Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 12
- Early voting: Nov. 1 - Nov. 3
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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| Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 13, 2018 |
| Primary: June 26, 2018 Primary runoff: August 28, 2018 (if needed) General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Tom Cole (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Oklahoma |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Oklahoma elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Democratic Party primary election took place on June 26, 2018, in Oklahoma's 4th District to determine which Democrat would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Democratic primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
Candidates and election results
Mary Brannon and Fred Gipson advanced to a runoff. They defeated Mallory Varner and Roxann Klutts in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 4 on June 26, 2018.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 4
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Mary Brannon | 34.4 | 25,757 |
| ✔ |  | Fred Gipson | 30.4 | 22,756 |
| Mallory Varner | 18.6 | 13,953 | ||
| Roxann Klutts | 16.7 | 12,493 | ||
| Total votes: 74,959 | |||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John McKenna (D)
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+20, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 20 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District the 37th most Republican nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.98. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.98 points toward that party.[2]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Oklahoma heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Oklahoma.
- Republicans held four of five U.S. House seats in Oklahoma, the remaining seat was vacated in April 2018 by Republican Jim Bridenstine.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held 11 of 12 state executive positions. The remaining position was officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Oklahoma was Republican Mary Fallin. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Oklahoma State Legislature. They had a 72-27 majority in the state House and a 38-8 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Oklahoma was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.
2018 elections
- See also: Oklahoma elections, 2018
Oklahoma held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- Four U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Seven lower state executive positions
- 18 of 35 state Senate seats
- 100 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Oklahoma
Demographics
| Demographic data for Oklahoma | ||
|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 3,907,414 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 68,595 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 73.1% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 7.2% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 1.9% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 7.8% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 9.6% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 86.9% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 24.1% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $46,879 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 19.7% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Oklahoma. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, Oklahoma's three largest cities were Oklahoma City (pop. est. 643,648), Tulsa (pop. est. 401,800), and Norman (pop. est. 122,843).[3][4]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Oklahoma from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Oklahoma State Election Board.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Oklahoma every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Oklahoma 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 |  Donald Trump |
65.3% |  Hillary Clinton |
28.9% | 36.4% |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney |
66.8% | Barack Obama |
33.2% | 33.6% |
| 2008 | John McCain |
65.6% | Barack Obama |
34.3% | 31.3% |
| 2004 | George W. Bush |
65.6% | John Kerry |
34.4% | 31.2% |
| 2000 | George W. Bush |
60.3% | Al Gore |
38.4% | 21.9% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Oklahoma from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Oklahoma 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | James Lankford |
67.7% | Mike Workman |
24.6% | 43.1% |
| 2014 | Jim Inhofe |
68.0% | Matt Silverstein |
28.5% | 39.5% |
| 2010 | Tom Coburn |
70.6% | Jim Rogers |
26.1% | 44.5% |
| 2008 | Jim Inhofe |
56.7% | Andrew Rice |
39.2% | 17.5% |
| 2004 | Tom Coburn |
52.8% | Brad Carson |
41.2% | 11.6% |
| 2002 | Jim Inhofe |
57.3% | David Walters |
36.3% | 21.0% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Oklahoma.
| Election results (Governor), Oklahoma 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | Mary Fallin |
55.8% | Joe Dorman |
41.0% | 14.8% |
| 2010 | Mary Fallin |
60.4% | Jari Askins |
39.6% | 20.8% |
| 2006 | Brad Henry |
66.5% | Ernest Istook |
33.5% | 33.0% |
| 2002 | Brad Henry |
44.3% | Steve Largent |
42.6% | 1.7% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Oklahoma in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Oklahoma 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 5 |
100% | 0 |
0% | R+5 |
| 2014 | 5 |
100% | 0 |
0% | R+5 |
| 2012 | 5 |
100% | 0 |
0% | R+5 |
| 2010 | 4 |
80% | 1 |
20% | R+1 |
| 2008 | 4 |
80% | 1 |
20% | R+1 |
| 2006 | 4 |
80% | 1 |
20% | R+1 |
| 2004 | 4 |
80% | 1 |
20% | R+1 |
| 2002 | 4 |
80% | 1 |
20% | R+1 |
| 2000 | 5 |
83.3% | 1 |
16.7% | R+1 |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Oklahoma Party Control: 1992-2024
Five years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma, 2018
- United States House elections in Oklahoma (June 26, 2018 Democratic primaries)
- Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Oklahoma Demographics, "Oklahoma Cities by Population," accessed August 30, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Oklahoma," accessed August 30, 2018
