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North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District elections, 2012

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North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District
General Election Date
November 6, 2012
Primary Date
June 12, 2012
November 6 Election Winner:
Kevin Cramer Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Rick Berg Republican Party
Rick Berg.jpg
North Dakota U.S. House Elections
At-large district
2012 U.S. Senate Elections
Flag of North Dakota.png

The 2012 U.S. House of Representatives elections in North Dakota took place on November 6, 2012. Voters elected one candidate to serve in the U.S. House from the state's At-Large Congressional District.

Republican Kevin Cramer won the election.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 13, 2012
June 12, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: North Dakota has an open primary system, in which any registered voter can choose which party's primary to vote in, without having to be a member of that party.

Voter registration: North Dakota has no voter registration. North Dakota precincts maintain lists of qualified voters.[2]

See also: North Dakota elections, 2012

Incumbent: The incumbent heading into the election was Rick Berg (R), who was first elected in 2010. Berg did not run for re-election. Instead, he is sought election to the U.S. Senate, and was defeated.

North Dakota has a single At-Large Congressional District, which is made up of the entire state.

According to the Washington Post, North Dakota was a battleground district in 2012, with incumbent Rick Berg running for Senate and Republicans duking it out in the primary. Democrat Pam Gulleson vastly outraised the Republican candidates, and had a "fighting chance" in a conservative state.[3]

Partisan breakdown

Heading into the November 6 election, the Republican Party held the one Congressional seat from North Dakota.

Members of the U.S. House from North Dakota -- Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 0 0
     Republican Party 1 1
Total 1 1

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. Click here for more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan. Please contact us about errors in this list.


General election candidates

Democratic Party Pam Gulleson
Republican Party Kevin CramerGreen check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Eric Olson

June 12, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

The following candidates initially expressed interest but did not appear on primary ballot

Libertarian Party Libertarian Candidate

Election results

General Election

U.S. House, North Dakota At-Large District General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Pam Gulleson 41.7% 131,870
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngKevin Cramer 54.9% 173,585
     Libertarian Eric Olson 3.2% 10,261
     Write In N/A 0.2% 508
Total Votes 316,224
Source: North Dakota Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Primary Election

North Dakota's Congressional District Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngKevin Cramer 54.5% 54,405
Brian Kalk 45.5% 45,415
Total Votes 99,820

Race background

North Dakota's at-large District was included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization has specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[11]

Republican challenger Kevin Cramer had been included in the National Republican Congressional Committee's Young Guns program. The program highlighted challengers who represent the GOP's best chances to pick up congressional seats in the general election.[12]

Impact of Redistricting

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District had a PVI of R+10, which is the 106th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 54-46 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 64-36 percent over John Kerry (D).[13]

Campaign donors

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are the candidates' reports.[14][15]

Pam Gulleson

Pam Gulleson Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period		ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[16]April 15$148,270.28$240,060.44$(75,016.76)$313,313.96
Pre-primary[17]May 31$313,313.96$100,782.04$(100,832.09)$313,263.91
July Quarterly[18]July 15$313,263.91$123,163.31$(57,949.67)$378,477.55
October Quarterly[19]October 15, 2012$378,477.55$264,589.09$(510,062.18)$133,004.46
Running totals
$728,594.88$(743,860.7)

Kevin Cramer

Kevin Cramer Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period		ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[20]April 15$192,831.31$43,705.00$(37,643.92)$198,892.39
Pre-primary[21]May 31$198,892.39$62,014.00$(125,126.45)$135,779.94
July Quarterly[22]July 15$135,779.94$276,391.00$(138,670.18)$273,500.76
October Quarterly[23]October 15, 2012$273,500.76$476,095.21$(428,840.36)$320,755.61
Running totals
$858,205.21$(730,280.91)

Polls

North Dakota at-large Congressional district general election candidates, 2012
Poll Pam Gulleson Kevin CramerEric OlsenUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
NBC North Dakota News/ Mason-Dixon
(October 26-28, 2012)
 40%50%0%0%+/-4625
Pharos Research Group
(October 26-28, 2012)
 40.5%54.8%0%4.7%+/-3.6752
Valley News (October 3-5, 2012)
 37%49%2%12%+/-4625
AVERAGES 39.17% 51.27% 0.67% 5.57% +/-3.87 667.33
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

District history

Candidate ballot access
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The state of North Dakota's at-large Congressional district.

2010

On November 2, 2010, Rick Berg won election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Earl Pomeroy in the general election.[24]

U.S. House, North Dakota Congressional District Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRick Berg 54.9% 129,802
     Democratic Earl Pomeroy 45.1% 106,542
Total Votes 236,344

See also

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Dakota," accessed November 7, 2012
  2. ↑ North Dakota Secretary of State, "Voter Registration," accessed July 26, 2012
  3. ↑ Washington Post blog, "The 10 House districts that might surprise you," May 11, 2012
  4. ↑ Forum of Fargo-Moorhead "Democrat Pam Gulleson running for North Dakota's U.S. House seat," September 21, 2011
  5. ↑ The Republic "ND's Cramer uses Web video to open US House campaign; running for Congress for fourth time," November 3, 2011
  6. ↑ Roll Call "Kalk to Run for House Instead of Senate in North Dakota," May 20, 2011
  7. ↑ Flickertales from the Hill "VIDEO: Goettle declares as 4th GOP contender in U.S. House race," November 29, 2011
  8. ↑ Flickertales from the Hill "UPDATED: Fargo legislator Bette Grande entering U.S. House race" October 3, 2011
  9. ↑ Flickertales from the Hill "West Fargo legislator seeks GOP nod in packed U.S. House race," December 5, 2011
  10. ↑ North Dakota Secretary of State "Primary Candidate List"
  11. ↑ DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
  12. ↑ NRCC "Young Guns 2012"
  13. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  14. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Pam Gulleson Summary," accessed October 11, 2012
  15. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Kevin Cramer Summary," accessed October 11, 2012
  16. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Pam Gulleson April Quarterly" accessed October 9, 2012
  17. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Pam Gulleson Pre-primary" accessed October 9, 2012
  18. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Pam Gulleson July Quarterly" accessed October 9, 2012
  19. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Pam Gulleson October Quarterly" accessed October 23, 2012
  20. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Kevin Cramer April Quarterly" accessed October 11, 2012
  21. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Kevin Cramer Pre-primary" accessed October 11, 2012
  22. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Kevin Cramer July Quarterly" accessed October 11, 2012
  23. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Kevin Cramer October Quarterly" accessed October 23, 2012
  24. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
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North Dakota's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Kevin Cramer (R)
John Hoeven (R)
Representatives
Republican Party (3)

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