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Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2020

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Ohio's 13th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 18, 2019
Primary: April 28, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Tim Ryan (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Ohio
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Ohio's 13th Congressional District
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Ohio elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 13th Congressional District of Ohio, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Tim Ryan won election in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 13.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
December 18, 2019
April 28, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Tim Ryan, who was first elected in 2002.

Ohio's 13th Congressional District is located in the northern portion of the state and includes sections of Mahoning, Portage, Stark, Summit, and Trumbull counties.[1]

This race was one of 89 congressional races that were decided by 10 percent or less in 2020.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Ohio's 13th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 51 52.5
Republican candidate Republican Party 47.6 44.9
Difference 3.4 7.6

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Ohio modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee ballot applications could be submitted by fax or email for the general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 13

Incumbent Tim Ryan defeated Christina Hagan and Michael Fricke in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 13 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Tim Ryan
Tim Ryan (D)
 
52.5
 
173,631
Image of Christina Hagan
Christina Hagan (R)
 
44.9
 
148,648
Image of Michael Fricke
Michael Fricke (L)
 
2.6
 
8,522

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 330,801
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 13

Incumbent Tim Ryan advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 13 on April 28, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Tim Ryan
Tim Ryan
 
100.0
 
61,813

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 61,813
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 13

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 13 on April 28, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Christina Hagan
Christina Hagan
 
65.8
 
19,327
Image of Lou Lyras
Lou Lyras
 
11.9
 
3,483
Image of Robert Santos
Robert Santos Candidate Connection
 
11.4
 
3,358
Image of Donald Truex
Donald Truex Candidate Connection
 
3.5
 
1,034
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
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Duane Hennen
 
3.5
 
1,032
Image of Richard Morckel
Richard Morckel Candidate Connection
 
2.6
 
763
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Jason Mormando
 
1.3
 
389

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 29,386
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Ohio District 13

Michael Fricke advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Ohio District 13 on April 28, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Michael Fricke
Michael Fricke
 
100.0
 
131

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 131
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Nine of 88 Ohio counties—10.2 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Ashtabula County, Ohio 18.80% 12.78% 13.54%
Erie County, Ohio 9.48% 12.29% 13.86%
Montgomery County, Ohio 0.73% 4.62% 6.22%
Ottawa County, Ohio 19.51% 4.30% 6.24%
Portage County, Ohio 9.87% 5.52% 8.99%
Sandusky County, Ohio 22.58% 2.71% 4.64%
Stark County, Ohio 17.17% 0.47% 5.46%
Trumbull County, Ohio 6.22% 23.00% 22.43%
Wood County, Ohio 7.99% 4.84% 7.13%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Ohio with 51.7 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 43.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Ohio cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 93.3 percent of the time (28 out of 30 elections), more than any other state in the country. In that same time frame, Ohio supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 60 to 40 percent. Between 2000 and 2016, Ohio voted for the winning presidential candidate in every election.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Ohio. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 39 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 35.7 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 33 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 34 points. Clinton won seven districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 60 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 17.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 66 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 28.3 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+7, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Ohio's 13th Congressional District the 148th most Democratic nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.03. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.03 points toward that party.[5]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Tim Ryan Democratic Party $1,991,087 $2,089,545 $19,737 As of December 31, 2020
Christina Hagan Republican Party $871,623 $830,560 $41,393 As of December 31, 2020
Michael Fricke Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]

Race ratings: Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District election history

2018

See also: Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 13

Incumbent Tim Ryan defeated Christopher DePizzo in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 13 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Tim Ryan
Tim Ryan (D)
 
61.0
 
153,323
Image of Christopher DePizzo
Christopher DePizzo (R)
 
39.0
 
98,047

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 251,370
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 13

Incumbent Tim Ryan defeated John Luchansky and Robert Crow in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 13 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Tim Ryan
Tim Ryan
 
87.2
 
54,967
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
John Luchansky
 
7.8
 
4,908
Image of Robert Crow
Robert Crow
 
5.1
 
3,195

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 63,070
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 13

Christopher DePizzo advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 13 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Christopher DePizzo
Christopher DePizzo
 
100.0
 
24,296

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 24,296
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Tim Ryan (D) defeated Richard Morckel (R) in the general election. Ryan defeated John Luchansky in the Democratic primary on March 15, 2016. Morckel was unopposed in the Republican primary.[12]

U.S. House, Ohio District 13 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTim Ryan Incumbent 67.7% 208,610
     Republican Richard Morckel 32.3% 99,377
     N/A Write-in 0% 17
Total Votes 308,004
Source: Ohio Secretary of State


U.S. House, Ohio District 13 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTim Ryan Incumbent 89.3% 88,154
John Luchansky 10.7% 10,578
Total Votes 98,732
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

2014

See also: Ohio's 13th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 13th Congressional District of Ohio held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tim Ryan (D) defeated Thomas Pekarek (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 13 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTim Ryan Incumbent 68.5% 120,230
     Republican Thomas Pekarek 31.5% 55,233
     Write-in David Allen Pastorius (write-in) 0% 86
Total Votes 175,549
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Ohio Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 9, 2012
  2. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  4. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  5. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  6. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  7. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  8. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  9. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  10. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  11. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  12. ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, "Ohio 2016 March Primary Candidate List," accessed March 11, 2016


Ohio's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Jon Husted (R)
Bernie Moreno (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
Bob Latta (R)
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
Republican Party (12)
Democratic Party (5)


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