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Pliny's Point on June 14, 2017
June 14, 2017: An average of recent polls shows President Trump's approval rating at 39 percent, its lowest point since he took office. An average of 55 percent disapprove of the president's job performance. A poll released by Gallup on June 13 indicated a 36 percent approval rating, causing the average to fall below 40 percent for the first time, despite a new Politico / Morning Consult poll that showed the President's approval at 45 percent.[1]
Source | Date range | Sample size | Job approval rating | Margin of error (+/-) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Politico/Morning Consult[2] | 6/8 - 6/12 | 1,990 registered voters | 45% | 2% |
Gallup[3] | 6/10 - 6/12 | 1,500 adults | 36% | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports[4] | 6/8 - 6/12 | 1,500 likely voters | 43% | 2.5% |
Public Policy Polling[5] | 6/9 - 6/11 | 811 registered voters | 41% | 3.4% |
Reuters/Ipsos[6] | 6/2 - 6/6 | 2,371 adults | 38% | 2.3% |
IBD/TIPP[7] | 5/30 - 6/6 | 903 adults | 37% | 3.3% |
Economist/YouGov[8] | 6/4 - 6/6 | 1,288 registered voters | 40% | 3.2% |
Quinnipiac University[9] | 5/31 - 6/6 | 1,361 registered voters | 34% | 3.2% |
Fox News[10] | 5/21 - 5/23 | 1,011 registered voters | 40% | 3% |
A study by FiveThirtyEight found that variances in polls about President Trump's favorability stemmed primarily from the collection method. Polls of registered or likely voters tended to be more favorable to Trump than those that polled adults generally. Automated or online polls also resulted in more favorable rankings than those conducted with live phone calls. The data for these findings was taken from polls conducted between Feb. 1 and Feb. 19, 2017.[11] For more on the types of polling methods used in Ballotpedia's polling averages, see Pliny's Point polling methodology.
Methodology
For Ballotpedia's presidential approval, congressional approval, and direction of the country polling results, we take an average of the most recent polls on one or more of these topics conducted by 12 sources. Polls may be included in the average for up to 30 days, though this timeline may be adjusted to account for major news events as we attempt to balance the need for a larger sample of results with the need to remove outdated information. For a full description of our methodology and polling explanations, see: Ballotpedia's Polling Indexes.
What's in a name?
Pliny the Elder, a scholar from the Roman Empire, is most well known for writing the encyclopedic work Naturalis Historia, or “Natural History.” His extremely thorough work covered everything from botany to technology. Naturalis Historia, one of the largest Roman works that still exists from the first century A.D., became an example for future encyclopedic works through its formatting, references, and comprehensiveness.
Today, Ballotpedia works to preserve and expand knowledge, just like Pliny did hundreds of years ago. One of the features of Ballotpedia, the encyclopedia of American politics, was a daily statistic called Pliny’s Point. Each day, between January 20, 2017 and September 1, 2017, readers learned where Americans stood on the direction of the country, or their approval of elected officials.
Click here for more Pliny's Point articles.
See also
Ballotpedia daily polling averages:
Stay in the know:
- The Weekly Brew
- The Daily Brew
- You're Hired: Tracking the Trump Administration Transition, 2016-2017
- Policy issues under the Trump administration, 2017-2021
- 115th United States Congress
- Special elections to the 115th United States Congress (2017-2018)
Footnotes
- ↑ Real Clear Politics, "President Trump Job Approval," accessed June 12, 2017
- ↑ Politico/Morning Consult, "National Tracking Poll," June 8 - 12, 2017
- ↑ Gallup, "Trump Job Approval," accessed June 14, 2017
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, "Trump Approval Index History," accessed June 14, 2017
- ↑ Public Policy Polling, "Plurality of Voters Think Trump Obstructed Justice ," June 12, 2017
- ↑ Ipsos, "Ipsos Poll Conducted for Reuters: Core Political Data," June 7, 2017
- ↑ Investors.com, "Trump's Approval Drops As His Spending, Tax Cut Plans Gain Wide Support: IBD/TIPP Poll," June 7, 2017
- ↑ YouGov, "The Economist/YouGov Poll," June 4 - June 6, 2017
- ↑ Quinnipiac University Poll, "Trump ties to Russia are illegal or unethical, U.S. voters tell Quinnipiac University National Poll" May 31 - June 6, 2017
- ↑ Fox News "Fox News Poll: May 24, 2017," May 24, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Why Polls Differ On Trump’s Popularity," February 20, 2017