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Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)

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Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 15, 2022
Primary: May 17, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+13
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th
Pennsylvania elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

A Republican Party primary took place on May 17, 2022, in Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 8, 2022.

Incumbent Lloyd Smucker advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 11.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 15, 2022
May 17, 2022
November 8, 2022


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Pennsylvania utilizes a closed primary process. Voters are required to register with a political party to vote in the primary election.[1][2]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

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Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 11

Incumbent Lloyd Smucker advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 11 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Lloyd Smucker
Lloyd Smucker
 
100.0
 
96,886

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 96,886
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Pennsylvania in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Pennsylvania, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Pennsylvania U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 1,000 $150.00 3/15/2022 Source
Pennsylvania U.S. House Unaffiliated 2% of largest entire vote cast for a candidate in the district in the last election $150.00 8/1/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Pennsylvania District 11
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Pennsylvania District 11
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Pennsylvania after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[3] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[4]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Pennsylvania
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Pennsylvania's 1st 51.8% 47.2% 52.4% 46.6%
Pennsylvania's 2nd 71.0% 28.3% 70.1% 29.1%
Pennsylvania's 3rd 90.2% 9.3% 91.3% 8.1%
Pennsylvania's 4th 58.9% 40.0% 61.5% 37.4%
Pennsylvania's 5th 65.7% 33.4% 65.1% 34.0%
Pennsylvania's 6th 56.8% 42.0% 56.9% 41.9%
Pennsylvania's 7th 49.7% 49.1% 51.8% 47.0%
Pennsylvania's 8th 48.0% 50.9% 47.3% 51.7%
Pennsylvania's 9th 31.0% 67.5% 34.1% 64.5%
Pennsylvania's 10th 47.2% 51.3% 47.8% 50.7%
Pennsylvania's 11th 38.6% 59.9% 38.3% 60.2%
Pennsylvania's 12th 59.4% 39.5% 64.5% 34.4%
Pennsylvania's 13th 26.8% 72.0% 27.2% 71.6%
Pennsylvania's 14th 33.7% 65.2% 35.7% 63.2%
Pennsylvania's 15th 30.8% 67.8% 27.5% 71.2%
Pennsylvania's 16th 39.0% 59.7% 40.0% 58.7%
Pennsylvania's 17th 52.3% 46.5% 50.7% 48.0%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Pennsylvania.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Pennsylvania in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 9, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Forty-eight candidates filed to run for Pennsylvania’s 17 U.S. House districts, including 23 Democrats and 25 Republicans. That’s 2.82 candidates per district, slightly less than the 2.83 candidates per district in 2020, and less than the 4.66 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census, which resulted in Pennsylvania losing one U.S. House district. The 48 candidates who ran this year were the lowest number of candidates running for Pennsylvania's U.S. House seats since 2016, when a total of 44 candidates filed.

Two seats — the 12th and the 17th — were open, meaning no incumbents filed to run. That’s two more than in 2020, when there were no open seats. There were seven open seats in 2018, two in both 2016 and 2014, and no open seats in 2012.

Rep. Fred Keller (R), who represented the 12th district, retired, and Rep. Conor Lamb (D), who represented the 17th district, ran for the U.S. Senate. Six candidates — one Republican and five Democrats — ran in the 12th district, the most running for one seat this year. Five candidates — three Republicans and two Democrats — ran in the 17th district.

There were five contested Democratic primaries this year, the lowest number since 2016. There were six contested Republican primaries, one more than in 2020, but two less than in 2018.

There were 13 districts where incumbents did not face primary challengers. One district — the 3rd — was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed. Two districts — the 13th and the 14th — were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 11th the 106th most Republican district nationally.[5]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Pennsylvania's 11th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
38.6% 59.9%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2020

Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 16 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[6] R R R R R D D D R R R D D D R D R R R D D D D D D R D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Pennsylvania and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania United States
Population 13,002,700 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 44,741 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 79.4% 70.4%
Black/African American 11.1% 12.6%
Asian 3.5% 5.6%
Native American 0.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Other (single race) 2.4% 5.1%
Multiple 3.4% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 7.6% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 91% 88.5%
College graduation rate 32.3% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $63,627 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 12% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 9 10
Republican 1 9 10
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 18 20

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Pennsylvania, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Tom Wolf
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party John Fetterman
Secretary of State Democratic Party Leigh Chapman
Attorney General Democratic Party Josh Shapiro

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Pennsylvania General Assembly as of November 2022.

Pennsylvania State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 21
     Republican Party 28
     Independent 1
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Pennsylvania House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 88
     Republican Party 113
     Vacancies 2
Total 203

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Pennsylvania was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2022
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D
Senate R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed September 24, 2024
  2. ↑ Casetext, "25 Pa. Stat. § 299," accessed September 24, 2024
  3. ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  4. ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  5. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  6. ↑ Progressive Party


Pennsylvania's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
John Fetterman (D)
David McCormick (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
Republican Party (11)
Democratic Party (8)


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