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Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2012

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Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District
General Election Date
November 6, 2012
Primary Date
June 26, 2012
November 6 Election Winner:
Markwayne Mullin Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Dan Boren Democratic Party
Dan Boren.jpeg
Oklahoma U.S. House Elections
District 1 • District 2 • District 3 • District 4 • District 5
2012 U.S. Senate Elections
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The 2nd Congressional District of Oklahoma held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Markwayne Mullin was elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 13, 2012
June 26, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Oklahoma has a closed primary system, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary June 1. For the August 28 runoff, the voter registration deadline was August 3. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 12.[2]

See also: Oklahoma elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Dan Boren (D), who was first elected in 2004. He did not seek re-election in 2012.[3]

This was the first election using district maps based on data from the 2010 Census. Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District is located in the eastern portion of the state and includes Washington, Craig, Ottawa, Delaware, Mayes, Rogers, Cherokee, Adair, Sequoyah, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Okfuskee, Hughes, Coal, Pittsburg, McIntosh, Haskell, Le Flore, Latimer, Pittsburg, Johnston, Bryan, Atoka, Pushmataha, Choctaw, and McCurtain counties.[4]

This is the 3rd Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Rob Wallace
Republican Party Markwayne MullinGreen check mark transparent.png
Grey.png Michael Fulks


August 28, 2012 run-off election candidates[5]

Democratic Party Wayne Herriman18,926
Democratic Party Rob Wallace[6] 25,105 Approveda
Republican Party George Faught 9,167
Republican Party Markwayne Mullin[6] 12,059 Approveda


June 26, 2012 primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Note: A runoff primary election to decide the Democratic nominee took place on August 28, 2012.[11]

Republican Party Republican Primary

Note: A runoff primary election to decide the Republican nominee took place on August 28, 2012.[18]

Grey.png Independent Candidate

Impact of redistricting

See also Redistricting in Oklahoma

The 2nd District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[19][20]

Registration statistics

As of October 30, 2012, District 2 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Oklahoma State Election Board:

Oklahoma Congressional District 2[21]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 2 410,357 260,436 110,170 39,751 Democratic 136.39% N/A
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Oklahoma's 2nd District became more Democratic because of redistricting.[22]

  • 2012: 31D / 69R
  • 2010: 30D / 70R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District has a PVI of R + 14, which is the 64th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 66-34 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 59-41 percent over John Kerry (D).[23]

Race background

Republican challenger Markwayne Mullin was included in the National Republican Congressional Committee's Young Guns program. The program highlighted challengers who represent the GOP's best chances to pick up congressional seats in the general election.[24]

Competitiveness

Republican Party The race for Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District open seat was rated "Likely Republican" by the Cook Political Report. That would mean one seat gain for House Republicans.[25]

Republican Party The Sabato Crystal Ball rated the 2nd District race as "Lean Republican."[26]

2012 Primary election results

Republican Runoff-August 28, 2012

U.S. House of Representatives Runoff Election, Oklahoma, Congressional District 2 Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMarkwayne Mullin 56.8% 12,059
George Faught 43.2% 9,167
Total Votes 21,226

[27]

Democratic Runoff-August 28, 2012

U.S. House of Representatives Runoff Election, Oklahoma, Congressional District 2 Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRob Wallace 57% 25,105
Wayne Herriman 43% 18,926
Total Votes 44,031

[28]

2012 General election results

U.S. House, Oklahoma District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Rob Wallace 38.3% 96,081
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMarkwayne Mullin 57.3% 143,701
     Independent Michael Fulks 4.3% 10,830
Total Votes 250,612
Source: Oklahoma Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Campaign media

Wallace

In October, 2011, Wallace released Web Ad introducing himself as "a long-time state and federal prosecutor from Fort Gibson"
On May 31st Wallace released his first TV ad, titled "Water."
On August 21st, Wallace released Web Ad titled "Tough Prosecutor"
A September 14th Web Ad titled "No Clue" calls Mullin a hypocrite for taking $370,000 in stimulus money while opposing stimulus policy

Mullin

On June 14, 2012, the Conservative Action Fund - a group dedicated to electing Conservative leaders - began running radio ads supporting Mullin in the GOP primary. CAF Chairman Shaun McCutcheon said, "Markwayne has the conservative values and private sector experience that Washington needs."[29]

On May 24, 2012, Mullin released an ad titled, "In His Own Words."
On May 7, the Mullin campaign released a 30-second ad titled, "Businessman, Family Man, Rancher"

Campaign finance

Markwayne Mullin Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period		ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[30]April 15, 2012$452,839.30$114,598.72$(134,713.70)$432,724.32
July Quarterly[31]July 15, 2012$181,453.13$88,923.00$(118,318.99)$152,057.14
October Quarterly[32]October 15, 2012$140,005.94$322,428.24$(239,957.00)$222,477.18
Running totals
$525,949.96$(492,989.69)
Rob Wallace Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period		ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[33]April 15, 2012$89,993.86$183,694.78$(49,572.85)$224,115.79
July Quarterly[34]July 15, 2012$83,279.23$127,390.71$(159,634.78)$51,035.16
October Quarterly[35]October 15, 2012$129,367.27$367,025.54$(258,683.30)$237,709.51
Running totals
$678,111.03$(467,890.93)

District history

Candidate ballot access
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Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington, D.C.

2010

On November 2, 2010, Boren won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Charles Thompson in the general election.[36]

U.S. House of Representatives, Oklahoma Congressional District Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDan Boren Incumbent 56.5% 108,203
     Republican Charles Thompson 43.5% 83,226
Total Votes 191,429

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. ↑ Oklahoma State Election Board, "Oklahoma Elections 2012," accessed July 26, 2012
  3. ↑ Huffington Post Dan Boren retiring: Oklahoma Congressman won't seek another term December 8, 2011
  4. ↑ Oklahoma Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed August 9, 2012
  5. ↑ Oklahoma Secretary of State Elections Board "Release: Runoff primary election" accessed June 26, 2012
  6. ↑ 6.0 6.1 ANELN&SECTION=POLITICS AP Results "U.S. House runoff primary results" accessed August 28, 2012
  7. ↑ 7.0 7.1 Oklahoma Secretary of State "Primary Candidate List"
  8. ↑ Muskogee Phoenix "Herriman to run for Congress" accessed January 24, 2012
  9. ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 Oklahoma Elections Division "Election Results" accessed June 26, 2012
  10. ↑ Politico Dem prosecutor announces for Boren seat December 8, 2011
  11. ↑ Oklahoma Secretary of State Elections "Runoff Candidate List" accessed August 21, 2012
  12. ↑ Newsok.com Republican state lawmaker George Faught to run for Boren's 2nd District seat December 8, 2011
  13. ↑ Newson6.com Markwayne Mullin announces candidacy for 2nd congressional seat December 8, 2011
  14. ↑ McAlester News-Capital Wayne Pettigrew jumps into congressional race December 8, 2011
  15. ↑ McAlester News-Capital Candidates continue race for U.S. Congress December 8, 2011
  16. ↑ muskogeephoenix.com Pastor to run for Congress December 8, 2011
  17. ↑ Tulsa World Two more in the GOP field mulling bid for Congress December 8, 2011
  18. ↑ Oklahoma Secretary of State Elections "Runoff Candidate List" accessed August 21, 2012
  19. ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Oklahoma's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  20. ↑ Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  21. ↑ Oklahoma State Election Board, "Voter Registration Reports, 2012," July 13, 2012
  22. ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Oklahoma," September 2012
  23. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  24. ↑ NRCC "Young Guns 2012"
  25. ↑ Cook Political Report, "2012 Competitive House Race Chart" accessed October 24, 2012 (dead link)
  26. ↑ Sabato Crystal Ball accessed October 24, 2012
  27. ↑ Oklahoma Secretary of State, "Primary Runoff Election Results," September 4, 2012
  28. ↑ Oklahoma Secretary of State, "Primary Runoff Election Results," September 4, 2012
  29. ↑ conservativeactionfund.com Press release Accessed June 21, 2012
  30. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Markwayne Mullin April Quarterly Report, "accessed October 24, 2012
  31. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Markwayne Mullin July Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2012
  32. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Markwayne Mullin October Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2012
  33. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Rob Wallace April Quarterly Report, "accessed October 24, 2012
  34. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Rob Wallace July Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2012
  35. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Rob Wallace October Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2012
  36. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
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Oklahoma's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
James Lankford (R)
Markwayne Mullin (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Tom Cole (R)
District 5
Republican Party (7)

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