Oregon election preview, 2024
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Last updated: September 27, 2024
Thousands of general elections are taking place across the United States on November 5, 2024. Those elections include offices at the federal, state, and local levels. This is one of 50 pages in which Ballotpedia previews the elections happening in each state as part of the Daily Brew’s 50 states in 25 days series.
This page provides an overview of all elections happening in Oregon within our coverage scope on November 5, 2024. Those elections include offices for six U.S. Representatives, 60 state Representatives, 15 state Senators, one attorney general, one secretary of state, one treasurer, five State Supreme Court Justices, and four Intermediate Appellate Court Justices. Additionally, there are five statewide ballot measures on the ballot in Oregon. On this page, you will also find information regarding:
- How to vote in Oregon
- The elected offices that Oregon voters can expect to see on their ballots
- The races in Oregon that Ballotpedia is covering as battlegrounds
- The ballot measures that voters in Oregon will decide on
- Ballotpedia's Sample Ballot Lookup Tool
- The partisan balance of Oregon's congressional delegation and state government
- Past presidential election results in Oregon
- The competitiveness of legislative elections in Oregon
- The candidates who are on the ballot in Oregon
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Oregon
What's on the ballot?
2024 elections
- See also: Oregon elections, 2024
Oregon voters will elect six U.S. Representatives. One U.S. House district is open because the incumbent did not run for re-election.
There are three state executive offices up for election: attorney general, secretary of state, and treasurer. All three offices are contested.
All 60 seats in the state House and 15 of 30 seats in the state Senate are up for election. There are seven open seats in both the state House and Senate.
Five seats on the state supreme court and four on the intermediate appellate court are up for election. Oregon is one of 13 states that use nonpartisan elections at the state supreme court level and one of 16 states that use this selection method at the intermediate appellate level. No seats on the state supreme court or the intermediate appellate court are open.
Municipal elections will be held in Portland for mayor, city auditor, and city council, in Salem for mayor and city council, and in Multnomah County for county commission, soil and water conservation districts, and circuit court judges.
Multnomah is one of 80 counties included in Ballotpedia's coverage of municipal elections.
Below is a list of Oregon elections covered by Ballotpedia in 2024. Click the links to learn more about each type:
| Oregon elections, 2024 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Office | Elections? | More information |
| U.S. Senate | — | — |
| U.S. House | ✓ | Click here |
| Congress special election | — | — |
| Governor | — | — |
| Other state executive | ✓ | Click here |
| State Senate | ✓ | Click here |
| State House | ✓ | Click here |
| Special state legislative | — | — |
| State Supreme Court | ✓ | Click here |
| Intermediate appellate courts | ✓ | Click here |
| School boards | — | — |
| Municipal government | ✓ | Click here |
| Recalls | ✓ | Click here |
| Ballot measures | ✓ | Click here |
| Local ballot measures | ✓ | Click here |
Legend: ✓ election(s) / — no elections
Subject to Ballotpedia's scope
Your ballot
- See also: Sample Ballot Lookup
Noteworthy elections
As of September 27, 2024, Ballotpedia has identified three elections as battleground races. Those are the races that we expect to have a meaningful effect on the balance of power in governments or to be particularly competitive or compelling.
- Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2024: Six candidates are running and incumbent Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) and Janelle Bynum (D) lead in endorsements, campaign finance, and media attention. The district is one of 19 Republican-held U.S. House districts up for election in 2024 that Biden won in the 2020 presidential election. As of September 27, 2024, four major election forecasters rated the election a Toss-up.
- Oregon's 6th Congressional District election, 2024: Incumbent Andrea Salinas (D) and Mike Erickson (R) are running. A poll released on August 22, 2024, showed Salinas and Erickson in a statistical tie, with Salinas leading Erickson 45% to 43%. The margin of error was ±4%. As of September 27, 2024, three major election forecasters rated the election as Likely Democratic and one as Lean Democratic.
- Mayoral election in Portland, Oregon (2024): Incumbent Ted Wheeler did not run for re-election. Eighteen candidates are running to replace him.
Ballot measures
- See also: Oregon 2024 ballot measures
There are five statewide ballot measures on the ballot in Oregon.
| Type | Title | Description | Result | Yes Votes | No Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measure 115 | Allow the Legislature to impeach elected state executives |
|
1,340,837 (64%) |
747,543 (36%) |
|
| Measure 116 | Establish the Independent Public Service Compensation Commission to determine certain public officials' salaries |
|
981,715 (48%) |
1,083,451 (52%) |
|
| Measure 117 | Establish ranked-choice voting (RCV) for federal and state offices in Oregon |
|
893,668 (42%) |
1,219,013 (58%) |
|
| Measure 118 | Require Oregon issue rebates to residents from surplus corporate tax revenue |
|
477,516 (23%) |
1,641,682 (77%) |
|
| Measure 119 | Require cannabis businesses to submit to the state Liquor and Cannabis Commission a signed labor peace agreement between the business and a labor organization with its licensure or renewal application |
|
1,166,425 (57%) |
889,265 (43%) |
Two hundred and seventy-nine statewide ballot measures were on the ballot in Oregon from 1985 to 2022. Voters approved 135 measures and defeated 144.
State analysis
Partisan balance
Democrats represent four and Republicans two districts in Oregon's U.S. House delegation. In the U.S. House, Republicans have a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.
Democrats have a 17-12 majority with one independent officeholder in the state Senate and a 35-24 majority with one independent officeholder in the state House.
Because the governor is a Democrat, Oregon is one of 17 states with a Democratic trifecta. It has held this status since 2013, when the Democratic majority assumed office in the state House. Oregon's attorney general and secretary of state are also Democrats. This makes Oregon one of 20 states with a Democratic triplex. It has held this status since 2020, when a Democratic triplex replaced the state's divided government.
Past presidential election results in Oregon
- See also: Presidential election in Oregon, 2024
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election, 57.4% of Oregonians lived in one of the state's eight Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 27.9% lived in one of 24 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Oregon was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Oregon following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| Oregon county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Democratic | 8 | 57.4% | |||||
| Solid Republican | 24 | 27.9% | |||||
| New Democratic | 2 | 12.8% | |||||
| Trending Republican | 2 | 1.9% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 10 | 70.2% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 26 | 29.8% | |||||
State legislative competitiveness
According to Ballotpedia's annual state legislative competitiveness report, Oregon had a Competitiveness Index of 32.7, ranking it 24th of the 44 states that held elections.
- 14 of the 75 seats up for election were open (19%)
- 11 of the 61 incumbents who ran for re-election faced contested primaries (18%)
- 46 of the 75 seats up for election were contested by both major parties (61%)
2010-2024
Hover over column headings to learn more about their contents.
| State Legislative Competitiveness Index in Oregon, 2010-2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Open seats | Incs. in contested primaries | Major party competition | Competitiveness Index | Rank | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 9.2% | 13.0% | 90.8% | 37.7 | 12 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 13.2% | 6.1% | 78.9% | 32.7 | 28 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 64.0% | 31.3 | 17 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22.7% | 6.9% | 58.7% | 29.4 | 25 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 11.0% | 13.8% | 65.8% | 30.2 | 30 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2020 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 85.3% | 37.9 | 13 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 32.0% | 17.6% | 86.7% | 45.4 | 10 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18.7% | 18.0% | 61.3% | 32.7 | 24 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
In 2024
Hover over column headings to learn more about their contents. Click on headings for more state-specific information.
| State Legislative Competitiveness Index in Oregon, 2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamber | Open seats | Incs. in contested primaries | Major party competition | Competitiveness Index | ||||||||||||||||||||
| House | 11.7% | 18.9% | 63.3% | 31.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Senate | 46.7% | 12.5% | 53.3% | 37.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | 18.7% | 18.0% | 61.3% | 32.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||
List of candidates
See also
Footnotes
