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Presidential battleground states, 2020
From Ballotpedia
Date: November 3, 2020 |
 Donald Trump Joe Biden Howie Hawkins Jo Jorgensen
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Battleground states are states that have split support for Democratic and Republican candidates in recent presidential election cycles. Sometimes referred to as swing states or purple states, they are critical to a candidate's campaign strategy since the majority of states consistently vote for the same presidential party and are not competitive.
Using the average of race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, Ballotpedia identified 13 battleground states. These are the states on which an electoral victory hinged:
President Donald Trump (R) won five of these battleground states: Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas. Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) won the other eight: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Heading into the 2016 presidential election, for example, 40 states—representing 421 electoral votes[1]—had voted for the same political party in the previous four election cycles. While President Donald Trump's (R) victory broke this streak in several midwestern states in 2016, much of the Electoral College in the 2020 presidential election is already set.[2]
This page includes the following information about battleground states:
- Presidential election results
- Lawsuits related to the 2020 presidential election
- Presidential race ratings
- Overview of battleground states
- Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election
- PredictIt markets
- Historical performance of third-party candidates
Presidential election results
Election results in battleground states
The table below details the number of Congressional districts won by each candidate in the battleground states.[3]
| 2020 presidential results by Congressional district, battleground states | ||
|---|---|---|
| State | Districts won by Biden | Districts won by Trump |
| Arizona | 4 | 4 |
| Florida | 12 | 15 |
| Georgia | 6 | 8 |
| Iowa | 0 | 4 |
| Michigan | 6 | 8 |
| Minnesota | 4 | 4 |
| Nevada | 3 | 1 |
| New Hampshire | 2 | 0 |
| North Carolina | 5 | 8 |
| Ohio | 4 | 12 |
| Pennsylvania | 9 | 9 |
| Texas | 14 | 22 |
| Wisconsin | 2 | 6 |
The following is a list of post-election lawsuits involving the presidential election. Where available, case names and numbers, states of origin, courts of origin, and links to complaints and docket reports are provided.
2020 presidential race ratings
The following map reflects the average presidential race rating for each state as forecast by the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Latest updates
Sabato's Crystal Ball also updated its race ratings on November 2, 2020:[4]
- Florida, Iowa, Maine's 2nd Congressional District, and Ohio moved from Toss Up to Leans Republican.
- Georgia and North Carolina moved from Toss Up to Leans Democratic.
Inside Elections updated its race ratings on October 28, 2020:[5]
- Texas moved from Tilt Republican to Toss Up.
- Georgia and North Carolina moved from Toss Up to Tilt Democratic.
The Cook Political Report updated its race ratings on October 28, 2020:[6]
- Texas moved from Leans Republican to Toss Up.
Battleground states
This section contains polls and election results for each of the battleground states. Click on the state's name for more information.
- Arizona (click to expand)
Arizona
- See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2020
Election results
Presidential election in Arizona, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔ 
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 49.41,672,143 11 
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 49.11,661,686 0 
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.551,465 0 
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) (Write-in) 0.01,557 0 
Jade Simmons/Claudeliah Roze (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.0236 0 
Gloria La Riva/Sunil Freeman (Party for Socialism and Liberation) (Write-in) 0.0190 0 
Daniel Clyde Cummings/Ryan Huber (American Constitution Party) (Write-in) 0.036 0 
President Boddie/Eric Stoneham (Unaffiliated) 0.013 0
Total votes: 3,387,326
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, Arizona, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 45.1% 1,161,167 0 Republican 
Donald Trump/Mike Pence 48.7% 1,252,401 11 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 4.1% 106,327 0 Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1.3% 34,345 0 Other Write-in votes 0.7% 18,925 0 Total Votes 2,573,165 11 Election results via: Arizona Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, Arizona, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent 44.6% 1,025,232 0 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 53.7% 1,233,654 11 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 1.4% 32,100 0 Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.3% 7,816 0 Write-in Virgil Goode/James Clymer (write-in) 0% 289 0 Write-in Ross C. 'Rocky' Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez (write-in) 0% 119 0 Write-in Jill Reed/Tom Cary (write-in) 0% 17 0 Write-in Will Christensen/Kenneth Gibbs (write-in) 0% 14 0 Write-in Dennis Knill/David Gilder (write-in) 0% 7 0 Write-in Sheila Tittle/Matthew Turner (write-in) 0% 6 0 Total Votes 2,299,254 11 Election results via: Arizona Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, Arizona, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 45.1% 1,034,707 0 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 53.6% 1,230,111 10 None Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 0.5% 11,301 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.5% 12,555 0 Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente 0.1% 3,406 0 Write-in Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle (write-in) 0.1% 1,371 0 Write-in Jonathan Allen/Jeffrey Stath (write-in) 0% 8 0 Write-in Charles Jay/Barry Hess (write-in) 0% 16 0 Total Votes 2,293,475 10 Election results via: Arizona Secretary of State
- Florida (click to expand)
Florida
- See also: Presidential election in Florida, 2020
Election results
Presidential election in Florida, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 51.25,668,731 29
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 47.95,297,045 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 0.670,324 0
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) 0.114,721 0 
Roque De La Fuente/Darcy Richardson (Reform Party) 0.15,966 0
Gloria La Riva/Sunil Freeman (Party for Socialism and Liberation) 0.15,712 0 
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Constitution Party) 0.03,902 0 
Brian T. Carroll/Amar Patel (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.0854 0
Jade Simmons/Melissa Nixon (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.0181 0 
Shawn W. Howard/Alyssa Howard (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.09 0
Kasey Wells/Rachel Wells (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.08 0 
Angela Marie Walls-Windhauser/Charles Tolbert (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.02 0
Michael Laboch/Raechelle Pope (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.01 0
Total votes: 11,067,456
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, Florida, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 47.8% 4,504,975 0 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 49% 4,617,886 29 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 2.2% 207,043 0 Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 0.7% 64,399 0 Constitution Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley 0.2% 16,475 0 Reform Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0.1% 9,108 0 - Other/Write-in 0% 153 0 Total Votes 9,420,039 29 Election results via: Florida Division of Elections
U.S. presidential election, Florida, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent50% 4,237,756 29 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 49.1% 4,163,447 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 0.5% 44,726 0 Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.1% 8,947 0 Independent American Thomas Hoefling/Robert Ornelas 0% 946 0 Peace & Freedom Roseanne Barr/Cindy Sheehan 0.1% 8,154 0 Justice Ross C. 'Rocky' Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez 0% 1,754 0 Conservative Virgil Goode/James Clymer 0% 2,607 0 Socialist Stewart Alexander/Alex Mendoza 0% 799 0 Objectivist Thomas R. Stevens/Alden Link 0% 3,856 0 Reform Andre Barnett/Kenneth Cross 0% 820 0 Socialism and Liberation Peta Lindsay/Yari Osorio 0% 322 0 Write-in Write-in candidates 0% 45 0 Total Votes 8,474,179 29 Election results via: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections
U.S. presidential election, Florida, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 51% 4,282,074 27 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 48.2% 4,045,624 0 Ecology Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 0.3% 28,124 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.2% 17,218 0 Independent American Alan Keyes/Brian Rohrbough 0% 2,550 0 Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente 0% 2,887 0 Constitution Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle 0.1% 7,915 0 Socialist Workers Party James Harris/Alyson Kennedy 0% 533 0 Socialist Brian Moore/Stewart A. Alexander 0% 405 0 Boston Tea Party Charles Jay/John Wayne Smith 0% 795 0 Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva/Eugene Puryear 0% 1,516 0 Prohibition Gene C. Amondson/Leroy J. Pletten 0% 293 0 Objectivist Thomas R. Stevens/Alden Link 0% 419 0 Write-in Write-in candidates 0% 391 0 Total Votes 8,390,744 27 Election results via: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections
- Georgia (click to expand)
Georgia
- See also: Presidential election in Georgia, 2020
Election results
Presidential election in Georgia, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 49.52,473,633 16
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 49.32,461,854 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.262,229 0
Total votes: 4,997,716
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, Georgia, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 45.6% 1,877,963 0 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 50.8% 2,089,104 16 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3% 125,306 0 - Other/Write-in 0.5% 22,359 0 Total Votes 4,114,732 16 Election results via: Federal Election Commission
U.S. presidential election, Georgia, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent 45.5% 1,773,827 0 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 53.3% 2,078,688 16 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 1.2% 45,324 0 Write-in Write-in candidates 0.1% 2,211 0 Total Votes 3,900,050 16 Election results via: Georgia Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, Georgia, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 47% 1,844,123 0 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 52.2% 2,048,759 15 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.7% 28,731 0 Write-in Write-in candidates 0.1% 2,873 0 Total Votes 3,924,486 15 Election results via: Georgia Secretary of State
- Iowa (click to expand)
Iowa
- See also: Presidential election in Iowa, 2020
Election results
Presidential election in Iowa, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 53.1897,672 6
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 44.9759,061 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.219,637 0 
Ye/Michelle Tidball (Unaffiliated) 0.23,210 0
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) 0.23,075 0
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Constitution Party) 0.11,707 0
Roque De La Fuente/Darcy Richardson (Alliance Party) 0.11,082 0 
Ricki Sue King/Dayna Chandler (Genealogy Know Your Family History Party) 0.0546 0 
Brock Pierce/Karla Ballard (Unaffiliated) 0.0544 0 Other write-in votes 0.34,337 0
Total votes: 1,690,871
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, Iowa, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 41.7% 653,669 0 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 51.1% 800,983 6 Constitution Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley 0.3% 5,335 0 Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 0.7% 11,479 0 Legal Marijuana Now Dan R. Vacek/Mark G. Elworth Jr. 0.1% 2,246 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.8% 59,186 0 New Independent Lynn Sandra Kahn/Jay Stolba 0.1% 2,247 0 Socialism and Liberation Gloria Estela La Riva/Dennis J. Banks 0% 323 0 Nominated by petition Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0% 451 0 Nominated by petition Evan McMullin/Nathan Johnson 0.8% 12,366 0 - Write-in votes 1.1% 17,746 0 Total Votes 1,566,031 6 Election results via: Iowa Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, Iowa, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent52% 822,544 6 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 46.2% 730,617 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 0.8% 12,926 0 Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.2% 3,769 0 Socialism and Liberation Gloria LaRiva/Stefanie Beacham 0% 372 0 N/A Jerry Litzel/Jim Litzel 0.1% 1,027 0 Socialist Workers James Harris/Alyson Kennedy 0% 445 0 Constitution Virgil Goode/James Clymer 0.2% 3,038 0 Write-in Write-in candidates 0.5% 7,442 0 Total Votes 1,582,180 6 Election results via: Iowa Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, Iowa, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 53.9% 828,940 7 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 44.4% 682,379 0 Peace and Freedom Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 0.5% 8,014 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.3% 4,590 0 Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente 0.1% 1,423 0 Constitution Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle 0.3% 4,445 0 Socialist Workers James Harris/Alyson Kennedy 0% 292 0 Socialism and Liberation Gloria la Riva/Robert Moses 0% 121 0 Socialist Party USA Brian Moore/Stewart A. Alexander 0% 182 0 N/A Scattering 0.4% 6,737 0 Total Votes 1,537,123 7 Election results via: Iowa Secretary of State
- Michigan (click to expand)
Michigan
- See also: Presidential election in Michigan, 2020
Election results
Presidential election in Michigan, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 50.62,804,040 16
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 47.82,649,852 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.160,381 0
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) 0.213,718 0
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan) 0.17,235 0
Roque De La Fuente/Darcy Richardson (Natural Law Party of Michigan) 0.12,986 0 Brian T. Carroll (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in) 0.0963 0 Jade Simmons (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in) 0.089 0 
Tom Hoefling (no running mate) (Independent) 0.032 0 Kasey Wells (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in) 0.05 0 Tara Hunter (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in) 0.01 0
Total votes: 5,539,302
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, Michigan, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 47.3% 2,268,839 0 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 47.5% 2,279,543 16 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.6% 172,136 0 Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1.1% 51,463 0 U.S. Taxpayers Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley 0.3% 16,139 0 Natural Law Emidio Soltysik/Angela Nicole Walker 0% 2,209 0 Other Write-in votes 0.2% 8,955 0 Total Votes 4,799,284 16 Election results via: Michigan Department of State
U.S. presidential election, Michigan, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent54.2% 2,564,569 16 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 44.7% 2,115,256 0 Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.5% 21,897 0 Natural Law Ross Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez 0.1% 5,147 0 U.S. Taxpayers Virgil Goode/James Clymer 0.3% 16,119 0 Write-in Write-in candidates 0.2% 7,973 0 Total Votes 4,730,961 16 Election results via: Michigan Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, Michigan, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 57.4% 2,872,579 17 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 41% 2,048,639 0 Natural Law Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 0.7% 33,085 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.5% 23,716 0 Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente 0.2% 8,892 0 U.S. Taxpayers Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle 0.3% 14,685 0 Write-in Write-in candidates 0% 170 0 Total Votes 5,001,766 17 Election results via: Michigan Secretary of State
- Minnesota (click to expand)
Minnesota
- See also: Presidential election in Minnesota, 2020
Election results
Presidential election in Minnesota, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 52.41,717,077 10
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45.31,484,065 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.134,976 0
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) 0.310,033 0
Ye/Michelle Tidball (Independent) 0.27,940 0
Brock Pierce/Karla Ballard (Independent) 0.25,651 0
Roque De La Fuente/Darcy Richardson (Independence-Alliance Party of Minnesota) 0.25,611 0
Gloria La Riva/Leonard Peltier (Party for Socialism and Liberation) 0.01,210 0 
Alyson Kennedy/Malcolm Jarrett (Socialist Workers Party) 0.0643 0 Other write-in votes 0.39,965 0
Total votes: 3,277,171
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, Minnesota, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 46.4% 1,367,716 10 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 44.9% 1,322,951 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.8% 112,972 0 Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1.3% 36,985 0 Constitution Darrell Castle/Scott Bradley 0.3% 9,456 0 Legal Marijuana Now Dan R. Vacek/Mark G. Elworth Jr. 0.4% 11,291 0 Socialist Workers Party Alyson Kennedy/Osborne Hart 0.1% 1,672 0 American Delta Party Roque De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0% 1,431 0 Independence Evan McMullin/Nathan Johnson 1.8% 53,076 0 - Write-in votes 0.9% 27,263 0 Total Votes 2,944,813 10 Election results via: Minnesota Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, Minnesota, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent52.7% 1,546,167 10 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 45% 1,320,225 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 1.2% 35,098 0 Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.4% 13,023 0 Constitutional Government Dean Morstad/Josh Franke-Hyland 0% 1,092 0 Grassroots Jim Carlson/George McMahon 0.1% 3,149 0 Justice Party Ross C. 'Rocky' Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez (write-in) 0.1% 1,996 0 Socialism and Liberation Peta Lindsay/Yari Osorio 0% 397 0 Socialist Workers James Harris/Maura Deluca 0% 1,051 0 Constitution Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer 0.1% 3,722 0 Write-in Write-in candidates 0.4% 10,641 0 Total Votes 2,936,561 10 Election results via: Minnesota Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, Minnesota, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 54.1% 1,573,354 10 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 43.8% 1,275,409 0 Independent Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 1% 30,152 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.3% 9,174 0 Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente 0.2% 5,174 0 Constitution Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle 0.2% 6,787 0 Socialist Workers Róger Calero/Alyson Kennedy 0% 790 0 Write-in Write-in candidates 0.3% 9,529 0 Total Votes 2,910,369 10 Election results via: Minnesota Secretary of State
- Nevada (click to expand)
Nevada
- See also: Presidential election in Nevada, 2020
Election results
Presidential election in Nevada, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 50.1703,486 6
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 47.7669,890 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.114,783 0
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Independent American Party) 0.23,138 0 Other write-in votes 1.014,079 0
Total votes: 1,405,376
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, Nevada, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 47.9% 539,260 6 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 45.5% 512,058 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.3% 37,384 0 Independent American Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley 0.5% 5,268 0 Other Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0.2% 2,552 0 - "None of these candidates" 2.6% 28,863 0 Total Votes 1,125,385 6 Election results via: Nevada Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, Nevada, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent52.4% 531,373 6 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 45.7% 463,567 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 1.1% 10,968 0 N/A None of these candidates 0.6% 5,770 0 Independent American Party of Nevada Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer 0.3% 3,240 0 Total Votes 1,014,918 6 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas
U.S. presidential election, Nevada, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 55.1% 533,736 5 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 42.7% 412,827 0 N/A None of these candidates 0.6% 6,267 0 Independent Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 0.6% 6,150 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.4% 4,263 0 Independent American Party of Nevada Chuck Baldwin/Michael Peroutka 0.3% 3,194 0 Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente 0.1% 1,411 0 Total Votes 967,848 5 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas
- New Hampshire (click to expand)
New Hampshire
Election results
Presidential election in New Hampshire, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 52.7424,937 4
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45.4365,660 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.613,236 0 Other write-in votes 0.32,372 0
Total votes: 806,205
Polls
Historical election results
Note: Write-in votes from New Hampshire can be found here.U.S. presidential election, New Hampshire, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 46.8% 348,526 4 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 46.5% 345,790 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 4.1% 30,777 0 Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 0.9% 6,496 0 American Delta Roque De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0.1% 678 0 - Write-in votes 1.6% 12,029 0 Total Votes 744,296 4 Election results via: New Hampshire Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, New Hampshire, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent52% 369,561 4 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 46.4% 329,918 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 1.2% 8,212 0 N/A Write-in 0.3% 2,249 0 Constitution Party Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer 0.2% 1,156 0 Total Votes 711,096 4 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Jill Stein.[7]
U.S. presidential election, New Hampshire, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 54.2% 384,826 4 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 44.6% 316,534 0 Independent Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 0.5% 3,503 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.3% 2,217 0 N/A Write-ins 0.3% 2,001 0 N/A Ron Paul 0.2% 1,092 0 Total Votes 710,173 4 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: George Phillies, Charles Baldwin, and Cynthia McKinney.[8]
- North Carolina (click to expand)
North Carolina
Election results
Presidential election in North Carolina, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 49.92,758,775 15
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 48.62,684,292 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 0.948,678 0
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) 0.212,195 0
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Constitution Party) 0.17,549 0 Jade Simmons (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in) 0.0119 0 Other write-in votes 0.213,196 0
Total votes: 5,524,804
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, North Carolina, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 46.2% 2,189,316 0 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 49.8% 2,362,631 15 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 2.7% 130,126 0 - Write-in votes 1.3% 59,491 0 Total Votes 4,741,564 15 Election results via: North Carolina State Board of Elections
U.S. presidential election, North Carolina, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 50.4% 2,270,395 15 Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent 48.4% 2,178,391 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 1% 44,515 0 N/A Write-ins 0.3% 11,537 0 Total Votes 4,504,838 15 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Virgil Goode.[9]
U.S. presidential election, North Carolina, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 49.7% 2,142,651 15 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 49.4% 2,128,474 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.6% 25,722 0 N/A Write-ins 0.3% 12,292 0 Total Votes 4,309,139 15 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Ralph Nader, Cynthia McKinney, and Brian Moore.[10]
- Ohio (click to expand)
Ohio
- See also: Presidential election in Ohio, 2020
Election results
Presidential election in Ohio, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 53.33,154,834 18
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 45.22,679,165 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.167,569 0
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) 0.318,812 0
Brian T. Carroll/Amar Patel (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.01,450 0
Jade Simmons/Claudeliah Roze (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.0212 0 
Tom Hoefling/Andy Prior (Unaffiliated) 0.0114 0 
Dario David Hunter/Dawn Neptune Adams (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.027 0
Kasey Wells/Rachel Wells (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.016 0
President Boddie/Eric Stoneham (Unaffiliated) 0.03 0
Total votes: 5,922,202
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, Ohio, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 43.6% 2,394,164 0 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 51.7% 2,841,005 18 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.2% 174,498 0 Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 0.8% 46,271 0 Other Richard Duncan/Ricky Johnson 0.4% 24,235 0 - Other/Write-in 0.3% 16,314 0 Total Votes 5,496,487 18 Election results via: Federal Election Commission
U.S. presidential election, Ohio, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent50.6% 2,827,709 18 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 47.6% 2,661,437 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 0.9% 49,493 0 Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.3% 18,573 0 Nonparty Richard Duncan/Ricky Johnson 0.2% 12,502 0 N/A Write-ins 0.2% 10,078 0 Constitution Virgil Goode/James Clymer 0.1% 8,152 0 Total Votes 5,587,944 18 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Steward Alexander, Jill Ann Reed, and Randall Terry.[11]
U.S. presidential election, Ohio, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 51.4% 2,940,044 20 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 46.9% 2,677,820 0 Independent Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 0.7% 42,337 0 Libertarian OH Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.3% 19,917 0 N/A Write-ins 0.2% 13,698 0 Constitution Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle 0.2% 12,565 0 Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente 0.1% 8,518 0 Total Votes 5,714,899 20 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Richard Duncan, Brian Moore, Alan Keyes, Ron Paul, and Jonathan Allen.[12]
- Pennsylvania (click to expand)
Pennsylvania
Election results
Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 50.03,458,229 20
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 48.83,377,674 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.179,380 0
Total votes: 6,915,283
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, Pennsylvania, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 47.5% 2,926,441 0 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 48.2% 2,970,733 20 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 2.4% 146,715 0 Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 0.8% 49,941 0 Constitution Darrell Castle/Scott Bradley 0.3% 21,572 0 - Other/Write-in 0.8% 50,076 0 Total Votes 6,165,478 20 Election results via: Federal Election Commission
U.S. presidential election, Pennsylvania, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent52% 2,990,274 20 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 46.6% 2,680,434 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 0.9% 49,991 0 Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.4% 21,341 0 N/A Write-ins 0.2% 12,576 0 Total Votes 5,754,616 20 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Virgil Goode, Ross Anderson, Roseanne Barr, Thomas Hoefling, Jill Ann Reed, Andre Barnett, Stewart Alexander, and Chuck Baldwin.[13]
U.S. presidential election, Pennsylvania, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 54.5% 3,276,363 21 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 44.2% 2,655,885 0 Independent Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 0.7% 42,977 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.3% 19,912 0 N/A Write-ins 0.2% 14,291 0 Total Votes 6,009,428 21 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Ron Paul, Chuck Baldwin, Cynthia McKinney, Alan Keyes, Brian Moore, Roger Calero, Frank McEnulty, Gloria LaRiva, and Charles Jay.[14]
- Texas (click to expand)
Texas
- See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2020
Election results
Presidential election in Texas, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 52.15,890,347 38
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 46.55,259,126 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.1126,243 0
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) 0.333,396 0
Brian T. Carroll/Amar Patel (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.02,785 0
President Boddie/Eric Stoneham (Unaffiliated) 0.02,012 0
Gloria La Riva/Leonard Peltier (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.0350 0
Tom Hoefling/Andy Prior (Unaffiliated) 0.0337 0
Todd Cella/Tim Cella (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.0205 0
Kasey Wells/Rachel Wells (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.0114 0
Robert Morrow/Anne Beckett (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.056 0
Jesse Cuellar/Jimmy Monreal (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.049 0
Abram Loeb/Jennifer Jairala (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) 0.036 0
Total votes: 11,315,056
Polls
Historical election results
U.S. presidential election, Texas, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 43.2% 3,877,868 0 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 52.2% 4,685,047 38 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.2% 283,492 0 Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 0.8% 71,558 0 - Write-in votes 0.6% 51,261 0 Total Votes 8,969,226 38 Election results via: Texas Secretary of State
U.S. presidential election, Texas, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 57.2% 4,569,843 38 Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent 41.4% 3,308,124 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 1.1% 88,580 0 Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.3% 24,657 0 Total Votes 7,991,204 38 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: various write-ins, Virgil Goode, Ross Anderson, Thomas Hoefling, Stewart Alexander and Andre Barnett.[15]
U.S. presidential election, Texas, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 55.5% 4,479,328 34 Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 43.7% 3,528,633 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.7% 56,116 0 N/A Write-ins 0.1% 10,188 0 Total Votes 8,074,265 34 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Ralph Nader, Chuck Baldwin, Cynthia McKinney, Alan Keyes, Brian Moore, Jonathan Allen and Ron Paul.[16]
- Wisconsin (click to expand)
Wisconsin
- See also: Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2020
Election results
Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2020
Candidate/Running mate%Popular votesElectoral votes✔
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D) 49.51,630,673 10
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 48.81,610,065 0
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L) 1.238,491 0
Brian T. Carroll/Amar Patel (American Solidarity Party) 0.25,258 0
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Constitution Party) 0.25,144 0 Other write-in votes 0.27,721 0
Total votes: 3,297,352
Polls
Historical election results
Note: The vote totals above are from the recount.U.S. presidential election, Wisconsin, 2016 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 46.5% 1,382,536 0 Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 47.2% 1,405,284 10 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.6% 106,674 0 Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1% 31,072 0 Constitution Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley 0.4% 12,162 0 Workers Party Monica Moorehead/Lamont Lilly 0.1% 1,770 0 American Delta Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0.1% 1,502 0 - Write-in votes 1.2% 35,150 0 Total Votes 2,976,150 10 Election results via: Wisconsin Elections Commission
U.S. presidential election, Wisconsin, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent52.8% 1,620,985 10 Republican Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan 45.9% 1,407,966 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson/Jim Gray 0.7% 20,439 0 Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala 0.2% 7,665 0 N/A Write-ins 0.2% 5,170 0 Constitution Virgil Goode/James Clymer 0.2% 4,930 0 Total Votes 3,067,155 10 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Jerry White, Peta Lindsay, Ross Anderson, and Roseanne Barr.[17]
U.S. presidential election, Wisconsin, 2008 Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes Democratic Barack Obama/Joe Biden 56.2% 1,677,211 10 Republican John McCain/Sarah Palin 42.3% 1,262,393 0 Independent Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez 0.6% 17,605 0 Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root 0.3% 8,858 0 N/A Write-ins 0.2% 6,521 0 Constitution Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle 0.2% 5,072 0 WI Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente 0.1% 4,216 0 Total Votes 2,981,876 10 Election results via: U.S. Election Atlas Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Jeffrey Wamboldt, Brian Moore, and Gloria LaRiva.[18]
Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election
Pivot Counties are the 206 counties nationwide Ballotpedia identified as having voted for Barack Obama (D) in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Media and political observers sometimes refer to these counties as swing counties.
There were:
- 181 Retained Pivot Counties across 32 states: Trump won these counties with a median margin of victory of 13.2 percentage points.
- 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties across 16 states: Biden won these counties with a median margin of victory of 3.4 percentage points.
Click "Show More" to view the list of all 206 Pivot Counties, the winner of those counties following the 2020 election, and margins of victory from 2008 to 2020.
| Analysis of counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 following the 2020 presidential election[19] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | State | Status, 2020 | Margin of Victory, 2020 | Trump Margin of Victory, 2016 | Obama Margin of Victory, 2012 | Obama Margin of Victory, 2008 | |
| Woodruff County | Arkansas | Retained | +27.75 | +8.91 | +4.21 | +7.46 | |
| Conejos County | Colorado | Retained | +7.55 | +3.56 | +9.22 | +12.93 | |
| Huerfano County | Colorado | Retained | +2.88 | +6.61 | +8.27 | +11.23 | |
| Las Animas County | Colorado | Retained | +9.89 | +15.6 | +2.65 | +7.04 | |
| Pueblo County | Colorado | Boomerang | +1.72 | +0.5 | +13.99 | +14.97 | |
| Windham County | Connecticut | Retained | +4.27 | +7.78 | +13.28 | +14.68 | |
| Kent County | Delaware | Boomerang | +4.07 | +4.87 | +4.94 | +9.81 | |
| Jefferson County | Florida | Retained | +6.87 | +5.06 | +1.75 | +3.66 | |
| Monroe County | Florida | Retained | +7.92 | +6.82 | +0.44 | +4.9 | |
| Pinellas County | Florida | Boomerang | +0.22 | +1.11 | +5.65 | +8.25 | |
| St. Lucie County | Florida | Retained | +1.56 | +2.4 | +7.86 | +12.12 | |
| Baker County | Georgia | Retained | +15.76 | +8.68 | +0.57 | +1.07 | |
| Dooly County | Georgia | Retained | +6.04 | +2.05 | +6.98 | +3.53 | |
| Peach County | Georgia | Retained | +4.65 | +2.91 | +7.48 | +6.75 | |
| Quitman County | Georgia | Retained | +9.67 | +10.92 | +9.04 | +7.9 | |
| Twiggs County | Georgia | Retained | +7.34 | +1.58 | +8.64 | +6.97 | |
| Alexander County | Illinois | Retained | +14.21 | +8.3 | +13.65 | +12.62 | |
| Carroll County | Illinois | Retained | +29.37 | +26.69 | +1.49 | +4.81 | |
| Fulton County | Illinois | Retained | +20.11 | +14.93 | +11.04 | +21.33 | |
| Henderson County | Illinois | Retained | +33.1 | +28.43 | +12.25 | +17.67 | |
| Henry County | Illinois | Retained | +21.47 | +20.99 | +3.08 | +7.74 | |
| Jo Daviess County | Illinois | Retained | +16.46 | +14.64 | +1.16 | +10.49 | |
| Knox County | Illinois | Retained | +5.64 | +2.91 | +17.37 | +19.89 | |
| Mercer County | Illinois | Retained | +23.98 | +20.36 | +7.39 | +11.91 | |
| Putnam County | Illinois | Retained | +19.32 | +19.92 | +1.82 | +15.64 | |
| Warren County | Illinois | Retained | +20.02 | +16.5 | +5.47 | +8.08 | |
| Whiteside County | Illinois | Retained | +8.31 | +6.18 | +17.02 | +17.56 | |
| Delaware County | Indiana | Retained | +13.18 | +13.43 | +3.12 | +14.98 | |
| LaPorte County | Indiana | Retained | +7.23 | +6.33 | +12.57 | +22.04 | |
| Perry County | Indiana | Retained | +24.56 | +18.55 | +11.59 | +22.84 | |
| Porter County | Indiana | Retained | +6.08 | +6.59 | +3.9 | +7.2 | |
| Vigo County | Indiana | Retained | +14.73 | +14.97 | +0.86 | +15.83 | |
| Allamakee County | Iowa | Retained | +29.09 | +24.15 | +4.17 | +14.25 | |
| Boone County | Iowa | Retained | +15.59 | +13.69 | +6.64 | +7.63 | |
| Bremer County | Iowa | Retained | +16.06 | +13.68 | +2.68 | +9.31 | |
| Buchanan County | Iowa | Retained | +20.89 | +15.02 | +13.87 | +18.48 | |
| Cedar County | Iowa | Retained | +17.04 | +17.78 | +4.59 | +9.64 | |
| Cerro Gordo County | Iowa | Retained | +6.31 | +7.66 | +13.38 | +20.83 | |
| Chickasaw County | Iowa | Retained | +31.29 | +22.94 | +11.07 | +20.74 | |
| Clarke County | Iowa | Retained | +35.93 | +28.02 | +1.47 | +2.25 | |
| Clayton County | Iowa | Retained | +28.83 | +22.78 | +7.03 | +17.17 | |
| Clinton County | Iowa | Retained | +10.33 | +5.12 | +22.84 | +23.03 | |
| Des Moines County | Iowa | Retained | +8.51 | +6.89 | +18.41 | +23.04 | |
| Dubuque County | Iowa | Retained | +2.89 | +1.23 | +14.71 | +20.77 | |
| Fayette County | Iowa | Retained | +22.68 | +19.36 | +11.96 | +16.6 | |
| Floyd County | Iowa | Retained | +19.42 | +14.84 | +14.63 | +21.88 | |
| Howard County | Iowa | Retained | +27.33 | +20.49 | +20.95 | +25.78 | |
| Jackson County | Iowa | Retained | +26.14 | +19.27 | +16.89 | +24.39 | |
| Jasper County | Iowa | Retained | +21.54 | +18.13 | +7.07 | +7.5 | |
| Jefferson County | Iowa | Retained | +1.38 | +0.47 | +15.97 | +20.23 | |
| Jones County | Iowa | Retained | +21.47 | +19.08 | +7.78 | +10.4 | |
| Lee County | Iowa | Retained | +19.31 | +16.02 | +15.49 | +16.01 | |
| Louisa County | Iowa | Retained | +33.27 | +28.37 | +0.64 | +4.25 | |
| Marshall County | Iowa | Retained | +7.69 | +8.31 | +9.36 | +9.35 | |
| Mitchell County | Iowa | Retained | +27.89 | +24.04 | +3.37 | +12.31 | |
| Muscatine County | Iowa | Retained | +7.02 | +6.26 | +15.88 | +15.64 | |
| Poweshiek County | Iowa | Retained | +13.32 | +6.53 | +9.35 | +11.75 | |
| Tama County | Iowa | Retained | +19.08 | +20.28 | +7.43 | +12.19 | |
| Union County | Iowa | Retained | +31.51 | +27.49 | +3.86 | +3.7 | |
| Wapello County | Iowa | Retained | +23.64 | +20.6 | +11.88 | +13.53 | |
| Webster County | Iowa | Retained | +24.27 | +21.52 | +5.84 | +8.51 | |
| Winneshiek County | Iowa | Retained | +5.12 | +0.79 | +14.74 | +22.65 | |
| Worth County | Iowa | Retained | +25.85 | +21.68 | +14.53 | +22.42 | |
| Elliott County | Kentucky | Retained | +51.22 | +44.13 | +2.5 | +25.17 | |
| Androscoggin County | Maine | Retained | +2.81 | +9.38 | +12.78 | +15.22 | |
| Aroostook County | Maine | Retained | +19.93 | +17.19 | +7.62 | +9.58 | |
| Franklin County | Maine | Retained | +3.94 | +5.47 | +18.41 | +20.29 | |
| Kennebec County | Maine | Boomerang | +0.25 | +3.58 | +13.46 | +14.78 | |
| Oxford County | Maine | Retained | +8.79 | +12.94 | +14.73 | +16.04 | |
| Penobscot County | Maine | Retained | +8.34 | +10.91 | +2.93 | +5.12 | |
| Somerset County | Maine | Retained | +23.37 | +22.67 | +1.68 | +5.7 | |
| Washington County | Maine | Retained | +19.78 | +18.44 | +1.6 | +1.01 | |
| Bay County | Michigan | Retained | +11.57 | +12.55 | +5.56 | +15.31 | |
| Calhoun County | Michigan | Retained | +11.08 | +12.46 | +1.6 | +9.36 | |
| Eaton County | Michigan | Retained | +0.78 | +4.72 | +3.13 | +8.4 | |
| Gogebic County | Michigan | Retained | +12.45 | +14.8 | +8.1 | +17.27 | |
| Isabella County | Michigan | Retained | +2.52 | +3.66 | +9.28 | +19.26 | |
| Lake County | Michigan | Retained | +26.18 | +22.77 | +5.01 | +12.28 | |
| Macomb County | Michigan | Retained | +8.07 | +11.53 | +3.99 | +8.62 | |
| Manistee County | Michigan | Retained | +15.11 | +15.29 | +5.93 | +13.26 | |
| Monroe County | Michigan | Retained | +22.61 | +21.97 | +0.98 | +4.35 | |
| Saginaw County | Michigan | Boomerang | +0.29 | +1.13 | +11.89 | +17.34 | |
| Shiawassee County | Michigan | Retained | +19.85 | +19.59 | +3.67 | +8.59 | |
| Van Buren County | Michigan | Retained | +12.23 | +13.92 | +0.45 | +8.78 | |
| Beltrami County | Minnesota | Retained | +3.15 | +9.72 | +9.89 | +10.15 | |
| Blue Earth County | Minnesota | Boomerang | +4.44 | +3.69 | +9.48 | +12.95 | |
| Chippewa County | Minnesota | Retained | +30.62 | +28.7 | +1.87 | +5.87 | |
| Clay County | Minnesota | Boomerang | +4.08 | +1.95 | +7.92 | +16.02 | |
| Fillmore County | Minnesota | Retained | +22.65 | +21.7 | +7.34 | +8.26 | |
| Freeborn County | Minnesota | Retained | +15.99 | +17.24 | +14.11 | +17.13 | |
| Houston County | Minnesota | Retained | +12.95 | +13.87 | +3.16 | +10.69 | |
| Itasca County | Minnesota | Retained | +16.77 | +16.35 | +9.83 | +12.92 | |
| Kittson County | Minnesota | Retained | +20.46 | +22.05 | +6.03 | +18.54 | |
| Koochiching County | Minnesota | Retained | +21.27 | +19.85 | +9.45 | +10.1 | |
| Lac qui Parle County | Minnesota | Retained | +26.78 | +25.6 | +0.9 | +5.92 | |
| Mahnomen County | Minnesota | Retained | +1.3 | +2.92 | +18.56 | +25.31 | |
| Mower County | Minnesota | Retained | +5.82 | +7.82 | +22.61 | +23.61 | |
| Nicollet County | Minnesota | Boomerang | +3.16 | +3.04 | +7.83 | +10.52 | |
| Norman County | Minnesota | Retained | +15.95 | +13.34 | +10.79 | +26.94 | |
| Rice County | Minnesota | Retained | +0.17 | +3.06 | +8.27 | +11.5 | |
| Swift County | Minnesota | Retained | +29.5 | +25.57 | +9.83 | +13.79 | |
| Traverse County | Minnesota | Retained | +27.41 | +23.3 | +4.44 | +5.41 | |
| Winona County | Minnesota | Boomerang | +0.39 | +2.9 | +12.85 | +19.09 | |
| Chickasaw County | Mississippi | Retained | +4.48 | +6.06 | +4.52 | +2.13 | |
| Panola County | Mississippi | Retained | +4.2 | +0.12 | +8.62 | +6.52 | |
| Blaine County | Montana | Boomerang | +3.85 | +2.46 | +15.32 | +19.24 | |
| Hill County | Montana | Retained | +13.59 | +17.18 | +3.5 | +12.21 | |
| Roosevelt County | Montana | Retained | +2.14 | +6.49 | +15.58 | +26.27 | |
| Thurston County | Nebraska | Retained | +2.44 | +5.94 | +13.91 | +6.96 | |
| Coos County | New Hampshire | Retained | +5.91 | +8.89 | +17.54 | +18.19 | |
| Hillsborough County | New Hampshire | Boomerang | +7.65 | +0.2 | +1.12 | +3.73 | |
| Sullivan County | New Hampshire | Boomerang | +3.61 | +2.58 | +13.27 | +17.93 | |
| Gloucester County | New Jersey | Boomerang | +1.94 | +0.48 | +10.77 | +12.16 | |
| Salem County | New Jersey | Retained | +12.77 | +15 | +1.31 | +3.92 | |
| Colfax County | New Mexico | Retained | +10.97 | +8.55 | +2.24 | +10.73 | |
| Hidalgo County | New Mexico | Retained | +15.05 | +6.73 | +4.96 | +2.92 | |
| Valencia County | New Mexico | Retained | +9.61 | +8.6 | +2.47 | +7.72 | |
| Broome County | New York | Boomerang | +3.45 | +2.01 | +5.31 | +8.02 | |
| Cayuga County | New York | Retained | +9.22 | +11.64 | +11.4 | +8.48 | |
| Cortland County | New York | Retained | +1.94 | +5.58 | +9.11 | +9.96 | |
| Essex County | New York | Boomerang | +5.04 | +1.14 | +18.77 | +13.32 | |
| Franklin County | New York | Retained | +2.15 | +5.45 | +26.07 | +22.23 | |
| Madison County | New York | Retained | +10.58 | +14.2 | +0.89 | +0.87 | |
| Niagara County | New York | Retained | +9.64 | +17.75 | +0.84 | +1 | |
| Orange County | New York | Retained | +0.18 | +5.5 | +5.65 | +4.13 | |
| Oswego County | New York | Retained | +20.18 | +21.99 | +7.93 | +2.44 | |
| Otsego County | New York | Retained | +5.01 | +11.13 | +2.72 | +5.91 | |
| Rensselaer County | New York | Boomerang | +5.63 | +1.41 | +12.19 | +9.34 | |
| St. Lawrence County | New York | Retained | +11.68 | +8.82 | +16.71 | +16.33 | |
| Saratoga County | New York | Boomerang | +5.4 | +3.21 | +2.44 | +3.4 | |
| Seneca County | New York | Retained | +9.05 | +11.01 | +9.08 | +2.6 | |
| Suffolk County | New York | Retained | +0.03 | +6.84 | +3.69 | +5.99 | |
| Sullivan County | New York | Retained | +9.17 | +11.23 | +9.02 | +9.46 | |
| Warren County | New York | Retained | +0.16 | +8.47 | +2.32 | +2.64 | |
| Washington County | New York | Retained | +15.55 | +18.4 | +1.9 | +0.81 | |
| Bladen County | North Carolina | Retained | +13.72 | +9.39 | +1.97 | +2.07 | |
| Gates County | North Carolina | Retained | +13.75 | +9.07 | +4.11 | +5.22 | |
| Granville County | North Carolina | Retained | +6.59 | +2.49 | +4.54 | +6.58 | |
| Martin County | North Carolina | Retained | +4.95 | +0.43 | +4.65 | +4.64 | |
| Richmond County | North Carolina | Retained | +14.81 | +9.74 | +2.95 | +1.5 | |
| Robeson County | North Carolina | Retained | +18.62 | +4.27 | +17.41 | +13.78 | |
| Benson County | North Dakota | Retained | +13.87 | +4.33 | +17.01 | +33.53 | |
| Ransom County | North Dakota | Retained | +19.27 | +15.77 | +13.77 | +15.33 | |
| Sargent County | North Dakota | Retained | +25.51 | +19.73 | +9.77 | +17.49 | |
| Steele County | North Dakota | Retained | +23.9 | +17.72 | +1.92 | +20.35 | |
| Ashtabula County | Ohio | Retained | +23.49 | +18.8 | +12.78 | +13.54 | |
| Erie County | Ohio | Retained | +11.55 | +9.48 | +12.29 | +13.86 | |
| Montgomery County | Ohio | Boomerang | +2.24 | +0.73 | +4.62 | +6.22 | |
| Ottawa County | Ohio | Retained | +23.37 | +19.51 | +4.3 | +6.24 | |
| Portage County | Ohio | Retained | +12.44 | +9.87 | +5.52 | +8.99 | |
| Sandusky County | Ohio | Retained | +27.55 | +22.58 | +2.71 | +4.64 | |
| Stark County | Ohio | Retained | +18.51 | +17.17 | +0.47 | +5.46 | |
| Trumbull County | Ohio | Retained | +10.55 | +6.22 | +23 | +22.43 | |
| Wood County | Ohio | Retained | +7.6 | +7.99 | +4.84 | +7.13 | |
| Columbia County | Oregon | Retained | +10.29 | +11.46 | +5.16 | +12.02 | |
| Tillamook County | Oregon | Retained | +1.71 | +5.58 | +4.86 | +9.89 | |
| Erie County | Pennsylvania | Boomerang | +1.03 | +1.56 | +16.03 | +19.88 | |
| Luzerne County | Pennsylvania | Retained | +14.37 | +19.31 | +4.81 | +8.41 | |
| Northampton County | Pennsylvania | Boomerang | +0.72 | +3.78 | +4.71 | +12.3 | |
| Kent County | Rhode Island | Boomerang | +7.64 | +0.67 | +17.74 | +17.4 | |
| Barnwell County | South Carolina | Retained | +7.48 | +5.16 | +5.33 | +1.65 | |
| Calhoun County | South Carolina | Retained | +4.82 | +2.83 | +4.31 | +3.55 | |
| Chester County | South Carolina | Retained | +10.91 | +4.83 | +10.58 | +8.3 | |
| Colleton County | South Carolina | Retained | +9.53 | +8.49 | +0.19 | +0.53 | |
| McCormick County | South Carolina | Retained | +4.76 | +3.32 | +3.6 | +6.08 | |
| Corson County | South Dakota | Retained | +1.95 | +4.51 | +11.08 | +21.48 | |
| Day County | South Dakota | Retained | +27.56 | +23.77 | +6.16 | +12.89 | |
| Marshall County | South Dakota | Retained | +19.7 | +15.51 | +8.66 | +16.48 | |
| Roberts County | South Dakota | Retained | +13.37 | +15.53 | +9.84 | +19.64 | |
| Ziebach County | South Dakota | Boomerang | +8.5 | +1.96 | +16.43 | +27.16 | |
| Hardeman County | Tennessee | Retained | +15.7 | +7.92 | +5.91 | +6.18 | |
| Jefferson County | Texas | Retained | +1.58 | +0.48 | +1.61 | +2.25 | |
| Essex County | Vermont | Retained | +11.19 | +16.65 | +13.4 | +14.48 | |
| Buckingham County | Virginia | Retained | +13.2 | +11.28 | +2.43 | +0.87 | |
| Caroline County | Virginia | Retained | +4.17 | +5.02 | +8.24 | +11.97 | |
| Essex County | Virginia | Retained | +0.6 | +2.14 | +7.3 | +10.35 | |
| Nelson County | Virginia | Retained | +5.21 | +5.59 | +2.72 | +9.15 | |
| Westmoreland County | Virginia | Retained | +8.23 | +7.14 | +6.95 | +10.24 | |
| Clallam County | Washington | Boomerang | +3.37 | +2.76 | +0.38 | +3.3 | |
| Cowlitz County | Washington | Retained | +17.4 | +13.32 | +4.44 | +11.15 | |
| Grays Harbor County | Washington | Retained | +6.56 | +6.99 | +14.11 | +14.56 | |
| Mason County | Washington | Retained | +3.86 | +5.81 | +7.09 | +8.66 | |
| Pacific County | Washington | Retained | +1.13 | +6.74 | +11.52 | +14.07 | |
| Adams County | Wisconsin | Retained | +25.66 | +21.92 | +8.73 | +18.35 | |
| Buffalo County | Wisconsin | Retained | +25.26 | +21.82 | +2.93 | +14.66 | |
| Columbia County | Wisconsin | Retained | +1.53 | +2.14 | +13.58 | +15.26 | |
| Crawford County | Wisconsin | Retained | +7.67 | +5.4 | +19.98 | +27.03 | |
| Door County | Wisconsin | Boomerang | +1.45 | +3.22 | +6.99 | +17.33 | |
| Dunn County | Wisconsin | Retained | +13.93 | +11.09 | +4.97 | +14.95 | |
| Forest County | Wisconsin | Retained | +30.95 | +26.58 | +5.44 | +15.16 | |
| Grant County | Wisconsin | Retained | +12.28 | +9.43 | +13.77 | +23.88 | |
| Jackson County | Wisconsin | Retained | +15.07 | +11.74 | +15.01 | +21.84 | |
| Juneau County | Wisconsin | Retained | +29.2 | +26.05 | +7.03 | +9 | |
| Kenosha County | Wisconsin | Retained | +3.13 | +0.31 | +12.23 | +18.06 | |
| Lafayette County | Wisconsin | Retained | +13.72 | +8.99 | +15.37 | +22.32 | |
| Lincoln County | Wisconsin | Retained | +22.77 | +20.6 | +0.71 | +12.48 | |
| Marquette County | Wisconsin | Retained | +27.36 | +24.09 | +0.27 | +5.28 | |
| Pepin County | Wisconsin | Retained | +26.42 | +23.08 | +2.22 | +12.89 | |
| Price County | Wisconsin | Retained | +27.64 | +25 | +0.04 | +13.4 | |
| Racine County | Wisconsin | Retained | +4.06 | +4.28 | +3.54 | +7.41 | |
| Richland County | Wisconsin | Retained | +9.72 | +5.5 | +16.13 | +20.63 | |
| Sauk County | Wisconsin | Boomerang | +1.7 | +0.35 | +18.47 | +23.04 | |
| Sawyer County | Wisconsin | Retained | +13.43 | +18.41 | +0.49 | +6.23 | |
| Trempealeau County | Wisconsin | Retained | +16.57 | +12.64 | +14.08 | +26.39 | |
| Vernon County | Wisconsin | Retained | +4.78 | +4.43 | +14.73 | +22 | |
| Winnebago County | Wisconsin | Retained | +3.97 | +7.34 | +3.73 | +11.66 | |
| Average | +11.45 | +8.22 | +12.29 | ||||
| Median | +9.41 | +7.32 | +11.94 | ||||
Last updated Jan. 4, 9:30 a.m. ET
PredictIt markets
What is a PredictIt market?
PredictIt is an online political futures market in which users purchase shares relating to the outcome of political events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each contract correlating to a particular candidate winning or losing the election.
The price of a share in each individual contract rises and falls based on market demand. Once the event's outcome is decided, holders of shares that correlate with the correct outcome receive a $1 payout for each share they held.
For example, a user buys 10 shares at 20 cents each in a presidential primary saying Candidate A will win. If Candidate A wins the election, the user earns $10. If the candidate loses, the user earns no money and loses his original $2 investment.
Why do PredictIt markets matter?
Services such as PredictIt are being used to gain insight into the likely outcome of elections. Microsoft Research economist David Rothschild argues that they are better suited to the task than polls: "I can create a poll that can mimic everything about a prediction market...except markets have a way of incentivizing you to come back at 2 a.m. and update your answer."[20][21][22]
Battleground states
Arizona
Florida
Georgia
Iowa
Michigan
Minnesota
Nevada
New Hampshire
North Carolina
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Texas
Wisconsin
Performance of third-party candidates, 2000-2016
The following two charts show the vote share of candidates running as Libertarian or Green Party candidates in presidential battlegrounds between 2000 and 2016.[23]
| Vote share for Libertarian Party presidential candidate by battleground state, 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | 2016 | 2012 | 2008 | 2004 | 2000 |
| Arizona | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Florida | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Georgia | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% |
| Iowa | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Michigan | 3.6% | N/A | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Minnesota | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nevada | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| New Hampshire | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | N/A | 0.5% |
| North Carolina | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Ohio | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | N/A | 0.3% |
| Pennsylvania | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Texas | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Wisconsin | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Vote share for Green Party presidential candidate by battleground state, 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | 2016 | 2012 | 2008 | 2004 | 2000 |
| Arizona | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | N/A | 3.0% |
| Florida | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 1.6% |
| Georgia | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Iowa | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 2.2% |
| Michigan | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 2.0% |
| Minnesota | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 5.2% |
| Nevada | N/A | N/A | 0.2% | 0.1% | 2.5% |
| New Hampshire | 0.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3.9% |
| North Carolina | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Ohio | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | N/A | N/A |
| Pennsylvania | 0.8% | 0.4% | N/A | 0.1% | 2.1% |
| Texas | 0.8% | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | 2.2% |
| Wisconsin | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 3.6% |
Early voting
- See also: Early voting dates, 2020
The following table comprises three columns with information about early voting in each state.
Each of the table's three columns can be sorted alphabetically or chronologically. To sort a column, click the column heading. To search for a state, enter the state name in the search bar above the upper right-hand corner of the table.
By default, the table displays 10 states at a time. To see additional states on subsequent pages, use the navigation prompts under the bottom right-hand corner of the table. To change the number of states displayed on a single page, use the drop-down menu above the upper left-hand corner of the table.
See also
- Presidential election, 2020
- Democratic presidential nomination, 2020
- Republican presidential nomination, 2020
- Pivot Counties
- Pivot Counties: How Obama-Obama-Trump counties voted in presidential elections since 1992
Footnotes
- ↑ This tally includes one congressional district in Nebraska with the same consistent record
- ↑ 270 to Win, "Electoral Map: Blue or Red States Since 2000," accessed July 15, 2020
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," November 19, 2020
- ↑ Sabato's Crystall Ball, "2020 Rating Changes," accessed November 2, 2020
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Presidential Ratings," October 28, 2020
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Biden’s Path to 270 Widens, Trump’s Path Narrows, as Texas Moves to Toss Up," October 28, 2020
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
- ↑ This analysis does not include counties in Alaska and certain independent cities due to variations in vote total reporting.
- ↑ Nature, "The power of prediction markets," October 18, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Meet the 'stock market' for politics," October 31, 2014
- ↑ U.S. Presidential General Election Results, "2008 Electoral Map Based on the Intrade Prediction Market," accessed January 25, 2018
- ↑ Dave Leip's Atlas of Presidential Elections, "Election Results," accessed October 2, 2020
