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Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)

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Governor of Pennsylvania
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 15, 2022
Primary: May 17, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
Pre-election incumbent(s):
Gov. Tom Wolf (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Inside Elections: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2022
Impact of term limits in 2022
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
Pennsylvania
executive elections
Governor

Lieutenant Governor

Doug Mastriano defeated Lou Barletta, Bill McSwain, Dave White, and five other candidates to win the May 17 Republican primary for Governor of Pennsylvania. Incumbent Tom Wolf (D) was term-limited.

The 2022 primary featured the largest number of candidates in a Pennsylvania Republican gubernatorial primary since at least 1978, when Dick Thornburgh won with 33% of the vote.[1]

The state Republican Party decided not to endorse a candidate this year.[2]

Mastriano, a U.S. Army veteran and state representative, focused on his opposition to Covid-19 measures and said he would defend election integrity.[3]Cite error: Closing </ref> missing for <ref> tag Mastriano said voting fraud was prevalent in the 2020 election and criticized McSwain for not supporting Mastriano’s efforts to investigate the results of the election.[4][5] On February 15, 2022, the U.S. House committee investigating the Jan. 6 Capitol breach subpoenaed Mastriano, citing his presence outside the Capitol on the day of the breach and statements he made relating to the selection of delegates to the Electoral College.[6][7][8] On May 14, 2022, former President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Mastriano.[9]

Barletta represented Pennsylvania’s 11th Congressional District from 2011 to 2019 and served as mayor of Hazleton from 2000 to 2010.[10] Barletta campaigned on his public service, saying, "I actually have a record that people can look at, so you won't have to guess what I'll do tomorrow. You can see what I did yesterday."[11] At an April 27 debate, Barletta criticized McSwain for having been a registered Democrat.[5] In May 2022, Jake Corman III and Melissa Hart withdrew from the race and endorsed Barletta. Corman's and Hart's names remained on the May primary ballot because the deadline to withdraw had already passed. [12]

McSwain served in the U.S. Marine Corps and worked as a private attorney before former President Trump appointed him U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania.[13][14] McSwain emphasized his work as a U.S. Attorney, saying, “What the other candidates in this race know about crime, they read in the newspaper. I’m the only one who has actually done something about it.”[15] McSwain criticized Mastriano for voting for Act 77, a law that expanded vote-by-mail in Pennsylvania, and accused Barletta of supporting higher gas taxes. McSwain criticized White for receiving campaign contributions from union political action committees.[16][17]

White served on the Delaware County Council and worked as a steamfitter before founding a mechanical contractors company.[18][19] White said his labor background would help him attract former Democratic blue-collar voters to the GOP. “That’s what differentiates me from the other candidates, is that I’m the only one that’s capable of doing that,” White said.[17] White highlighted a statement from Trump in which the former president told voters not to support McSwain.[20]

Also running in the primary were Joe Gale, Charlie Gerow, and Nche Zama.

Carrie DelRosso won the Republican primary for Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania. DelRosso defeated John Brown, Jeff Coleman, Teddy Daniels, Russell Diamond, Chris Frye, James Jones, Rick Saccone, and Clarice Schillinger. Candidates for governor and lieutenant governor in Pennsylvania run in separate primaries for their party's nomination and then form a joint ticket.

This page focuses on Pennsylvania's Republican Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Pennsylvania's Democratic gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-GOP-Ad-1-Small.png

Election news

Click below to view a timeline leading up to the election, including polling, debates, and other noteworthy events.

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Pennsylvania

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Doug Mastriano
Doug Mastriano
 
43.8
 
591,240
Image of Lou Barletta
Lou Barletta
 
20.3
 
273,252
Image of Bill McSwain
Bill McSwain
 
15.8
 
212,886
Image of David White
David White
 
9.6
 
129,058
Image of Melissa Hart
Melissa Hart
 
4.1
 
54,752
Image of Joe Gale
Joe Gale
 
2.1
 
27,920
Image of Jake Corman III
Jake Corman III (Unofficially withdrew)
 
1.9
 
26,091
Image of Charlie Gerow
Charlie Gerow
 
1.3
 
17,922
Image of Nche Zama
Nche Zama
 
1.2
 
16,238

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 1,349,359
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Lou Barletta

Image of Lou Barletta

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Barletta grew up in Hazleton, Pennsylvania, and attended Bloomsburg University. At 28, he founded a pavement marking business with his wife, Mary Grace, which, according to Barletta, became the largest of its kind in Pennsylvania. Barletta served as a member of the Hazleton City Council from 1998-to 2000 and represented Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District from 2011 to 2019.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Barletta's campaign website said, "Barletta will be a champion of the production of coal, oil, and natural gas, which are industries targeted by liberals intent on taking those jobs away from our citizens." 

Barletta highlighted his experience in public office, saying, "I actually have a record that people can look at, so you won't have to guess what I'll do tomorrow. You can see what I did yesterday."

Barletta's campaign website said, "[he] understands that government’s best role often can be to get out of the way and let private citizens create jobs and grow the economy. That means keeping taxes low and reducing regulations to free Pennsylvanians to thrive." 

Show sources

Sources: Lou Barletta Governor, "issues" accessed April 27, 2022; WGAL8, "One-on-one with Pennsylvania gubernatorial candidate Lou Barletta," April 10, 2022; Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "BARLETTA, Lou," accessed April 27, 2022; Lou Barletta Governor, "About" accessed April 27, 2022 https://www.loubarletta.com/about

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022.

Doug Mastriano

Image of Doug Mastriano

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Pennsylvania State Senate - District 33 (Assumed office: 2019)

Biography:  Mastriano received a B.A. in history from Eastern University, multiple graduate degrees while serving in the U.S. Army, and a Ph.D. in history from the University of New Brunswick. He served in the U.S. Army from 1988 to 2017, including as a professor at the U.S. Army War College from 2012 to 2017.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Mastriano campaigned on rescinding the Wolf administration's pandemic executive orders and ending all mandates. At his campaign announcement, he said, "My first day as Governor, we will end all vaccine requirements. We will roll back any mask mandates."

Following the Supreme Court decision in Dobbs, Mastriano called on the general assembly to vote on his bill restricting abortion after detecting a fetal heartbeat. On his campaign website, Mastriano said, "We will fight to protect life of all people, the elderly and the unborn." 

Mastriano's campaign website listed restoring confidence in election integrity as a key policy goal. Mastriano said he would eliminate no excuse mail-in voting and ballot drop boxes, enact universal voter identification laws, and prohibit the use of private donations to fund election administration.

Show sources

Sources: Doug Mastriano for Governor, "The Plan," accessed April 27, 2022 ; Senator Mastriano, "Mastriano Provides Statement on the Impending Overturn of Roe v. Wade," May 3, 2022; Senator Mastriano, "Biography," accessed April 27, 2022

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022.

Bill McSwain

Image of Bill McSwain

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  McSwain served in the U.S. Marine Corps from 1993 to 1997. He earned a B.A. in economics from Yale University in 1991 and a J.D. from Harvard Law School in 2000. McSwain was a litigation attorney at Dechert LLP from 2001 to 2003 and a partner at the law firm Drinker Biddle & Reath from 2006 to 2018. As of April 2022, he was a partner at Duane Morris LLP.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

McSwain's campaign website said, "As Governor, Bill will continue to stand for law and order, support our police and never allow radical politicians to defund them."

McSwain's campaign website said, "[McSwain will] lower Pennsylvania’s tax burden on working families, cut unnecessary and costly red tape that increases the cost of operating a small business, empower small businesses to grow and create more jobs, and rein in out-of-control spending in Harrisburg."

McSwain said, "We will have no irrational and unscientific closings, and no heavy handed state dictates about how Pennsylvanians live their lives."

Show sources

Sources: Bill McSwain for Governor, "Issues," accessed April 27, 2022; Bill McSwain for Governor, "Videos," accessed April 27, 2022; Linkedin, "Bill McSwain," accessed April 27, 2022

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022.

David White

Image of David White

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Member - Delaware County Council (2012-2017)

Biography:  White worked as a steamfitter. After working 40 years in HVAC installation and servicing, White founded DWD Mechanical Contractor Inc. in 2005.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

White's campaign website said, "As Governor, Dave looks forward to working to protect the sanctity of life. Dave will dedicate his administration’s work on pro-life causes to his son Brian, who as a special needs son reinforced Dave’s belief in the sanctity of every life." 

In an op-ed, White wrote, "As governor of Pennsylvania, one of the first things I would do is reinstate [City Revitalization Improvement Zone] that will help not only Erie but all of the third-class cities in Pennsylvania." 

White's campaign website said, "as Governor, Dave White will sign curriculum transparency legislation, ban the teaching of the radical Critical Race Theory in schools, and finally give Pennsylvania’s parents the ability to decide what kind of education is best for their child."

Show sources

Sources: Dave White for Governor, "***ICYMI*** Dave White Vows To Fight For Forgotten Pennsylvania Communities," March 2, 2022; Dave White for Governor, "Dave's Plans," accessed April 27, 2022; Dave White for Governor, "Meet Dave," accessed April 27, 2022

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.


Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Lou Barletta

April 18, 2022
January 18, 2022

View more ads here:


Republican Party Jake Corman

April 26, 2022
March 4, 2022
February 7, 2022

View more ads here:


Republican Party Joe Gale

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Joe Gale while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.


Republican Party Charlie Gerow

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Charlie Gerow while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.


Republican Party Melissa Hart

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Melissa Hart while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.


Republican Party Doug Mastriano

April 25, 2022
April 25, 2022
April 25, 2022

View more ads here:


Republican Party Bill McSwain

April 24, 2022
April 21, 2022
April 6, 2022

View more ads here:


Republican Party Dave White

April 14, 2022
January 3, 2022
December 7, 2021

View more ads here:


Republican Party Nche Zama

June 29, 2021
June 1, 2021

View more ads here:


Debates and forums

April 27 debate

On April 27, 2022, Barletta, Mastriano, McSwain, and White participated in a debate hosted by the WPXI-TV and Nextar Media Inc.[27]

Click on the link below for a summary of the event:

News and conflicts in this primary

This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Republican gubernatorial primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Republican primary endorsements
Endorser Republican Party Lou Barletta Republican Party Jake Corman III Republican Party Doug Mastriano Republican Party David White
Government officials
U.S. Rep. Ronny L. Jackson (R)  source ✔      
State Sen. Jake Corman III (R)  source ✔      
Individuals
Frmr. Senior Counselor to the President Kellyanne Conway  source   ✔    
Frmr. National Security Advisor Michael Flynn  source     ✔  
Frmr. Ambassador Richard Grenell  source       ✔
Frmr. gubernatorial candidate Melissa Hart  source ✔      
Frmr. President Donald Trump  source     ✔  
Organizations
Butler County Republican Committee  source       ✔
Montgomery County Republican Committee  source       ✔

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[31] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[32] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.


Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2022: Republican Primary election polls
Poll Date Republican Party Barletta Republican Party Corman Republican Party Gale Republican Party Gerow Republican Party Hart Republican Party Mastriano Republican Party McSwain Republican Party White Republican Party Zama Undecided None Someone else Margin of error Sample size[33] Sponsor[34]
Emerson College May 14-May 15, 2022 22% 2% 1% 3% 1% 34% 12% 9% 1% 15% -- -- ± 3 1000 LV N/A
The Trafalgar Group May 6-May 8, 2022 18% 5% 3% 2% 4% 28% 14% 15% -- 11% -- -- ± 3 1080 LV N/A
FOX News May 3-May 7, 2022 17% 5% 2% 1% 4% 29% 13% 11% 1% 15% 1% 1% ± 3 1001 RV N/A
Franklin & Marshall April 20-May 1, 2022 11% 1% 1% 1% 2% 20% 12% 8% 2% 34% 2% 5% ± 6.9 325 RV N/A
The Trafalgar Group April 11-13 2022 19% 3% 2% 1% 3% 22% 17% 11% 2% 20% -- -- ± 3% 1074 LV N/A
Emerson College April 3-4 2022 20% 4% 3% 3% 3% 19% 8% 12% 2% 27% -- -- ± 3% 1000 LV The Hill
Franklin & Marshall March 30-April 10, 2022 10% 2% 3% 1% 3% 15% 12% 5% 0% 40% 1% 7% ± 6.6 317 RV N/A

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[35]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[36][37][38]

Race ratings: Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

Noteworthy events

Corman's and Hart's withdrawal from the race and endorsement of Barletta (2022)

On May 12, 2022, Jake Corman withdrew from the race and endorsed Barletta, saying, "It's time for me to step aside and support someone who can win in the fall." On May 13, Melissa Hart withdrew and endorsed Barletta as well. Hart wrote, "I've endorsed a man who shares my values and a love of PA. He is in a strong position to win now AND in November." Corman's and Hart's names remained on the May primary ballot because the deadline to withdraw had already passed.[39][40]

Election context

2022

See also: Pennsylvania gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2022

General election

General election for Governor of Pennsylvania

Josh Shapiro defeated Doug Mastriano, Matt Hackenburg, Christina Digiulio, and Joseph Soloski in the general election for Governor of Pennsylvania on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Josh Shapiro
Josh Shapiro (D)
 
56.5
 
3,031,137
Image of Doug Mastriano
Doug Mastriano (R)
 
41.7
 
2,238,477
Image of Matt Hackenburg
Matt Hackenburg (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.0
 
51,611
Image of Christina Digiulio
Christina Digiulio (G) Candidate Connection
 
0.5
 
24,436
Image of Joseph Soloski
Joseph Soloski (Keystone Party of Pennsylvania) Candidate Connection
 
0.4
 
20,518

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 5,366,179
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of Pennsylvania

Josh Shapiro advanced from the Democratic primary for Governor of Pennsylvania on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Josh Shapiro
Josh Shapiro
 
100.0
 
1,227,151

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 1,227,151
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Pennsylvania

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for Governor of Pennsylvania on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Doug Mastriano
Doug Mastriano
 
43.8
 
591,240
Image of Lou Barletta
Lou Barletta
 
20.3
 
273,252
Image of Bill McSwain
Bill McSwain
 
15.8
 
212,886
Image of David White
David White
 
9.6
 
129,058
Image of Melissa Hart
Melissa Hart
 
4.1
 
54,752
Image of Joe Gale
Joe Gale
 
2.1
 
27,920
Image of Jake Corman III
Jake Corman III (Unofficially withdrew)
 
1.9
 
26,091
Image of Charlie Gerow
Charlie Gerow
 
1.3
 
17,922
Image of Nche Zama
Nche Zama
 
1.2
 
16,238

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 1,349,359
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Pennsylvania gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2018

General election

General election for Governor of Pennsylvania

Incumbent Tom Wolf defeated Scott Wagner, Ken Krawchuk, and Paul Glover in the general election for Governor of Pennsylvania on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Tom Wolf
Tom Wolf (D)
 
57.8
 
2,895,652
Image of Scott Wagner
Scott Wagner (R)
 
40.7
 
2,039,882
Image of Ken Krawchuk
Ken Krawchuk (L)
 
1.0
 
49,229
Image of Paul Glover
Paul Glover (G)
 
0.6
 
27,792

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 5,012,555
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of Pennsylvania

Incumbent Tom Wolf advanced from the Democratic primary for Governor of Pennsylvania on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Tom Wolf
Tom Wolf
 
100.0
 
749,812

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 749,812
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Pennsylvania

Scott Wagner defeated Paul Mango and Laura Ellsworth in the Republican primary for Governor of Pennsylvania on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Scott Wagner
Scott Wagner
 
44.3
 
326,612
Image of Paul Mango
Paul Mango
 
36.9
 
271,857
Image of Laura Ellsworth
Laura Ellsworth
 
18.8
 
138,843

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 737,312
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Full history

2014

See also: Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2014

Democrat Tom Wolf won election on November 4, 2014.

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTom Wolf/Mike Stack 54.9% 1,920,355
     Republican Tom Corbett/Jim Cawley Incumbent 45.1% 1,575,511
Total Votes 3,495,866
Election results via Pennsylvania Department of State

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also: Presidential voting trends in Pennsylvania and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Pennsylvania, 2022
District Incumbent Party PVI
Pennsylvania's 1st Brian Fitzpatrick Ends.png Republican Even
Pennsylvania's 2nd Brendan Boyle Electiondot.png Democratic D+20
Pennsylvania's 3rd Dwight Evans Electiondot.png Democratic D+39
Pennsylvania's 4th Madeleine Dean Electiondot.png Democratic D+7
Pennsylvania's 5th Mary Gay Scanlon Electiondot.png Democratic D+14
Pennsylvania's 6th Chrissy Houlahan Electiondot.png Democratic D+5
Pennsylvania's 7th Susan Wild Electiondot.png Democratic R+2
Pennsylvania's 8th Matt Cartwright Electiondot.png Democratic R+4
Pennsylvania's 9th Dan Meuser Ends.png Republican R+21
Pennsylvania's 10th Scott Perry Ends.png Republican R+5
Pennsylvania's 11th Lloyd Smucker Ends.png Republican R+13
Pennsylvania's 12th Open Electiondot.png Democratic D+8
Pennsylvania's 13th John Joyce Ends.png Republican R+25
Pennsylvania's 14th Guy Reschenthaler Ends.png Republican R+18
Pennsylvania's 15th Glenn Thompson Ends.png Republican R+21
Pennsylvania's 16th Mike Kelly Ends.png Republican R+13
Pennsylvania's 17th Open Electiondot.png Democratic Even


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Pennsylvania[41]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Pennsylvania's 1st 51.8% 47.2%
Pennsylvania's 2nd 71.0% 28.3%
Pennsylvania's 3rd 90.2% 9.3%
Pennsylvania's 4th 58.9% 40.0%
Pennsylvania's 5th 65.7% 33.4%
Pennsylvania's 6th 56.8% 42.0%
Pennsylvania's 7th 49.7% 49.1%
Pennsylvania's 8th 48.0% 50.9%
Pennsylvania's 9th 31.0% 67.5%
Pennsylvania's 10th 47.2% 51.3%
Pennsylvania's 11th 38.6% 59.9%
Pennsylvania's 12th 59.4% 39.5%
Pennsylvania's 13th 26.8% 72.0%
Pennsylvania's 14th 33.7% 65.2%
Pennsylvania's 15th 30.8% 67.8%
Pennsylvania's 16th 39.0% 59.7%
Pennsylvania's 17th 52.3% 46.5%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 47.2% of Pennsylvanians lived in one of the state's 10 Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 41.7% lived in one of 53 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Pennsylvania was Battleground Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Pennsylvania following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 16 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[42] R R R R R D D D R R R D D D R D R R R D D D D D D R D

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Pennsylvania

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania.

U.S. Senate election results in Pennsylvania
Race Winner Runner up
2018 55.7%Democratic Party 42.6%Republican Party
2016 48.9%Republican Party 47.2%Democratic Party
2012 53.7%Democratic Party 44.6%Republican Party
2010 51.0%Republican Party 49.0%Democratic Party
2006 58.7%Democratic Party 41.3%Republican Party
Average 53.6 44.9

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Pennsylvania

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Pennsylvania.

Gubernatorial election results in Pennsylvania
Race Winner Runner up
2018 57.8%Democratic Party 40.7%Republican Party
2014 54.9%Democratic Party 45.1%Republican Party
2010 54.5%Republican Party 45.5%Democratic Party
2006 60.3%Democratic Party 39.6%Republican Party
2002 53.4%Democratic Party 44.4%Republican Party
Average 56.2 43.1

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 9 10
Republican 1 9 10
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 18 20

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Pennsylvania, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Tom Wolf
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party John Fetterman
Secretary of State Democratic Party Leigh Chapman
Attorney General Democratic Party Josh Shapiro

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Pennsylvania General Assembly as of November 2022.

Pennsylvania State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 21
     Republican Party 28
     Independent 1
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Pennsylvania House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 88
     Republican Party 113
     Vacancies 2
Total 203

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Pennsylvania was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2022
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D
Senate R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Pennsylvania and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania United States
Population 13,002,700 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 44,741 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 79.4% 70.4%
Black/African American 11.1% 12.6%
Asian 3.5% 5.6%
Native American 0.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Other (single race) 2.4% 5.1%
Multiple 3.4% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 7.6% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 91% 88.5%
College graduation rate 32.3% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $63,627 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 12% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


2022 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

See also

Pennsylvania State Executive Elections News and Analysis
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Partisan composition of governors

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ The Philadelphia Inquirer, "Doug Mastriano is leading the Pa. primary for governor and Republican insiders are trying to stop him," April 29, 2022
  2. ↑ AP News, "Big GOP primary field for governor has party leaders worried," March 17, 2022
  3. ↑ Doug Mastriano Governor, "The Plan," accessed May 1, 2022
  4. ↑ Senator Doug Mastriano, "Op-Ed: Election Fraud & the Destruction of our Republic," December 18, 2020
  5. ↑ 5.0 5.1 The Philadelphia Inquirer, "4 takeaways from Wednesday night’s Pennsylvania Republican governor’s debate," May 1, 2022
  6. ↑ Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the United States Capitol, "Letter to Mastriano," February 15, 2022
  7. ↑ Why, "Pa. Sen. Doug Mastriano subpoenaed by Jan. 6 committee," February 15, 2022
  8. ↑ CBS Pittsburgh, "Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Candidate Subpoenaed By Jan. 6 Committee Silent On Request," March 12, 2022
  9. ↑ 9.0 9.1 Associated Press, "Trump backs Mastriano in Pennsylvania GOP governor primary," May 14, 2022
  10. ↑ History, Art, & Archives United States House of Representatives, "BARLETTA, Lou," accessed May 1, 2022
  11. ↑ WGAL, "One-on-one with Pennsylvania gubernatorial candidate Lou Barletta," April 10, 2022
  12. ↑ WGAL, "Corman drops out of Pennsylvania governor race," May 12, 2022
  13. ↑ Linkedin, 'Bill McSwain," accessed May 1, 2022
  14. ↑ McSwain for Governor, "ABOUT," accessed May 1, 2022
  15. ↑ McSwain for Governor, "MCSWAIN PLAN TO RESTORE LAW AND ORDER," accessed My 1, 2022
  16. ↑ Centre Daily Times, "Staring down Trump and chasing front-runners, McSwain goes on offense in governor’s race," April 29, 2022
  17. ↑ 17.0 17.1 WSKG, "Amid Trump-initiated turbulence in the Pennsylvania governor race, Dave White makes his move," April 26, 2022
  18. ↑ Dave White for Governor, "Meet Dave," accessed May 1, 2022
  19. ↑ Daily Times, "Former Delco councilman Dave White announces bid for GOP gubernatorial nomination," November 7, 2021
  20. ↑ WHYY, "Amid Trump-initiated turbulence in the Pa. governor race, Dave White makes his move," April 25, 2022
  21. ↑ Emerson College Polling, "Pennsylvania 2022 Poll: Oz Leads as Barnette Surges, McCormick Stays in Contention in Final Stage of GOP Senate Race," accessed May 16, 2022
  22. ↑ Twitter, "Melissa Hart," May 14, 2022
  23. ↑ WGAL, "Corman drops out of Pennsylvania governor race," May 12, 2022
  24. ↑ Fox News Poll, "PENNSYLVANIA 2022 GOP PRIMARIES," accessed May 12, 2022
  25. ↑ The Trafalgar Group, "Pennsylvania GOP Primary Statewide Survey," accessed May 12, 2022
  26. ↑ Franklin & Marshall College, " Franklin & Marshall College Poll: May 2022," accessed May 12, 2022
  27. ↑ 27.0 27.1 WXPI-TV, “April 27 debate recording,” April 27, 2022
  28. ↑ The Trafalgar Group, " Pennsylvania GOP Primary Statewide Survey," accessed May 1, 2022
  29. ↑ Emerson Polling, "Pennsylvania 2022 GOP Poll," April 7, 2022
  30. ↑ [https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-KHupfGszGbdtV3H7ygDdS8-Mb-0BTUf/view Franklin & Marshall College Polling, "Franklin & Marshall College Poll," April 7, 2022]
  31. ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  32. ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  33. ↑ RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  34. ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  35. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  36. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  37. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  38. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  39. ↑ Twitter, "Melissa Hart," May 14, 2022
  40. ↑ WGAL, "Corman drops out of Pennsylvania governor race," May 12, 2022
  41. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
  42. ↑ Progressive Party
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