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Ohio's 15th Congressional District elections, 2012
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November 6, 2012 |
March 6, 2012 |
Steve Stivers  |
Steve Stivers |
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The 15th Congressional District of Ohio held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
Incumbent Steve Stivers won the election.[1]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Primary: Ohio has a mostly closed primary system, in which voters must vote in the same party's primary as in the previous election, or register with the other party to switch.
Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by February 5. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 7.[2]
- See also: Ohio elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Steve Stivers (R) who served beginning in 2011. The 15th District typically leaned Republican, but it was identified as one of the congressional seats Democrats would try to target in 2012.[3]
This was the first election using district maps based on data from the 2010 Census. Ohio's 15th Congressional District is located in the central portion of the state and includes Clinton, Fayette, Madison, Franklin, Ross, Pickaway, Fairfield, Hocking, Vinton, Perry, Morgan, and Athens counties.[4]
Candidates
Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. Click here for more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan. Please contact us about errors in this list.
General election candidates
March 6, 2012 primary results
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Election results
General Election
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pat Lang | 38.4% | 128,188 | |
| Republican |  Steve Stivers Incumbent |
61.6% | 205,274 | |
| Total Votes | 333,462 | |||
| Source: Ohio Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
Pat Lang |
56.7% | 16,483 |
| Scott Wharton | 43.3% | 12,599 |
| Total Votes | 29,082 | |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
Steve Stivers Incumbent |
89.3% | 70,191 |
| Charles Chope | 10.7% | 8,404 |
| Total Votes | 78,595 | |
Race background
The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in Ohio in 2012 as one of the 10 states that could determine whether Democrats would retake the House or Republicans would hold their majority in 2013.[7] Ohio tied with Pennsylvania for 9th on the list.[7]
Impact of Redistricting
- See also Redistricting in Ohio
The 15th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[8][9]
- 5 percent from the 3rd Congressional District
- 7 percent from the 6th Congressional District
- 36 percent from the 7th Congressional District
- 40 percent from the 15th Congressional District
- 11 percent from the 18th Congressional District
Registration statistics
As of October 29, 2012, District 15 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Ohio Secretary of State:
| Ohio Congressional District 15[10] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congressional District | District Total | Democrats | Republicans | Other & Unaffiliated | Advantage | Party Advantage | Change in Advantage from 2010 |
| District 15 | 484,239 | 55,757 | 107,602 | 320,880 | Republican | 92.98% | N/A |
| "Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only. | |||||||
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Ohio's 15th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[11]
- 2012: 43D / 57R
- 2010: 51D / 49R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Ohio's 15th Congressional District has a PVI of R+6, which is the 159th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 53-47 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 57-43 percent over John Kerry (D).[12]
Campaign contributions
Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.
Steve Stivers
| Steve Stivers (2012) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| April Quarterly[13] | March 31, 2012 | $1,033,667.67 | $207,440.11 | $(311,128.69) | $929,979.09 | ||||
| July Quarterly[14] | July 15 | $929,979.09 | $368,493.28 | $(161,151.12) | $1,137,321.25 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $575,933.39 | $(472,279.81) | ||||||||
Pat Lang
| Pat Lang (2012) Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| April Quarterly[15] | March 31, 2012 | $5,675.53 | $20,014.23 | $(17,670.83) | $8,018.93 | ||||
| July Quarterly[16] | July 15 | $5,675.53 | $31,205.00c | $(31,205.00) | $5,029.76 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $Expression error: Unrecognized word "c". | $(48,875.83) | ||||||||
District history
2010
On November 2, 2010, Stivers won election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Mary Jo Kilroy, William J. Kammerer, Bill Buckel, and David Ryon in the general election.[17]
| U.S. House of Representatives, Ohio Congressional District 15 Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Steve Stivers |
54.2% | 119,471 | |
| Democratic | Mary Jo Kilroy | 41.3% | 91,077 | |
| Libertarian | William J. Kammerer | 2.8% | 6,116 | |
| Constitution | David Ryon | 1.8% | 3,887 | |
| Write-in | Bill Buckel | 0% | 45 | |
| Total Votes | 220,596 | |||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
- United States Senate elections in Ohio, 2012
Footnotes
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Ohio," accessed November 11, 2012
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, "FAQ," accessed June 29, 2012
- ↑ Politico Democrats plot House 2012 comeback December 7, 2011
- ↑ Ohio Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed August 9, 2012
- ↑ Roll Call "Democrat From Athens Will Challenge Steve Stivers in Ohio," December 8, 2011
- ↑ Secretary of State of Ohio "Candidates for US Representative Primary," Created February 7, 2012
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 Washington Post, "The 10 states that will determine control of the House in 2012," accessed April 25, 2012
- ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Ohio's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
- ↑ Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, "Precinct-By-Precinct Data," March 6, 2012
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Ohio," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Steve Stivers April Quarterly," accessed July 17, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Steve Stivers July Quarterly," accessed October 5, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Patrick Lang April Quarterly," accessed July 17, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Patrick Lang July Quarterly," accessed October 5, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
