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Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2018

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General election

General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kendra Horn
Kendra Horn (D)
 
50.7
 
121,149
Image of Steve Russell
Steve Russell (R)
 
49.3
 
117,811

Total votes: 238,960
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2020
2016
Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 13, 2018
Primary: June 26, 2018
Primary runoff: August 28, 2018 (if needed)
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Steve Russell (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Oklahoma
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+10
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th
Oklahoma elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Oklahoma, held elections in 2018. A Democratic primary runoff election was held on August 28, 2018. The general election took place on November 6, 2018.

Heading into the election the incumbent was Steve Russell (R), who was first elected in 2014.

Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District is located in the central portion of the state and includes Pottawatomie and Seminole counties and an area of Oklahoma County.[1]




Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Kendra Horn defeated incumbent Steve Russell in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kendra Horn
Kendra Horn (D)
 
50.7
 
121,149
Image of Steve Russell
Steve Russell (R)
 
49.3
 
117,811

Total votes: 238,960
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Kendra Horn defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kendra Horn
Kendra Horn
 
75.8
 
22,067
Image of Tom Guild
Tom Guild
 
24.2
 
7,043

Total votes: 29,110
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kendra Horn
Kendra Horn
 
44.2
 
34,892
Image of Tom Guild
Tom Guild
 
18.0
 
14,251
Image of Elysabeth Britt
Elysabeth Britt
 
13.6
 
10,752
Image of Eddie Porter
Eddie Porter
 
9.9
 
7,844
Image of Leona Kelley-Leonard
Leona Kelley-Leonard
 
8.5
 
6,697
Tyson Todd Meade
 
5.7
 
4,530

Total votes: 78,966
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5

Incumbent Steve Russell defeated Gregory Dunson and DeJuan Edwards in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve Russell
Steve Russell
 
83.6
 
66,030
Gregory Dunson
 
9.7
 
7,642
DeJuan Edwards
 
6.7
 
5,290

Total votes: 78,962
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+10, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District the 135th most Republican nationally.[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.90. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.90 points toward that party.[3]

Campaign contributions

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Steve Russell Republican Party $955,959 $891,903 $93,774 As of December 31, 2018
Kendra Horn Democratic Party $1,283,786 $1,184,294 $99,492 As of December 31, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


District history

2016

See also: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve Russell (R) defeated Al McAffrey (D) and Zachary Knight (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Russell defeated Frank Volpe in the Republican primary. McAffrey defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary runoff on August 23, 2016. Guild and McAffrey had previously defeated Leona Leonard in the Democratic primary. The primary elections took place on June 28, 2016.[4][5][6]

U.S. House, Oklahoma District 5 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Russell Incumbent 57.1% 160,184
     Democratic Al McAffrey 36.8% 103,273
     Libertarian Zachary Knight 6.1% 17,113
Total Votes 280,570
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board


U.S. House, Oklahoma, District 5 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Russell Incumbent 80.3% 27,436
Frank Volpe 19.7% 6,721
Total Votes 34,157
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board


U.S. House, Oklahoma, District 5 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAl McAffrey 36.8% 10,013
Green check mark transparent.pngTom Guild 36.8% 10,000
Leona Leonard 26.4% 7,190
Total Votes 27,203
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board


U.S. House, Oklahoma, District 5 Democratic Runoff Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAl McAffrey 50.1% 8,032
Tom Guild 49.9% 7,988
Total Votes 16,020
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board

2014

See also: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 5th Congressional District of Oklahoma held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Steve Russell (R) defeated Al McAffrey (D), Buddy Ray (I), Tom Boggs (I) and Robert Murphy (I) in the general election.

U.S. House, Oklahoma District 5 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Russell 60.1% 95,632
     Democratic Al McAffrey 36.3% 57,790
     Independent Buddy Ray 0.9% 1,470
     Independent Tom Boggs 1.3% 2,065
     Independent Robert Murphy 1.4% 2,176
Total Votes 159,133
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Oklahoma. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Oklahoma with 65.3 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 28.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1904 and 2016, Oklahoma voted for the winning presidential candidate 72.4 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Oklahoma supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 65.5 to 34.5 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Oklahoma. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[7][8]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 8 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 11 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 27.7 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 93 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 37.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 90 out of 101 state House districts in Oklahoma with an average margin of victory of 42.2 points. Trump won 18 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Oklahoma heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Republicans controlled both chambers of the Oklahoma State Legislature. They had a 72-27 majority in the state House and a 38-8 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • Oklahoma was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.

2018 elections

See also: Oklahoma elections, 2018

Oklahoma held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Oklahoma
 OklahomaU.S.
Total population:3,907,414316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):68,5953,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:73.1%73.6%
Black/African American:7.2%12.6%
Asian:1.9%5.1%
Native American:7.3%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
Two or more:7.8%3%
Hispanic/Latino:9.6%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:86.9%86.7%
College graduation rate:24.1%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$46,879$53,889
Persons below poverty level:19.7%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Oklahoma.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Oklahoma's three largest cities were Oklahoma City (pop. est. 643,648), Tulsa (pop. est. 401,800), and Norman (pop. est. 122,843).[9][10]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Oklahoma from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Oklahoma State Election Board.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Oklahoma every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Oklahoma 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 65.3% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 28.9% 36.4%
2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 66.8% Democratic Party Barack Obama 33.2% 33.6%
2008 Republican Party John McCain 65.6% Democratic Party Barack Obama 34.3% 31.3%
2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 65.6% Democratic Party John Kerry 34.4% 31.2%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 60.3% Democratic Party Al Gore 38.4% 21.9%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Oklahoma from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Oklahoma 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party James Lankford 67.7% Democratic Party Mike Workman 24.6% 43.1%
2014 Republican Party Jim Inhofe 68.0% Democratic Party Matt Silverstein 28.5% 39.5%
2010 Republican Party Tom Coburn 70.6% Democratic Party Jim Rogers 26.1% 44.5%
2008 Republican Party Jim Inhofe 56.7% Democratic Party Andrew Rice 39.2% 17.5%
2004 Republican Party Tom Coburn 52.8% Democratic Party Brad Carson 41.2% 11.6%
2002 Republican Party Jim Inhofe 57.3% Democratic Party David Walters 36.3% 21.0%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Oklahoma.

Election results (Governor), Oklahoma 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Mary Fallin 55.8% Democratic Party Joe Dorman 41.0% 14.8%
2010 Republican Party Mary Fallin 60.4% Democratic Party Jari Askins 39.6% 20.8%
2006 Democratic Party Brad Henry 66.5% Republican Party Ernest Istook 33.5% 33.0%
2002 Democratic Party Brad Henry 44.3% Republican Party Steve Largent 42.6% 1.7%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Oklahoma in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Oklahoma 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 5 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+5
2014 Republican Party 5 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+5
2012 Republican Party 5 100% Democratic Party 0 0% R+5
2010 Republican Party 4 80% Democratic Party 1 20% R+1
2008 Republican Party 4 80% Democratic Party 1 20% R+1
2006 Republican Party 4 80% Democratic Party 1 20% R+1
2004 Republican Party 4 80% Democratic Party 1 20% R+1
2002 Republican Party 4 80% Democratic Party 1 20% R+1
2000 Republican Party 5 83.3% Democratic Party 1 16.7% R+1

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Oklahoma Party Control: 1992-2024
Five years of Democratic trifectas  •  Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


See also

Footnotes



Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Tom Cole (R)
District 5
Republican Party (7)