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Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 10, 2020
Primary: June 30, 2020
Primary runoff: August 25, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Frank Lucas (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Oklahoma
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th
Oklahoma elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Oklahoma, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Frank Lucas won election in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
April 10, 2020
June 30, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Frank Lucas, who was first elected in 1994.

Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District is located in the western and a northwestern portion of the state and includes the panhandle of Oklahoma. Alfalfa, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Cimarron, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Garfield, Grant, Greer, Harmon, Harper, Jackson, Kay, Kingfisher, Kiowa, Lincoln, Logan, Major, Noble, Osage, Pawnee, Payne, Roger Mills, Texas, Washita, Woods, and Woodward counties as well as parts of Canadian and Creek counties are located in the district. [1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 23.2 21.5
Republican candidate Republican Party 74.6 78.5
Difference 51.4 57

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Oklahoma modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Voters casting absentee ballots could submit copies of their identification in lieu of fulfilling the notarization requirement in the event of a state of emergency occurring within 45 days of an election. Individuals experiencing symptoms indicative of COVID-19, and individuals classified as vulnerable to infection, could cast an absentee ballot under the 'physical incapacitation' eligibility criterion.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3

Incumbent Frank Lucas defeated Zoe Ann Midyett in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Frank Lucas
Frank Lucas (R)
 
78.5
 
242,677
Image of Zoe Ann Midyett
Zoe Ann Midyett (D) Candidate Connection
 
21.5
 
66,501

Total votes: 309,178
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Zoe Ann Midyett advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Frank Lucas advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Oklahoma. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Oklahoma with 65.3 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 28.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1904 and 2016, Oklahoma voted for the winning presidential candidate 72.4 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Oklahoma supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 65.5 to 34.5 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Oklahoma. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 8 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 11 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 27.7 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 93 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 37.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 90 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 42.2 points. Trump won 18 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+27, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District the ninth most Republican nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[5]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Frank Lucas Republican Party $881,729 $1,045,126 $282,179 As of December 31, 2020
Zoe Ann Midyett Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]

Race ratings: Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District election history

2018

See also: Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3

Incumbent Frank Lucas defeated Frankie Robbins in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Frank Lucas
Frank Lucas (R)
 
73.9
 
172,913
Image of Frankie Robbins
Frankie Robbins (D) Candidate Connection
 
26.1
 
61,152

Total votes: 234,065
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3

Frankie Robbins defeated Murray Thibodeaux in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Frankie Robbins
Frankie Robbins Candidate Connection
 
64.8
 
38,767
Image of Murray Thibodeaux
Murray Thibodeaux
 
35.2
 
21,024

Total votes: 59,791
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3

Incumbent Frank Lucas advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Frank Lucas
Frank Lucas

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Frank Lucas (R) defeated Frankie Robbins, the only Democrat to file, in the general election. Lucas defeated Desiree Brown in the Republican primary on June 28, 2016.[12][13][14]

U.S. House, Oklahoma District 3 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrank Lucas Incumbent 78.3% 227,525
     Democratic Frankie Robbins 21.7% 63,090
Total Votes 290,615
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board


U.S. House, Oklahoma, District 3 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngFrank Lucas Incumbent 77.9% 42,027
Desiree Brown 22.1% 11,891
Total Votes 53,918
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board

2014

See also: Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 3rd Congressional District of Oklahoma held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Frank Lucas (R) defeated Frankie Robbins (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Oklahoma District 3 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrank D. Lucas Incumbent 78.6% 133,335
     Democratic Frankie Robbins 21.4% 36,270
Total Votes 169,605
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Tom Cole (R)
District 5
Republican Party (7)