Become part of the movement for unbiased, accessible election information. Donate today.

Ohio's 12th Congressional District election, 2018

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 12

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Troy Balderson
Troy Balderson (R)
 
51.4
 
175,677
Image of Danny O'Connor
Danny O'Connor (D)
 
47.2
 
161,251
Image of Joe Manchik
Joe Manchik (G) Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
4,718
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
1

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 341,647
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates



2020 →
← 2018
Ohio's 12th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: February 7, 2018
Primary: May 8, 2018
General: November 6, 2018
Pre-election incumbent:
Vacant
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Ohio
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+7
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Toss-up
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Ohio's 12th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 12th (special)
Ohio elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018
There were two elections for Ohio's 12th Congressional District in 2018. The first, a special election on August 7, 2018, filled the seat left vacant by Rep. Patrick Tiberi (R-Ohio). The winner of the special election served the remainder of Tiberi's term until January 3, 2019. The second was the regularly scheduled general election on November 6, 2018, to elect the district's representative for the 116th Congress, which met from 2019 to 2021. The primaries for both elections took place on May 8, 2018.

Incumbent Rep. Troy Balderson (R) defeated Franklin County Recorder Danny O'Connor (D) and Joe Manchik (G) in the general election for Ohio's 12th Congressional District on November 6, 2018.

A Republican had represented Ohio's 12th Congressional District since 1983. The November race was a rematch of an August 7, 2018, special election, in which Balderson beat O'Connor by less than one percentage point.[1]

Both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee again targeted this race in the November regular election.[2][3]

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.

Ohio's 12th Congressional District is located in the central portion of the state and includes Delaware, Licking, and Morrow counties with the addition of portions of Franklin, Marion, Muskingum, and Richland counties.[4]

  • Click here to read more about the Democratic Party Democratic Party primary election.
  • Click here to read more about the Republican Party Republican Party primary election.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 12

Incumbent Troy Balderson defeated Danny O'Connor and Joe Manchik in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 12 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Troy Balderson
Troy Balderson (R)
 
51.4
 
175,677
Image of Danny O'Connor
Danny O'Connor (D)
 
47.2
 
161,251
Image of Joe Manchik
Joe Manchik (G) Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
4,718
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
1

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 341,647
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 12

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 12 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Danny O'Connor
Danny O'Connor
 
40.5
 
18,211
Image of John Russell
John Russell
 
16.3
 
7,310
Image of Zach Scott
Zach Scott
 
16.1
 
7,236
Image of Jackie Patton
Jackie Patton
 
14.0
 
6,299
Image of Ed Albertson
Ed Albertson
 
7.9
 
3,531
Image of Doug Wilson
Doug Wilson
 
3.7
 
1,683
Image of John Peters
John Peters
 
1.5
 
670

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 44,940
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 12

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 12 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Troy Balderson
Troy Balderson
 
28.7
 
19,552
Image of Melanie Leneghan
Melanie Leneghan
 
27.6
 
18,777
Image of Tim Kane
Tim Kane
 
16.9
 
11,491
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Kevin Bacon
 
14.3
 
9,711
Image of Carol O'Brien
Carol O'Brien
 
6.5
 
4,415
Image of Jon Halverstadt
Jon Halverstadt
 
1.7
 
1,130
Image of Mick Shoemaker Jr.
Mick Shoemaker Jr.
 
1.2
 
802
Image of Lawrence Cohen
Lawrence Cohen
 
1.2
 
798
Image of Pat Manley
Pat Manley
 
1.1
 
741
Image of John Adams
John Adams
 
0.9
 
618

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 68,035
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Green primary election

Green primary for U.S. House Ohio District 12

Joe Manchik advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House Ohio District 12 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Joe Manchik
Joe Manchik Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
181

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 181
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Danny O'Connor, Franklin County recorder
Danny O'Connor Ohio.png

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: Franklin County Recorder (assumed office: 2017)

Biography: O'Connor graduated from Wright State University and worked for a year as a legal advocate in the Jesuit Volunteer Corps. He earned his J.D. from Syracuse University College of Law. After graduating from law school, O’Connor worked in the Franklin County Prosecutor’s Office before starting a private practice.[5][6]

Key messages
  • O'Connor said both Democrats and Republicans needed new leadership in Congress. He said he was committed to ending partisan gridlock.[7][8]
  • O'Connor said his mother's battle against breast cancer motivated his policy focus on expanding access to healthcare.[8][9]
  • O'Connor said that Balderson supported a tax policy that would lead to major cuts to Medicare and Social Security.[8][10][11]



Troy Balderson, U.S. representative
Troy Balderson.jpeg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: Yes

Political office: U.S. House, Ohio's 12th (assumed office: 2018); Ohio State Senate (2011-2018); Ohio House of Representatives (2009-2011)

Biography: Balderson attended Muskingum College and Ohio State University. Before serving in public office, Balderson and his family owned and operated a farm in Adamsville. He also worked as an automobile dealer.[12][13]

Key messages
  • Balderson described himself as a problem-solver who worked with Gov. John Kasich (R) to improve Ohio's economy, create jobs, and cut taxes.[14][15]
  • Balderson said that his parents depend on Social Security and Medicare and he would not do anything to cut those programs.[16]
  • Balderson characterized O'Connor as being too liberal and misspending taxpayer money in the Franklin County Recorder's Office.[17]



Joe Manchik, telecommunications engineer
Joe Manchik.png

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Green

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Manchik studied electronics engineering at the Ohio Institute of Technology in Columbus. He began a career as a self-employed telecommunications engineer in 1978.[18]

Key messages
  • Manchik said he wanted to eliminate tax subsidies for multinational oil corporations and apply them to American-manufactured solar and wind power technology.[19]
  • Manchik said he believed a nationwide, high-speed passenger rail system should be established for transportation.[19]
  • Manchik said "we need to overthrow the corrupt, corporate-capitalist and corporate owned Democratic-Republican Duopoly Party" by voting for independent and Green candidates.[19]


Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Ohio's 12th Congressional District election, 2018
Poll Poll sponsor Democratic Party O'Connor Republican Party BaldersonUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
GBA Strategies
October 20-22, 2018		N/A 47%47%6%+/-4.9570
Clarity Campaign Labs
October 11-13, 2018		End Citizens United 46%48%6%+/-3.9639
AVERAGES 46.5% 47.5% 6% +/-4.4 604.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Troy Balderson Republican Party $2,543,070 $2,521,181 $21,890 As of December 31, 2018
Danny O'Connor Democratic Party $8,504,868 $8,462,832 $42,036 As of December 31, 2018
Joe Manchik Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[20][21][22]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

  • Congressional Leadership Fund (CLF)
    • In July, CLF released an ad highlighting various statements O'Connor made about whether he would support Pelosi for speaker of the House, as part of a $2 million ad buy.[24]
    • CLF spent $165,000 on an ad buy for Balderson airing from June 8 to June 12. It committed $1 million to ad buys for the August special election.[25][26]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[29]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[30][31][32]

Race ratings: Ohio's 12th Congressional District election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political ReportToss-upToss-upLean RepublicanLean Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesToss-upToss-upToss-upTilt Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanToss-up
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Ohio's 12th Congressional District the 171st most Republican nationally.[33]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[34]

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available:

Campaign advertisements

Democratic Party Danny O'Connor

Support

"Avalanche" - O'Connor campaign ad, released September 25, 2018
"Leadership" - O'Connor campaign ad, released July 31, 2018
"Debunked" - O'Connor campaign ad, released July 13, 2018
"Bridges" - O'Connor campaign ad, released July 9, 2018
"Shannon" - O'Connor campaign ad, released July 5, 2018
"Saturday" - O'Connor campaign ad, released June 25, 2018
"New Leadership" - O'Connor campaign ad, released June 12, 2018


Oppose

"Just Too Liberal" - Balderson opposition ad, released October 2, 2018
"Pelosi" - Congressional Leadership Fund ad, released July 25, 2018
"Liberal Resistance" - Congressional Leadership Fund ad, released July 19, 2018
"Dishonest Danny" - Congressional Leadership Fund ad, released June 25, 2018

Republican Party Troy Balderson

Support

"Solutions" - Balderson campaign ad, released October 12, 2018
"Protect" - Balderson campaign ad, released August 1, 2018
"Governor Kasich" - Congressional Leadership Fund ad, released July 31, 2018
"Troy Balderson: Solving Problems" - Balderson campaign ad, released June 26, 2018
"Education" - Congressional Leadership Fund ad, released June 25, 2018
"Burden" - Congressional Leadership Fund ad, released June 7, 2018
"Monica" - Congressional Leadership Fund ad, released June 6, 2018
"Balderson Fight" - Balderson campaign ad, released May 4, 2018


Oppose

"We Pay" - O'Connor opposition ad, released October 5, 2018
"Independence" - O'Connor opposition ad, released August 4, 2018
"Does Troy Balderson Stand with the Victims" - Bridge Project ad, released August 2, 2018
"When You" - DCCC ad, released July 31, 2018
"Happy" - DCCC ad, released July 19, 2018
"Deserve" - O'Connor opposition ad, released July 17, 2018

Campaign themes

These were the policy positions listed on the candidates' websites.

Democratic Party Danny O'Connor

“

Expanding Health Care Coverage

Health care is of paramount importance to Danny, especially as the son of a breast cancer survivor. In Congress, Danny will fight to protect access to quality health care. Danny will fight to expand access to health care so that no family has to decide between going bankrupt and getting the care they need.

Creating Economic Opportunity and Jobs

We need to create economic opportunity for Central Ohio and work together to find common ground. Ensuring that Central Ohioans have the skills they need to get a good-paying job.

Finding Common Ground

Danny is committed to ending the partisan gridlock in Washington. In Congress, he will work with both sides to bring new economic opportunities to families and working people in Central Ohio.

Combating Climate Change

America’s leading scientists are clear: climate change is leading to extreme weather and devastating storms that must be addressed. This is an opportunity for the U.S. to lead the world and create new jobs in clean and renewable energy.

Improving Our Education System

Danny will be a consistent and vocal advocate for a strong public education system. The challenges of the 21st century require our country to train the next generation for the global economy and an emphasis on math and science is vital to ensure our competitiveness in the world. Young people need more skills than ever to get good jobs, but too many are being crushed by debt. Danny supports increased financial aid and making community colleges and trade schools accessible to everyone.

Safeguarding Our Voting Rights

Numerous federal laws have been proposed that will ensure that all Americans are able to exercise their right to vote. Laws ranging from the Automatic Voter Registration Act to the Voting Rights Advancement Act are laws that I would co-sponsor as a member of Congress. Danny will stand up for every Ohioan’s right to vote, fighting efforts to purge voter rolls and protecting early voting.

Protecting Medicare and Social Security

Ohio seniors have earned their Medicare and Social Security benefits over a lifetime of work. Danny will stand up to any efforts to privatize Social Security and voucherize Medicare that would threaten Ohioan’s retirement security.[35]

”
—O'Connor for Congress[36]

Republican Party Troy Balderson

“

Build the Wall & Stop Illegal Immigration

Troy Balderson will work with President Trump to build the wall and protect Ohio’s working class from illegal immigration. He opposes sanctuary cities, driver’s licenses and in-state tuition for illegals, and will fight alongside President Trump to deport those here illegally.

Economy & Jobs

A fiscal conservative, Troy Balderson led efforts in Columbus to close Ohio’s $8 billion budget deficit and replenish the state’s rainy day fund, all without raising taxes.

He strongly supports federal tax reform efforts led by President Trump that doubled the standard deduction, expanded the child tax credit, provided tax relief for small businesses and working families, and repealed the Death Tax.

Troy will continue to work for lower taxes that keep more money in the pockets of Ohio families and small businesses, and out of the hands of DC politicians so good-paying, American jobs are created here at home. Troy’s leadership in the state legislature has helped Ohio do just that – nearly 500,000 new jobs have been created, helping drop unemployment across the state to under 5%, and he has voted to cut taxes for working families by $5 billion since he took office.

Second Amendment

Troy Balderson is a strong supporter of the Second Amendment and will fight Nancy Pelosi’s liberal gun-grab. He believes the Constitution gives every law-abiding citizen protections granted to them by our founders, allowing them to hunt and protect themselves and their families.

As a gun owner, he has consistently received the highest ratings from the NRA and the Buckeye Firearms Association in his past campaigns.

Faith & Values

Troy Balderson is a devoted Christian and elder at his church. He believes that strong leadership means leaning on that faith in tough times and relying on His word on a daily basis.

As a Christian, Troy believes life begins at conception and is 100% pro-life, and it’s why Ohio Right to Life PAC has endorsed his campaign.

In the legislature, Troy voted to ban abortions after a fetal heartbeat is detected. In Congress, Balderson will fight to ban late-term abortions and defund Planned Parenthood.

Healthcare Troy Balderson believes we must repeal and replace Obamacare once and for all. He has consistently voted to keep Obamacare out of Ohio, opposing Governor Kasich’s efforts to bring it to the state. DC Republicans ran on repealing Obamacare, and it’s time they make good on their word.

Supporting President Trump

Troy Balderson voted for Donald Trump and is a strong supporter of his administration. He will work with the president to drain the swamp and fight unfair trade practices hurting Ohio businesses and families.[35]

”
—Balderson for Congress[37]

Social media

Twitter accounts

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Democratic Party Danny O'Connor Facebook

Republican Party Troy Balderson Facebook

Timeline

  • October 23, 2018: In a GBA Strategies poll of 570 voters, Balderson and O'Connor were tied at 47 percent each.
  • October 21, 2018: America First Action announced they planned to spend $1 million to support Balderson.[23]
  • October 18, 2018: In a Clarity Campaign Labs poll of 639 voters, the candidates were about even, with Balderson at 48 percent and O'Connor at 46 percent. The margin of error was 3.9 percent.
  • September 21, 2018: Planned Parenthood Votes announced that it was targeting 24 districts, including Ohio's 12th Congressional District.[38]
  • September 13, 2018: In a GBA Strategies poll of 500 likely voters, Balderson led O'Connor by one point, 47 percent to 46 percent.[39]
  • September 6, 2018: According to a post-special election FEC filing, O'Connor had $1 million in cash-on-hand to Balderson's $93,000.[40]

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Nine of 88 Ohio counties—10.2 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Ashtabula County, Ohio 18.80% 12.78% 13.54%
Erie County, Ohio 9.48% 12.29% 13.86%
Montgomery County, Ohio 0.73% 4.62% 6.22%
Ottawa County, Ohio 19.51% 4.30% 6.24%
Portage County, Ohio 9.87% 5.52% 8.99%
Sandusky County, Ohio 22.58% 2.71% 4.64%
Stark County, Ohio 17.17% 0.47% 5.46%
Trumbull County, Ohio 6.22% 23.00% 22.43%
Wood County, Ohio 7.99% 4.84% 7.13%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Ohio with 51.7 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 43.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Ohio cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 93.3 percent of the time (28 out of 30 elections), more than any other state in the country. In that same time frame, Ohio supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 60 to 40 percent. Between 2000 and 2016, Ohio voted for the winning presidential candidate in every election.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Ohio. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[41][42]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 39 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 35.7 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 33 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 34 points. Clinton won seven districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 60 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 17.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 66 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 28.3 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.


District history

2016

See also: Ohio's 12th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Patrick Tiberi (R) defeated Ed Albertson (D) and Joe Manchik (Green) in the general election. All three candidates ran unopposed in their respective primaries.[43]

U.S. House, Ohio District 12 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick Tiberi Incumbent 66.6% 251,266
     Democratic Ed Albertson 29.8% 112,638
     Green Joe Manchik 3.6% 13,474
     N/A Write-in 0% 156
Total Votes 377,534
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

2014

See also: Ohio's 12th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 12th Congressional District of Ohio held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Patrick Tiberi (R) defeated David Tibbs (D) and Bob Hart (G) in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 12 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick Tiberi Incumbent 68.1% 150,573
     Democratic David Tibbs 27.8% 61,360
     Green Bob Hart 4.1% 9,148
Total Votes 221,081
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Ohio heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

Trifecta status

2018 elections

See also: Ohio elections, 2018

Ohio held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Ohio
 OhioU.S.
Total population:11,605,090316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):40,8613,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:82.4%73.6%
Black/African American:12.2%12.6%
Asian:1.9%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.5%3%
Hispanic/Latino:3.4%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:89.1%86.7%
College graduation rate:26.1%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$49,429$53,889
Persons below poverty level:19.6%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Ohio.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2017, Ohio had a population of 11,700,000 people, with its three largest cities being Columbus (pop. est. 860,000), Cleveland (pop. est. 390,000), and Cincinnati (pop. est. 300,000).[44][45]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Ohio from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Ohio Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Ohio every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Ohio 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 52.1% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 43.5% 8.6%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 50.7% Republican Party Mitt Romney 47.7% 3.0%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 51.5% Republican Party John McCain 46.9% 4.6%
2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 50.8% Democratic Party John Kerry 48.7% 2.1%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 50.0% Democratic Party Al Gore 46.5% 3.5%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Ohio from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Ohio 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Rob Portman 58.0% Democratic Party Ted Strickland 37.2% 20.8%
2012 Democratic Party Sherrod Brown 50.7% Republican Party Josh Mandel 44.7% 6.0%
2010 Republican Party Rob Portman 56.8% Democratic Party Lee Fisher 39.4% 17.4%
2006 Democratic Party Sherrod Brown 56.2% Republican Party Mike DeWine 43.8% 12.4%
2004 Republican Party George Voinovich 63.9% Democratic Party Eric Fingerhut 36.1% 27.8%
2000 Republican Party Mike DeWine 59.9% Democratic Party Ted Celeste 35.9% 24.0%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Ohio.

Election results (Governor), Ohio 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party John Kasich 63.6% Democratic Party Ed Fitzgerald 33.0% 30.6%
2010 Republican Party John Kasich 49.0% Democratic Party Ted Strickland 47.0% 2.0%
2006 Democratic Party Ted Strickland 60.5% Republican Party Ken Blackwell 36.6% 23.9%
2002 Republican Party Robert Taft 57.8% Democratic Party Tim Hagan 38.3% 19.5%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Ohio in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Ohio 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 12 75.0% Democratic Party 4 25.0% R+8
2014 Republican Party 12 75.0% Democratic Party 4 25.0% R+8
2012 Republican Party 12 75.0% Democratic Party 4 25.0% R+8
2010 Republican Party 13 72.2% Democratic Party 5 27.8% R+8
2008 Republican Party 8 44.4% Democratic Party 10 55.6% D+2
2006 Republican Party 11 61.1% Democratic Party 7 38.9% R+4
2004 Republican Party 12 66.7% Democratic Party 6 33.3% R+6
2002 Republican Party 12 66.7% Democratic Party 6 33.3% R+6
2000 Republican Party 11 57.9% Democratic Party 8 42.1% R+3

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Ohio Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-six years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


See also

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, "Election Results," accessed August 7, 2018
  2. ↑ DCCC, "Red to Blue," accessed October 9, 2018
  3. ↑ NRCC, "Elect GOP Patriots," accessed October 9, 2018
  4. ↑ Ohio Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 9, 2012
  5. ↑ Danny O'Connor for Congress, "About," accessed September 23, 2018
  6. ↑ Franklin County, "About Recorder," accessed September 23, 2018
  7. ↑ YouTube, "Danny O'Connor – Leadership," July 31, 2018
  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 8.2 Danny O'Connor for Congress, "Priorities," accessed September 23, 2018
  9. ↑ YouTube, "Danny O'Connor – Saturday," June 25, 2018
  10. ↑ Danny O'Connor for Congress, "Media," accessed September 23, 2018
  11. ↑ YouTube, "Danny O'Connor – Deserve," July 17, 2018
  12. ↑ Balderson for Congress, "Home," accessed September 23, 2018
  13. ↑ Biographic Directory of the U.S. Congress, "Troy Balderson," accessed September 23, 2018
  14. ↑ YouTube, "Solving Problems," July 18, 2018
  15. ↑ Balderson for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 23, 2018
  16. ↑ YouTube, "Balderson – Protect," August 1, 2018
  17. ↑ YouTube, "Dangerous Danny," July 17, 2018
  18. ↑ Mansfield News Journal, "Balderson, O'Connor, Manchik vie for former Tiberi seat in November election," October 29, 2018
  19. ↑ 19.0 19.1 19.2 Manchik for Congress, "My Platform," accessed November 2, 2018
  20. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  21. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  22. ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  23. ↑ 23.0 23.1 Politico, "Trump and Democrats gain," October 21, 2018
  24. ↑ Politico, "Priorities USA’s big takeaways," July 26, 2018
  25. ↑ Politico, "CLF starts spending in OH-12 special," June 7, 2018
  26. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 6/26," June 26, 2018
  27. ↑ Politico, "Minority of leadership PAC spending goes to contributions," July 20, 2018
  28. ↑ Columbus Dispatch, "GOP drops $250,000 more in TV ads in 12th race," July 23, 2018
  29. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  30. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  31. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  32. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  33. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  34. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  35. ↑ 35.0 35.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  36. ↑ O'Connor for Congress, "Priorities," accessed September 22, 2018
  37. ↑ Balderson for Congress, "Issues," accessed May 2, 2018
  38. ↑ Politico, "The first general election ballots are cast today," September 21, 2018
  39. ↑ GBA Strategies, "State of the Race for Ohio’s 12th Congressional District," September 13, 2018
  40. ↑ The Columbus Dispatch, "O’Connor has more than 10 times as much campaign cash as Balderson," September 6, 2018
  41. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  42. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  43. ↑ Ohio Secretary of State, "Ohio 2016 March Primary Candidate List," accessed March 11, 2016
  44. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts - Ohio," accessed April 4, 2018
  45. ↑ Ohio Demographics, "Ohio Cities by Population," accessed April 4, 2018
v • e
2017-2018 Elections to the United States Congress
Senate by StateCongressLogo.png
House by State
Alabama • Alaska • Arizona • Arkansas • California • Colorado • Connecticut • Delaware • Florida • Georgia • Hawaii • Idaho • Illinois • Indiana • Iowa • Kansas • Kentucky • Louisiana • Maine • Maryland • Massachusetts • Michigan • Minnesota • Mississippi • Missouri • Montana • Nebraska • Nevada • New Hampshire • New Jersey • New Mexico • New York • North Carolina • North Dakota • Ohio • Oklahoma • Oregon • Pennsylvania • Rhode Island • South Carolina • South Dakota • Tennessee • Texas • Utah • Vermont • Virginia • Washington • West Virginia • Wisconsin • Wyoming
Election information
Super PACs/Organizations



Ohio's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Jon Husted (R)
Bernie Moreno (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
Bob Latta (R)
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
Republican Party (12)
Democratic Party (5)

Retrieved from "https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Ohio%27s_12th_Congressional_District_election,_2018&oldid=9423366"