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Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 9
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Oct. 29
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 10, 2020 |
Primary: June 30, 2020 Primary runoff: August 25, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Frank Lucas (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Oklahoma |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Oklahoma elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Oklahoma, held elections in 2020.
Incumbent Frank Lucas won election in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3.
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
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Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Frank Lucas, who was first elected in 1994.
Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District is located in the western and a northwestern portion of the state and includes the panhandle of Oklahoma. Alfalfa, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Cimarron, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Garfield, Grant, Greer, Harmon, Harper, Jackson, Kay, Kingfisher, Kiowa, Lincoln, Logan, Major, Noble, Osage, Pawnee, Payne, Roger Mills, Texas, Washita, Woods, and Woodward counties as well as parts of Canadian and Creek counties are located in the district. [1]
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Oklahoma modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Voters casting absentee ballots could submit copies of their identification in lieu of fulfilling the notarization requirement in the event of a state of emergency occurring within 45 days of an election. Individuals experiencing symptoms indicative of COVID-19, and individuals classified as vulnerable to infection, could cast an absentee ballot under the 'physical incapacitation' eligibility criterion.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Incumbent Frank Lucas defeated Zoe Ann Midyett in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Frank Lucas (R) | 78.5 | 242,677 |
![]() | Zoe Ann Midyett (D) ![]() | 21.5 | 66,501 |
Total votes: 309,178 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Stephen Wright (Independent)
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Zoe Ann Midyett advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3.
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Frank Lucas advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joshua Jantz (R)
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Oklahoma. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Oklahoma with 65.3 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 28.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1904 and 2016, Oklahoma voted for the winning presidential candidate 72.4 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Oklahoma supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 65.5 to 34.5 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Oklahoma. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 8 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 11 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 27.7 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 93 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 37.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 90 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 42.2 points. Trump won 18 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 24.32% | 75.68% | R+51.4 | 16.67% | 80.81% | R+64.1 | D |
2 | 29.47% | 70.53% | R+41.1 | 20.82% | 76.06% | R+55.2 | R |
3 | 29.56% | 70.44% | R+40.9 | 19.56% | 76.82% | R+57.3 | R |
4 | 43.62% | 56.38% | R+12.8 | 34.58% | 58.79% | R+24.2 | D |
5 | 31.75% | 68.25% | R+36.5 | 22.03% | 74.09% | R+52.1 | R |
6 | 28.92% | 71.08% | R+42.2 | 19.41% | 76.14% | R+56.7 | D |
7 | 34.12% | 65.88% | R+31.8 | 23.64% | 72.17% | R+48.5 | D |
8 | 29.55% | 70.45% | R+40.9 | 19.53% | 75.61% | R+56.1 | R |
9 | 26.43% | 73.57% | R+47.1 | 20.72% | 73.96% | R+53.2 | R |
10 | 27.27% | 72.73% | R+45.5 | 19.29% | 75.83% | R+56.5 | R |
11 | 26.06% | 73.94% | R+47.9 | 23.18% | 70.49% | R+47.3 | R |
12 | 30.64% | 69.36% | R+38.7 | 21.78% | 73.34% | R+51.6 | R |
13 | 46.26% | 53.74% | R+7.5 | 36.08% | 59.48% | R+23.4 | R |
14 | 38.47% | 61.53% | R+23.1 | 29.50% | 65.07% | R+35.6 | R |
15 | 31.90% | 68.10% | R+36.2 | 20.23% | 75.99% | R+55.8 | D |
16 | 39.02% | 60.98% | R+22 | 29.97% | 65.84% | R+35.9 | R |
17 | 31.39% | 68.61% | R+37.2 | 21.06% | 74.60% | R+53.5 | D |
18 | 31.64% | 68.36% | R+36.7 | 21.84% | 73.83% | R+52 | D |
19 | 27.18% | 72.82% | R+45.6 | 17.56% | 79.47% | R+61.9 | R |
20 | 25.66% | 74.34% | R+48.7 | 19.48% | 75.42% | R+55.9 | R |
21 | 27.83% | 72.17% | R+44.3 | 20.76% | 75.19% | R+54.4 | R |
22 | 29.42% | 70.58% | R+41.2 | 19.19% | 76.84% | R+57.7 | R |
23 | 37.17% | 62.83% | R+25.7 | 34.74% | 59.77% | R+25 | R |
24 | 34.55% | 65.45% | R+30.9 | 24.22% | 71.24% | R+47 | D |
25 | 30.62% | 69.38% | R+38.8 | 24.52% | 70.33% | R+45.8 | R |
26 | 33.33% | 66.67% | R+33.3 | 27.68% | 65.11% | R+37.4 | R |
27 | 27.54% | 72.46% | R+44.9 | 19.98% | 74.47% | R+54.5 | R |
28 | 31.29% | 68.71% | R+37.4 | 23.00% | 72.55% | R+49.6 | R |
29 | 27.44% | 72.56% | R+45.1 | 19.03% | 76.45% | R+57.4 | R |
30 | 27.26% | 72.74% | R+45.5 | 22.28% | 72.41% | R+50.1 | R |
31 | 24.22% | 75.78% | R+51.6 | 21.13% | 72.89% | R+51.8 | R |
32 | 28.96% | 71.04% | R+42.1 | 19.60% | 75.11% | R+55.5 | R |
33 | 30.42% | 69.58% | R+39.2 | 24.69% | 68.50% | R+43.8 | R |
34 | 43.63% | 56.37% | R+12.7 | 41.69% | 47.73% | R+6 | D |
35 | 27.29% | 72.71% | R+45.4 | 19.27% | 75.77% | R+56.5 | R |
36 | 27.27% | 72.73% | R+45.5 | 20.70% | 74.80% | R+54.1 | R |
37 | 30.60% | 69.40% | R+38.8 | 24.59% | 70.14% | R+45.6 | R |
38 | 22.95% | 77.05% | R+54.1 | 15.96% | 79.29% | R+63.3 | R |
39 | 27.52% | 72.48% | R+45 | 30.36% | 61.83% | R+31.5 | R |
40 | 27.22% | 72.78% | R+45.6 | 23.93% | 69.43% | R+45.5 | R |
41 | 20.25% | 79.75% | R+59.5 | 19.65% | 74.25% | R+54.6 | R |
42 | 24.59% | 75.41% | R+50.8 | 16.63% | 79.04% | R+62.4 | R |
43 | 23.51% | 76.49% | R+53 | 22.34% | 70.39% | R+48.1 | R |
44 | 60.12% | 39.88% | D+20.2 | 58.74% | 32.02% | D+26.7 | D |
45 | 46.57% | 53.43% | R+6.9 | 45.28% | 45.98% | R+0.7 | D |
46 | 40.27% | 59.73% | R+19.5 | 41.33% | 51.65% | R+10.3 | D |
47 | 20.44% | 79.56% | R+59.1 | 18.77% | 75.26% | R+56.5 | R |
48 | 31.02% | 68.98% | R+38 | 24.52% | 71.34% | R+46.8 | R |
49 | 25.99% | 74.01% | R+48 | 17.67% | 78.58% | R+60.9 | R |
50 | 24.87% | 75.13% | R+50.3 | 18.06% | 78.21% | R+60.2 | R |
51 | 21.55% | 78.45% | R+56.9 | 15.47% | 80.44% | R+65 | R |
52 | 26.37% | 73.63% | R+47.3 | 19.34% | 76.19% | R+56.9 | R |
53 | 30.19% | 69.81% | R+39.6 | 28.09% | 64.20% | R+36.1 | R |
54 | 30.53% | 69.47% | R+38.9 | 27.73% | 64.36% | R+36.6 | R |
55 | 20.90% | 79.10% | R+58.2 | 13.10% | 82.88% | R+69.8 | R |
56 | 35.15% | 64.85% | R+29.7 | 26.25% | 68.53% | R+42.3 | D |
57 | 23.41% | 76.59% | R+53.2 | 18.74% | 75.79% | R+57.1 | R |
58 | 17.05% | 82.95% | R+65.9 | 11.66% | 83.28% | R+71.6 | R |
59 | 16.90% | 83.10% | R+66.2 | 13.11% | 83.23% | R+70.1 | R |
60 | 27.03% | 72.97% | R+45.9 | 21.85% | 72.52% | R+50.7 | R |
61 | 13.07% | 86.93% | R+73.9 | 11.23% | 84.53% | R+73.3 | R |
62 | 48.97% | 51.03% | R+2.1 | 44.21% | 50.19% | R+6 | R |
63 | 35.33% | 64.67% | R+29.3 | 27.60% | 67.41% | R+39.8 | R |
64 | 44.83% | 55.17% | R+10.3 | 39.78% | 53.14% | R+13.4 | R |
65 | 27.73% | 72.27% | R+44.5 | 19.27% | 75.91% | R+56.6 | R |
66 | 36.00% | 64.00% | R+28 | 31.50% | 62.79% | R+31.3 | R |
67 | 24.45% | 75.55% | R+51.1 | 27.75% | 66.45% | R+38.7 | R |
68 | 31.36% | 68.64% | R+37.3 | 28.26% | 65.55% | R+37.3 | R |
69 | 24.16% | 75.84% | R+51.7 | 25.05% | 69.12% | R+44.1 | R |
70 | 38.78% | 61.22% | R+22.4 | 41.95% | 51.10% | R+9.2 | R |
71 | 46.54% | 53.46% | R+6.9 | 49.59% | 43.09% | D+6.5 | R |
72 | 64.07% | 35.93% | D+28.1 | 57.75% | 36.56% | D+21.2 | D |
73 | 89.78% | 10.22% | D+79.6 | 85.51% | 10.95% | D+74.6 | D |
74 | 23.76% | 76.24% | R+52.5 | 21.80% | 72.58% | R+50.8 | R |
75 | 36.45% | 63.55% | R+27.1 | 36.07% | 58.00% | R+21.9 | D |
76 | 29.23% | 70.77% | R+41.5 | 29.60% | 64.51% | R+34.9 | R |
77 | 46.33% | 53.67% | R+7.3 | 42.71% | 50.64% | R+7.9 | D |
78 | 46.33% | 53.67% | R+7.3 | 47.44% | 45.53% | D+1.9 | D |
79 | 36.43% | 63.57% | R+27.1 | 38.62% | 54.86% | R+16.2 | R |
80 | 22.50% | 77.50% | R+55 | 22.26% | 72.43% | R+50.2 | R |
81 | 30.71% | 69.29% | R+38.6 | 32.57% | 58.39% | R+25.8 | R |
82 | 28.67% | 71.33% | R+42.7 | 32.14% | 60.98% | R+28.8 | R |
83 | 37.63% | 62.37% | R+24.7 | 41.87% | 50.91% | R+9 | R |
84 | 34.99% | 65.01% | R+30 | 34.26% | 57.94% | R+23.7 | R |
85 | 38.90% | 61.10% | R+22.2 | 43.24% | 49.36% | R+6.1 | D |
86 | 33.30% | 66.70% | R+33.4 | 22.16% | 72.65% | R+50.5 | D |
87 | 44.55% | 55.45% | R+10.9 | 45.90% | 45.36% | D+0.5 | D |
88 | 62.10% | 37.90% | D+24.2 | 62.41% | 28.23% | D+34.2 | D |
89 | 59.05% | 40.95% | D+18.1 | 57.41% | 36.36% | D+21.1 | D |
90 | 39.90% | 60.10% | R+20.2 | 35.95% | 56.77% | R+20.8 | R |
91 | 26.81% | 73.19% | R+46.4 | 27.93% | 66.24% | R+38.3 | R |
92 | 58.72% | 41.28% | D+17.4 | 54.66% | 38.25% | D+16.4 | D |
93 | 42.09% | 57.91% | R+15.8 | 43.18% | 50.17% | R+7 | D |
94 | 47.76% | 52.24% | R+4.5 | 43.29% | 49.41% | R+6.1 | D |
95 | 41.84% | 58.16% | R+16.3 | 37.94% | 54.62% | R+16.7 | R |
96 | 24.15% | 75.85% | R+51.7 | 21.91% | 72.25% | R+50.3 | R |
97 | 74.13% | 25.87% | D+48.3 | 69.20% | 26.39% | D+42.8 | D |
98 | 25.49% | 74.51% | R+49 | 23.71% | 70.43% | R+46.7 | R |
99 | 81.48% | 18.52% | D+63 | 76.46% | 17.59% | D+58.9 | D |
100 | 36.62% | 63.38% | R+26.8 | 38.23% | 54.28% | R+16.1 | R |
101 | 32.40% | 67.60% | R+35.2 | 27.61% | 66.12% | R+38.5 | R |
Total | 33.23% | 66.77% | R+33.5 | 28.93% | 65.32% | R+36.4 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+27, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District the ninth most Republican nationally.[4]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[5]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frank Lucas | Republican Party | $881,729 | $1,045,126 | $282,179 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Zoe Ann Midyett | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]
Race ratings: Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Incumbent Frank Lucas defeated Frankie Robbins in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Frank Lucas (R) | 73.9 | 172,913 |
![]() | Frankie Robbins (D) ![]() | 26.1 | 61,152 |
Total votes: 234,065 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Frankie Robbins defeated Murray Thibodeaux in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Frankie Robbins ![]() | 64.8 | 38,767 |
![]() | Murray Thibodeaux | 35.2 | 21,024 |
Total votes: 59,791 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Incumbent Frank Lucas advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | Frank Lucas |
![]() | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Frank Lucas (R) defeated Frankie Robbins, the only Democrat to file, in the general election. Lucas defeated Desiree Brown in the Republican primary on June 28, 2016.[12][13][14]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
78.3% | 227,525 | |
Democratic | Frankie Robbins | 21.7% | 63,090 | |
Total Votes | 290,615 | |||
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
77.9% | 42,027 | ||
Desiree Brown | 22.1% | 11,891 | ||
Total Votes | 53,918 | |||
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board |
2014
The 3rd Congressional District of Oklahoma held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Frank Lucas (R) defeated Frankie Robbins (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
78.6% | 133,335 | |
Democratic | Frankie Robbins | 21.4% | 36,270 | |
Total Votes | 169,605 | |||
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Oklahoma Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 9, 2012
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Oklahoma State Election Board, "CANDIDATES FOR STATE ELECTIVE OFFICE 2016," accessed April 16, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Oklahoma House Races Results," June 28, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016