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Pliny's Point on May 19, 2017
May 19, 2017: The average approval rating for President Donald Trump, based on an average of recent polls, is 40 percent. This is the lowest rating in over six weeks, though he has remained within 41-43 percent range during that time. A new poll from Politico/Morning Consult gave him a 41 percent approval rating.
Source | Date range | Sample size | Job approval rating | Margin of error (+/-) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Politico/Morning Consult[1] | 5/16 - 5/18 | 1,970 registered voters | 41% | 2% |
Gallup[2] | 5/15 - 5/17 | 1,500 adults | 38% | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports[3] | 5/15 - 5/17 | 1,500 likely voters | 44% | 2.5% |
Economist/YouGov[4] | 5/13 - 5/16 | 1,298 registered voters | 39% | 3.2% |
Reuters/Ipsos[5] | 5/12 - 5/16 | 1,868 adults | 39% | 2.6% |
Public Policy Polling[6] | 5/12 - 5/14 | 648 registered voters | 40% | 3.9% |
Wall Street Journal/NBC[7] | 5/11 - 5/13 | 800 adults | 39% | 3.46% |
Quinnipiac University[8] | 5/4 - 5/9 | 1,078 registered voters | 36% | 3% |
IBD/TIPP[9] | 4/28 - 5/4 | 904 adults | 39% | 3.3% |
Fox News[10] | 4/23 - 4/25 | 1,009 registered voters | 45% | 3% |
CBS News[11] | 4/21 - 4/24 | 1,214 adults | 41% | 3% |
Washington Post/ABC[12] | 4/17 - 4/20 | 1,004 adults | 42% | 3.5% |
A study by FiveThirtyEight found that variances in polls about President Trump's favorability stemmed primarily from the collection method. Polls of registered or likely voters tended to be more favorable to Trump than those that polled adults generally. Automated or online polls also resulted in more favorable rankings than those conducted with live phone calls. The data for these findings was taken from polls conducted between Feb. 1 and Feb. 19, 2017.[13] For more on the types of polling methods used in Ballotpedia's polling averages, see Pliny's Point polling methodology.
Methodology
For Ballotpedia's presidential approval, congressional approval, and direction of the country polling results, we take an average of the most recent polls on one or more of these topics conducted by 12 sources. Polls may be included in the average for up to 30 days, though this timeline may be adjusted to account for major news events as we attempt to balance the need for a larger sample of results with the need to remove outdated information. For a full description of our methodology and polling explanations, see: Ballotpedia's Polling Indexes.
What's in a name?
Pliny the Elder, a scholar from the Roman Empire, is most well known for writing the encyclopedic work Naturalis Historia, or “Natural History.” His extremely thorough work covered everything from botany to technology. Naturalis Historia, one of the largest Roman works that still exists from the first century A.D., became an example for future encyclopedic works through its formatting, references, and comprehensiveness.
Today, Ballotpedia works to preserve and expand knowledge, just like Pliny did hundreds of years ago. One of the features of Ballotpedia, the encyclopedia of American politics, was a daily statistic called Pliny’s Point. Each day, between January 20, 2017 and September 1, 2017, readers learned where Americans stood on the direction of the country, or their approval of elected officials.
Click here for more Pliny's Point articles.
See also
Ballotpedia daily polling averages:
Stay in the know:
- The Weekly Brew
- The Daily Brew
- You're Hired: Tracking the Trump Administration Transition, 2016-2017
- Policy issues under the Trump administration, 2017-2021
- 115th United States Congress
- Special elections to the 115th United States Congress (2017-2018)
Footnotes
- ↑ Politico/Morning Consult, "National Tracking Poll," May 16-18, 2017
- ↑ Gallup, "Trump Job Approval," accessed May 19, 2017
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports, "Trump Approval Index History," accessed May 19, 2017
- ↑ YouGov, "The Economist/YouGov Poll," May 13 - May 16, 2017
- ↑ Ipsos, "Ipsos Poll Conducted for Reuters: Core Political Data," May 10, 2017
- ↑ Public Policy Polling, "Democrats Have Big Enthusiasm Edge for 2018," April 20, 2017
- ↑ NBC News / Wall Street Journal, "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey," May 16, 2017
- ↑ Quinnipiac University Poll, " U.S. VOTERS SEND TRUMP APPROVAL TO NEAR RECORD LOW; QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; NO WINNER IN MEDIA WAR, BUT VOTERS TRUST MEDIA MORE," May 10, 2017
- ↑ Investor's Business Daily, "Trump's Approval Climbs As His Tax Cut Plan Wins Strong Support — IBD/TIPP Poll," May 8, 2017
- ↑ Fox News "President Trump's first 100 days," accessed April 27, 2017
- ↑ CBS News, "100 days: Sharp partisan divides mark Trump presidency - CBS News poll," April 26, 2017
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Washington Post-ABC New Poll," April 17-20, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Why Polls Differ On Trump’s Popularity," February 20, 2017