October 24-25, 2020. Counties had to open at least one early voting site per 20,000 registered voters.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 11

Madison Cawthorn defeated Morris Davis, Tracey DeBruhl, and Tamara Zwinak in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 11 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Madison Cawthorn
Madison Cawthorn (R) Candidate Connection
 
54.5
 
245,351
Image of Morris Davis
Morris Davis (D) Candidate Connection
 
42.3
 
190,609
Image of Tracey DeBruhl
Tracey DeBruhl (L)
 
1.9
 
8,682
Image of Tamara Zwinak
Tamara Zwinak (G) Candidate Connection
 
1.2
 
5,503

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 450,145
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House North Carolina District 11

Madison Cawthorn defeated Lynda Bennett in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House North Carolina District 11 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Madison Cawthorn
Madison Cawthorn Candidate Connection
 
65.8
 
30,636
Image of Lynda Bennett
Lynda Bennett Candidate Connection
 
34.2
 
15,905

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 46,541
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11

Morris Davis defeated Gina Collias, Phillip Price, Michael O'Shea, and Steve Woodsmall in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Morris Davis
Morris Davis Candidate Connection
 
47.3
 
52,983
Image of Gina Collias
Gina Collias
 
22.7
 
25,387
Image of Phillip Price
Phillip Price
 
11.3
 
12,620
Image of Michael O'Shea
Michael O'Shea
 
11.2
 
12,523
Image of Steve Woodsmall
Steve Woodsmall Candidate Connection
 
7.5
 
8,439

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 111,952
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Lynda Bennett
Lynda Bennett Candidate Connection
 
22.7
 
20,606
✔
Image of Madison Cawthorn
Madison Cawthorn Candidate Connection
 
20.4
 
18,481
Image of Jim Davis
Jim Davis
 
19.3
 
17,465
Image of Chuck Archerd
Chuck Archerd Candidate Connection
 
9.1
 
8,272
Image of Wayne King
Wayne King
 
8.7
 
7,876
Image of Daniel Driscoll
Daniel Driscoll
 
8.6
 
7,803
Image of Joseph Osborne
Joseph Osborne Candidate Connection
 
7.1
 
6,470
Image of Vance Patterson
Vance Patterson Candidate Connection
 
2.5
 
2,242
Image of Matthew Burril
Matthew Burril (Unofficially withdrew)
 
0.6
 
523
Image of Albert Wiley Jr.
Albert Wiley Jr.
 
0.4
 
393
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Dillon Gentry
 
0.4
 
390
Image of Steven Fekete
Steven Fekete
 
0.2
 
175

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 90,696
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Green primary election

The Green primary election was canceled. Tamara Zwinak advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11.

Libertarian primary election

The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Tracey DeBruhl advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11.

Runoff elections in North Carolina

In North Carolina, a primary election candidate for congressional, state, or county office must receive more than 30% of the vote to be declared the winner. If no candidate reaches this threshold, and if the second-place finisher requests a runoff, a runoff election is held.[1]

As of 2020, Democracy North Carolina stated the following:

“

You may not vote in the Primary Runoff (also called the Second Primary) unless you were registered at the time of the original Primary, even if you didn’t vote in the Primary.

If you are registered as an Unaffiliated voter and want to vote in a partisan Primary, you can ask for a Republican, Democratic, Libertarian or Nonpartisan ballot. Your choice does not change your Unaffiliated status or obligate you to vote for a party’s candidates in the General Election. However, if there is a Primary Runoff, you can only participate in the Runoff of the same party that you selected in the original Primary."[2][3]

”

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Six of 100 North Carolina counties—6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Bladen County, North Carolina 9.39% 1.97% 2.07%
Gates County, North Carolina 9.07% 4.11% 5.22%
Granville County, North Carolina 2.49% 4.54% 6.58%
Martin County, North Carolina 0.43% 4.65% 4.64%
Richmond County, North Carolina 9.74% 2.95% 1.50%
Robeson County, North Carolina 4.27% 17.41% 13.78%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won North Carolina with 49.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 46.2 percent. In presidential elections between 1792 and 2016, North Carolina voted Democratic 53.5 percent of the time and Republican 25 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, North Carolina voted Republican all five times with the exception of the 2008 presidential election.[4]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in North Carolina. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[5][6]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 40 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 38.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 44 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 36.4 points. Clinton won three districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 80 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 22.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 76 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 27.7 points. Trump won five districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 11th Congressional District the 148th most Republican nationally.[7]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[8]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[9] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[10] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Morris Davis Democratic Party $2,279,697 $2,176,405 $103,292 As of December 31, 2020
Madison Cawthorn Republican Party $4,718,102 $4,612,371 $105,731 As of December 31, 2020
Tamara Zwinak Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Tracey DeBruhl Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[11]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[12][13][14]

Race ratings: North Carolina's 11th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District election history

2018

See also: North Carolina's 11th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 11

Incumbent Mark Meadows defeated Phillip Price and Clifton Ingram Jr. in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 11 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mark Meadows
Mark Meadows (R)
 
59.2
 
178,012
Image of Phillip Price
Phillip Price (D)
 
38.7
 
116,508
Image of Clifton Ingram Jr.
Clifton Ingram Jr. (L)
 
2.0
 
6,146

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 300,666
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11

Phillip Price defeated Steve Woodsmall and Scott Donaldson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Phillip Price
Phillip Price
 
40.6
 
13,499
Image of Steve Woodsmall
Steve Woodsmall
 
31.1
 
10,356
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Scott Donaldson
 
28.3
 
9,402

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 33,257
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11

Incumbent Mark Meadows defeated Chuck Archerd in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mark Meadows
Mark Meadows
 
86.3
 
35,665
Image of Chuck Archerd
Chuck Archerd
 
13.7
 
5,639

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 41,304
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11

Clifton Ingram Jr. advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
✔
Image of Clifton Ingram Jr.
Clifton Ingram Jr.

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: North Carolina's 11th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Mark Meadows (R) faced no opposition in the Republican primary. Rick Bryson defeated Tom Hill in the Democratic primary. Meadows defeated Bryson in the general election. The primary election took place on June 7, 2016. The general election took place on November 8, 2016.[15]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 11 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMark Meadows Incumbent 64.1% 230,405
     Democratic Rick Bryson 35.9% 129,103
Total Votes 359,508
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections


U.S. House, North Carolina District 11 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRick Bryson 50.7% 9,695
Tom Hill 49.3% 9,440
Total Votes 19,135
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

2014

See also: North Carolina's 11th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 11th Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Mark Meadows (R) defeated Tom Hill (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, North Carolina District 11 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMark Meadows Incumbent 62.9% 144,682
     Democratic Tom Hill 37.1% 85,342
Total Votes 230,024
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ FindLaw, "North Carolina General Statutes Chapter 163A. Elections and Ethics Enforcement Act § 163A-984. Determination of primary results;  second primaries," accessed September 11, 2019
  2. ↑ NC-Voter, "Voting in North Carolina: Frequently Asked Questions," accessed July 10, 2020
  3. ↑ Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  4. ↑ 270towin.com, "North Carolina," accessed June 1, 2017
  5. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  6. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  7. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  8. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  9. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  10. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  11. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  12. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  13. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  14. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  15. ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "June Primary Candidates," accessed March 27, 2016


North Carolina's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Ted Budd (R)
Thom Tillis (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
Republican Party (12)
Democratic Party (4)


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