Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District

Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District

Incumbent

Mike Kelly

Assumed office: January 3, 2019

Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Mike Kelly (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Pennsylvania representatives represented an average of 765,403 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 707,495 residents.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties and 2018 Congressional elections in Pivot Counties

At the time of the 2018 election, this district intersected with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.

Elections

2024

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2024

Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2024 (April 23 Democratic primary)

Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2024 (April 23 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly defeated Preston Nouri in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on November 5, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Kelly (R)	63.5	256,923
		Preston Nouri (D)	36.3	146,709
		Other/Write-in votes	0.2	704

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2	Total votes: 404,336
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Preston Nouri advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on April 23, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Preston Nouri	99.1	49,283
		Other/Write-in votes	0.9	444

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2	Total votes: 49,727
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on April 23, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Kelly	95.9	60,255
		Other/Write-in votes	4.1	2,550

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2	Total votes: 62,805
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Tim Kramer (R)

2022

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly defeated Dan Pastore in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on November 8, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Kelly (R)	59.4	190,546
		Dan Pastore (D)	40.6	130,443

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 320,989
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Dan Pastore defeated Rick Telesz in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on May 17, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Dan Pastore	69.1	44,262
		Rick Telesz	30.9	19,788

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 64,050
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Rob Sandera (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on May 17, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Kelly	100.0	87,028

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 87,028
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2020

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly defeated Kristy Gnibus in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on November 3, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Kelly (R)	59.3	210,088
		Kristy Gnibus (D)	40.7	143,962

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 354,050
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Kristy Gnibus defeated Luisa Sonnek in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on June 2, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Kristy Gnibus	100.0	63,640
		Luisa Sonnek (Write-in)	0.0	0

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 63,640
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Edward DeSantis (D)
• Daniel Smith Jr. (D)
• Matthew Dale Cady (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on June 2, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Kelly	100.0	68,199

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 68,199
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2018

Results of 2018 redistricting

On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Candidates were listed under Pennsylvania’s new districts, which were used in the 2018 congressional elections. Click here for more information about the ruling.

The chart below compares this new district with the old district that was the most geographically similar to it.

Old district	Prior incumbent	Prior 2016 presidential result	New 2016 presidential result
3rd District	Mike Kelly (R)	R+26.1	R+19.9

Not sure which district you're in? Find out here.

Click the box below to see how the new congressional districts compare to the ones in place before the redrawing.

Changes in Pennsylvania's congressional districts
New district	Prior district	Prior 2016 presidential result	New 2016 presidential result	Prior incumbent
1st District	8th District	R+0.2	D+2.0	Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
2nd District	13th District	D+33.6	D+48.0	Brendan Boyle (D)
3rd District	2nd District	D+82.8	D+83.9	Dwight Evans (D)
4th District	13th District	D+33.6	D+19.4	None
5th District	7th District	D+2.3	D+28.2	Pat Meehan (R)
6th District	6th District	D+0.6	D+9.3	Ryan Costello (R)
7th District	15th District	R+7.6	D+1.1	Charlie Dent (R)
8th District	17th District	R+10.1	R+9.5	Matt Cartwright (D)
9th District	17th District	R+10.1	R+34.0	None
10th District	4th District	R+21.5	R+8.9	Scott Perry (R)
11th District	16th District	R+6.8	R+25.8	Lloyd Smucker (R)
12th District	10th District	R+36.0	R+36.5	Tom Marino (R)
13th District	9th District	R+42.5	R+45.5	Bill Shuster (R)
14th District	18th District	R+19.6	R+29.0	Conor Lamb (D)
15th District	5th District	R+28.8	R+43.4	Glenn Thompson (R)
16th District	3rd District	R+26.1	R+19.9	Mike Kelly (R)
17th District	12th District	R+20.8	R+2.5	Keith Rothfus (R)
18th District	14th District	D+35.5	D+26.8	Mike Doyle (D)
Source: Daily Kos

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly defeated Ronald DiNicola and Ebert Beeman in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on November 6, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Kelly (R)	51.6	135,348
		Ronald DiNicola (D)	47.3	124,109
		Ebert Beeman (L)	1.1	2,939

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 262,396
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Ronald DiNicola defeated Chris Rieger and Robert Multari in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on May 15, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Ronald DiNicola	60.0	23,480
		Chris Rieger	24.9	9,758
	Submit photo	Robert Multari	15.1	5,914

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.	Total votes: 39,152
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16

Incumbent Mike Kelly advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 16 on May 15, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Kelly	100.0	39,412

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.	Total votes: 39,412
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Joseph Pitts (R) retired in 2016 and did not seek re-election to represent District 16. Lloyd Smucker (R) defeated Christina Hartman (D) and Shawn Patrick House (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Smucker defeated Chet Beiler in the Republican primary on April 26, 2016, while Hartman won the Democratic nomination without opposition.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 2016

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Lloyd Smucker	53.8%	168,669
	Democratic	Christina Hartman	42.9%	134,586
	Libertarian	Shawn Patrick House	3.4%	10,518
Total Votes				313,773
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 Republican Primary, 2016

Candidate	Vote %	Votes
Lloyd Smucker	54.1%	49,716
Chet Beiler	45.9%	42,246
Total Votes		91,962
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State

2014

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 16th Congressional District of Pennsylvania held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent, Joseph R. Pitts (R) defeated Tom Houghton (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 2014

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Joseph R. Pitts Incumbent	57.7%	101,722
	Democratic	Tom Houghton	42.3%	74,513
Total Votes				176,235
Source: Pennsylvania Secretary of State

2012

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 16th Congressional District of Pennsylvania held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Joseph R. Pitts won re-election in the district.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 2012

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Aryanna Strader	39%	111,185
	Republican	Joseph R. Pitts Incumbent	54.8%	156,192
	Independent	John Murphy	4.3%	12,250
	Independent	James Bednarski	1.8%	5,154
Total Votes				284,781
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Joseph R. Pitts won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Lois Herr (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 2010
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Joseph R. Pitts incumbent	65.4%	134,113
	Democrat	Lois Herr	34.6%	70,994
Total Votes				205,107

2008

On November 4, 2008, Joseph R. Pitts won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Bruce A. Slater (D), John A. Murphy (I) and Daniel Frank (Constitution) in the general election.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 2008
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Joseph R. Pitts incumbent	55.8%	170,329
	Democrat	Bruce A. Slater	39.4%	120,193
	Independent	John A. Murphy	3.9%	11,768
	Constitution	Daniel Frank	0.9%	2,877
Total Votes				305,167

2006

On November 7, 2006, Joseph R. Pitts won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Lois K. Herr (D), John A. Murphy (I) and various write-in challengers in the general election.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 2006
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Joseph R. Pitts incumbent	56.6%	115,741
	Democrat	Lois Herr	39.5%	80,915
	Independent	Joseph A. Murphy	3.9%	7,958
	N/A	Write-in	0%	55
Total Votes				204,669

2004

On November 2, 2004, Joseph R. Pitts won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Lois K. Herr (D) and William R. Hagen (Green) in the general election.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 2004
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Joseph R. Pitts incumbent	64.4%	183,620
	Democrat	Lois K. Herr	34.5%	98,410
	Green	William R. Hagen	1.1%	3,269
Total Votes				285,299

2002

On November 5, 2002, Joseph R. Pitts won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Will Todd (Green), Kenneth Brenneman (Constitution) and various write-in challengers in the general election.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 2002
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Joseph R. Pitts incumbent	88.4%	119,046
	Green	Will Todd	6.5%	8,720
	Constitution	Kenneth Brenneman	5%	6,766
	N/A	Write-in	0%	65
Total Votes				134,597

2000

On November 7, 2000, Joseph R. Pitts won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Bob Yorczyk (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 2000
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Joseph R. Pitts incumbent	66.9%	162,236
	Democrat	Bob Yorczyk	33.1%	80,177
Total Votes				242,413

1998

On November 3, 1998, Joseph R. Pitts won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Robert S. Yorczyk (D) and various write-in challengers in the general election.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 1998
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Joseph R. Pitts incumbent	70.5%	95,979
	Democrat	Robert S. Yorczyk	29.5%	40,092
	N/A	Write-in	0%	14
Total Votes				136,085

1996

On November 5, 1996, Joseph R. Pitts won election to the United States House. He defeated James G. Blaine (D), Robert S. Yorczyk (Reform) and various write-in challengers in the general election.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 16 General Election, 1996
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Joseph R. Pitts	59.4%	124,511
	Democrat	James G. Blaine	37.5%	78,598
	Reform	Robert S. Yorczyk	3.1%	6,485
	N/A	Write-in	0%	8
Total Votes				209,602

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Pennsylvania after the 2020 census

On February 23, 2022, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled to enact a new congressional map. Over a dozen maps were submitted to the supreme court, including the map approved by the legislature. The court ultimately selected the Carter map in a 4-3 ruling, which was submitted by a group of Pennsylvania citizens who were petitioners in a redistricting-related lawsuit. Justices Debra Todd (D), Sallie Mundy (R), and Kevin Brobson (R) dissented. Spotlight PA's Kate Huangpu wrote that the map is "as similar as possible to the current congressional map, with nearly 90% of residents staying in the same district." This map took effect for Pennsylvania's 2022 congressional elections.

The state supreme court took authority over the redistricting process after Gov. Tom Wolf (D) vetoed the legislature's enacted map on January 26. The Pennsylvania House of Representatives voted to approve the initial map 110-91 on January 12, and the Pennsylvania State Senate voted 29-20 to approve the map on January 24. Following Wolf's veto, the authority for determining a new map initially rested with a lower court, but in a February 2 ruling the supreme court ruled that it would have control over the process to select a new congressional map.

How does redistricting in Pennsylvania work? In Pennsylvania, the statutory authority to draw congressional district boundaries is vested with the Pennsylvania General Assembly. These lines are subject to gubernatorial veto.

State legislative district lines are drawn by a politician commission. Established in 1968, the commission comprises five members:

1. The majority leader of the Pennsylvania State Senate appoints one member.
2. The minority leader of the Pennsylvania State Senate appoints one member.
3. The majority leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives appoints one member.
4. The minority leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives appoints one member.
5. The first four commissioners appoint a fifth member to serve as the commission's chair. If the commission is unable to reach an agreement, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court must appoint a commission chair.

The Pennsylvania Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and compact. Further, state legislative districts should "respect county, city, incorporated town, borough, township and ward boundaries." There are no such requirements in place for congressional districts.

Pennsylvania District 16
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Pennsylvania District 16
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

2018

On January 22, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional district map, finding that the map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. On February 19, 2018, the court adopted a remedial map for use in the 2018 election cycle. Pennsylvania Republicans filed suit in federal district court to prevent implementation of the new map. The district court dismissed the suit on March 19, 2018. State Republicans also petitioned the Supreme Court of the United States to stay the state supreme court's order pending appeal. The court rejected this request on March 19, 2018. To learn more, see here.

2010-2011

This is the 16th Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

See also: Redistricting in Pennsylvania after the 2010 census

The Legislative Reapportionment Commission in Pennsylvania approved the GOP-proposed map. It was signed into law on December 22, 2001.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+11. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 16th the 111th most Republican district nationally.

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 16th the 112th most Republican district nationally.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 59.7%-39.0%.

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 16th the 115th most Republican district nationally.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 39.0% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 59.7%.

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District the 160th most Republican nationally.

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.

See also

• Redistricting in Pennsylvania
• Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2024
• Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2022
• Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2020
• Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District election, 2018

External links

• GovTrack District 16

Footnotes

[show]

Pennsylvania's current delegation to the United States Congress

Senators

John Fetterman (D)

David McCormick (R)

Representatives

District 1

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)

District 2

Brendan Boyle (D)

District 3

Dwight Evans (D)

District 4

Madeleine Dean (D)

District 5

Mary Scanlon (D)

District 6

Chrissy Houlahan (D)

District 7

Ryan Mackenzie (R)

District 8

Rob Bresnahan (R)

District 9

Dan Meuser (R)

District 10

Scott Perry (R)

District 11

Lloyd Smucker (R)

District 12

Summer Lee (D)

District 13

John Joyce (R)

District 14

Guy Reschenthaler (R)

District 15

Glenn Thompson (R)

District 16

Mike Kelly (R)

District 17

Chris Deluzio (D)

Republican Party (11)

Democratic Party (8)