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Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
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| Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 15, 2022 |
| Primary: May 17, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Pennsylvania |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th Pennsylvania elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Pennsylvania, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for May 17, 2022. The filing deadline was March 15, 2022.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 90.2% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 9.3%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary)
- Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3
Incumbent Dwight Evans defeated Christopher Hoeppner in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Dwight Evans (D) | 95.1 | 251,115 |
| Christopher Hoeppner (Socialist Workers Party) | 4.9 | 12,820 | ||
| Total votes: 263,935 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3
Incumbent Dwight Evans defeated Alexandra Hunt and Michael Cogbill in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Dwight Evans | 75.7 | 97,709 |
 | Alexandra Hunt | 19.9 | 25,712 | |
 | Michael Cogbill | 4.4 | 5,728 | |
| Total votes: 129,149 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Pennsylvania
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
| U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
| Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
| April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
| July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
| October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
| Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
| Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
| Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Evans | Democratic Party | $1,143,333 | $1,192,320 | $133,616 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Michael Cogbill | Democratic Party | $1,210 | $7,900 | $492 | As of March 31, 2022 |
| Alexandra Hunt | Democratic Party | $731,952 | $731,953 | $0 | As of July 20, 2022 |
| Christopher Hoeppner | Socialist Workers Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
| Race ratings: Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Pennsylvania in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Pennsylvania, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Pennsylvania | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 1,000 | $150.00 | 3/15/2022 | Source |
| Pennsylvania | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 2% of largest entire vote cast for a candidate in the district in the last election | $150.00 | 8/1/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Pennsylvania District 3
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Pennsylvania District 3
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
| 2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Pennsylvania | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump 
|
Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| |
| Pennsylvania's 1st | 51.8% | 47.2% | 52.4% | 46.6% |
| Pennsylvania's 2nd | 71.0% | 28.3% | 70.1% | 29.1% |
| Pennsylvania's 3rd | 90.2% | 9.3% | 91.3% | 8.1% |
| Pennsylvania's 4th | 58.9% | 40.0% | 61.5% | 37.4% |
| Pennsylvania's 5th | 65.7% | 33.4% | 65.1% | 34.0% |
| Pennsylvania's 6th | 56.8% | 42.0% | 56.9% | 41.9% |
| Pennsylvania's 7th | 49.7% | 49.1% | 51.8% | 47.0% |
| Pennsylvania's 8th | 48.0% | 50.9% | 47.3% | 51.7% |
| Pennsylvania's 9th | 31.0% | 67.5% | 34.1% | 64.5% |
| Pennsylvania's 10th | 47.2% | 51.3% | 47.8% | 50.7% |
| Pennsylvania's 11th | 38.6% | 59.9% | 38.3% | 60.2% |
| Pennsylvania's 12th | 59.4% | 39.5% | 64.5% | 34.4% |
| Pennsylvania's 13th | 26.8% | 72.0% | 27.2% | 71.6% |
| Pennsylvania's 14th | 33.7% | 65.2% | 35.7% | 63.2% |
| Pennsylvania's 15th | 30.8% | 67.8% | 27.5% | 71.2% |
| Pennsylvania's 16th | 39.0% | 59.7% | 40.0% | 58.7% |
| Pennsylvania's 17th | 52.3% | 46.5% | 50.7% | 48.0% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Pennsylvania.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Pennsylvania in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 9, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Forty-eight candidates filed to run for Pennsylvania’s 17 U.S. House districts, including 23 Democrats and 25 Republicans. That’s 2.82 candidates per district, slightly less than the 2.83 candidates per district in 2020, and less than the 4.66 in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census, which resulted in Pennsylvania losing one U.S. House district. The 48 candidates who ran this year were the lowest number of candidates running for Pennsylvania's U.S. House seats since 2016, when a total of 44 candidates filed.
Two seats — the 12th and the 17th — were open, meaning no incumbents filed to run. That’s two more than in 2020, when there were no open seats. There were seven open seats in 2018, two in both 2016 and 2014, and no open seats in 2012.
Rep. Fred Keller (R), who represented the 12th district, retired, and Rep. Conor Lamb (D), who represented the 17th district, ran for the U.S. Senate. Six candidates — one Republican and five Democrats — ran in the 12th district, the most running for one seat this year. Five candidates — three Republicans and two Democrats — ran in the 17th district.
There were five contested Democratic primaries this year, the lowest number since 2016. There were six contested Republican primaries, one more than in 2020, but two less than in 2018.
There were 13 districts where incumbents did not face primary challengers. One district — the 3rd — was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed. Two districts — the 13th and the 14th — were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+39. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 39 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 3rd the 3rd most Democratic district nationally.[10]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Pennsylvania's 3rd based on 2022 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| |||
| 90.2% | 9.3% | |||
Presidential voting history
Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 14 Democratic wins
- 16 Republican wins
- 1 other win
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | R | R | P[11] | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Pennsylvania and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Pennsylvania | ||
|---|---|---|
| Pennsylvania | United States | |
| Population | 13,002,700 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 44,741 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 79.4% | 70.4% |
| Black/African American | 11.1% | 12.6% |
| Asian | 3.5% | 5.6% |
| Native American | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 2.4% | 5.1% |
| Multiple | 3.4% | 5.2% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 7.6% | 18.2% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 91% | 88.5% |
| College graduation rate | 32.3% | 32.9% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $63,627 | $64,994 |
| Persons below poverty level | 12% | 12.8% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| Republican | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 18 | 20 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Pennsylvania, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Tom Wolf
|
| Lieutenant Governor | John Fetterman
|
| Secretary of State | Leigh Chapman
|
| Attorney General | Josh Shapiro
|
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Pennsylvania General Assembly as of November 2022.
Pennsylvania State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 21 | |
| Republican Party | 28 | |
| Independent | 1 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 50 | |
Pennsylvania House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 88 | |
| Republican Party | 113 | |
| Vacancies | 2 | |
| Total | 203 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Pennsylvania was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2022
One year of a Democratic trifecta • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
2020
See also: Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Democratic primary)
Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3
Incumbent Dwight Evans defeated Michael Harvey in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Dwight Evans (D) | 91.0 | 341,708 |
 | Michael Harvey (R) | 9.0 | 33,671 | |
| Total votes: 375,379 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3
Incumbent Dwight Evans advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Dwight Evans | 100.0 | 164,871 |
| Total votes: 164,871 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3
Michael Harvey advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Harvey | 100.0 | 5,020 |
| Total votes: 5,020 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3
Incumbent Dwight Evans defeated Bryan Leib in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Dwight Evans (D) | 93.4 | 287,610 |
 | Bryan Leib (R) | 6.6 | 20,387 | |
| Total votes: 307,997 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3
Incumbent Dwight Evans defeated Kevin Johnson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Dwight Evans | 80.8 | 73,800 |
 | Kevin Johnson | 19.2 | 17,548 | |
| Total votes: 91,348 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3
Bryan Leib advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 3 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Bryan Leib | 100.0 | 3,430 |
| Total votes: 3,430 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Results prior to 2018 redistricting
On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Click here for more information about the ruling.
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Mike Kelly (R) was unopposed in the 2016 election cycle. He faced no general election challenger and was unopposed in the Republican primary as well. The primary elections took place on April 26, 2016. [12][13]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |  Mike Kelly Incumbent |
100% | 244,893 | |
| Total Votes | 244,893 | |||
| Source: Pennsylvania Department of State | ||||
|
Primary candidates:[14] |
|
Democratic |
Republican  |
2014
Mike Kelly won re-election to the United States House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He defeated Dan LaVallee in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Kelly Incumbent |
60.6% | 113,859 | |
| Democratic | Dan LaVallee | 39.4% | 73,931 | |
| Total Votes | 187,790 | |||
| Source: Pennsylvania Department of State | ||||
May 20, 2014, primary results
|
|
|
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party
- ↑ Pennsylvania Department of State, "Unofficial Candidate Listing – Pre Ballot Lottery," accessed February 17, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "Pennsylvania Primary Results," April 26, 2016
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
- ↑ Pennsylvania Department of State, "Unofficial Candidate Listing – Pre Ballot Lottery," accessed February 17, 2016
