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Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 15, 2022
Primary: May 17, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+2
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Toss-up
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th
Pennsylvania elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

Incumbent Susan Wild (D) defeated Lisa Scheller (R) in the general election for Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District on November 8, 2022. Wild received 50.8 percent of the vote and Scheller received 49.2 percent. This election was a rematch from 2020, when Wild received 51.9 percent of the vote and Scheller received 48.1 percent.

Wild was elected to the U.S. House in 2018. Before joining Congress, she served as the solicitor for Allentown, Pennsylvania, from 2015 to 2017 and worked as an attorney.[1] Wild made legal access to abortion a key component of her campaign following the Supreme Court's ruling in Whole Woman's Health v. Jackson. Wild said that Scheller had cut jobs based in the United States in favor of overseas positions at her company.[2]

At the time of the 2022 election, Scheller was CEO of Silberline Manufacturing. She served a term on the Lehigh County Board of Commissioners.[3] Scheller campaigned on her experience as CEO and said that she would work to reduce inflation and create jobs in the district. Scheller said that Wild's support of spending bills proposed by the Biden administration led to inflation issues.[2]

Pennsylvania's 7th was a district targeted by the campaign arms of both parties. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) listed it as an official target district and Scheller qualified for the National Republican Congressional Committee's (NRCC) Young Guns program. According to Open Secrets, the DCCC spent $3.9 million on behalf of Wild and the NRCC spent $1.7 million on behalf of Scheller.[4]

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 49.7% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 49.1%.[5]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

Incumbent Susan Wild defeated Lisa Scheller in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Susan Wild
Susan Wild (D)
 
51.0
 
151,364
Image of Lisa Scheller
Lisa Scheller (R)
 
49.0
 
145,527

Total votes: 296,891
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

Incumbent Susan Wild advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Susan Wild
Susan Wild
 
100.0
 
63,817

Total votes: 63,817
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

Lisa Scheller defeated Kevin Dellicker in the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lisa Scheller
Lisa Scheller
 
51.3
 
34,504
Image of Kevin Dellicker
Kevin Dellicker Candidate Connection
 
48.7
 
32,713

Total votes: 67,217
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Susan Wild Democratic Party $7,002,291 $7,027,026 $53,961 As of December 31, 2022
Lisa Scheller Republican Party $6,354,579 $6,432,422 $2,737 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]

Race ratings: Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanToss-upToss-upToss-up
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Pennsylvania in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Pennsylvania, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Pennsylvania U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 1,000 $150.00 3/15/2022 Source
Pennsylvania U.S. House Unaffiliated 2% of largest entire vote cast for a candidate in the district in the last election $150.00 8/1/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Pennsylvania District 7
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Pennsylvania District 7
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Pennsylvania after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[12] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[13]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Pennsylvania
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Pennsylvania's 1st 51.8% 47.2% 52.4% 46.6%
Pennsylvania's 2nd 71.0% 28.3% 70.1% 29.1%
Pennsylvania's 3rd 90.2% 9.3% 91.3% 8.1%
Pennsylvania's 4th 58.9% 40.0% 61.5% 37.4%
Pennsylvania's 5th 65.7% 33.4% 65.1% 34.0%
Pennsylvania's 6th 56.8% 42.0% 56.9% 41.9%
Pennsylvania's 7th 49.7% 49.1% 51.8% 47.0%
Pennsylvania's 8th 48.0% 50.9% 47.3% 51.7%
Pennsylvania's 9th 31.0% 67.5% 34.1% 64.5%
Pennsylvania's 10th 47.2% 51.3% 47.8% 50.7%
Pennsylvania's 11th 38.6% 59.9% 38.3% 60.2%
Pennsylvania's 12th 59.4% 39.5% 64.5% 34.4%
Pennsylvania's 13th 26.8% 72.0% 27.2% 71.6%
Pennsylvania's 14th 33.7% 65.2% 35.7% 63.2%
Pennsylvania's 15th 30.8% 67.8% 27.5% 71.2%
Pennsylvania's 16th 39.0% 59.7% 40.0% 58.7%
Pennsylvania's 17th 52.3% 46.5% 50.7% 48.0%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Pennsylvania.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Pennsylvania in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 9, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Forty-eight candidates filed to run for Pennsylvania’s 17 U.S. House districts, including 23 Democrats and 25 Republicans. That’s 2.82 candidates per district, slightly less than the 2.83 candidates per district in 2020, and less than the 4.66 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census, which resulted in Pennsylvania losing one U.S. House district. The 48 candidates who ran this year were the lowest number of candidates running for Pennsylvania's U.S. House seats since 2016, when a total of 44 candidates filed.

Two seats — the 12th and the 17th — were open, meaning no incumbents filed to run. That’s two more than in 2020, when there were no open seats. There were seven open seats in 2018, two in both 2016 and 2014, and no open seats in 2012.

Rep. Fred Keller (R), who represented the 12th district, retired, and Rep. Conor Lamb (D), who represented the 17th district, ran for the U.S. Senate. Six candidates — one Republican and five Democrats — ran in the 12th district, the most running for one seat this year. Five candidates — three Republicans and two Democrats — ran in the 17th district.

There were five contested Democratic primaries this year, the lowest number since 2016. There were six contested Republican primaries, one more than in 2020, but two less than in 2018.

There were 13 districts where incumbents did not face primary challengers. One district — the 3rd — was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed. Two districts — the 13th and the 14th — were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 7th the 211th most Republican district nationally.[14]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Pennsylvania's 7th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
49.7% 49.1%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2020

Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 16 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[15] R R R R R D D D R R R D D D R D R R R D D D D D D R D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Pennsylvania and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania United States
Population 12,702,379 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 44,742 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 80.5% 72.5%
Black/African American 11.2% 12.7%
Asian 3.4% 5.5%
Native American 0.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Other (single race) 2.2% 4.9%
Multiple 2.5% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 7.3% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 90.5% 88%
College graduation rate 31.4% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $61,744 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 12.4% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 9 10
Republican 1 9 10
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 18 20

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Pennsylvania, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Tom Wolf
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party John Fetterman
Secretary of State Democratic Party Leigh Chapman
Attorney General Democratic Party Josh Shapiro

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Pennsylvania General Assembly as of November 2022.

Pennsylvania State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 21
     Republican Party 28
     Independent 1
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Pennsylvania House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 88
     Republican Party 113
     Vacancies 2
Total 203

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Pennsylvania was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2022
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D
Senate R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

2020

See also: Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election, 2020

Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Republican primary)

Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

Incumbent Susan Wild defeated Lisa Scheller and Anthony Sayegh in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Susan Wild
Susan Wild (D)
 
51.9
 
195,475
Image of Lisa Scheller
Lisa Scheller (R)
 
48.1
 
181,407
Image of Anthony Sayegh
Anthony Sayegh (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
0

Total votes: 376,882
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

Incumbent Susan Wild advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Susan Wild
Susan Wild
 
100.0
 
76,878

Total votes: 76,878
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

Lisa Scheller defeated Dean Browning in the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lisa Scheller
Lisa Scheller
 
52.1
 
29,673
Image of Dean Browning
Dean Browning
 
47.9
 
27,260

Total votes: 56,933
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

Susan Wild defeated Marty Nothstein and Tim Silfies in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Susan Wild
Susan Wild (D)
 
53.5
 
140,813
Image of Marty Nothstein
Marty Nothstein (R)
 
43.5
 
114,437
Image of Tim Silfies
Tim Silfies (L)
 
3.0
 
8,011

Total votes: 263,261
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Susan Wild
Susan Wild
 
33.5
 
15,262
Image of John Morganelli
John Morganelli
 
30.1
 
13,754
Image of Greg Edwards
Greg Edwards
 
25.4
 
11,602
Roger Ruggles
 
5.4
 
2,467
Image of Rick Daugherty
Rick Daugherty
 
3.9
 
1,760
David Clark
 
1.7
 
777

Total votes: 45,622
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

Marty Nothstein defeated Dean Browning in the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marty Nothstein
Marty Nothstein
 
50.5
 
16,241
Image of Dean Browning
Dean Browning
 
49.5
 
15,923

Total votes: 32,164
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Results prior to 2018 redistricting

On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Click here for more information about the ruling.

2016

See also: Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Patrick Meehan (R) defeated Mary Ellen Balchunis (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Meehan defeated Stan Casacio in the Republican primary, while Balchunis defeated Bill Golderer to win the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on April 26, 2016.[16][17]

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 7 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick Meehan Incumbent 59.5% 225,678
     Democratic Mary Ellen Balchunis 40.5% 153,824
Total Votes 379,502
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State


U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 7 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMary Ellen Balchunis 74% 52,792
Bill Golderer 26% 18,509
Total Votes 71,301
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State
U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 7 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick Meehan Incumbent 76.4% 86,178
Stan Casacio 23.6% 26,674
Total Votes 112,852
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State

2014

Patrick Meehan won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He defeated Mary Ellen Balchunis in the general election.

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 7 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick Meehan Incumbent 62% 145,869
     Democratic Mary Ellen Balchunis 38% 89,256
Total Votes 235,125
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State

May 20, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary


See also

Pennsylvania 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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External links

Footnotes

  1. Congresswoman Susan Wild, "About," accessed November 14, 2022
  2. 2.0 2.1 6 ABC, "Pennsylvania House election results: Susan Wild retains seat for Democrats," November 9, 2022
  3. Pennsylvania Capital-Star, "Republican Lisa Scheller making her second bid in 7th Congressional District," October 9, 2022
  4. Open Secrets, "Pennsylvania District 07 2022 Race - Outside Spending," accessed November 14, 2022
  5. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  6. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  7. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  8. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  9. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  10. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  11. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  12. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  13. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  14. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  15. Progressive Party
  16. Pennsylvania Department of State, "Unofficial Candidate Listing – Pre Ballot Lottery," accessed February 17, 2016
  17. The New York Times, "Pennsylvania Primary Results," April 26, 2016
  18. Delco Times, "Rep. Meehan visits Riddle's ER to assess Affordable Care Act implementation," accessed March 11, 2014


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[[Category: Marquee, completed election, 2022]