Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 2
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 20, 2018 |
Primary: May 15, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Pennsylvania |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic Inside Elections: Likely Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 7th (special) • 15th (special) • 18th (special) Pennsylvania elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Pennsylvania, held elections in 2018.
Attorney Mary Gay Scanlon (D) defeated former prosecutor Pearl Kim (R) in the November 6 general election for Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District.
A February Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruling creating new boundaries for the state’s congressional districts pieced the new 5th District together from parts of the old 1st, 2nd, and 7th districts. These districts were represented by Rep. Bob Brady (D), Rep. Dwight Evans (D), and Rep. Patrick Meehan (R), respectively. Brady and Meehan announced they would not seek re-election in 2018, and Evans ran for another term in the new District 3. For more on Pennsylvania's new congressional district map, click here.[1]
Hillary Clinton won the newly drawn District 5 by 28 percentage points in 2016. She won the old 7th District (which the 5th District most closely resembles) by 2.3 percentage points.[2][3] Truthout said this was "the most dramatic shift of all 18 congressional districts caused by Pennsylvania's redistricting."[3]
Scanlon and Kim also ran in Pennsylvania's 7th District special election on November 6 to finish Patrick Meehan's (R) term ending January 1, 2019. Scanlon won that election. Meehan resigned in April 2018 amid sexual misconduct allegations.
Results of 2018 redistricting
On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Candidates on this page were listed under Pennsylvania’s new districts, which were used in the 2018 congressional elections. Click here for more information about the ruling.
The chart below compares this new district with the old district that was the most geographically similar to it.
Old district[4] | Prior incumbent | Prior 2016 presidential result | New 2016 presidential result |
---|---|---|---|
7th District | Pat Meehan (R) | D+2.3 | D+28.2 |
Not sure which district you're in? Find out here.
Click the box below to see how the new congressional districts compare to the ones in place before the redrawing.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 5
Mary Gay Scanlon defeated Pearl Kim in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 5 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mary Gay Scanlon (D) ![]() | 65.2 | 198,639 |
![]() | Pearl Kim (R) | 34.8 | 106,075 |
Total votes: 304,714 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 5
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 5 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mary Gay Scanlon ![]() | 28.4 | 17,220 |
![]() | Ashley Lunkenheimer | 15.3 | 9,291 | |
![]() | Richard Lazer | 15.0 | 9,095 | |
![]() | Molly Sheehan | 10.2 | 6,216 | |
![]() | Gregory Vitali | 9.4 | 5,726 | |
![]() | Lindy Li | 7.0 | 4,236 | |
![]() | Theresa Wright | 5.2 | 3,149 | |
![]() | Thaddeus Kirkland | 4.0 | 2,420 | |
![]() | Margo Davidson | 4.0 | 2,413 | |
Larry Arata | 1.5 | 925 |
Total votes: 60,691 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- George Badey (D)
- David Wertime (D)
- Dan Muroff (D)
- Shelly Chauncey (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 5
Pearl Kim advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 5 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Pearl Kim | 100.0 | 34,352 |
Total votes: 34,352 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Paul Addis (R)
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
If you are aware of polls conducted in this race, please email us.
Campaign finances
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mary Gay Scanlon | Democratic Party | $1,935,937 | $1,822,024 | $113,913 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Pearl Kim | Republican Party | $521,263 | $521,263 | $0 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[10]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[11][12][13]
Race ratings: Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+13, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District the 102nd most Democratic nationally.[14]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[15]
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by Pearl Kim Mary Gay Scanlon
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Republican district won by Hillary Clinton
This district was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won in the 2016 presidential election.[16] Nearly all were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.
Click on the table below to see the full list of districts.
Click here to see the 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Three of 67 Pennsylvania counties—4.5 percent—are pivot counties. These are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 pivot counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Erie County, Pennsylvania | 1.56% | 16.03% | 19.88% | ||||
Luzerne County, Pennsylvania | 19.31% | 4.81% | 8.41% | ||||
Northampton County, Pennsylvania | 3.78% | 4.71% | 12.30% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Pennsylvania with 48.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Pennsylvania cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Pennsylvania supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 53.3 to 43.3 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every presidential election between 2000 and 2012, but voted Republican in 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Pennsylvania. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[21][22]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 89 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 84 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 37.3 points. Clinton won 19 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 114 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 20 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 119 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 28.2 points. Trump won 17 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 Presidential Results by state House District ' | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 74.23% | 24.51% | D+49.7 | 62.96% | 33.11% | D+29.8 | D |
2 | 64.16% | 34.60% | D+29.6 | 54.43% | 40.91% | D+13.5 | D |
3 | 52.42% | 46.30% | D+6.1 | 45.74% | 49.76% | R+4 | D |
4 | 47.98% | 50.56% | R+2.6 | 34.90% | 60.52% | R+25.6 | R |
5 | 39.20% | 59.23% | R+20 | 30.95% | 64.64% | R+33.7 | R |
6 | 41.46% | 56.84% | R+15.4 | 33.98% | 61.68% | R+27.7 | R |
7 | 58.14% | 40.56% | D+17.6 | 44.84% | 51.68% | R+6.8 | D |
8 | 31.90% | 66.60% | R+34.7 | 24.28% | 71.25% | R+47 | R |
9 | 47.63% | 51.12% | R+3.5 | 36.69% | 60.36% | R+23.7 | D |
10 | 45.01% | 53.45% | R+8.4 | 35.93% | 59.86% | R+23.9 | R |
11 | 34.69% | 63.96% | R+29.3 | 28.50% | 66.88% | R+38.4 | R |
12 | 29.48% | 69.55% | R+40.1 | 31.88% | 64.41% | R+32.5 | R |
13 | 43.63% | 55.27% | R+11.6 | 42.73% | 53.04% | R+10.3 | R |
14 | 38.01% | 60.67% | R+22.7 | 32.28% | 64.15% | R+31.9 | R |
15 | 37.23% | 61.54% | R+24.3 | 31.00% | 65.48% | R+34.5 | R |
16 | 53.92% | 44.73% | D+9.2 | 46.00% | 50.52% | R+4.5 | D |
17 | 42.32% | 56.30% | R+14 | 29.47% | 66.56% | R+37.1 | R |
18 | 57.88% | 40.91% | D+17 | 52.85% | 44.12% | D+8.7 | R |
19 | 86.11% | 12.84% | D+73.3 | 83.38% | 13.65% | D+69.7 | D |
20 | 61.01% | 37.46% | D+23.6 | 60.52% | 34.84% | D+25.7 | D |
21 | 57.83% | 40.46% | D+17.4 | 59.05% | 36.62% | D+22.4 | D |
22 | 76.43% | 22.64% | D+53.8 | 72.60% | 24.54% | D+48.1 | D |
23 | 73.62% | 24.04% | D+49.6 | 80.06% | 16.36% | D+63.7 | D |
24 | 90.72% | 8.31% | D+82.4 | 90.51% | 7.00% | D+83.5 | D |
25 | 51.85% | 47.12% | D+4.7 | 50.07% | 46.87% | D+3.2 | D |
26 | 45.47% | 53.34% | R+7.9 | 43.50% | 52.49% | R+9 | R |
27 | 63.70% | 34.87% | D+28.8 | 60.79% | 35.34% | D+25.5 | D |
28 | 36.63% | 62.52% | R+25.9 | 43.46% | 52.61% | R+9.2 | R |
29 | 45.87% | 53.06% | R+7.2 | 46.10% | 50.52% | R+4.4 | R |
30 | 40.91% | 58.24% | R+17.3 | 44.48% | 51.61% | R+7.1 | R |
31 | 50.76% | 48.04% | D+2.7 | 55.20% | 41.17% | D+14 | D |
32 | 60.05% | 38.99% | D+21.1 | 59.16% | 37.83% | D+21.3 | D |
33 | 49.03% | 49.75% | R+0.7 | 45.55% | 50.80% | R+5.3 | D |
34 | 68.62% | 30.16% | D+38.5 | 68.78% | 28.17% | D+40.6 | D |
35 | 63.94% | 35.20% | D+28.7 | 57.89% | 39.41% | D+18.5 | D |
36 | 60.88% | 37.46% | D+23.4 | 56.42% | 39.30% | D+17.1 | D |
37 | 28.95% | 69.66% | R+40.7 | 26.19% | 69.00% | R+42.8 | R |
38 | 50.42% | 48.41% | D+2 | 46.28% | 50.58% | R+4.3 | D |
39 | 40.59% | 58.52% | R+17.9 | 36.49% | 60.37% | R+23.9 | R |
40 | 36.83% | 62.34% | R+25.5 | 41.12% | 55.57% | R+14.4 | R |
41 | 42.46% | 56.09% | R+13.6 | 41.74% | 53.32% | R+11.6 | R |
42 | 55.31% | 43.47% | D+11.8 | 60.20% | 35.63% | D+24.6 | D |
43 | 36.53% | 62.17% | R+25.6 | 36.27% | 58.57% | R+22.3 | R |
44 | 41.51% | 57.51% | R+16 | 43.16% | 53.29% | R+10.1 | R |
45 | 51.33% | 47.58% | D+3.7 | 49.81% | 46.66% | D+3.2 | D |
46 | 44.33% | 54.63% | R+10.3 | 39.68% | 56.72% | R+17 | R |
47 | 40.06% | 58.68% | R+18.6 | 34.74% | 60.75% | R+26 | R |
48 | 45.49% | 53.23% | R+7.7 | 40.70% | 55.39% | R+14.7 | D |
49 | 49.95% | 48.61% | D+1.3 | 37.74% | 58.75% | R+21 | R |
50 | 46.33% | 52.50% | R+6.2 | 33.66% | 63.80% | R+30.1 | D |
51 | 41.10% | 57.87% | R+16.8 | 30.84% | 66.70% | R+35.9 | R |
52 | 40.85% | 57.93% | R+17.1 | 30.15% | 67.36% | R+37.2 | R |
53 | 48.81% | 49.75% | R+0.9 | 48.69% | 46.74% | D+2 | R |
54 | 36.11% | 62.89% | R+26.8 | 34.91% | 61.80% | R+26.9 | R |
55 | 39.89% | 58.83% | R+18.9 | 31.43% | 65.24% | R+33.8 | D |
56 | 34.08% | 64.90% | R+30.8 | 31.32% | 65.45% | R+34.1 | R |
57 | 36.37% | 62.35% | R+26 | 33.60% | 62.73% | R+29.1 | R |
58 | 43.41% | 55.41% | R+12 | 34.02% | 63.22% | R+29.2 | R |
59 | 31.93% | 66.81% | R+34.9 | 26.42% | 70.50% | R+44.1 | R |
60 | 30.82% | 67.77% | R+37 | 24.08% | 72.85% | R+48.8 | R |
61 | 51.45% | 47.61% | D+3.8 | 56.68% | 39.73% | D+16.9 | R |
62 | 43.10% | 55.21% | R+12.1 | 34.47% | 61.69% | R+27.2 | R |
63 | 29.59% | 68.69% | R+39.1 | 22.17% | 74.25% | R+52.1 | R |
64 | 34.96% | 63.20% | R+28.2 | 26.01% | 69.72% | R+43.7 | R |
65 | 39.55% | 58.80% | R+19.3 | 27.22% | 68.57% | R+41.4 | R |
66 | 27.05% | 71.53% | R+44.5 | 18.49% | 78.42% | R+59.9 | R |
67 | 32.35% | 65.98% | R+33.6 | 22.32% | 74.12% | R+51.8 | R |
68 | 31.27% | 66.99% | R+35.7 | 20.98% | 74.62% | R+53.6 | R |
69 | 25.99% | 72.68% | R+46.7 | 18.90% | 78.57% | R+59.7 | R |
70 | 63.08% | 35.97% | D+27.1 | 63.15% | 33.72% | D+29.4 | D |
71 | 42.84% | 55.39% | R+12.5 | 34.58% | 62.24% | R+27.7 | D |
72 | 37.01% | 61.10% | R+24.1 | 26.49% | 70.36% | R+43.9 | D |
73 | 38.10% | 60.27% | R+22.2 | 24.79% | 72.19% | R+47.4 | R |
74 | 62.76% | 36.10% | D+26.7 | 60.37% | 35.55% | D+24.8 | R |
75 | 36.38% | 62.06% | R+25.7 | 24.79% | 71.59% | R+46.8 | R |
76 | 39.88% | 58.53% | R+18.6 | 29.08% | 67.03% | R+37.9 | D |
77 | 59.83% | 37.36% | D+22.5 | 60.78% | 33.56% | D+27.2 | D |
78 | 22.54% | 76.40% | R+53.9 | 16.03% | 81.71% | R+65.7 | R |
79 | 39.22% | 59.27% | R+20 | 30.70% | 65.55% | R+34.9 | R |
80 | 26.47% | 72.45% | R+46 | 20.96% | 76.10% | R+55.1 | R |
81 | 35.33% | 63.30% | R+28 | 30.25% | 66.04% | R+35.8 | R |
82 | 26.74% | 72.05% | R+45.3 | 19.62% | 77.01% | R+57.4 | R |
83 | 38.82% | 59.70% | R+20.9 | 32.82% | 62.88% | R+30.1 | R |
84 | 26.66% | 72.04% | R+45.4 | 18.99% | 77.66% | R+58.7 | R |
85 | 35.45% | 62.97% | R+27.5 | 31.55% | 64.64% | R+33.1 | R |
86 | 33.17% | 65.18% | R+32 | 25.57% | 69.93% | R+44.4 | R |
87 | 41.20% | 57.38% | R+16.2 | 41.82% | 53.91% | R+12.1 | R |
88 | 41.23% | 57.13% | R+15.9 | 41.39% | 53.53% | R+12.1 | R |
89 | 34.19% | 64.52% | R+30.3 | 29.92% | 66.31% | R+36.4 | R |
90 | 28.09% | 70.61% | R+42.5 | 22.85% | 73.48% | R+50.6 | R |
91 | 37.65% | 60.93% | R+23.3 | 32.20% | 63.86% | R+31.7 | R |
92 | 31.91% | 66.77% | R+34.9 | 28.03% | 67.52% | R+39.5 | R |
93 | 34.53% | 63.91% | R+29.4 | 31.05% | 64.67% | R+33.6 | R |
94 | 35.78% | 62.70% | R+26.9 | 28.86% | 66.88% | R+38 | R |
95 | 65.14% | 33.21% | D+31.9 | 61.43% | 33.92% | D+27.5 | D |
96 | 74.86% | 23.26% | D+51.6 | 73.28% | 21.55% | D+51.7 | D |
97 | 40.15% | 58.50% | R+18.4 | 42.36% | 52.82% | R+10.5 | R |
98 | 37.73% | 60.63% | R+22.9 | 32.52% | 61.78% | R+29.3 | R |
99 | 28.97% | 69.60% | R+40.6 | 25.97% | 68.75% | R+42.8 | R |
100 | 34.03% | 64.51% | R+30.5 | 28.29% | 67.35% | R+39.1 | R |
101 | 39.74% | 58.92% | R+19.2 | 37.40% | 58.74% | R+21.3 | R |
102 | 31.56% | 66.91% | R+35.3 | 24.88% | 71.23% | R+46.3 | R |
103 | 81.25% | 17.74% | D+63.5 | 78.28% | 18.44% | D+59.8 | D |
104 | 46.98% | 51.71% | R+4.7 | 42.83% | 53.30% | R+10.5 | R |
105 | 45.32% | 53.34% | R+8 | 44.00% | 51.91% | R+7.9 | R |
106 | 43.98% | 54.60% | R+10.6 | 43.80% | 51.46% | R+7.7 | R |
107 | 42.37% | 55.71% | R+13.3 | 28.98% | 66.96% | R+38 | R |
108 | 34.84% | 63.47% | R+28.6 | 26.52% | 69.44% | R+42.9 | R |
109 | 42.93% | 55.31% | R+12.4 | 32.18% | 63.26% | R+31.1 | R |
110 | 38.40% | 59.80% | R+21.4 | 25.85% | 69.59% | R+43.7 | R |
111 | 39.36% | 59.14% | R+19.8 | 28.62% | 67.57% | R+39 | R |
112 | 69.10% | 29.74% | D+39.4 | 55.53% | 41.46% | D+14.1 | D |
113 | 67.49% | 31.46% | D+36 | 56.83% | 40.31% | D+16.5 | D |
114 | 58.64% | 40.26% | D+18.4 | 44.66% | 52.39% | R+7.7 | D |
115 | 64.27% | 34.56% | D+29.7 | 58.15% | 38.28% | D+19.9 | D |
116 | 40.79% | 57.87% | R+17.1 | 31.33% | 66.07% | R+34.7 | R |
117 | 41.83% | 56.50% | R+14.7 | 30.66% | 66.00% | R+35.3 | R |
118 | 55.83% | 43.08% | D+12.8 | 40.74% | 56.46% | R+15.7 | D |
119 | 51.23% | 47.10% | D+4.1 | 35.40% | 61.77% | R+26.4 | D |
120 | 53.79% | 44.76% | D+9 | 42.55% | 54.62% | R+12.1 | R |
121 | 61.17% | 37.18% | D+24 | 47.71% | 48.91% | R+1.2 | D |
122 | 44.86% | 53.22% | R+8.4 | 30.76% | 65.46% | R+34.7 | R |
123 | 51.65% | 46.75% | D+4.9 | 31.73% | 65.03% | R+33.3 | D |
124 | 37.56% | 60.67% | R+23.1 | 25.51% | 70.74% | R+45.2 | R |
125 | 36.51% | 62.03% | R+25.5 | 23.43% | 72.95% | R+49.5 | R |
126 | 63.45% | 34.97% | D+28.5 | 57.62% | 38.36% | D+19.3 | D |
127 | 80.68% | 18.33% | D+62.4 | 77.08% | 19.95% | D+57.1 | D |
128 | 41.43% | 57.06% | R+15.6 | 38.02% | 57.47% | R+19.5 | R |
129 | 41.67% | 56.89% | R+15.2 | 37.61% | 57.86% | R+20.3 | R |
130 | 42.78% | 55.70% | R+12.9 | 35.25% | 60.10% | R+24.9 | R |
131 | 44.49% | 54.03% | R+9.5 | 41.91% | 53.76% | R+11.9 | R |
132 | 65.53% | 33.25% | D+32.3 | 64.10% | 32.82% | D+31.3 | D |
133 | 59.02% | 39.41% | D+19.6 | 52.89% | 42.75% | D+10.1 | D |
134 | 43.39% | 55.42% | R+12 | 41.92% | 54.04% | R+12.1 | R |
135 | 64.54% | 34.06% | D+30.5 | 61.91% | 34.09% | D+27.8 | D |
136 | 59.36% | 39.16% | D+20.2 | 53.35% | 42.48% | D+10.9 | D |
137 | 46.66% | 52.14% | R+5.5 | 40.33% | 56.02% | R+15.7 | R |
138 | 43.63% | 55.31% | R+11.7 | 39.52% | 56.92% | R+17.4 | R |
139 | 39.33% | 59.34% | R+20 | 30.73% | 66.15% | R+35.4 | R |
140 | 63.59% | 35.05% | D+28.5 | 54.38% | 41.60% | D+12.8 | D |
141 | 62.97% | 35.53% | D+27.4 | 52.82% | 43.31% | D+9.5 | D |
142 | 49.07% | 49.78% | R+0.7 | 46.32% | 50.25% | R+3.9 | R |
143 | 45.51% | 53.19% | R+7.7 | 47.61% | 48.14% | R+0.5 | R |
144 | 44.70% | 54.17% | R+9.5 | 45.34% | 50.70% | R+5.4 | R |
145 | 44.16% | 54.36% | R+10.2 | 39.59% | 55.70% | R+16.1 | R |
146 | 50.85% | 47.96% | D+2.9 | 48.37% | 47.29% | D+1.1 | R |
147 | 43.65% | 54.97% | R+11.3 | 41.16% | 54.54% | R+13.4 | R |
148 | 60.73% | 38.33% | D+22.4 | 67.12% | 29.75% | D+37.4 | D |
149 | 60.45% | 38.56% | D+21.9 | 66.82% | 29.98% | D+36.8 | D |
150 | 49.69% | 49.13% | D+0.6 | 51.73% | 44.27% | D+7.5 | R |
151 | 50.81% | 48.28% | D+2.5 | 55.25% | 41.23% | D+14 | R |
152 | 52.27% | 46.64% | D+5.6 | 54.58% | 41.63% | D+12.9 | R |
153 | 63.65% | 35.32% | D+28.3 | 66.36% | 30.20% | D+36.2 | D |
154 | 74.52% | 24.59% | D+49.9 | 77.91% | 19.15% | D+58.8 | D |
155 | 47.56% | 51.25% | R+3.7 | 51.80% | 43.97% | D+7.8 | R |
156 | 49.44% | 49.46% | R+0 | 54.28% | 41.62% | D+12.7 | D |
157 | 52.13% | 46.72% | D+5.4 | 58.80% | 37.01% | D+21.8 | R |
158 | 48.38% | 50.45% | R+2.1 | 52.99% | 42.96% | D+10 | R |
159 | 83.68% | 15.63% | D+68 | 77.53% | 20.25% | D+57.3 | D |
160 | 46.71% | 52.30% | R+5.6 | 49.20% | 47.16% | D+2 | R |
161 | 55.77% | 43.14% | D+12.6 | 53.41% | 43.19% | D+10.2 | D |
162 | 57.37% | 41.38% | D+16 | 49.64% | 46.80% | D+2.8 | R |
163 | 55.33% | 43.45% | D+11.9 | 54.70% | 41.57% | D+13.1 | R |
164 | 82.20% | 16.96% | D+65.2 | 81.93% | 15.75% | D+66.2 | D |
165 | 48.98% | 50.02% | R+1 | 51.81% | 44.91% | D+6.9 | R |
166 | 61.53% | 37.33% | D+24.2 | 67.49% | 28.93% | D+38.6 | D |
167 | 48.42% | 50.53% | R+2.1 | 55.67% | 40.48% | D+15.2 | R |
168 | 47.78% | 51.08% | R+3.3 | 51.51% | 44.79% | D+6.7 | R |
169 | 34.04% | 64.45% | R+30.4 | 27.83% | 67.92% | R+40.1 | R |
170 | 56.95% | 42.17% | D+14.8 | 49.20% | 48.35% | D+0.9 | R |
171 | 40.68% | 57.64% | R+17 | 39.86% | 55.53% | R+15.7 | R |
172 | 59.28% | 39.77% | D+19.5 | 55.26% | 41.93% | D+13.3 | D |
173 | 64.49% | 34.35% | D+30.1 | 56.90% | 40.57% | D+16.3 | D |
174 | 61.67% | 37.38% | D+24.3 | 57.06% | 40.39% | D+16.7 | D |
175 | 79.87% | 18.59% | D+61.3 | 81.59% | 15.10% | D+66.5 | D |
176 | 50.90% | 47.71% | D+3.2 | 41.51% | 54.94% | R+13.4 | R |
177 | 65.38% | 33.22% | D+32.2 | 56.98% | 39.92% | D+17.1 | R |
178 | 42.85% | 56.21% | R+13.4 | 46.82% | 50.00% | R+3.2 | R |
179 | 92.03% | 7.63% | D+84.4 | 89.49% | 8.95% | D+80.5 | D |
180 | 91.88% | 7.78% | D+84.1 | 90.18% | 8.68% | D+81.5 | D |
181 | 94.57% | 4.54% | D+90 | 92.34% | 5.28% | D+87.1 | D |
182 | 80.77% | 17.83% | D+62.9 | 85.13% | 12.25% | D+72.9 | D |
183 | 46.31% | 52.33% | R+6 | 37.34% | 58.86% | R+21.5 | R |
184 | 74.15% | 24.62% | D+49.5 | 68.00% | 29.12% | D+38.9 | D |
185 | 81.50% | 18.03% | D+63.5 | 77.31% | 21.01% | D+56.3 | D |
186 | 92.45% | 6.89% | D+85.6 | 90.67% | 7.27% | D+83.4 | D |
187 | 41.65% | 56.98% | R+15.3 | 39.49% | 56.43% | R+16.9 | R |
188 | 92.78% | 5.93% | D+86.9 | 93.67% | 3.86% | D+89.8 | D |
189 | 52.75% | 45.91% | D+6.8 | 45.71% | 51.06% | R+5.4 | R |
190 | 97.49% | 2.19% | D+95.3 | 95.73% | 2.77% | D+93 | D |
191 | 97.46% | 2.39% | D+95.1 | 95.90% | 3.11% | D+92.8 | D |
192 | 96.72% | 3.08% | D+93.6 | 95.06% | 3.68% | D+91.4 | D |
193 | 32.78% | 65.92% | R+33.1 | 27.49% | 68.67% | R+41.2 | R |
194 | 70.09% | 28.46% | D+41.6 | 72.03% | 24.29% | D+47.7 | D |
195 | 92.86% | 6.25% | D+86.6 | 92.54% | 5.33% | D+87.2 | D |
196 | 35.76% | 62.90% | R+27.1 | 28.34% | 67.63% | R+39.3 | R |
197 | 97.04% | 2.75% | D+94.3 | 95.62% | 3.52% | D+92.1 | D |
198 | 97.73% | 1.99% | D+95.7 | 96.12% | 2.54% | D+93.6 | D |
199 | 39.71% | 58.82% | R+19.1 | 37.16% | 58.63% | R+21.5 | R |
200 | 94.69% | 4.79% | D+89.9 | 94.29% | 3.97% | D+90.3 | D |
201 | 98.24% | 1.52% | D+96.7 | 96.47% | 2.17% | D+94.3 | D |
202 | 80.92% | 18.39% | D+62.5 | 78.97% | 19.01% | D+60 | D |
203 | 96.00% | 3.80% | D+92.2 | 94.44% | 4.23% | D+90.2 | D |
Total | 52.08% | 46.68% | D+5.4 | 47.85% | 48.58% | R+0.7 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District history
On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Click here for more information about the ruling.
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2016Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Glenn Thompson (R) defeated Kerith Strano Taylor (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent in April.[23][24]
2014Incumbent Glenn Thompson won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He defeated Democratic challenger Kerith Strano Taylor in the general election.
State overviewPartisan controlThis section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Pennsylvania heading into the 2018 elections. Congressional delegation
State executives
State legislature
Trifecta status
2018 elections
Pennsylvania held elections for the following positions in 2018:
Demographics
As of July 2017, Pennsylvania had a population of approximately 12,800,000 people, with its three largest cities being Philadelphia (pop. est. 1.6 million), Pittsburgh (pop. est. 300,000), and Allentown (pop. est. 120,000).[25][26] State election historyThis section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Pennsylvania Department of State. Historical electionsPresidential elections, 2000-2016This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Pennsylvania every year from 2000 to 2016.
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Pennsylvania.
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Pennsylvania in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years. Trifectas, 1992-2017A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office. Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2025
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See also
- Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Times News, "Pennsylvania Supreme Court give Delco 5th Congressional District," Updated February 20, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections presents presidential election results for Pennsylvania's new congressional map," February 26, 2018
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Truthout, "After Pennsylvania Redistricting, Democratic Party Leaders Try to Pick Their Own Primary Winner," March 28, 2018
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Refers to the old district that makes up a plurality of the new district.
- ↑ The old 1st and 11th districts did not make up a plurality of any of the new districts. The 1st District went for Hillary Clinton by 61.3 percentage points and was represented by Bob Brady (D). The 11th District went for Donald Trump by 23.8 percentage points and was represented by Lou Barletta (R).
- ↑ District 13 incumbent Brendan Boyle (D) filed for re-election in the new 2nd District.
- ↑ District 17 incumbent Matt Cartwright (D) filed for re-election in the new 8th District.
- ↑ Lamb was elected in a March 2018 special election to replace Rep. Tim Murphy (R).
- ↑ Lamb filed to run for PA-17 in the 2018 election.
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
- ↑ The new 1st district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 8th District held by Fitzpatrick. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 5th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 7th District held by Meehan. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 6th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 6th District held by Costello. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 7th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 15th District held by Dent. Click here to read more.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Pennsylvania Department of State, "Unofficial Candidate Listing – Pre Ballot Lottery," accessed February 17, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "Pennsylvania Primary Results," April 26, 2016
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Pennsylvania," accessed January 3, 2018
- ↑ Pennsylvania Demographics, "Pennsylvania Cities by Population," accessed January 3, 2018