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Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary)

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2020
2016
Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 13, 2018
Primary: June 26, 2018
Primary runoff: August 28, 2018 (if needed)
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Tom Cole (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Oklahoma
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+20
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th
Oklahoma elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

A Democratic Party primary election took place on June 26, 2018, in Oklahoma's 4th District to determine which Democrat would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.

This page focuses on the Democratic primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.

See also: United States House elections in Oklahoma (June 26, 2018 Democratic primaries) and United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2018



Candidates and election results

Mary Brannon and Fred Gipson advanced to a runoff. They defeated Mallory Varner and Roxann Klutts in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 4 on June 26, 2018.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 4

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mary Brannon
Mary Brannon
 
34.4
 
25,757
Image of Fred Gipson
Fred Gipson
 
30.4
 
22,756
Mallory Varner
 
18.6
 
13,953
Roxann Klutts
 
16.7
 
12,493

Total votes: 74,959
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+20, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 20 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District the 37th most Republican nationally.[1]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.98. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.98 points toward that party.[2]

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Oklahoma heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Republicans controlled both chambers of the Oklahoma State Legislature. They had a 72-27 majority in the state House and a 38-8 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • Oklahoma was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.

2018 elections

See also: Oklahoma elections, 2018

Oklahoma held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Oklahoma
 OklahomaU.S.
Total population:3,907,414316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):68,5953,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:73.1%73.6%
Black/African American:7.2%12.6%
Asian:1.9%5.1%
Native American:7.3%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
Two or more:7.8%3%
Hispanic/Latino:9.6%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:86.9%86.7%
College graduation rate:24.1%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$46,879$53,889
Persons below poverty level:19.7%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Oklahoma.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Oklahoma's three largest cities were Oklahoma City (pop. est. 643,648), Tulsa (pop. est. 401,800), and Norman (pop. est. 122,843).[3][4]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Oklahoma from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Oklahoma State Election Board.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Oklahoma every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Oklahoma 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 65.3% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 28.9% 36.4%
2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 66.8% Democratic Party Barack Obama 33.2% 33.6%
2008 Republican Party John McCain 65.6% Democratic Party Barack Obama 34.3% 31.3%
2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 65.6% Democratic Party John Kerry 34.4% 31.2%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 60.3% Democratic Party Al Gore 38.4% 21.9%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Oklahoma from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Oklahoma 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party James Lankford 67.7% Democratic Party Mike Workman 24.6% 43.1%
2014 Republican Party Jim Inhofe 68.0% Democratic Party Matt Silverstein 28.5% 39.5%
2010 Republican Party Tom Coburn 70.6% Democratic Party Jim Rogers 26.1% 44.5%
2008 Republican Party Jim Inhofe 56.7% Democratic Party Andrew Rice 39.2% 17.5%
2004 Republican Party Tom Coburn 52.8% Democratic Party Brad Carson 41.2% 11.6%
2002 Republican Party Jim Inhofe 57.3% Democratic Party David Walters 36.3% 21.0%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Oklahoma.

Election results (Governor), Oklahoma 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Mary Fallin 55.8% Democratic Party Joe Dorman 41.0% 14.8%
2010 Republican Party Mary Fallin 60.4% Democratic Party Jari Askins 39.6% 20.8%
2006 Democratic Party Brad Henry 66.5% Republican Party Ernest Istook 33.5% 33.0%
2002 Democratic Party Brad Henry 44.3% Republican Party Steve Largent 42.6% 1.7%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Oklahoma in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Oklahoma 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 5 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+5
2014 Republican Party 5 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+5
2012 Republican Party 5 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+5
2010 Republican Party 4 80% Democratic Party 1 20% R+1
2008 Republican Party 4 80% Democratic Party 1 20% R+1
2006 Republican Party 4 80% Democratic Party 1 20% R+1
2004 Republican Party 4 80% Democratic Party 1 20% R+1
2002 Republican Party 4 80% Democratic Party 1 20% R+1
2000 Republican Party 5 83.3% Democratic Party 1 16.7% R+1

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Oklahoma Party Control: 1992-2024
Five years of Democratic trifectas  •  Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


See also

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Tom Cole (R)
District 5
Republican Party (7)