Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
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| Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 15, 2022 |
| Primary: June 28, 2022 Primary runoff: August 23, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Oklahoma |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Oklahoma elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Oklahoma, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 28, 2022, and a primary runoff was scheduled for August 23, 2022. The filing deadline was April 15, 2022.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary)
- Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Incumbent Frank Lucas defeated Jeremiah Ross in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Frank Lucas (R) | 74.5 | 147,418 |
 | Jeremiah Ross (D) | 25.5 | 50,354 | |
| Total votes: 197,772 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Jeremiah Ross advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Incumbent Frank Lucas defeated Wade Burleson and Stephen Butler in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Frank Lucas | 61.1 | 44,442 |
 | Wade Burleson | 30.6 | 22,258 | |
| Stephen Butler | 8.2 | 5,997 | ||
| Total votes: 72,697 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Sean Roberts (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Oklahoma
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Lucas | Republican Party | $1,524,419 | $1,626,903 | $179,696 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Jeremiah Ross | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Wade Burleson | Republican Party | $254,478 | $246,096 | $8,382 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Stephen Butler | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
| Race ratings: Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Oklahoma in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Oklahoma, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Oklahoma | U.S. House | All candidates | 2% of the number of registered voters in the appropriate district[5] | $1,000.00 | 4/15/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Oklahoma District 3
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Oklahoma District 3
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[6] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[7]
| 2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Oklahoma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump 
|
Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| |
| Oklahoma's 1st | 38.0% | 59.4% | 37.3% | 60.1% |
| Oklahoma's 2nd | 22.4% | 75.8% | 22.1% | 76.1% |
| Oklahoma's 3rd | 26.5% | 71.2% | 23.1% | 74.6% |
| Oklahoma's 4th | 33.0% | 64.6% | 32.0% | 65.6% |
| Oklahoma's 5th | 40.3% | 57.1% | 46.0% | 51.3% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Oklahoma.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Oklahoma in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 8, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Twenty-eight candidates filed to run for Oklahoma’s five U.S. House districts, including five Democrats and 23 Republicans. That’s 5.6 candidates per district, more than the 5.4 candidates per district in 2020 and less than the 7.2 in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Oklahoma was apportioned five districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census.
The 2nd district was the only open seat this year. That’s one more seat than in 2020 and the same as in 2018. Rep. Markwayne Mullin (R), who represented the 2nd district, ran for the U.S. Senate. Fifteen candidates — one Democrat and 14 Republicans — ran to replace Mullin, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year.
There were four contested Republican primaries, and no contested Democratic primaries. The four contested primaries this year were the fewest since at least 2014, and it was the first time since at least then when there were no contested Democratic primaries.
Rep. Kevin Hern (R), who represented the 1st district, was the only incumbent who didn't face a primary challenger this year. Republican and Democratic candidates filed to run in all five districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party this year.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+24. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 24 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 3rd the 13th most Republican district nationally.[8]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Oklahoma's 3rd based on 2022 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| |||
| 26.5% | 71.2% | |||
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Oklahoma, 2020
Oklahoma presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 10 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | N/A | N/A | D | D | D | R | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Oklahoma and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Oklahoma | ||
|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma | United States | |
| Population | 3,751,351 | 308,745,538 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 68,596 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 72.3% | 72.5% |
| Black/African American | 7.3% | 12.7% |
| Asian | 2.2% | 5.5% |
| Native American | 7.6% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 2.7% | 4.9% |
| Multiple | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 10.6% | 18% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 88% | 88% |
| College graduation rate | 25.5% | 32.1% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $52,919 | $62,843 |
| Persons below poverty level | 15.7% | 13.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Oklahoma's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Oklahoma, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 5 | 7 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Oklahoma's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Oklahoma, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Kevin Stitt
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Matt Pinnell
|
| Secretary of State | Brian Bingman
|
| Attorney General | John O'Connor
|
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Oklahoma State Legislature as of November 2022.
Oklahoma State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 9 | |
| Republican Party | 39 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 48 | |
Oklahoma House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 18 | |
| Republican Party | 82 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | |
| Total | 101 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Oklahoma was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Oklahoma Party Control: 1992-2022
Five years of Democratic trifectas • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
2020
See also: Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 30 Democratic primary)
Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 30 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Incumbent Frank Lucas defeated Zoe Ann Midyett in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Frank Lucas (R) | 78.5 | 242,677 |
 | Zoe Ann Midyett (D) | 21.5 | 66,501 | |
| Total votes: 309,178 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Stephen Wright (Independent)
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Zoe Ann Midyett advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3.
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Frank Lucas advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joshua Jantz (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Incumbent Frank Lucas defeated Frankie Robbins in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Frank Lucas (R) | 73.9 | 172,913 |
 | Frankie Robbins (D) | 26.1 | 61,152 | |
| Total votes: 234,065 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Frankie Robbins defeated Murray Thibodeaux in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Frankie Robbins | 64.8 | 38,767 |
 | Murray Thibodeaux | 35.2 | 21,024 | |
| Total votes: 59,791 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Incumbent Frank Lucas advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Frank Lucas |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Frank Lucas (R) defeated Frankie Robbins, the only Democrat to file, in the general election. Lucas defeated Desiree Brown in the Republican primary on June 28, 2016.[9][10][11]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |  Frank Lucas Incumbent |
78.3% | 227,525 | |
| Democratic | Frankie Robbins | 21.7% | 63,090 | |
| Total Votes | 290,615 | |||
| Source: Oklahoma State Election Board | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Frank Lucas Incumbent |
77.9% | 42,027 | ||
| Desiree Brown | 22.1% | 11,891 | ||
| Total Votes | 53,918 | |||
| Source: Oklahoma State Election Board |
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2014
The 3rd Congressional District of Oklahoma held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Frank Lucas (R) defeated Frankie Robbins (D) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Frank D. Lucas Incumbent |
78.6% | 133,335 | |
| Democratic | Frankie Robbins | 21.4% | 36,270 | |
| Total Votes | 169,605 | |||
| Source: Oklahoma State Election Board | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Frank Lucas Incumbent |
82.8% | 54,816 | ||
| Robert Hubbard | 12% | 7,917 | ||
| Timothy Murray | 5.2% | 3,442 | ||
| Total Votes | 66,175 | |||
| Source: Results via Associated Press |
||||
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Oklahoma State Election Board, "CANDIDATES FOR STATE ELECTIVE OFFICE 2016," accessed April 16, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Oklahoma House Races Results," June 28, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
