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Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2026 (May 19 Democratic primary)

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2022
Governor of Pennsylvania
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 10, 2026
Primary: May 19, 2026
General: November 3, 2026
How to vote
Poll times:

7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania

Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Inside Elections: Likely Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2026
Impact of term limits in 2026
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026
Pennsylvania
executive elections
Governor

Lieutenant Governor

A Democratic Party primary takes place on May 19, 2026, in Pennsylvania to determine which candidate will earn the right to run as the party's nominee in the state's gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026.


Pennsylvania holds separate gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial primaries, but the nominees run together on a single ticket in the general election.

This page focuses on Pennsylvania's Democratic Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Pennsylvania's Republican gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Note: The following list includes official candidates only. Ballotpedia defines official candidates as people who:

  • Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline
  • Appear on candidate lists released by government election agencies

Democratic primary

Democratic primary for Governor of Pennsylvania

Incumbent Josh Shapiro (D) is running in the Democratic primary for Governor of Pennsylvania on May 19, 2026.

Candidate
Image of Josh Shapiro
Josh Shapiro

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate profiles

There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Pennsylvania

Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.


See also: Presidential voting trends in Pennsylvania and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

2024 presidential results by 2026 congressional district lines

2024 presidential results in congressional districts, Pennsylvania
DistrictKamala Harris Democratic PartyDonald Trump Republican Party
Pennsylvania's 1st49.7%49.4%
Pennsylvania's 2nd67.0%32.0%
Pennsylvania's 3rd88.0%11.0%
Pennsylvania's 4th57.0%42.0%
Pennsylvania's 5th64.0%35.0%
Pennsylvania's 6th55.0%44.0%
Pennsylvania's 7th48.0%51.0%
Pennsylvania's 8th45.0%54.0%
Pennsylvania's 9th31.0%69.0%
Pennsylvania's 10th47.0%52.0%
Pennsylvania's 11th39.0%60.0%
Pennsylvania's 12th59.0%40.0%
Pennsylvania's 13th27.0%72.0%
Pennsylvania's 14th33.0%66.0%
Pennsylvania's 15th31.0%69.0%
Pennsylvania's 16th38.0%61.0%
Pennsylvania's 17th52.0%47.0%
Source: The Downballot

2016-2024

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2016, 2020, and 2024 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2024 presidential election, 44.8% of Pennsylvanians lived in one of the state's 9 Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2016 to 2024, and 44.4% lived in one of 54 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Pennsylvania was Battleground Republican, having voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016, Joe Biden (D) in 2020, and Donald Trump (R) in 2024. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Pennsylvania following the 2024 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2024)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 17 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Winning Party R R R P[1] R R R R R D D D R R R D D D R D R R R D D D D D D R D R

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Pennsylvania

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania.

U.S. Senate election results in Pennsylvania
RaceWinnerRunner up
202448.8%Republican Party48.6%Democratic Party
202251.2%Democratic Party46.3%Republican Party
201855.7%Democratic Party42.6%Republican Party
201648.9%Republican Party47.2%Democratic Party
201253.7%Democratic Party44.6%Republican Party
Average51.745.9

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Pennsylvania

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Pennsylvania.

Gubernatorial election results in Pennsylvania
RaceWinnerRunner up
202256.5%Democratic Party41.7%Republican Party
201857.8%Democratic Party40.7%Republican Party
201454.9%Democratic Party45.1%Republican Party
201054.5%Republican Party45.5%Democratic Party
200660.3%Democratic Party39.6%Republican Party
Average56.842.5
See also: Party control of Pennsylvania state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of October 2025.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 7 8
Republican 1 10 11
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 17 19

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of October 2025.

State executive officials in Pennsylvania, October 2025
OfficeOfficeholder
GovernorDemocratic Party Josh Shapiro
Lieutenant GovernorDemocratic Party Austin Davis
Secretary of StateRepublican Party Al Schmidt
Attorney GeneralRepublican Party Dave Sunday

State legislature

Pennsylvania State Senate

Party As of January 2026
     Democratic Party 23
     Republican Party 27
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Pennsylvania House of Representatives

Party As of January 2026
     Democratic Party 100
     Republican Party 99
     Other 0
     Vacancies 4
Total 203

Trifecta control

Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2025
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D

The table below details demographic data in Pennsylvania and compares it to the broader United States as of 2023.

Demographic Data for Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania United States
Population 13,002,700 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 44,741 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 75.8% 63.4%
Black/African American 10.7% 12.4%
Asian 3.7% 5.8%
Native American 0.2% 0.9%
Pacific Islander 0.3% 0.4%
Other (single race) 3.4% 6.6%
Multiple 6.1% 10.7%
Hispanic/Latino 8.4% 19%
Education
High school graduation rate 91.9% 89.4%
College graduation rate 34.5% 35%
Income
Median household income $76,081 $78,538
Persons below poverty level 11.8% 12.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2018-2023).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

State profile

Demographic data for Pennsylvania
 PennsylvaniaU.S.
Total population:12,791,904316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):44,7433,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:81.6%73.6%
Black/African American:11%12.6%
Asian:3.1%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.1%3%
Hispanic/Latino:6.4%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:89.2%86.7%
College graduation rate:28.6%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$53,599$53,889
Persons below poverty level:15.9%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Pennsylvania.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

Presidential voting pattern

See also: Presidential voting trends in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania voted for the Democratic candidate in five out of the seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.

Pivot Counties (2016)

Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, three are located in Pennsylvania, accounting for 1.46 percent of the total pivot counties.[2]

Pivot Counties (2020)

In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. Pennsylvania had one Retained Pivot County and two Boomerang Pivot Counties, accounting for 0.55 and 8.00 percent of all Retained and Boomerang Pivot Counties, respectively.

More Pennsylvania coverage on Ballotpedia

See also

Pennsylvania State Executive Elections News and Analysis
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Pennsylvania State Executive Offices
Pennsylvania State Legislature
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Pennsylvania elections: 20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Party control of state government
State government trifectas
State of the state addresses
Partisan composition of governors

External links

Footnotes

  1. Progressive Party
  2. The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.