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Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District

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Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District
Incumbent
Mike KellyRepublican
Assumed office: January 3, 2019

Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Mike Kelly (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Pennsylvania representatives represented an average of 765,403 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 707,495 residents.

Elections

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2028


There are no official candidates yet for this election.


See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2026

Note: At this time, Ballotpedia is combining all declared candidates for this election into one list under a general election heading. As primary election dates are published, this information will be updated to separate general election candidates from primary candidates as appropriate.

General election

The general election will occur on November 3, 2026.

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly (R) and Nick Singelis (Independent) are running in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on November 3, 2026.

Candidate
Image of Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly (R)
Image of Nick Singelis
Nick Singelis (Independent)

Incumbents are bolded and underlined.

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2024

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly (R) defeated Preston Nouri (D) in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly (R)
 
63.5
 
256,923
Image of Preston Nouri
Preston Nouri (D)
 
36.3
 
146,709
  Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2%
 
704

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2

Total votes: 404,336
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Preston Nouri (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on April 23, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Preston Nouri
Preston Nouri
 
99.1
 
49,283
  Other/Write-in votes
 
0.9%
 
444

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2

Total votes: 49,727
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on April 23, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly
 
95.9
 
60,255
  Other/Write-in votes
 
4.1%
 
2,550

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2

Total votes: 62,805
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly (R) defeated Dan Pastore (D) in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly (R)
 
59.4
 
190,546
Image of Dan Pastore
Dan Pastore (D)  Candidate Connection
 
40.6
 
130,443

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 320,989
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Dan Pastore (D) defeated Rick Telesz (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Dan Pastore
Dan Pastore  Candidate Connection
 
69.1
 
44,262
Image of Rick Telesz
Rick Telesz
 
30.9
 
19,788

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 64,050
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly
 
100.0
 
87,028

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 87,028
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly (R) defeated Kristy Gnibus (D) in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly (R)
 
59.3
 
210,088
Image of Kristy Gnibus
Kristy Gnibus (D)  Candidate Connection
 
40.7
 
143,962

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 354,050
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Kristy Gnibus (D) defeated Luisa Sonnek (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Kristy Gnibus
Kristy Gnibus  Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
63,640
Image of Luisa Sonnek
Luisa Sonnek (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
0

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 63,640
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly
 
100.0
 
68,199

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 68,199
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

See also: United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly (R) defeated Ronald DiNicola (D) and Ebert Beeman (L) in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly (R)  Candidate Connection
 
51.6
 
135,348
Image of Ronald DiNicola
Ronald DiNicola (D)
 
47.3
 
124,109
Image of Ebert Beeman
Ebert Beeman (L)
 
1.1
 
2,939

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 262,3960
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Ronald DiNicola (D) defeated Chris Rieger (D) and Robert Multari (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Ronald DiNicola
Ronald DiNicola
 
60.0
 
23,480
Image of Chris Rieger
Chris Rieger
 
24.9
 
9,758
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Robert Multari
 
15.1
 
5,914

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 39,152
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly  Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
39,412

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 39,412
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Previous election results


District map

2023_01_03_pa_congressional_district_016.jpg

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Pennsylvania after the 2020 census

On February 23, 2022, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled to enact a new congressional map.[12] Over a dozen maps were submitted to the supreme court, including the map approved by the legislature. The court ultimately selected the Carter map in a 4-3 ruling, which was submitted by a group of Pennsylvania citizens who were petitioners in a redistricting-related lawsuit. Justices Debra Todd (D), Sallie Mundy (R), and Kevin Brobson (R) dissented.[13] Spotlight PA's Kate Huangpu wrote that the map is "as similar as possible to the current congressional map, with nearly 90% of residents staying in the same district."[13] This map took effect for Pennsylvania's 2022 congressional elections.

The state supreme court took authority over the redistricting process after Gov. Tom Wolf (D) vetoed the legislature's enacted map on January 26.[14] The Pennsylvania House of Representatives voted to approve the initial map 110-91 on January 12, and the Pennsylvania State Senate voted 29-20 to approve the map on January 24.[15][16] Following Wolf's veto, the authority for determining a new map initially rested with a lower court, but in a February 2 ruling the supreme court ruled that it would have control over the process to select a new congressional map.[17]

How does redistricting in Pennsylvania work? In Pennsylvania, the statutory authority to draw congressional district boundaries is vested with the Pennsylvania General Assembly. These lines are subject to gubernatorial veto.[18]

State legislative district lines are drawn by a politician commission. Established in 1968, the commission comprises five members:[18]

  1. The majority leader of the Pennsylvania State Senate appoints one member.
  2. The minority leader of the Pennsylvania State Senate appoints one member.
  3. The majority leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives appoints one member.
  4. The minority leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives appoints one member.
  5. The first four commissioners appoint a fifth member to serve as the commission's chair. If the commission is unable to reach an agreement, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court must appoint a commission chair.[18]


The Pennsylvania Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and compact. Further, state legislative districts should "respect county, city, incorporated town, borough, township and ward boundaries." There are no such requirements in place for congressional districts.[18]

2020

2019_05_02_pa_congressional_district_016.jpg

2024

2023_01_03_pa_congressional_district_016.jpg

2018

On January 22, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional district map, finding that the map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. On February 19, 2018, the court adopted a remedial map for use in the 2018 election cycle. Pennsylvania Republicans filed suit in federal district court to prevent implementation of the new map. The district court dismissed the suit on March 19, 2018. State Republicans also petitioned the Supreme Court of the United States to stay the state supreme court's order pending appeal. The court rejected this request on March 19, 2018. To learn more, see here.

2010-2011

This is the 16th Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.
See also: Redistricting in Pennsylvania after the 2010 census

The Legislative Reapportionment Commission in Pennsylvania approved the GOP-proposed map. It was signed into law on December 22, 2001.[19][20]

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+11. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 16th the 111th most Republican district nationally.[21]

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 16th the 112th most Republican district nationally.[22]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 59.7%-39.0%.[23]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 16th the 115th most Republican district nationally.[24]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 39.0% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 59.7%.[25]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District the 160th most Republican nationally.[26]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[27]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Pennsylvania Department of State, "Unofficial Candidate Listing – Pre Ballot Lottery," accessed February 17, 2016
  2. ↑ The New York Times, "Pennsylvania Primary Results," April 26, 2016
  3. ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Pennsylvania"
  4. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  5. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  6. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. ↑ Pennsylvania Supreme Court, "Order," February 23, 2022
  13. ↑ 13.0 13.1 Spotlight PA, "Pennsylvania Supreme Court picks congressional map put forth by state voters," February 23, 2022
  14. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named wtae
  15. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named sen
  16. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named house
  17. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named psc
  18. ↑ 18.0 18.1 18.2 18.3 All About Redistricting, "Pennsylvania," accessed May 8, 2015
  19. ↑ ABC 27, "Corbett signs off on new congressional map," December 22, 2011
  20. ↑ The Republic, "Senate Democrats and Chester County group plan to contest Pa. legislative redistricting plan," January 7, 2012
  21. ↑ Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  22. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  23. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  24. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  25. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  26. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  27. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Pennsylvania's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
John Fetterman (D)
David McCormick (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
Republican Party (11)
Democratic Party (8)

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