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North Carolina House of Representatives elections, 2016

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2016 North Carolina
House Elections
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PrimaryMarch 15, 2016
GeneralNovember 8, 2016
2016 Election Results
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State legislative elections in 2016

All 120 seats in the North Carolina House of Representatives were up for election in 2016. Democrats gained one seat after the November 2016 election.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Democrats fielded unopposed candidates in 31 districts, while Republicans had 27 unchallenged candidates.
  • Ballotpedia considered 15 districts as being up for grabs. Eight of those districts were held by Democrats and seven were held by Republicans.
  • In the 13 districts with open seats, ten districts had general election competition. Eight seats were held by Republicans, a Democrat controlled one seat, and the other was Nonpartisan.
  • Introduction

    Elections for the North Carolina House of Representatives took place in 2016. The primary election was held on March 15, 2016, and the general election was held on November 8, 2016.[1] The candidate filing deadline was December 21, 2015.[2]

    Majority control

    See also: Partisan composition of state houses

    Heading into the election, the Republican Party held the majority in the North Carolina House of Representatives:

    North Carolina House of Representatives
    Party As of November 7, 2016 After November 8, 2016
         Democratic Party 45 46
         Republican Party 74 74
         Unaffiliated 1 0
    Total 120 120

    Retired incumbents

    Fourteen incumbent representatives did not run for re-election in 2016. Those incumbents were:

    Name Party Current Office
    Paul Tine Grey.png Unaffiliated House District 6
    Rick Catlin Ends.png Republican House District 20
    N. Leo Daughtry Ends.png Republican House District 26
    James Langdon, Jr. Ends.png Republican House District 28
    Nathan Baskerville Electiondot.png Democratic House District 32
    Paul Stam Ends.png Republican House District 37
    Ken Waddell Electiondot.png Democratic House District 46
    Rayne Brown Ends.png Republican House District 81
    Tricia Cotham Electiondot.png Democratic House District 100
    Dan Bishop Ends.png Republican House District 104
    Jacqueline Schaffer Ends.png Republican House District 105
    Mike Hager Ends.png Republican House District 112
    Chris Whitmire Ends.png Republican House District 113
    Roger West Ends.png Republican House District 120

    Note: Jacqueline Schaffer (R) resigned from the state House on April 22, 2016. Scott Stone (R) was appointed to the chamber on May 12, 2016, to replace Schaffer.

    Note: Charles Jeter (R-92) resigned from the state House on July 25, 2016. Justin Moore (R) was appointed to the seat on August 23, 2016, to fill Jeter's remaining term. Beth Danae Caulfield replaced Jeter on the ballot after he resigned.

    Note: Michael Hager (R-112) resigned from the state House on August 16, 2016. David Rogers (R) was appointed to the seat on August 19, 2016, to fill Hager's remaining term.

    Note: Rick Catlin (R-20) resigned from the state House on August 15, 2016. Holly Grange (R) was appointed to the chamber on August 29, 2016, to replace Catlin.

    2016 election competitiveness

    North Carolina sees a dip in electoral competitiveness.

    Ballotpedia conducts a yearly study of electoral competitiveness in state legislative elections. Details on how well North Carolina performed in the study are provided in the image below. Click here for the full 2016 Competitiveness Analysis »

    CA 2016 North Carolina.png
    • In the North Carolina State Senate, there were 16 Democratic incumbents and 34 Republican incumbents. Four incumbents faced primary challengers in the Democratic Party. There were three primary challenges in the Republican primary.
    • In the House, there were 45 Democratic incumbents, 74 Republican incumbents, and 1 unaffiliated incumbent. Nine state representatives faced primary opposition in the Democratic Party. There were 15 primary challenges in the Republican primary.
    • Overall, 18.6 percent of Democratic incumbents and 21.4 percent of GOP incumbents faced primary opposition in all of the state legislatures with elections in 2016.
    • The cumulative figure for how many state legislative candidates faced no major party opposition in November in these states was 41.8 percent. This compares to 32.7 percent in 2010, 38.3 percent in 2012, and 43.0 percent in 2014.


    List of candidates

    General election

    2016 North Carolina House general election candidates
    District Democratic Party Democrat Republican Party Republican Other
    1 Sam Davis: 12,240 Bob Steinburg: 25,363 (I) Approveda
    2 Joe Parrish: 14,775 Larry Yarborough: 22,760 (I) Approveda
    3 Marva Fisher Baldwin: 12,638 Michael Speciale: 23,273 (I) Approveda
    4 No candidate James Dixon (I) Approveda
    5 Howard Hunter III (I) Approveda No candidate
    6 Warren Judge: 20,471 Beverly Boswell: 22,022 Approveda
    7 Bobbie Richardson: 23,329 (I) Approveda William Duke Hancock II: 11,072
    8 Charlie Pat Farris: 21,166 Susan Martin: 21,329 (I) Approveda
    9 Brian Farkas: 17,007 Gregory Murphy: 22,869 (I) Approveda
    10 Evelyn Paul: 10,514 John Bell: 26,440 (I) Approveda
    11 Duane Hall: 24,624 (I) Approveda Ray Martin: 12,924 Brian Lewis: 2,897 (L)
    12 George Graham (I) Approveda No candidate
    13 Rodney Alexander: 12,024 Patricia McElraft: 29,188 (I) Approveda
    14 No candidate George Cleveland (I) Approveda
    15 Dan Whitten: 5,797 Phillip Shepard: 13,273 (I) Approveda
    16 Steve Unger: 11,656 Chris Millis: 23,649 (I) Approveda
    17 Charles Warren: 16,549 Frank Iler: 32,757 (I) Approveda
    18 Susi Hamilton: 22,006 (I) Approveda Jerry Benton: 14,011
    19 No candidate Ted Davis, Jr. (I) Approveda
    20 No candidate Holly Grange (I) Approveda
    21 Larry Bell (I) Approveda No candidate
    22 William Brisson (I) Approveda No candidate
    23 Shelly Willingham (I) Approveda No candidate
    24 Jean Farmer-Butterfield (I) Approveda No candidate
    25 James Gailliard: 13,099 Jeffrey Collins: 27,969 (I) Approveda
    26 Rich Nixon: 18,716 Donna McDowell White: 25,899 Approveda
    27 Michael Wray (I) Approveda No candidate
    28 Patricia Oliver: 10,897 Larry Strickland: 26,161 Approveda
    29 Larry Hall (I) Approveda No candidate
    30 Paul Luebke: 37,094 (I) Approveda Elissa Fuchs: 13,132
    31 Henry Michaux, Jr. (I) Approveda No candidate
    32 Terry Garrison Approveda No candidate
    33 Rosa Gill (I) Approveda No candidate
    34 Grier Martin: 31,335 (I) Approveda Bill Morris: 15,049
    35 Terence Everitt: 22,145 Chris Malone: 25,117 (I) Approveda
    36 Jennifer Ferrell: 23,875 Nelson Dollar: 25,295 (I) Approveda Brian Irving: 2,184 (L)
    37 Randy Barrow: 22,569 Linda Hunt-Williams: 27,448 Approveda Robert Rose: 2,474 (L)
    38 Yvonne Lewis Holley: 28,990 (I) Approveda No candidate Olen Watson III: 5,196 (L)
    39 Darren Jackson (I) Approveda No candidate
    40 Joe John: 23,786 Approveda Marilyn Avila: 23,402 (I)
    41 Gale Adcock: 27,491 (I) Approveda Chris Shoffner: 20,745
    42 Marvin Lucas, Jr. (I) Approveda No candidate
    43 Elmer Floyd (I) Approveda No candidate
    44 William Richardson: 15,433 (I) Approveda Jim Arp: 15,086
    45 No candidate John Szoka (I) Approveda
    46 Tim Benton: 11,836 Brenden Jones: 19,607 Approveda Thomas Howell, Jr.: 1,052 (L)
    47 Charles Graham (I) Approveda No candidate
    48 Garland Pierce (I) Approveda No candidate
    49 Cynthia Ball: 26,975 Approveda Gary Pendleton: 26,155 (I) David Ulmer: 2,299 (L)
    50 Graig Meyer: 27,278 (I) Approveda Rod Chaney: 20,347
    51 Brad Salmon: 14,262 (I) John Sauls: 17,904 Approveda
    52 No candidate Jamie Boles (I) Approveda
    53 Jon Blum: 12,678 David Lewis, Sr.: 19,548 (I) Approveda
    54 Robert Reives: 24,773 (I) Approveda Wesley Seawell: 18,534
    55 Kim Hargett: 13,719 Mark Brody: 20,901 (I) Approveda
    56 Verla Insko (I) Approveda No candidate
    57 Mary Harrison (I) Approveda No candidate
    58 Amos Quick Approveda No candidate
    59 Scott Jones: 19,060 Jon Hardister: 28,980 (I) Approveda
    60 Cecil Brockman (I) Approveda No candidate
    61 No candidate John Faircloth (I) Approveda
    62 No candidate John Blust (I) Approveda
    63 No candidate Stephen M. Ross (I) Approveda
    64 No candidate Dennis Riddell (I) Approveda
    65 H. Keith Duncan: 14,336 Bert Jones: 21,857 (I) Approveda
    66 Ken Goodman (I) Approveda No candidate
    67 Carson R. Snyder: 10,637 Justin Burr: 20,421 (I) Approveda Billy Mills: 7,288 (Unaffiliated)
    68 No candidate D. Craig Horn (I) Approveda
    69 Gordon B. Daniels: 11,970 Dean Arp: 23,249 (I) Approveda
    70 Lois Bohnsack: 7,789 Patricia Hurley: 24,856 (I) Approveda
    71 Evelyn Terry (I) Approveda No candidate
    72 Edward Hanes, Jr. (I) Approveda No candidate
    73 No candidate Lee Zachary (I) Approveda
    74 Marilynn Baker: 15,626 Debra Conrad: 27,209 (I) Approveda
    75 No candidate Donny C. Lambeth (I) Approveda
    76 No candidate Carl Ford (I) Approveda
    77 No candidate Harry Warren (I) Approveda
    78 Bill McCaskill: 7,579 Allen McNeill: 27,040 (I) Approveda
    79 No candidate Julia Howard (I) Approveda
    80 No candidate Sam Watford (I) Approveda
    81 Andy Hedrick: 11,438 Larry Potts: 24,379 Approveda
    82 Earle Schecter: 17,900 Larry G. Pittman: 24,636 (I) Approveda
    83 Jeremy Hachen: 13,407 Linda Johnson: 22,927 (I) Approveda
    84 John Wayne Kahl: 11,266 Rena W. Turner: 25,414 (I) Approveda
    85 No candidate Josh Dobson (I) Approveda
    86 Tim Barnsback: 12,766 Hugh Blackwell: 21,226 (I) Approveda
    87 No candidate Destin Hall Approveda
    88 Mary Belk: 21,754 Approveda Rob Bryan: 21,286 (I)
    89 No candidate Mitchell Setzer (I) Approveda
    90 Vera Smith Reynolds: 8,641 Sarah Stevens: 23,678 (I) Approveda
    91 Eugene Russell: 12,430 Kyle Hall: 24,639 (I) Approveda
    92 Chaz Beasley: 22,941 Approveda Beth Danae Caulfield: 19,246
    93 Sue Counts: 19,433 Jonathan Jordan: 21,910 (I) Approveda
    94 Michael T. Lentz: 8,372 Jeffrey Elmore: 24,467 (I) Approveda
    95 No candidate John Fraley (I) Approveda
    96 No candidate Jay Adams (I) Approveda
    97 No candidate Jason Saine (I) Approveda
    98 No candidate John Bradford: 25,428 (I) Approveda Jane Campbell: 19,597 (Unaffiliated)
    99 Rodney Moore (I) Approveda No candidate
    100 John Autry Approveda No candidate
    101 Beverly Earle: 27,476 (I) Approveda Justin Dunn: 8,691
    102 Becky Carney (I) Approveda No candidate
    103 Rochelle Rivas: 16,922 William Brawley: 21,702 (I) Approveda
    104 Peter Noris: 19,952 Andy Dulin: 24,700 Approveda
    105 Connie Green-Johnson: 17,689 Scott Stone: 21,853 (I) Approveda
    106 Carla Cunningham (I) Approveda No candidate
    107 Kelly Alexander, Jr. (I) Approveda No candidate
    108 No candidate John Torbett (I) Approveda
    109 Susan Maxon: 13,755 Dana Bumgardner: 21,687 (I) Approveda
    110 No candidate Kelly Hastings (I) Approveda
    111 No candidate Timothy K. Moore (I) Approveda
    112 No candidate David Rogers: 22,938 (I) Approveda Ben Edwards: 9,388 (Unaffiliated)
    113 Maureen Mahan Copelof: 16,726 Cody Henson: 26,848 Approveda
    114 Susan Fisher (I) Approveda No candidate
    115 John Ager: 25,257 (I) Approveda Frank Moretz: 20,183
    116 Brian Turner (I) Approveda No candidate
    117 No candidate Charles McGrady (I) Approveda
    118 Rhonda Cole Schandevel: 17,549 Michele Presnell: 21,754 (I) Approveda
    119 Joe Sam Queen: 17,480 (I) Mike Clampitt: 17,757 Approveda
    120 Randy Hogsed: 11,282 Kevin Corbin: 29,047 Approveda
     
    Notes:
    • An (I) denotes an incumbent.
    • Candidate lists can change frequently throughout an election season. Ballotpedia staff update this list monthly. To suggest changes, click here to email our State Legislature Project.

    Primary election

    2016 North Carolina House primary candidates
    District Democratic Party Democrat Republican Party Republican Other
    1 Sam Davis Approveda Bob Steinburg (I) Approveda
    2 Joe Parrish Approveda Larry Yarborough (I) Approveda
    3 Marva Fisher Baldwin Approveda Michael Speciale (I) Approveda
    4 No candidate James Dixon (I) Approveda
    5 Howard Hunter III (I) Approveda No candidate
    6 Judy Justice: 2,962
    Warren Judge: 7,517 Approveda
    Ashley Woolard: 3,586
    Beverly Boswell: 3,834 Approveda
    Arthur Williams: 2,342
    7 Bobbie Richardson (I) Approveda William Duke Hancock II Approveda
    8 Charlie Pat Farris Approveda Susan Martin (I) Approveda
    9 Brian Farkas: 5,394 Approveda
    Walter E. Gaskins: 3,358
    Gregory Murphy (I) Approveda
    10 Evelyn Paul Approveda John Bell (I) Approveda
    11 Duane Hall (I) Approveda Ray Martin Approveda Brian Lewis (L) Approveda
    12 George Graham (I) Approveda No candidate
    13 Rodney Alexander Approveda Patricia McElraft (I) Approveda
    14 No candidate George Cleveland (I) Approveda
    15 Dan Whitten Approveda Phillip Shepard (I) Approveda
    16 Steve Unger Approveda Chris Millis (I) Approveda
    17 Charles Warren Approveda Frank Iler (I): 10,129 Approveda
    Marion Davis: 4,846
    18 Susi Hamilton (I) Approveda Jerry Benton Approveda
    19 No candidate Ted Davis, Jr. (I) Approveda
    20 No candidate Holly Grange: 7,188 Approveda
    Tammy Covil: 4,409
    21 Larry Bell (I): 8,664 Approveda
    Scotty L. Smith: 1,475
    No candidate
    22 William Brisson (I): 4,642 Approveda
    Ben Snyder: 4,038
    No candidate
    23 Shelly Willingham (I) Approveda No candidate
    24 Jean Farmer-Butterfield (I): 6,570 Approveda
    Kandie D. Smith: 4,110
    No candidate
    25 Jim Lee Approveda Jeffrey Collins (I) Approveda
    26 Rich Nixon Approveda Dennis Nielsen: 4,085
    Donna McDowell White: 6,009 Approveda
    27 Michael Wray (I): 7,418 Approveda
    Franklin D. Williams, Jr.: 6,741
    No candidate
    28 Jimmie M. Massengill: 3,014
    Patricia Oliver: 3,068 Approveda
    Gregory A. Dail: 864
    Larry C. Strickland: 5,375 Approveda
    Tony Braswell: 4,478
    29 Larry Hall (I) Approveda No candidate
    30 Paul Luebke (I) Approveda Elissa Fuchs Approveda
    31 Henry Michaux, Jr. (I) Approveda No candidate
    32 Gary Lamont Miles, Sr.: 4,449
    Terry Garrison: 9,190 Approveda
    No candidate
    33 Rosa Gill (I): 8,603 Approveda
    Bernard Allen II: 1,731
    Shirley E. Hicks: 3,097
    No candidate
    34 Grier Martin (I) Approveda Bill Morris Approveda
    35 Terence Everitt Approveda Chris Malone (I) Approveda
    36 Jennifer Ferrell: 7,951 Approveda
    Woodie Cleary: 2,625
    Nelson Dollar (I): 7,913 Approveda
    Mark Villee: 6,286
    Brian Irving (L) Approveda
    37 Jonathan Graham Approveda Linda Hunt-Williams Approveda Robert Rose (L) Approveda
    38 Yvonne Lewis Holley (I) Approveda No candidate Olen Watson III (L) Approveda
    39 Darren Jackson (I) Approveda No candidate
    40 Joe John Approveda Marilyn Avila (I) Approveda
    41 Gale Adcock (I) Approveda Chris M. Shoffner Approveda
    42 Marvin Lucas, Jr. (I) Approveda No candidate
    43 Elmer Floyd (I) Approveda No candidate
    44 William Richardson (I) Approveda Jim Arp: 3,409 Approveda
    Richard Button: 2,891
    Todd Ausborn: 397
    45 Roberta Waddle Approveda John Szoka (I) Approveda
    46 Tim Benton Approveda Brenden Jones Approveda Thomas Howell, Jr. (L) Approveda
    47 Charles Graham (I): 5,634 Approveda
    Randall Jones: 4,015
    No candidate
    48 Garland Pierce (I) Approveda No candidate
    49 Cynthia Ball Approveda Gary Pendleton (I) Approveda David Ulmer (L) Approveda
    50 Graig Meyer (I) Approveda Rod Chaney Approveda
    51 Brad Salmon (I) Approveda John Sauls Approveda
    52 No candidate Jamie Boles (I): 8,288 Approveda
    John Zumwalt: 7,132
    53 Jon Blum Approveda David Lewis, Sr. (I): 6,007 Approveda
    Chuck Levorse: 1,632
    54 Robert Reives (I) Approveda Wesley Seawell Approveda
    55 Kim Hargett Approveda Mark Brody (I) Approveda
    56 Verla Insko (I) Approveda No candidate
    57 Mary Harrison (I) Approveda No candidate
    58 Ralph Johnson (I): 3,826
    Amos Quick: 9,588 Approveda
    No candidate
    59 Scott A. Jones Approveda Jon Hardister (I) Approveda
    60 Cecil Brockman (I) Approveda No candidate
    61 No candidate John Faircloth (I) Approveda
    62 No candidate John M. Blust (I) Approveda
    63 No candidate Stephen M. Ross (I) Approveda
    64 No candidate Dennis Riddell (I) Approveda
    65 H. Keith Duncan Approveda Bert Jones (I) Approveda
    66 Ken Goodman (I) Approveda No candidate
    67 Carson Roger Snyder Approveda Justin Burr (I): 6,409 Approveda
    Lane O. Burris: 6,154
    68 No candidate D. Craig Horn (I) Approveda
    69 Gordon B. Daniels Approveda Dean Arp (I) Approveda
    70 Lois Bohnsack Approveda Patricia Hurley (I) Approveda
    71 Evelyn Terry (I) Approveda No candidate
    72 Edward Hanes, Jr. (I) Approveda No candidate
    73 No candidate Lee Zachary (I): 6,794 Approveda
    Dwight Shook: 6,406
    74 Marilynn Baker Approveda Debra Conrad (I) Approveda
    75 No candidate Donny C. Lambeth (I) Approveda
    76 No candidate Carl Ford (I) Approveda
    77 No candidate Harry Warren (I): 7,350 Approveda
    Andrew H. Poston: 2,939
    78 Bill McCaskill Approveda Allen McNeill (I) Approveda
    79 No candidate Julia Howard (I) Approveda
    80 No candidate Sam Watford (I) Approveda
    81 Andy Hedrick Approveda Larry W. Potts: 5,817 Approveda
    Sharon Phillips Pearce: 2,228
    Tyler Lohr Forrest: 3,091
    82 Earle Schecter Approveda Larry G. Pittman (I): 5,672 Approveda
    Michael Fischer: 5,066
    83 Jeremy Hachen Approveda Linda Johnson (I): 5,563 Approveda
    Nathan D. Stone: 3,479
    84 John Wayne Kahl Approveda Rena W. Turner (I): 7,841 Approveda
    Kirk Sherrill: 4,454
    85 No candidate Josh Dobson (I) Approveda
    86 Tim Barnsback Approveda Hugh Blackwell (I) Approveda
    87 No candidate George Robinson (I): 4,600
    Destin Hall: 6,827 Approveda
    88 Mary Belk Approveda Rob Bryan (I) Approveda
    89 No candidate Mitchell Setzer (I) Approveda
    90 Vera Smith Reynolds Approveda Sarah Stevens (I) Approveda
    91 Eugene Russell Approveda Kyle Hall (I): 4,898 Approveda
    Ira "Bubba" Tilley: 2,848
    Robert Knight: 3,427
    92 Chaz Beasley Approveda Charles Jeter (I): 3,731 Approveda
    Tom Davis: 3,696
    93 Ronnie Marsh: 2,700
    Sue Counts: 7,188 Approveda
    Jonathan Jordan (I): 7,439 Approveda
    Lew Hendricks: 2,640
    94 Michael T. Lentz Approveda Jeffrey Elmore (I) Approveda
    95 No candidate John Fraley (I): 8,160 Approveda
    David W. Thompson: 3,751
    96 No candidate Jay Adams (I) Approveda
    97 No candidate Jason Saine (I) Approveda
    98 No candidate John Bradford (I) Approveda
    99 Rodney Moore (I) Approveda No candidate
    100 Billy Maddalon: 3,953
    John Autry: 4,498 Approveda
    No candidate
    101 Beverly Earle (I): 7,212 Approveda
    Steven Jones: 1,965
    Justin Dunn Approveda
    102 Becky Carney (I) Approveda No candidate
    103 Noah Lieberman: 3,235
    Rochelle Rivas: 3,248 Approveda
    William Brawley (I) Approveda
    104 Peter Noris Approveda Andy Dulin Approveda
    105 Connie Green-Johnson Approveda Scott Stone: 4,680 Approveda
    Tim Morgan: 4,289
    106 Carla Cunningham (I) Approveda No candidate
    107 Kelly Alexander, Jr. (I): 10,304 Approveda
    Robert Blok: 1,127
    No candidate
    108 No candidate John Torbett (I) Approveda
    109 Susan Maxon Approveda Dana Bumgardner (I) Approveda
    110 No candidate Kelly Hastings (I) Approveda
    111 No candidate Timothy K. Moore (I) Approveda
    112 No candidate Michael Hager (I) Approveda
    113 Maureen Mahan Copelof Approveda Cody Henson: 7,718 Approveda
    Coty J. Ferguson: 4,212
    114 Susan Fisher (I) Approveda No candidate
    115 John Ager (I) Approveda Frank Moretz: 4,842 Approveda
    Bob Chilmonik: 3,367
    116 Brian Turner (I) Approveda Kay Olsen Approveda
    117 No candidate Charles McGrady (I) Approveda
    118 Reese Steen: 4,343
    Rhonda Cole Schandevel: 5,988 Approveda
    Michele Presnell (I) Approveda
    119 Joe Sam Queen (I) Approveda Aaron Littlefield: 2,754
    Mike Clampitt: 3,987 Approveda
    120 Randy Hogsed Approveda Elliott J. Southworth: 3,587
    Kevin Corbin: 10,135 Approveda
     
    Notes:
    • An (I) denotes an incumbent.
    • Candidate lists can change frequently throughout an election season. Ballotpedia staff update this list monthly. To suggest changes, click here to email our State Legislature Project.

    Margins of victory

    The average margin of victory for contested races in the North Carolina House of Representatives in 2016 was lower than the national average. Out of 120 races in the North Carolina House of Representatives in 2016, 63 were contested, meaning at least two candidates competed for that seat in the general election. The average margin of victory across these races was 24.5 percent. Across contested single-winner state legislative elections in 2016, the average margin of victory was 29.01 percent.[3]

    Republican candidates in the North Carolina House of Representatives saw larger margins of victory than Democratic candidates in 2016. Republicans won 74 races. In the 47 races where a winning Republican faced a challenger, the average margin of victory was 25.2 percent. Democrats won 46 races in 2016. In the 16 races where a winning Democrat faced a challenger, the average margin of victory was 22.4 percent.
    More Republican candidates than Democratic candidates saw margins of victory that were less than 10 percentage points. 12 of the 63 contested races in 2016—19 percent—saw margins of victory that were 10 percent or less. Eight races saw margins of victory that were 5 percent or less. Republicans won seven races with margins of victory of 10 percent or less.
    The average margin of victory for incumbents in the North Carolina House of Representatives who ran for re-election and won in 2016 was lower than the national average. 101 incumbents who ran for re-election in 2016 won. The average margin of victory for the 48 winning North Carolina House of Representatives incumbents who faced a challenger in 2016 was 27.3 percent. The average margin of victory for all winning incumbents in contested single-winner state legislative elections in 2016 was 31.8 percent.
    Democratic incumbents in the North Carolina House of Representatives saw larger margins of victory than Republican incumbents. 39 Democratic incumbents won re-election. In the 12 races where a winning Democratic incumbent faced a challenger, the average margin of victory was 28.9 percent. 62 Republican incumbents won re-election. In the 36 races where a winning Republican incumbent faced a challenger, the average margin of victory was 26.8 percent.
    North Carolina House of Representatives: 2016 Margin of Victory Analysis
    Party Elections won Average margin of victory[4] Races with incumbent victories Average margin of victory for incumbents[4] Unopposed incumbents Unopposed races Percent unopposed
    Democratic 46 22.4 percent 39 28.9 percent 27 30 65.2 percent
    Republican 74 25.2 percent 62 26.8 percent 26 27 36.5 percent
    Total 120 24.5 percent 101 27.3 percent 53 57 47.5 percent

    Click [show] on the tables below to see the margin of victory in North Carolina House of Representatives districts in 2016.

    Competitiveness

    Candidates unopposed by a major party

    In 58 of the 120 districts that were up for election in 2016, there was only one major party candidate running for election. A total of 31 Democrats and 27 Republicans were guaranteed election barring unforeseen circumstances.

    Two major party candidates faced off in the general election in 62 (51.7%) of the 120 districts up for election.

    Primary challenges

    Twenty-four incumbents faced primary competition on March 15. Thirteen incumbents did not seek re-election and another 83 incumbents advanced past the primary without opposition.

    Retired incumbents

    Fourteen incumbents did not run for re-election, while 107 ran for re-election. A list of those incumbents, 10 Republicans, three Democrats and one unaffiliated, can be found above.

    Results from 2014

    See also: 2014 state legislative elections analyzed using a Competitiveness Index

    There were 6,057 seats in 87 chambers with elections in 2014. All three aspects of Ballotpedia's Competitiveness Index—the number of open seats, incumbents facing primary opposition, and general elections between partisan candidates—showed poor results compared to the prior election cycle. States with elections in 2014 held fewer general elections between partisan candidates. Additionally, fewer incumbents faced primary opposition and more incumbents ran for re-election than in recent years.

    Since 2010, when the Competitiveness Index was established, there had not been an even-year election cycle to do statistically worse in any of the three categories. See the following chart for a breakdown of those scores between each year.

    Overall Competitiveness
    2010 2012 2014
    Competitiveness Index 36.2 35.8 31.4
    % Open Seats 18.6% 21.2% 17.0%
    % Incumbent with primary challenge 22.7% 24.6% 20.1%
    % Candidates with major party opposition 67.3% 61.7% 57.0%

    The following table details North Carolina's rates for open seats, incumbents that faced primary challenges, and major party competition in the 2014 general election.

    General Assembly of North Carolina 2014 Competitiveness
    % Open Seats % Incumbent with primary challenge % Candidates with major party opposition Competitiveness Index Overall rank
    8.2% 18.0% 51.8% 26 31

    Historical context

    See also: Competitiveness in State Legislative Elections: 1972-2014

    Uncontested elections: In 2014, 32.8 percent of Americans lived in states with an uncontested state senate election. Similarly, 40.4 percent of Americans lived in states with uncontested house elections. Primary elections were uncontested even more frequently, with 61 percent of people living in states with no contested primaries. Uncontested elections often occur in locations that are so politically one-sided that the result of an election would be a foregone conclusion regardless of whether it was contested or not.

    F5 Pop. % with uncontested state legislative races.png

    Open seats: In most cases, an incumbent will run for re-election, which decreases the number of open seats available. In 2014, 83 percent of the 6,057 seats up for election saw the incumbent running for re-election. The states that impose term limits on their legislatures typically see a higher percentage of open seats in a given year because a portion of incumbents in each election are forced to leave office. Overall, the number of open seats decreased from 2012 to 2014, dropping from 21.2 percent in 2012 to 17.0 percent in 2014.

    Incumbent win rates: Ballotpedia's competitiveness analysis of elections between 1972 and 2014 documented the high propensity for incumbents to win re-election in state legislative elections. In fact, since 1972, the win rate for incumbents had not dropped below 90 percent—with the exception of 1974, when 88 percent of incumbents were re-elected to their seats. Perhaps most importantly, the win rate for incumbents generally increased over time. In 2014, 96.5 percent of incumbents were able to retain their seats. Common convention holds that incumbents are able to leverage their office to maintain their seat. However, the high incumbent win rate may actually be a result of incumbents being more likely to hold seats in districts that are considered safe for their party.

    Marginal primaries: Often, competitiveness is measured by examining the rate of elections that have been won by amounts that are considered marginal (5 percent or less). During the 2014 election, 90.1 percent of primary and general election races were won by margins higher than 5 percent. Interestingly, it is usually the case that only one of the two races—primary or general—will be competitive at a time. This means that if a district's general election is competitive, typically one or more of the district's primaries were won by more than 5 percent. The reverse is also true: If a district sees a competitive primary, it is unlikely that the general election for that district will be won by less than 5 percent. Primaries often see very low voter turnout in comparison to general elections. In 2014, there were only 27 million voters for state legislative primaries, but approximately 107 million voters for the state legislative general elections.

    Campaign contributions

    The following chart shows how many candidates ran for State House in North Carolina in past years and the cumulative amount of campaign contributions in State House races, including contributions in both primary and general election contests.[5]

    North Carolina House of Representatives Donations
    Year Candidates Amount
    2014 228 $19,837,922
    2012 289 $19,193,634
    2010 268 $17,309,735
    2008 233 $13,957,950
    2006 220 $15,241,489

    State comparison

    The map below shows the average contributions to 2014 candidates for state houses. The average contributions raised by state house candidates in 2014 was $59,983. North Carolina, at $87,008 per candidate, is ranked nine of 45 for state house chambers with the highest average contributions. Hover your mouse over a state to see the average campaign contributions for that state’s house candidates in 2014.[5][6]

    Qualifications

    Article 2, Section 7 of the North Carolina Constitution states: "Each Representative, at the time of his election, shall be a qualified voter of the State, and shall have resided in the district for which he is chosen for one year immediately preceding his election."

    See also

    External links

    Footnotes

    1. The primary for U.S. congressional elections was rescheduled to June 7, 2016, following legal challenges to North Carolina's district maps. State races were unaffected.
    2. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "2016 Candidate Filing," accessed December 22, 2015
    3. This calculation excludes chambers that had elections where two or more members were elected in a race. These chambers are the Arizona House, the New Hampshire House, the North Dakota House, the South Dakota House, the Vermont House, the Vermont Senate, and the West Virginia House.
    4. 4.0 4.1 Excludes unopposed elections
    5. 5.0 5.1 followthemoney.org, "Contributions to candidates and committees in elections in North Carolina," accessed July 28, 2015
    6. This map relies on data collected in July 2015.


    Leadership
    Speaker of the House:Destin Hall
    Majority Leader:Brenden Jones
    Minority Leader:Robert Reives
    Representatives
    District 1
    District 2
    District 3
    District 4
    District 5
    Bill Ward (R)
    District 6
    Joe Pike (R)
    District 7
    District 8
    District 9
    District 10
    John Bell (R)
    District 11
    District 12
    District 13
    District 14
    District 15
    District 16
    District 17
    District 18
    District 19
    District 20
    Ted Davis (R)
    District 21
    Ya Liu (D)
    District 22
    District 23
    District 24
    District 25
    District 26
    District 27
    District 28
    District 29
    District 30
    District 31
    District 32
    District 33
    District 34
    District 35
    District 36
    District 37
    District 38
    District 39
    District 40
    District 41
    District 42
    District 43
    District 44
    District 45
    District 46
    District 47
    District 48
    District 49
    District 50
    District 51
    District 52
    Ben Moss (R)
    District 53
    District 54
    District 55
    District 56
    District 57
    District 58
    District 59
    District 60
    District 61
    District 62
    District 63
    District 64
    District 65
    District 66
    District 67
    District 68
    District 69
    Dean Arp (R)
    District 70
    District 71
    District 72
    District 73
    District 74
    District 75
    District 76
    District 77
    District 78
    District 79
    District 80
    District 81
    District 82
    District 83
    District 84
    District 85
    District 86
    District 87
    District 88
    Mary Belk (D)
    District 89
    District 90
    District 91
    Kyle Hall (R)
    District 92
    District 93
    District 94
    District 95
    District 96
    Jay Adams (R)
    District 97
    District 98
    District 99
    District 100
    District 101
    District 102
    District 103
    District 104
    District 105
    District 106
    District 107
    Aisha Dew (D)
    District 108
    District 109
    District 110
    District 111
    District 112
    District 113
    District 114
    Eric Ager (D)
    District 115
    District 116
    District 117
    District 118
    District 119
    District 120
    Republican Party (71)
    Democratic Party (49)