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Oregon's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2012
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November 6, 2012 |
May 15, 2012 |
Earl Blumenauer  |
Earl Blumenauer |
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The 3rd Congressional District of Oregon held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
Incumbent Earl Blumenauer (D) was re-elected on November 6, 2012, having defeated three challengers in the general election by a landslide, earning over 74 percent of the vote.[1][2]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Primary: Oregon has a closed primary system, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.
Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary April 24. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 16.[3]
- See also: Oregon elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Earl Blumenauer, (D), who has served since 1996 and won re-election on November 6, 2012.
This was the first election using district maps based on data from the 2010 Census. Oregon's 3rd Congressional District is located in the northeastern corner of the state and includes Washington, Clackamas and Multnomah counties, was well as Portland.[4]
Candidates
General election candidates
May 15, 2012, primary results
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Race background
Competitiveness
In August, 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Report, and The New York Times rated Oregon's 3rd Congressional District as solid Democratic.[8][9][10]
Impact of Redistricting
- See also Redistricting in Oregon
The 3rd District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[11][12]
- 7 percent from the 1st Congressional District
- 88 percent from the 3rd Congressional District
- 5 percent from the 5th Congressional District
Registration statistics
As of October 30, 2012, District 3 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Oregon Secretary of State:
| Oregon Congressional District 3[13] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congressional District | District Total | Democrats | Republicans | Other & Unaffiliated | Advantage | Party Advantage | Change in Advantage from 2010 |
| District 3 | 426,401 | 220,629 | 80,464 | 125,308 | Democratic | 174.20% | 12.57% |
| "Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only. | |||||||
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Oregon's 3rd District became more Democratic because of redistricting.[14]
- 2012: 71D / 29R
- 2010: 69D / 31R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Oregon's 3rd Congressional District has a PVI of D + 21, which is the 46th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 75-25 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 69-31 percent over George W. Bush (R).[15]
Campaign contributions
| Earl Blumenauer (2012)[16] Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| April Quarterly | April 14, 2012 | $534,813 | $108,538 | $(912,878) | $551,473 | ||||
| Pre-Primary | May 3, 2012 | $551,473 | $21,014 | $(20,716) | $551,771 | ||||
| July Quarterly | July 14, 2012 | $551,771 | $207,304 | $(109,893) | $649,182 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $336,856 | $(1,043,487) | ||||||||
2012 Election Results
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Earl Blumenauer Incumbent |
74.5% | 264,979 | |
| Republican | Ronald Green | 19.8% | 70,325 | |
| Progressive | Woodrow Broadnax | 3.7% | 13,159 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Cline | 1.9% | 6,640 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0.2% | 772 | |
| Total Votes | 355,875 | |||
| Source: Oregon Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
Ronald Green |
64.3% | 14,844 |
| Delia Lopez | 35.7% | 8,237 |
| Total Votes | 23,081 | |
District history
2010
On November 2, 2010, Blumenauer won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Delia Lopez, Michael Meo and Jeff Lawrence in the general election.[17]
| U.S. House, Oregon District 3 General Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Earl Blumenauer Incumbent |
70.1% | 193,104 | |
| Republican | Delia Lopez | 24.6% | 67,714 | |
| Progressive | Michael Meo | 2.3% | 6,197 | |
| Libertarian | Jeff Lawrence | 3% | 8,380 | |
| Total Votes | 275,395 | |||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
Footnotes
- ↑ Oregon Secretary of State, "General Election Results," accessed November 13, 2012
- ↑ CNN "Oregon Districts Race - 2012 Election Center"
- ↑ OregonVotes, "Important Election Dates," accessed July 26, 2012
- ↑ Oregon Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed August 9, 2012
- ↑ The Oregonian "Republicans file to run against Bonamici and Blumenauer in Oregon congressional races" accessed March 8, 2012
- ↑ The Oregonian "TriMet bus driver files to run for Earl Blumenauer's congressional seat" accessed March 8, 2012
- ↑ Oregon Secretary of State "Candidate List"
- ↑ Center for Politics, "Sabato's Crystal Ball," August 28, 2012
- ↑ The New York Times, "House Race Ratings," accessed September 10, 2012
- ↑ The Cook Report, "House Race Ratins," August 15, 2012
- ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Oregon's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
- ↑ Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
- ↑ Oregon Secretary of State, "Voter Registration Reports, 2012," May, 2012
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Oregon," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Earl Blumenauer 2012 Summary reports," accessed October 1, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
