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Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Ohio's 9th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 18, 2019
Primary: April 28, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Marcy Kaptur (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Ohio
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Ohio's 9th Congressional District
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Ohio elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 9th Congressional District of Ohio, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Marcy Kaptur won election in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 9.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
December 18, 2019
April 28, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Marcy Kaptur, who was first elected in 1982.

As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, Ohio's 9th Congressional District was located in the northernmost portion of the state and included portions of Cuyahoga, Erie, Lorain, Lucas and Ottawa counties.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Ohio's 9th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 58.8 63.1
Republican candidate Republican Party 39.7 36.9
Difference 19.1 26.2

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Ohio modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee ballot applications could be submitted by fax or email for the general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 9

Incumbent Marcy Kaptur defeated Rob Weber and McKenzie Levindofske in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 9 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marcy Kaptur
Marcy Kaptur (D)
 
63.1
 
190,328
Image of Rob Weber
Rob Weber (R) Candidate Connection
 
36.9
 
111,385
McKenzie Levindofske (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
39

Total votes: 301,752
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9

Incumbent Marcy Kaptur defeated Peter Rosewicz in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9 on April 28, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marcy Kaptur
Marcy Kaptur
 
90.7
 
52,433
Image of Peter Rosewicz
Peter Rosewicz Candidate Connection
 
9.3
 
5,370

Total votes: 57,803
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9

Rob Weber defeated Timothy Corrigan, Tim Connors, and Charles Barrett in the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9 on April 28, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Rob Weber
Rob Weber Candidate Connection
 
59.8
 
10,863
Timothy Corrigan
 
21.3
 
3,873
Image of Tim Connors
Tim Connors Candidate Connection
 
11.4
 
2,064
Charles Barrett
 
7.6
 
1,376

Total votes: 18,176
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Nine of 88 Ohio counties—10.2 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Ashtabula County, Ohio 18.80% 12.78% 13.54%
Erie County, Ohio 9.48% 12.29% 13.86%
Montgomery County, Ohio 0.73% 4.62% 6.22%
Ottawa County, Ohio 19.51% 4.30% 6.24%
Portage County, Ohio 9.87% 5.52% 8.99%
Sandusky County, Ohio 22.58% 2.71% 4.64%
Stark County, Ohio 17.17% 0.47% 5.46%
Trumbull County, Ohio 6.22% 23.00% 22.43%
Wood County, Ohio 7.99% 4.84% 7.13%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Ohio with 51.7 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 43.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Ohio cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 93.3 percent of the time (28 out of 30 elections), more than any other state in the country. In that same time frame, Ohio supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 60 to 40 percent. Between 2000 and 2016, Ohio voted for the winning presidential candidate in every election.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Ohio. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 39 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 35.7 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 33 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 34 points. Clinton won seven districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 60 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 17.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 66 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 28.3 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+14, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Ohio's 9th Congressional District the 100th most Democratic nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[5]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Marcy Kaptur Democratic Party $1,097,895 $987,298 $772,396 As of December 31, 2020
Rob Weber Republican Party $134,898 $123,262 $11,636 As of December 31, 2020
McKenzie Levindofske Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]

Race ratings: Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District election history

2018

See also: Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 9

Incumbent Marcy Kaptur defeated Steven Kraus in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 9 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marcy Kaptur
Marcy Kaptur (D)
 
67.8
 
157,219
Image of Steven Kraus
Steven Kraus (R)
 
32.2
 
74,670
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
48

Total votes: 231,937
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9

Incumbent Marcy Kaptur defeated Joshua Garcia in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marcy Kaptur
Marcy Kaptur
 
85.5
 
41,502
Image of Joshua Garcia
Joshua Garcia
 
14.5
 
7,029

Total votes: 48,531
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9

Steven Kraus defeated Keith Colton and W. Benjamin Franklin in the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steven Kraus
Steven Kraus
 
49.4
 
10,373
Keith Colton
 
29.9
 
6,263
W. Benjamin Franklin
 
20.7
 
4,342

Total votes: 20,978
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Marcy Kaptur (D) defeated Donald Philip Larson (R) in the general election. Kaptur was unopposed in the Democratic primary. Larson defeated Steven Kraus and Joel Lieske in the Republican primary on March 15, 2016.[12]

U.S. House, Ohio District 9 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMarcy Kaptur Incumbent 68.7% 193,966
     Republican Donald Philip Larson 31.3% 88,427
     N/A Write-in 0% 5
Total Votes 282,398
Source: Ohio Secretary of State


U.S. House, Ohio District 9 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Philip Larson 44.3% 20,859
Steven Kraus 36% 16,966
Joel Lieske 19.7% 9,262
Total Votes 47,087
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

2014

See also: Ohio's 9th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 9th Congressional District of Ohio held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Marcy Kaptur (D) defeated Richard May (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 9 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMarcy Kaptur Incumbent 67.7% 108,870
     Republican Richard May 32.2% 51,704
     Write-in Cory Hoffman (write-in) 0.1% 112
     Write-in George A. Skalsky (write-in) 0% 29
Total Votes 160,715
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Ohio Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 9, 2012
  2. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  4. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  5. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  6. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  7. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  8. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  9. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  10. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  11. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  12. Ohio Secretary of State, "Ohio 2016 March Primary Candidate List," accessed March 11, 2016


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