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Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District election, 2018

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General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 8

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Matt Cartwright
Matt Cartwright (D)
 
54.6
 
135,603
Image of John Chrin
John Chrin (R)
 
45.4
 
112,563

Total votes: 248,166
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2020
2016
Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 20, 2018
Primary: May 15, 2018
General: November 6, 2018
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+1
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
Inside Elections: Lean Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th7th (special)15th (special)18th (special)
Pennsylvania elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 8th Congressional District of Pennsylvania, held elections in 2018.

Heading into the election the incumbent was Matt Cartwright (D), who was first elected in 2012.


Results of 2018 redistricting

On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Candidates on this page were listed under Pennsylvania’s new districts, which were used in the 2018 congressional elections. Click here for more information about the ruling.

The chart below compares this new district with the old district that was the most geographically similar to it.

Old district[1] Prior incumbent Prior 2016 presidential result New 2016 presidential result
17th District Matt Cartwright (D) R+10.1 R+9.5

Not sure which district you're in? Find out here.

Click the box below to see how the new congressional districts compare to the ones in place before the redrawing.


Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 8

Incumbent Matt Cartwright defeated John Chrin in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 8 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Matt Cartwright
Matt Cartwright (D)
 
54.6
 
135,603
Image of John Chrin
John Chrin (R)
 
45.4
 
112,563

Total votes: 248,166
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 8

Incumbent Matt Cartwright advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 8 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Matt Cartwright
Matt Cartwright
 
100.0
 
36,189

Total votes: 36,189
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 8

John Chrin defeated Joe Peters and Robert Kuniegel in the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 8 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Chrin
John Chrin
 
48.5
 
15,221
Image of Joe Peters
Joe Peters
 
34.9
 
10,951
Image of Robert Kuniegel
Robert Kuniegel Candidate Connection
 
16.7
 
5,233

Total votes: 31,405
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+1, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage point more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District the 230th most Republican nationally.[7]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.05. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.05 points toward that party.[8]

Race background

Pennsylvania's 8th District was listed as one of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's initial targets in 2018.[9]

Incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick was included as one of the initial members of the National Republican Congressional Committee's Patriot Program in 2018.[10]

Campaign advertisements

This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party John Chrin

Oppose

"Bailout" - Cartwright for Congress ad, released October 10, 2018


Campaign contributions

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Matt Cartwright Democratic Party $2,432,562 $2,563,832 $429,799 As of December 31, 2018
John Chrin Republican Party $2,989,012 $2,985,348 $3,664 As of December 31, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Democratic district won by Donald Trump

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Democrat and won by Donald Trump in 2016 and Split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections

This district was one of 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election.[11] Some were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.


2018 election results in Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016
District Incumbent 2018 winner 2018 margin 2016 presidential margin 2012 presidential margin
Arizona's 1st Democratic Party Tom O'Halleran Democratic Party Tom O'Halleran D+7.7 Trump+1.1 Romney+2.5
Iowa's 2nd Democratic Party Dave Loebsack Democratic Party Dave Loebsack D+12.2 Trump+4.1 Obama+13.1
Illinois' 17th Democratic Party Cheri Bustos Democratic Party Cheri Bustos D+23.6 Trump+0.7 Obama+17.0
Minnesota's 1st Democratic Party Tim Walz Republican Party Jim Hagedorn R+0.4 Trump+14.9 Obama+1.4
Minnesota's 7th Democratic Party Collin Peterson Democratic Party Collin Peterson D+4.3 Trump+30.8 Romney+9.8
Minnesota's 8th Democratic Party Rick Nolan Republican Party Pete Stauber R+5.5 Trump+15.6 Obama+5.5
New Hampshire's 1st Democratic Party Carol Shea-Porter Democratic Party Chris Pappas D+11.7 Trump+1.6 Obama+1.6
New Jersey's 5th Democratic Party Josh Gottheimer Democratic Party Josh Gottheimer D+11.7 Trump+1.1 Romney+3.1
Nevada's 3rd Democratic Party Jacky Rosen Democratic Party Susie Lee D+9.1 Trump+1.0 Obama+0.8
New York's 18th Democratic Party Sean Patrick Maloney Democratic Party Sean Patrick Maloney D+10.2 Trump+1.9 Obama+4.3
Pennsylvania's 8th Democratic Party Matt Cartwright[12] Democratic Party Matt Cartwright D+9.2 Trump+9.6 Obama+11.9
Pennsylvania's 14th Democratic Party Conor Lamb[13] Republican Party Guy Reschenthaler R+15.9 Trump+29.0 Romney+17.7
Wisconsin's 3rd Democratic Party Ron Kind Democratic Party Ron Kind D+19.4 Trump+4.5 Obama+11.0


Click here to see the 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won.

Click here to see an overview of all split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections.

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District election, Cartwright vs. Chrin
Poll Matt Cartwright (D) John Chrin (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Sasquehanna Polling and Research
(October 28-29, 2018)
57%40%2%+/-4.6446
New York Times / Sienna College
(October 16-19, 2018)
52%40%8%+/-4.7506
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

District history

On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Click here for more information about the ruling.

See also

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 Refers to the old district that makes up a plurality of the new district.
  2. The old 1st and 11th districts did not make up a plurality of any of the new districts. The 1st District went for Hillary Clinton by 61.3 percentage points and was represented by Bob Brady (D). The 11th District went for Donald Trump by 23.8 percentage points and was represented by Lou Barletta (R).
  3. District 13 incumbent Brendan Boyle (D) filed for re-election in the new 2nd District.
  4. District 17 incumbent Matt Cartwright (D) filed for re-election in the new 8th District.
  5. Lamb was elected in a March 2018 special election to replace Rep. Tim Murphy (R).
  6. Lamb filed to run for PA-17 in the 2018 election.
  7. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  8. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  9. DCCC, "House Democrats Playing Offense," January 30, 2017
  10. The Washington Post, "Republicans believe these 10 House incumbents will face the toughest campaigns of 2018," February 15, 2017
  11. This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
  12. The new 8th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 17th District held by Cartwright. Click here to read more.
  13. The new 14th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 18th District Lamb won in a March 2018 special election. Tim Murphy (R) won the old 18th District in the 2016 election. Click here to read more.
  14. Roll Call, "Democrat Kicks Off Race for Open Pennsylvania Seat," accessed January 12, 2014
  15. Politics PA, "PA-8: Warren to Run in 2016," June 24, 2015
  16. Politics PA, "PA-8: Petri Officially Jumps into Congressional Race," October 2, 2015
  17. Ballotpedia Staff, "Email correspondence with Marc Duome," January 11, 2016
  18. Philly.com, "Fitzpatrick's brother aims to succeed him in U.S. House," January 22, 2016
  19. Roll Call, "Democrat Kicks Off Race for Open Pennsylvania Seat," accessed January 12, 2014
  20. Philly.com, "GOP's Petri drops out of Bucks County congressional race," February 1, 2016
  21. Pennsylvania Department of State, "Unofficial Candidate Listing – Pre Ballot Lottery," accessed February 17, 2016
  22. The New York Times, "Pennsylvania Primary Results," April 26, 2016
  23. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  24. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  25. United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Pennsylvania," accessed January 3, 2018
  26. Pennsylvania Demographics, "Pennsylvania Cities by Population," accessed January 3, 2018



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