Oregon's 6th Congressional District election, 2024

	2026 → ← 2022
Oregon's 6th Congressional District
	Democratic primary; Republican primary; General election
Election details
	Filing deadline: March 12, 2024
	Primary: May 21, 2024; General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
	Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.; Voting in Oregon
Race ratings
	Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic; DDHQ and The Hill: Likely Democratic; Inside Elections: Solid Democratic; Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
	U.S. Senate battlegrounds; U.S. House battlegrounds; Federal and state primary competitiveness; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
	Oregon's 6th Congressional District; 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th; Oregon elections, 2024; U.S. Congress elections, 2024; U.S. Senate elections, 2024; U.S. House elections, 2024; Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

Oregon 2024 elections

U.S. House • Attorney General • Secretary of State • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Supreme court • Appellate courts • State ballot measures • Local ballot measures • Municipal • Recalls • How to run for office

Incumbent Andrea Salinas (D) defeated Mike Erickson (R) in the general election for Oregon's 6th Congressional District on November 5, 2024. The race was a rematch from 2022, when Salinas defeated Erickson 50.1% to 47.7%.

This was the second general election in the district’s history. It became the state's first new district in 40 years after the 2020 census. Click here to learn more.

Salinas was elected in 2022. She spent five years in the state House of Representatives and was a legislative staffer before that. Salinas said she ran because she believed “in the American dream, that change can happen in a single generation; the idea that if you work hard, you can create opportunities and achieve a good life for you and your family.”^[1]

Erickson served as the president of AFMS LLC, a supply chain and logistics consulting company. He said he ran because “we deserve better policymakers, people who won’t unquestionably toe the partisan line because they were told to do so.”^[2]

Based on third quarter reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Salinas raised $5 million and spent $3.7 million. This was comparable with her 2022 campaign, during which she raised $3.4 million and spent $3.4 million. Erickson raised $544,612 and spent $423,520. This was less than his 2022 campaign, during which he raised $4 million and spent $4 million. To view this year's campaign finance figures in full detail, click here.

In November 2022, major party voter registration in the district consisted of 32% Democrats and 26% Republicans. In August 2024, those numbers were 31% Democrats and 25% Republicans.^[3] According to The Oregon Capital Chronicle, the district "includes Salem, some Portland suburbs and a lot of fertile Willamette Valley farmland. More than one-sixth of the district’s residents are Hispanic, a higher population than any other congressional district in Oregon."^[4]

Before the election, four independent election forecasters differed in their ratings of the general election, with forecasts ranging from Lean Democratic to Safe Democratic. Oregon's 6th Congressional District was one of 37 congressional districts with a Democratic incumbent or an open seat that the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) targeted in 2024. To read about NRCC targeting initiatives, click here. For a complete list of NRCC targeted districts, click here.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.^[5] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.^[6] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 50.1%-47.7%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 55.2%-42.1%.^[7]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Oregon District 6

Incumbent Andrea Salinas defeated Mike Erickson in the general election for U.S. House Oregon District 6 on November 5, 2024.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Andrea Salinas (D / Independent Party)	53.3	180,869
	Mike Erickson (R)	46.5	157,634
	Other/Write-in votes	0.2	562

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 339,065
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 6

Incumbent Andrea Salinas defeated Steven Cody Reynolds in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oregon District 6 on May 21, 2024.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Andrea Salinas	87.1	52,509
	Steven Cody Reynolds	12.4	7,463
	Other/Write-in votes	0.5	330

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 60,302
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 6

Mike Erickson defeated David Russ, David Burch, and Conrad Herold in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 6 on May 21, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Erickson	73.7	37,497
		David Russ	21.4	10,908
		David Burch	2.8	1,447
	Submit photo	Conrad Herold	1.2	628
		Other/Write-in votes	0.7	381

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 50,861
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Denyc Boles (R)

Voting information

See also: Voting in Oregon

Election information in Oregon: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

In-person: Oct. 15, 2024
By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 15, 2024
Online: Oct. 15, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

In-person: N/A
By mail: N/A by N/A
Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
By mail: Postmarked by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

N/A to N/A

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (MST/PST)

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Andrea Salinas

Party: Democratic Party, Independent Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office:

U.S. House OR-06 (Elected: 2022)

Oregon House of Representatives District 38 (2017-2022)

Biography: Salinas' professional experience included working as a legislative staffer for U.S. Senator Harry Reid (D-NV), Congressman Pete Stark (D-Calif.) and Darlene Hooley (D-OR), the National Treasury Employees Union, and the Oregon Environmental Council. She was also a principal for SHARP Strategies Consulting and vice president of Oregon government affairs for Strategies 360.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Salinas said she was "working across the aisle to expand access to care and help combat the mental health and substance use crisis in Oregon." She emphasized she was committed to increasing Oregonians' access to "quality, comprehensive [health] care."

Salinas' campaign focused on lowering the cost of living. She emphasized her co-sponsorship of "dozens of bills to reduce homelessness and bring down the cost of living for working families."

Salinas said that "reproductive freedom is under attack, from the criminalization of abortions, IVF and miscarriages to the restriction of life saving health care procedures." She called the protection of abortion and other reproductive health services "vital."

Show sources

Sources: Oregon Capital Chronicle, "Q&A: Democratic Candidate for the 6th District," May 3, 2024; LinkedIn, "Andrea Salinas on LinkedIn," accessed July 26, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 6 in 2024.

Mike Erickson

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography: Erickson's professional experience included serving as the president of AFMS LLC, a supply chain and logistics consulting company. He received a bachelor's degree in business from Portland State University.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Erickson said that the southern border was his top priority. He said "the current border situation is not sustainable. It is a national security issue that threatens Americans, legal immigrants, and asylum seekers."

Growing the economy was another top concern for Erickson, who stated that "poor policies have led to a taxation on the lower- and middle-class." He said that the high inflation rate "continues to strain pocketbooks. Stemming from a variety of factors such as high spending and supply chain issues, my background has prepared me to tackle this complex issue."

Erickson focused on the need to support law enforcement, saying "officers are more likely to die by suicide than in the line of duty, an indictment of the status quo." He said there should be "federal dollars dedicated to mental health, physical wellness and peer support."

Show sources

Sources: Mike Erickson 2024 campaign website, "Issues," accessed July 27, 2024Oregon Capital Chronicle, "Q&A: Republican candidates in 6th Congressional District primary," May 6, 2024; Mike Erickson 2024 campaign website, "About," accessed July 27, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oregon District 6 in 2024.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Campaign ads

Salinas

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Salinas while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Erickson

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Erickson while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.^[8] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."^[9] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.

FiveThirtyEight

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[10]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[11]^[12]^[13]

Race ratings: Oregon's 6th Congressional District election, 2024
Race tracker	Race ratings
	November 5, 2024	October 29, 2024	October 22, 2024	October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Likely Democratic	Lean Democratic	Lean Democratic	Lean Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic	Safe Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic	Likely Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Salinas

Election spending

Campaign finance

Name	Party	Receipts*	Disbursements**	Cash on hand	Date
Andrea Salinas	Independent Party, Democratic Party	$5,395,320	$5,340,130	$61,475	As of December 31, 2024
Steven Cody Reynolds	Democratic Party	$3,276	$4,520	$5,919	As of December 31, 2024
David Burch	Republican Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Mike Erickson	Republican Party	$1,190,897	$1,194,367	$70	As of December 31, 2024
Conrad Herold	Republican Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
David Russ	Republican Party	$3,460	$3,140	$0	As of September 30, 2024
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election. * Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.^[14]^[15]^[16]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate	By election
Salinas Erickson	Open Secrets FEC

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Competitiveness
Presidential elections

State party control

Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Oregon.

Oregon U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Year	Districts/ offices	Seats	Open seats	Candidates	Possible primaries	Contested Democratic primaries	Contested Republican primaries	% of contested primaries	Incumbents in contested primaries	% of incumbents in contested primaries
2024	6	6	1	30	12	5	4	75%	3	60.0%
2022	6	6	2	45	12	6	4	83.3%	4	100.0%
2020	5	5	1	40	10	5	5	100.0%	4	100.0%
2018	5	5	0	32	10	5	4	90.0%	5	100.0%
2016	5	5	0	19	10	3	4	70.0%	4	80.0%
2014	5	5	0	17	10	2	3	50.0%	2	40.0%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Oregon in 2024. Information below was calculated on April 13, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty candidates ran for Oregon’s six U.S. House districts, including 17 Democrats and 13 Republicans. That’s 5.0 candidates per district, less than the 7.5 candidates per district in 2022, the 8.0 candidates per district in 2020, and the 6.4 candidates in 2018.

The 30 candidates who ran in Oregon in 2024 were the fewest number of candidates since 2016, when 19 candidates ran.

The 3rd Congressional District was the only open district, meaning no incumbents filed to run. There were two seats open in 2022 and one seat in 2020.

Incumbent Earl Blumenauer (D-3rd) did not running for re-election because he retired from public office.

Ten candidates—seven Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the open 3rd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Oregon in 2024.

Nine primaries—five Democratic and four Republican—were contested in 2024. Ten primaries were contested in 2022 and 2020, respectively.

Three incumbents—two Democrats and one Republican—faced primary challengers in 2024, the fewest since 2014 when two incumbents faced primary challengers.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all six districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+4. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Oregon's 6th the 171st most Democratic district nationally.^[17]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Oregon's 6th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
55.2%	42.1%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.^[18] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline	Republican Baseline	Difference
49.5	44.5	D+5.0

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Oregon, 2020

Oregon presidential election results (1900-2020)

15 Democratic wins
16 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	R	R	R	D	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	D	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D

See also: Party control of Oregon state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Oregon's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Oregon
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	2	5	7
Republican	0	1	1
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	6	8

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Oregon's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Oregon, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Tina Kotek
Secretary of State	LaVonne Griffin-Valade
Attorney General	Ellen Rosenblum

State legislature

Oregon State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	17
	Republican Party	12
	Independent	0
	Independent Party of Oregon	1
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		30

Oregon House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	35
	Republican Party	25
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		60

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Oregon Party Control: 1992-2024
Sixteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
Senate	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	S	S	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
House	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	S	S	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Oregon in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Oregon, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
Oregon	U.S. House	Ballot-qualified party	1,000^[19]	$100.00	3/12/2024	Source
Oregon	U.S. House	Unaffiliated	4,749	N/A	8/27/2024	Source

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2022.