Ohio's 15th Congressional District

Ohio's 15th Congressional District

Incumbent

Mike Carey

Assumed office: November 4, 2021

Ohio's 15th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Mike Carey (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Ohio representatives represented an average of 787,257 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 723,031 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2024

Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 19 Republican primary)

Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 19 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Incumbent Mike Carey defeated Adam Miller in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on November 5, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Carey (R)	56.5	196,338
		Adam Miller (D)	43.5	151,411

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	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 347,749
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Adam Miller defeated Zerqa Abid in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on March 19, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Adam Miller	64.2	18,648
		Zerqa Abid	35.8	10,399

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 29,047
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Incumbent Mike Carey advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on March 19, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Carey	100.0	51,073

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	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 51,073
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2022

See also: Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Incumbent Mike Carey defeated Gary Josephson in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on November 8, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Carey (R)	57.0	143,112
		Gary Josephson (D)	43.0	108,139

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	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 251,251
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Elizabeth McKenzie (Independent)

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Gary Josephson advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on May 3, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Gary Josephson	100.0	9,047

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 9,047
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Danny O'Connor (D)
• Daniel Kilgore (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Incumbent Mike Carey advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on May 3, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Carey	100.0	48,938

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	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 48,938
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Brian Stewart (R)
• Ruth Edmonds (R)

2021

See also: Ohio's 15th Congressional District special election, 2021

General election

Special general election for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Mike Carey defeated Allison Russo in the special general election for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on November 2, 2021.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Carey (R)	58.3	94,501
		Allison Russo (D)	41.7	67,588

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 162,089
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Special Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Allison Russo defeated Greg Betts in the special Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on August 3, 2021.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Allison Russo	84.2	13,704
		Greg Betts	15.8	2,576

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 16,280
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Michael Stinziano (D)

Republican primary election

Special Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

The following candidates ran in the special Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on August 3, 2021.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Carey	37.0	18,805
		Jeff LaRe	13.3	6,776
		Ron Hood	13.1	6,676
		Bob Peterson	12.6	6,407
		Ruth Edmonds	10.0	5,090
		Tom Hwang	4.9	2,499
		Stephanie Kunze	4.6	2,363
	Submit photo	Thad Cooperrider	2.1	1,076
		Omar Tarazi	1.8	907
		John Adams	0.3	173
	Submit photo	Eric M. Clark	0.2	83

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 50,855
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Brian Stewart (R) (Unofficially withdrew)
• Jeffrey Fix (R)

2020

See also: Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Incumbent Steve Stivers defeated Joel Newby and Shane Hoffman in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on November 3, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Steve Stivers (R)	63.4	243,103
		Joel Newby (D)	36.6	140,183
		Shane Hoffman (American Solidarity Party) (Write-in)	0.0	75

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	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 383,361
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Joel Newby defeated Daniel Kilgore in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on April 28, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Joel Newby	65.6	28,503
		Daniel Kilgore	34.4	14,916

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 43,419
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Incumbent Steve Stivers defeated Shelby Hunt in the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on April 28, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Steve Stivers	88.1	41,749
		Shelby Hunt	11.9	5,627

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	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 47,376
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Incumbent Steve Stivers defeated Rick Neal and Johnathan Miller Jr. in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on November 6, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Steve Stivers (R)	58.3	170,593
		Rick Neal (D)	39.7	116,112
	Submit photo	Johnathan Miller Jr. (L)	2.0	5,738

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	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 292,443 (100.00% precincts reporting)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Rick Neal defeated Rob Jarvis in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on May 8, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Rick Neal	63.5	22,343
		Rob Jarvis	36.5	12,820

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.	Total votes: 35,163
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Aaron Minnick (D)
• Ryan Hupp (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Incumbent Steve Stivers advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on May 8, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Steve Stivers	100.0	49,549

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.	Total votes: 49,549
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15

Johnathan Miller Jr. advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Ohio District 15 on May 8, 2018.

		Candidate
✔	Submit photo	Johnathan Miller Jr.

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2016

See also: Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve Stivers (R) defeated Scott Wharton (D) in the general election. Both candidates ran unopposed in their respective primaries on March 15, 2016.

U.S. House, Ohio District 15 General Election, 2016

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Steve Stivers Incumbent	66.2%	222,847
	Democratic	Scott Wharton	33.8%	113,960
Total Votes				336,807
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

2014

See also: Ohio's 15th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 15th Congressional District of Ohio held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Steve Stivers (R) defeated Richard Scott Wharton (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 15 General Election, 2014

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Steve Stivers Incumbent	66%	128,496
	Democratic	Richard Scott Wharton	34%	66,125
Total Votes				194,621
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

2012

See also: Ohio's 15th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 15th Congressional District of Ohio held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Steve Stivers won re-election in the district.

U.S. House, Ohio District 15 General Election, 2012

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Pat Lang	38.4%	128,188
	Republican	Steve Stivers Incumbent	61.6%	205,274
Total Votes				333,462
Source: Ohio Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010
On November 2, 2010, Steve Stivers won election to the United States House. He defeated Mary Jo Kilroy (D), William Kammerer (L), David Ryon (Constitution) and Bill Buckel in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 15 General Election, 2010
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Steve Stivers	54.2%	119,471
	Democratic	Mary Jo Kilroy	41.3%	91,077
	Libertarian	William J. Kammerer	2.8%	6,116
	Constitution	David Ryon	1.8%	3,887
	Write-in	Bill Buckel	0%	45
Total Votes				220,596

2008
On November 4, 2008, Mary Jo Kilroy won election to the United States House. She defeated Steve Stivers (R), Don Elijah Eckhart (I), Mark Michael Noble (L) and Travis Casper (Write-in) in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 15 General Election, 2008
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Mary Jo Kilroy	45.9%	139,584
	Republican	Steve Stivers	45.2%	137,272
	Independent	Don Elijah Eckhart	4.3%	12,915
	Libertarian	Mark Michael Noble	4.6%	14,061
	Write-in	Travis Casper	0%	6
Total Votes				303,838

2006
On November 7, 2006, Deborah Pryce won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Mary Jo Kilroy (D) and Bill Buckel (Write-in) in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 15 General Election, 2006
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Deborah Pryce incumbent	50.2%	110,714
	Democratic	Mary Jo Kilroy	49.7%	109,659
	Write-in	Bill Buckel	0.1%	194
Total Votes				220,567

2004
On November 2, 2004, Deborah Pryce won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Mark P. Brown (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 15 General Election, 2004
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Deborah Pryce incumbent	60%	166,520
	Democratic	Mark P. Brown	40%	110,915
Total Votes				277,435

2002
On November 5, 2002, Deborah Pryce won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Mark Brown (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 15 General Election, 2002
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Deborah Pryce incumbent	66.6%	108,193
	Democratic	Mark Brown	33.4%	54,286
Total Votes				162,479

2000
On November 7, 2000, Deborah Pryce won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Bill Buckel (D) and Scott T. Smith (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 15 General Election, 2000
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Deborah Pryce incumbent	67.5%	156,792
	Democratic	Bill Buckel	27.9%	64,805
	Libertarian	Scott T. Smith	4.6%	10,700
Total Votes				232,297

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Ohio after the 2020 census

Governor Mike DeWine (R) signed a new congressional map into law on November 20, 2021. The Ohio State Senate voted 24-7 to approve the map on November 16. The Ohio House of Representatives voted 55-36 to approve the map on November 18.

On January 14, 2022, the Ohio Supreme Court struck down the state's enacted congressional map and ordered the Ohio State Legislature to redraw it. On February 9, 2022, legislative leaders said they would not draw a new map, meaning the Ohio Redistricting Commission assumed responsibility for drawing the map.

On September 7, 2023, the Ohio Supreme Court dismissed a lawsuit challenging the state's congressional district boundaries after the petitioners who filed the original lawsuit requested that the court dismiss the case and leave the boundaries in place for the 2024 election.The U.S. Supreme Court had vacated a 2022 state supreme court decision that had overturned the state's 2022 congressional district boundaries Since the congressional district boundaries that the state's redistricting commission adopted in March 2022 and which were used in the 2022 elections did not have support from members of the minority party, they were in effect for only two U.S. House elections with the commission required to enact a new map after the 2024 elections.

On March 2, 2022, the Ohio Redistricting Commission approved a redrawn congressional map in a 5-2 vote along party lines, meaning the map lasted for four years. On March 18, the Ohio Supreme Court ruled that it did not have jurisdiction to overturn the map before the state's primary elections as part of the legal challenge that overturned the initial congressional map. This map took effect for Ohio's 2022 congressional elections.

How does redistricting in Ohio work? In Ohio, the state legislature or a commission may have the opportunity to draw congressional maps. A bipartisan state legislative commission draws state legislative maps. A six-member advisory commission is involved in both the congressional and state legislative redistricting processes.

Ohio District 15
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Ohio District 15
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

2010-2011

This is the 15th Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

See also: Redistricting in Ohio after the 2010 census

The Ohio State Legislature approved a new map of the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+4. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Ohio's 15th the 194th most Republican district nationally.

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+6. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Ohio's 15th the 184th most Republican district nationally.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 52.6%-45.8%.

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+6. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Ohio's 15th the 183rd most Republican district nationally.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 45.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 52.6%.

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Ohio's 15th Congressional District the 173rd most Republican nationally.

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.94. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.94 points toward that party.

See also

• Redistricting in Ohio
• Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2024
• Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2022
• Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2020
• Ohio's 15th Congressional District election, 2018

External links

• GovTrack District 15

Footnotes

[show]

Ohio's current delegation to the United States Congress

Senators

Jon Husted (R)

Bernie Moreno (R)

Representatives

District 1

Greg Landsman (D)

District 2

David Taylor (R)

District 3

Joyce Beatty (D)

District 4

Jim Jordan (R)

District 5

Bob Latta (R)

District 6

Michael Rulli (R)

District 7

Max Miller (R)

District 8

Warren Davidson (R)

District 9

Marcy Kaptur (D)

District 10

Michael Turner (R)

District 11

Shontel Brown (D)

District 12

Troy Balderson (R)

District 13

Emilia Sykes (D)

District 14

David Joyce (R)

District 15

Mike Carey (R)

Republican Party (12)

Democratic Party (5)