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Presidential election, 2016/General election polls
Polls have long been a key component of tracking and analyzing political races, and presidential races are no exception.
Presidential races are closely monitored and polled continuously, as early as two to three years before the actual election. These polls can drive campaign strategy: signaling to those in the lead to stay the course to maintain their standing and telling those in the back of the race that changes may be necessary to remain competitive.
While presidential polls can affect how candidates run their campaigns, candidates should be wary that poll numbers can often be vastly different from the actual outcome of the race. For example, Michael Dukakis was favored over George H. W. Bush by 17 percentage points at times during the 1988 general election campaign. But, the outcome was far different.[1] Bush received 426 electoral votes to Dukakis' 111.[2]
According to one Harvard study, journalists and the media in general focus intently on presidential polls, but in truth, they are poor indicators of how an election will actually play out.[1] Regardless of whether polls can predict election results, they remain a staple of the political coverage of presidential elections.
Below, see a sampling of 2016 presidential general election polls.
- For readers interested in polls that were conducted earlier in the 2016 cycle, please see Ballotpedia's coverage of 2016 presidential primary election and hypothetical polls.
2016 general election polls
Clinton vs. Trump - tracking polls
Clinton-Trump 2016 head-to-head tracking polls (November 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
IDB/TIPP tracking poll November 4-7, 2016 | 43% | 42% | 15% | +/-3.1 | 1,107 | ||||||||||||||
L.A. Times/USC tracking poll November 1-7, 2016 | 44% | 47% | 9% | +/-4.5 | 2,935 | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll November 3-6, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 5% | +/-2.5 | 2,220 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Tracking polls including third party candidates
Tracking polls including third party candidates - (November 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen November 2-6, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 6% | +/-2.5 | 1,500 | ||||||||||||
IDB/TIPP tracking poll November 4-7, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 8% | 2% | 2% | +/-3.1 | 1,107 | ||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll November 3-6, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 5% | +/-2.5 | 2,220 | ||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Clinton vs. Trump
Clinton-Trump 2016 head-to-head presidential polls (October-November 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov November 4-7, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 6% | +/-NA | 3,669 | ||||||||||||||
Bloomberg November 4-6, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 11% | +/-3.5 | 799 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News November 3-6, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 8% | +/-2.5 | 1,295 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News November 2-6, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 10% | +/-3 | 1,426 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 31-November-6, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 5% | +/-1 | 30,145 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3-5, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 9% | +/-2.7 | 1,282 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News November 1-3, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 9% | +/-3 | 1,107 | ||||||||||||||
McClatchy/Marist November 1-3, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 10% | +/-3.2 | 940 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos October 30-November 3, 2016 | 44% | 39% | 17% | +/-2.5 | 2,021 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov October 30-November 1, 2016 | 48% | 45% | 7% | +/-3.2 | 1,233 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News/N.Y. Times October 28-November 1, 2016 | 47% | 44% | 9% | +/-3 | 1,333 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 24-30, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 5% | +/-1 | 40,816 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov October 22-26, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 5% | +/-3.3 | 1,209 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News October 22-25, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 7% | +/-2.5 | 1,221 | ||||||||||||||
USA Today/Suffolk October 20-24, 2016 | 49% | 39% | 12% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos October 20-24, 2016 | 43% | 37% | 20% | +/-3.3 | 1,170 | ||||||||||||||
Associated Press/GfK October 20-24, 2016 | 54% | 41% | 5% | +/-NA | 1,212 | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC October 20-23, 2016 | 51% | 45% | 4% | +/-3.5 | 779 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Clinton-Trump 2016 head-to-head presidential polls (September-October 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac October 17-18, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6% | +/-3.1 | 1,007 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov October 15-18, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 10% | +/-3.9 | 925 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News October 15-17, 2016 | 49% | 42% | 9% | +/-3 | 912 | ||||||||||||||
Bloomberg October 14-17, 2016 | 50% | 41% | 9% | +/-3.1 | 1,006 | ||||||||||||||
Monmouth October 14-16, 2016 | 53% | 41% | 6% | +/-3.6 | 726 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News October 12-16, 2016 | 51% | 40% | 9% | +/-3 | 1,189 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 10-16, 2016 | 51% | 43% | 6% | +/-1 | 24,804 | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post October 10-13, 2016 | 50% | 46% | 4% | +/-4 | 740 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall St. Journal October 10-13, 2016 | 51% | 41% | 8% | +/-3.3 | 905 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News October 10-12, 2016 | 49% | 41% | 10% | +/-3 | 917 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 8-10, 2016 | 50% | 40% | 10% | +/-3.5 | 806 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos October 6-10, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 19% | +/-2.2 | 2,363 | ||||||||||||||
PRRI/The Atlantic October 5-9, 2016 | 49% | 38% | 13% | +/-3.9 | 886 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 3-9, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 5% | +/-1 | 23,329 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov October 7-8, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 9% | +/-4.2 | 971 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac October 5-6, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6% | +/-3 | 1,064 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News October 3-6, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 8% | +/-3 | 896 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov October 1-October 3, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 9% | +/-3.9 | 911 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos September 29-October 3, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 19% | +/-3.2 | 1,239 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News September 28-October 2, 2016 | 49% | 43% | 8% | +/-4 | 1,217 | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC September 28-October 2, 2016 | 51% | 45% | 4% | +/-3 | 1,213 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 26-October 2, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6% | +/-1 | 26,925 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News September 27-29, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 7% | +/-3 | 911 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling September 27-28, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 6% | +/-3.2 | 933 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos September 22-26, 2016 | 44% | 38% | 18% | +/-3.5 | 1,041 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Clinton-Trump 2016 head-to-head presidential polls (September 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
L.A. Times/USC Tracking September 20-26, 2016 | 43% | 46% | 11% | +/-4.5 | 2,726 | ||||||||||||||
Monmouth September 22-25, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 5% | +/-3.6 | 729 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac September 22-25, 2016 | 47% | 46% | 7% | +/-3.1 | 1,115 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 19-25, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 5% | +/-1.1 | 13,598 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov September 22-24, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 8% | +/-3.8 | 948 | ||||||||||||||
Bloomberg September 21-24, 2016 | 46% | 46% | 8% | +/-3.1 | 1,002 | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post September 19-22, 2016 | 49% | 47% | 4% | +/-4.5 | 651 | ||||||||||||||
McClatchy/Marist September 15-20, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 11% | +/-3.6 | 758 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov September 18-19, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 11% | +/-4 | 936 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall St. Journal September 16-19, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 11% | +/-3.2 | 922 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos September 15-19, 2016 | 39% | 39% | 22% | +/-3.4 | 1,111 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 12-18, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5% | +/-1.2 | 13,320 | ||||||||||||||
Associated Press/GfK September 15-16, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6% | +/-NA | 1,251 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News September 11-14, 2016 | 45% | 46% | 9% | +/-3 | 867 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov September 10-13, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 10% | +/-4 | 926 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News/N.Y. Times September 9-13, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 10% | +/-3 | 1,433 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac September 8-13, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 9% | +/-3.2 | 960 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos September 8-12, 2016 | 40% | 39% | 21% | +/-3.3 | 1,127 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 5-11, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 8% | +/-1.1 | 16,220 | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post September 5-8, 2016 | 51% | 43% | 6% | +/-4.5 | 642 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov September 4-6, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 14% | +/-4.7 | 955 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos September 1-5, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 22% | +/-3.5 | 1,084 | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC September 1-4, 2016 | 48% | 49% | 3% | +/-3.5 | 786 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 29-September 4, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 10% | +/-1 | 32,226 | ||||||||||||||
IBD/TIPP August 26-September 1, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 13% | +/-3.4 | 861 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Clinton-Trump 2016 head-to-head presidential polls (August 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | ![]() |
![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
Fox News August 28-30, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 10% | +/-3 | 1,011 | ||||||||||||||
L.A.Times/USC August 24-30, 2016 | 42% | 45% | 13% | +/-4.5 | 2,576 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos August 25-29, 2016 | 40% | 39% | 21% | +/-3 | 1,404 | ||||||||||||||
USA Today/Suffolk August 24-29, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 11% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling August 26-28, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 9% | +/-3.3 | 881 | ||||||||||||||
Monmouth August 25-28, 2016 | 49% | 42% | 9% | +/-3.7 | 689 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 22-28, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 10% | +/-1 | 24,104 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos August 20-24, 2016 | 42% | 35% | 23% | +/-3.5 | 1,049 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac August 18-24, 2016 | 51% | 41% | 8% | +/-2.5 | 1,498 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov August 19-23, 2016 | 47% | 44% | 9% | +/-4.1 | 906 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos August 13-17, 2016 | 41% | 36% | 23% | +/-3.5 | 1,049 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 8-14, 2016 | 50% | 41% | 9% | +/-1.2 | 15,179 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos August 6-10, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 22% | +/-3.5 | 974 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov August 6-9, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 11% | +/-4.2 | 911 | ||||||||||||||
Bloomberg August 5-8, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6% | +/-3.6 | 749 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/Survey Monkey August 1-7, 2016 | 51% | 41% | 8% | +/-1.2 | 11,480 | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post August 1-4, 2016 | 50% | 42% | 8% | +/-4 | 815 | ||||||||||||||
IBD/TIPP July 29-August 4, 2016 | 46% | 39% | 15% | +/-3.4 | 851 | ||||||||||||||
McClatchy/Marist August 1-3, 2016 | 48% | 33% | 19% | +/-3.1 | 983 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall St. Journal July 31-August 3, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 15% | +/-3.5 | 800 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos July 30-August 3, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 18% | +/-3.5 | 1,072 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News July 31-August 2, 2016 | 49% | 39% | 12% | +/-3 | 1,022 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov July 30-August 1, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 11% | +/-4.1 | 933 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Clinton-Trump 2016 head-to-head presidential polls (July 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | ![]() |
![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC July 29-31, 2016 | 52% | 43% | 5% | +/-3.5 | 894 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News July 29-31, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 12% | +/-3 | 1,131 | ||||||||||||||
L.A. Times/USC July 25-31, 2016 | 42% | 46% | 12% | +/-NA | 2,188 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling July 29-30, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5% | +/-2.7 | 1,276 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports July 26-27, 2016 | 43% | 42% | 15% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos July 25-29, 2016 | 40% | 35% | 25% | +/-3.5 | 1,050 | ||||||||||||||
Economis/YouGov July 23-24, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 11% | +/-4.5 | 1,057 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News July 22-24, 2016 | 43% | 44% | 13% | +/-4 | 1,118 | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC July 22-24, 2016 | 45% | 48% | 7% | +/-3.5 | 882 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 18-24, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 9% | +/-1.2 | 12,931 | ||||||||||||||
Gravis July 21-22, 2016 | 49% | 51% | 0% | +/-1.7 | 3,462 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos July 16-20, 2016 | 40% | 36% | 24% | +/-3.2 | 1,232 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen July 18-19, 2016 | 42% | 43% | 15% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov July 15-17, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 14% | +/-4.5 | 925 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 11-17, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 9% | +/-1.4 | 9,436 | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC July 13-16, 2016 | 49% | 42% | 9% | +/-3.5 | 872 | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post July 11-14, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 10% | +/-4 | 816 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports July 12-13, 2016 | 37% | 44% | 19% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall St. Journal July 9-13, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 13% | +/-3.1 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News/NY Times July 8-12, 2016 | 40% | 40% | 20% | +/-3 | 1,358 | ||||||||||||||
The Economist/YouGov July 9-11, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 12% | +/-4.5 | 932 | ||||||||||||||
McClatchy/Marist July 5-9, 2016 | 42% | 39% | 19% | +/-3 | 1,053 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos July 2-6, 2016 | 44% | 33% | 23% | +/-2.8 | 1,345 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports July 5, 2016 | 40% | 42% | 18% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov July 2-4, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 11% | +/-4 | 1,004 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Clinton-Trump 2016 head-to-head presidential polls (June 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | ![]() |
![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports June 28-29, 2016 | 39% | 43% | 18% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
USA Today/Suffolk June 26-29, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 14% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos June 25-29, 2016 | 42% | 32% | 26% | +/-2.8 | 1,247 | ||||||||||||||
Gravis June 27-28, 2016 | 50% | 48% | 2% | +/-2.1 | 2,162 | ||||||||||||||
IBD/TIPP June 24-29, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 16% | +/-3.5 | 837 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling June 27-28, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 8% | +/-3.2 | 947 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News June 26-28, 2016 | 44% | 38% | 18% | +/-3 | 1,017 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac June 21-27, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 18% | +/-2.4 | 1,610 | ||||||||||||||
Pew Research June 15-26, 2016 | 51% | 42% | 7% | +/-2.7 | 1,655 | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post June 20-23, 2016 | 51% | 39% | 10% | +/-4 | 836 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall St. Journal June 19-23, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 13% | +/-3.1 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen June 20-21, 2016 | 44% | 39% | 17% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos June 18-22, 2016 | 44% | 34% | 22% | +/-2.8 | 1,339 | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC June 16-19, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 11% | +/-3.5 | 891 | ||||||||||||||
Monmouth June 15-19, 2016 | 49% | 41% | 10% | +/-3.7 | 721 | ||||||||||||||
Gravis June 16, 2016 | 51% | 49% | 0% | +/-2.1 | 2,197 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports June 14-15, 2016 | 44% | 39% | 17% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos June 11-15, 2016 | 41% | 32% | 27% | +/-2.8 | 1,323 | ||||||||||||||
CNBC June 11-13, 2016 | 40% | 35% | 25% | +/-3.5 | 801 | ||||||||||||||
Bloomberg June 10-13, 2016 | 49% | 37% | 14% | +/-3.6 | 750 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News June 9-13, 2016 | 43% | 37% | 20% | +/-4 | 1,048 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News June 5-8, 2016 | 42% | 39% | 19% | +/-3 | 1,004 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos June 4-8, 2016 | 42% | 34% | 24% | +/-2.9 | 1,440 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports June 6-7, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 20% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
IBD/TIPP May 31-June 5, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 15% | +/-3.3 | 908 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Clinton-Trump 2016 head-to-head presidential polls (April 2016-May 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | ![]() |
![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports May 31-June 1, 2016 | 39% | 38% | 23% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac May 24-30, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 14% | +/-2.5 | 1,561 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports May 23-24, 2016 | 40% | 39% | 21% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post May 16-19, 2016 | 44% | 46% | 10% | +/-3.5 | 829 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall St. Journal May 15-19, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 11% | +/-3.1 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports May 17-18, 2016 | 37% | 42% | 21% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News May 14-17, 2016 | 42% | 45% | 13% | +/-3 | 1,021 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News/NY Times May 13-17, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 12% | +/-3 | 1,109 | ||||||||||||||
Gravis May 10, 2016 | 48% | 46% | 6% | +/-2.5 | 1,574 | ||||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos May 6-10, 2016 | 41% | 40% | 19% | +/-3 | 1,289 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling May 6-9, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 12% | +/-3.2 | 1,222 | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC April 28-May 1, 2016 | 54% | 41% | 5% | +/-3.5 | 890 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports April 27-28, 2016 | 39% | 41% | 20% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
IBD/TIPP April 22-28, 2016 | 47% | 40% | 13% | +/-3.5 | 814 | ||||||||||||||
USA Today/Suffolk April 20-24, 2016 | 50% | 39% | 11% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
GWU/Battleground April 17-20. 2016 | 46% | 43% | 11% | +/-3.1 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
NBC/Wall St. Journal April 10-14, 2016 | 50% | 39% | 11% | +/-3.5 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News April 11-13, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 11% | +/-3 | 1,021 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News April 8-12, 2016 | 50% | 40% | 10% | +/-3 | 1,098 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Clinton-Trump 2016 head-to-head presidential polls (January 2016-March 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | ![]() |
![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
Investors Business Daily/TIPP March 28-April 2, 2016 | 47% | 35% | 18% | +/-3.5 | 819 | ||||||||||||||
McClatchy/Marist March 29-31, 2016 | 50% | 41% | 9% | +/-3 | 1,066 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling March 24-26, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 11% | +/-3 | 1,083 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News March 20-22, 2016 | 49% | 38% | 13% | +/-3 | 1,016 | ||||||||||||||
Bloomberg March 19-22, 2016 | 54% | 36% | 10% | +/-3.4 | 815 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac March 16-21, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 14% | +/-2.6 | 1,451 | ||||||||||||||
CBS/New York Times March 17-20, 2016 | 50% | 40% | 10% | +/-4 | 1,058 | ||||||||||||||
NBC/WSJ/Marist March 17-20, 2016 | 53% | 41% | 6% | +/-3 | 925 | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC March 2-6, 2016 | 50% | 43% | 7% | +/-3.5 | 884 | ||||||||||||||
NBC/WSJ/Marist March 3-6, 2016 | 51% | 38% | 11% | +/-2.83 | 1,200 | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post March 3-6, 2016 | 50% | 41% | 9% | +/-3.5 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
NBC/WSJ/Marist March 1-3, 2016 | 52% | 36% | 12% | +/-2.1 | 2,229 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports February 29-March 1, 2016 | 41% | 36% | 23% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC February 24-27, 2016 | 52% | 44% | 4% | +/-3 | 920 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News February 15-17, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 11% | +/-3 | 1,031 | ||||||||||||||
Suffolk University February 11-15, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 12% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University February 10-15, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 13% | +/-2.7 | 1,342 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University February 2-4, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 13% | +/-2.9 | 1,125 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling February 2-3, 2016 | 47% | 40% | 13% | +/-2.8 | 1,236 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/WSJ January 9-13, 2016 | 51% | 41% | 8% | +/-3.5 | 800 | ||||||||||||||
Fox News January 4-7, 2016 | 44% | 47% | 9% | +/-3 | 1,006 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Hillary Clinton v. Donald Trump 2016 hypothetical race polls (2015) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Hillary Clinton | Donald Trump | Undecided/Not sure | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post Poll (All adults) September 7-10, 2015 | 51% | 39% | 10% | +/-3.5 | 1,003 | ||||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post Poll (Registered voters) September 7-10, 2015 | 46% | 43% | 11% | +/-4.0 | 821 | ||||||||||||||
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll August 26-September 9, 2015 | 53% | 40% | 7% | +/-2.9 | 1,115 | ||||||||||||||
Survey USA September 2-3, 2015 | 40% | 45% | 16% | +/-3.3 | 900 | ||||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 47.5% | 41.75% | 11% | +/-3.43 | 959.75 | ||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Polling including third party candidates
The following are polls since 2016 on hypothetical presidential match-ups which include third-party candidates.
Polls including third party candidates - (November 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov November 4-7, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 7% | +/-NA | 3,677 | ||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Polls including third party candidates - (October-November 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||
Bloomberg November 4-6, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 9% | +/-3.5 | 799 | ||||||||||||
Fox News November 3-6, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 3% | 2% | 3% | +/-2.5 | 1,295 | ||||||||||||
CBS News November 2-6, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 7% | +/-3 | 1,426 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3-5, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 6% | 2% | 8% | +/-2.7 | 1,282 | ||||||||||||
Fox News November 1-3, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 5% | 2% | 5% | +/-3 | 1,107 | ||||||||||||
McClatchy/Marist November 1-3, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 5% | +/-3.2 | 940 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos October 30-November 3, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 11% | +/-2.5 | 2,021 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov October 30-November 1, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 5% | +/-3.2 | 1,233 | ||||||||||||
CBS News/N.Y. Times October 28-November 1, 2016 | 45% | 42% | 5% | 4% | 4% | +/-3 | 1,333 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 24-30, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 6% | 3% | 3% | +/-1 | 40,816 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov October 22-26, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 7% | +/-3.3 | 1,209 | ||||||||||||
Fox News October 22-25, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 5% | +/-2.5 | 1,221 | ||||||||||||
USA Today/Suffolk October 20-24, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 4% | 2% | 9% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos October 20-24, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 11% | +/-3.3 | 1,170 | ||||||||||||
Associated Press/GfK October 20-24, 2016 | 51% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 4% | +/-NA | 1,212 | ||||||||||||
CNN/ORC October 20-23, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 3% | 2% | 2% | +/-3.5 | 779 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 17-23, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 3% | +/-1 | 32,225 | ||||||||||||
Quinnipiac October 17-18, 2016 | 47% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 5% | +/-3.1 | 1,007 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov October 15-18, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 13% | +/-3.9 | 925 | ||||||||||||
Fox News October 15-17, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 5% | 3% | 8% | +/-3 | 912 | ||||||||||||
Bloomberg October 14-17, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 4% | +/-3.1 | 1,006 | ||||||||||||
Monmouth October 14-16, 2016 | 50% | 38% | 5% | 2% | 5% | +/-3.6 | 726 | ||||||||||||
CBS News October 12-16, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 4% | +/-3 | 1,189 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 10-16, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 2% | +/-1 | 24,804 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen October 12-16, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 9% | +/-2.5 | 1,500 | ||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Polls including third party candidates - (September-October 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post October 10-13, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 5% | 2% | 3% | +/-4 | 740 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall St. Journal October 10-13, 2016 | 48% | 37% | 7% | 2% | 6% | +/-3.3 | 905 | ||||||||||||
GWU/Battleground October 8-13, 2016 | 47% | 39% | 8% | 2% | 4% | +/-3.1 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Fox News October 10-12, 2016 | 45% | 38% | 7% | 3% | 7% | +/-3 | 917 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 8-10, 2016 | 46% | 37% | 8% | 2% | 7% | +/-3.5 | 806 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos October 6-10, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 11% | +/-2.2 | 2,363 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen October 5-9, 2016 | 45% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 8% | +/-2.5 | 1,500 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 3-9, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 2% | +/-1 | 23,329 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov October 7-8, 2016 | 44% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 12% | +/-4.2 | 971 | ||||||||||||
Quinnipiac October 5-6, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 6% | 3% | 6% | +/-3 | 1,064 | ||||||||||||
Fox News October 3-6, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 6% | 2% | 6% | +/-3 | 896 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports October 3-5, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 8% | 3% | 5% | +/-2.5 | 1,500 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov October 1-October 3, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 5% | 3% | 9% | +/-3.9 | 911 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos September 29-October 3, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 12% | +/-3.2 | 1,239 | ||||||||||||
CBS News September 28-October 2, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 3% | +/-4 | 1,217 | ||||||||||||
CNN/ORC September 28-October 2, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 2% | +/-3 | 1,213 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 26-October 2, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | +/-1 | 26,925 | ||||||||||||
Fox News September 27-29, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 5% | +/-3 | 911 | ||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling September 27-28, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 6% | 1% | 9% | +/-3.2 | 933 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos September 22-26, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 9% | +/-3.5 | 1,041 | ||||||||||||
Quinnipiac September 22-25, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 3% | +/-3.1 | 1,115 | ||||||||||||
Monmouth September 22-25, 2016 | 46% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 2% | +/-3.6 | 729 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov September 22-24, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 8% | +/-3.8 | 948 | ||||||||||||
Bloomberg September 21-24, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 4% | +/-3.1 | 1,002 | ||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post September 19-22, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 4% | +/-4.5 | 651 | ||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Polls including third party candidates - (August-September 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports September 20-21, 2016 | 39% | 44% | 8% | 2% | 7% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
McClatchy/Marist September 15-20, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 2% | +/-3.6 | 758 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov September 18-19, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 13% | +/-4 | 936 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall St. Journal September 16-19, 2016 | 43% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 9% | +/-3.2 | 922 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos September 15-19, 2016 | 37% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 15% | +/-3.4 | 1,111 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/Survey Monkey September 12-18, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 10% | 4% | 1% | +/-1.2 | 13,320 | ||||||||||||
Associated Press/GfK September 15-16, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 9% | 2% | 5% | +/-0 | 1,251 | ||||||||||||
Fox News September 11-14, 2016 | 41% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 8% | +/-3 | 867 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen September 12-13, 2016 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 9% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov September 10-13, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 5% | 3% | 10% | +/-4 | 926 | ||||||||||||
CBS News/N.Y. Times September 9-13, 2016 | 42% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | +/-3 | 1,433 | ||||||||||||
Quinnipiac September 8-13, 2016 | 41% | 39% | 13% | 4% | 3% | +/-3.2 | 960 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos September 8-12, 2016 | 39% | 39% | 8% | 2% | 12% | +/-3.3 | 1,127 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 5-11, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 11% | 4% | 3% | +/-1.1 | 16,220 | ||||||||||||
Gravis September 7-8, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 9% | +/-2 | 2,348 | ||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post September 5-8, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | +/-4.5 | 642 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen September 6-7, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 9% | 2% | 7% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov September 4-6, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 10% | +/-4.7 | 955 | ||||||||||||
CNN/ORC September 1-4, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 3% | +/-3.5 | 786 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 29-September 4, 2016 | 41% | 37% | 12% | 4% | 6% | +/-1 | 32,226 | ||||||||||||
IBD/TIPP August 26-September 1, 2016 | 39% | 39% | 12% | 3% | 7% | +/-3.4 | 861 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports August 29-30, 2016 | 39% | 40% | 7% | 3% | 11% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Fox News August 28-30, 2016 | 41% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 7% | +/-3 | 1,011 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos August 25-29, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 14% | +/-3 | 1,404 | ||||||||||||
USA Today/Suffolk August 24-29, 2016 | 42% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 10% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Polls including third party candidates - (August 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov August 27-29, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 7% | 3% | 21% | +/-4 | 1,119 | ||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling August 26-28, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 6% | 4% | 21% | +/-3.3 | 881 | ||||||||||||
Monmouth August 25-28, 2016 | 46% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 15% | +/-3.7 | 689 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 22-28, 2016 | 41% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 22% | +/-1 | 24,104 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen August 23-24, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 2% | 20% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos August 20-24, 2016 | 39% | 36% | 7% | 3% | 25% | +/-3.5 | 1,049 | ||||||||||||
Quinnipiac August 18-24, 2016 | 45% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 17% | +/-2.5 | 1,498 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov August 19-23, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 4% | 20% | +/-4.1 | 906 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/Survey Monkey August 15-21, 2016 | 43% | 38% | 11% | 5% | 3% | +/-1.1 | 17,459 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos August 13-17, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 7% | 2% | 17% | +/-3.5 | 1,049 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen August 15-16, 2016 | 41% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 8% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Pew Research August 9-16, 2016 | 41% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 8% | +/-2.8 | 1,567 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 8-14, 2016 | 43% | 37% | 11% | 4% | 5% | +/-1.2 | 15,179 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports August 9-10, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 2% | 7% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos August 6-10, 2016 | 40% | 35% | 7% | 3% | 15% | +/-3.5 | 974 | ||||||||||||
Breitbart/Gravis August 9, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 9% | +/-1.8 | 2,832 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov August 6-9, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 2% | 11% | +/-4.2 | 911 | ||||||||||||
Bloomberg August 5-8, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 3% | +/-3.6 | 749 | ||||||||||||
Monmouth August 4-7, 2016 | 50% | 37% | 7% | 2% | 4% | +/-3.8 | 683 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/Survey Monkey August 1-7, 2016 | 44% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 4% | +/-1.2 | 11,480 | ||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post August 1-4, 2016 | 45% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 6% | +/-4 | 815 | ||||||||||||
IBD/TIPP July 29-August 4, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 9% | +/-3.4 | 851 | ||||||||||||
McClatchy/Marist August 1-3, 2016 | 45% | 31% | 10% | 6% | 8% | +/-3.1 | 983 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall St. Journal July 31-August 3, 2016 | 43% | 34% | 10% | 5% | 8% | +/-3.5 | 800 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports August 1-2, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 6% | 3% | 7% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Polls including third party candidates - (July 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos July 31-August 3, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 12% | +/-3.5 | 1,072 | ||||||||||||
Fox News July 31-August 2, 2016 | 44% | 35% | 12% | 0% | 9% | +/-3 | 1,022 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov July 30-August 1, 2016 | 41% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 11% | +/-4.1 | 933 | ||||||||||||
CNN/ORC July 29-31, 2016 | 45% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 4% | +/-3.5 | 894 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 25-31, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 7% | +/-1.2 | 12,742 | ||||||||||||
CBS News July 29-31, 2016 | 43% | 38% | 10% | 0% | 9% | +/-3 | 1,131 | ||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling July 29-30, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 6% | 2% | 5% | +/-2.7 | 1,276 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos July 25-29, 2016 | 37% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 20% | +/-2.9 | 1,433 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov July 23-24, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 5% | 3% | 14% | +/-4.5 | 1,057 | ||||||||||||
CNN/ORC July 22-24, 2016 | 39% | 44% | 9% | 3% | 5% | +/-3.5 | 882 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 18-24, 2016 | 39% | 41% | 10% | 5% | 5% | +/-1.2 | 12,931 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos July 16-20, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 7% | 3% | 16% | +/-3.2 | 1,232 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov July 15-17, 2016 | 40% | 37% | 5% | 4% | 14% | +/-4.5 | 925 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 11-17, 2016 | 39% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 6% | +/-1.4 | 9,436 | ||||||||||||
Monmouth July 14-16, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 6% | +/-3.7 | 688 | ||||||||||||
CNN/ORC July 13-16, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 13% | 5% | 3% | +/-3.5 | 872 | ||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post July 11-14, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 7% | +/-4 | 816 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal July 9-13, 2016 | 41% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 7% | +/-3.1 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
The Economist/YouGov July 9-11, 2016 | 40% | 37% | 5% | 2% | 16% | +/-4.5 | 932 | ||||||||||||
Associated Press/GfK July 7-11, 2016 | 40% | 36% | 6% | 2% | 16% | +/-3.3 | 837 | ||||||||||||
McClatchy/Marist July 5-9, 2016 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 10% | +/-3 | 1,053 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos July 2-6, 2016 | 42% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 15% | +/-2.8 | 1,345 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen July 5, 2016 | 38% | 40% | 9% | 0% | 13% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov July 2-4, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 4% | 3% | 14% | +/-4 | 1,004 | ||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Polls including third party candidates (March - June 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | ![]() |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||
USA Today/Suffolk June 26-29, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 15% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos June 25-29, 2016 | 42% | 31% | 5% | 4% | 18% | +/-2.8 | 1,247 | ||||||||||||
IBD/TIPP June 24-29, 2016 | 37% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 13% | +/-3.5 | 837 | ||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling June 27-28, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 7% | +/-3.2 | 947 | ||||||||||||
Quinnipiac June 21-27, 2016 | 39% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 12% | +/-2.4 | 1,610 | ||||||||||||
ABC News/Washington Post June 20-23, 2016 | 47% | 37% | 7% | 3% | 6% | +/-4 | 836 | ||||||||||||
NBC News/Wall St. Journal June 19-23, 2016 | 39% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 7% | +/-3.1 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos June 18-22, 2016 | 43% | 34% | 6% | 5% | 12% | +/-2.8 | 1,339 | ||||||||||||
Economist/YouGov June 18-20, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 4% | 0% | 14% | +/-4.2 | 1,011 | ||||||||||||
CNN/ORC June 16-19, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 7% | 4% | +/-3.5 | 891 | ||||||||||||
Monmouth June 15-19, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 6% | +/-3.7 | 721 | ||||||||||||
Reuters/Ipsos June 11-15, 2016 | 39% | 29% | 6% | 4% | 22% | +/-2.8 | 1,323 | ||||||||||||
CBS News June 9-13, 2016 | 39% | 32% | 11% | 0% | 18% | +/-4 | 1,048 | ||||||||||||
Bloomberg June 10-13, 2016 | 49% | 37% | 9% | 0% | 5% | +/-3.6 | 750 | ||||||||||||
Guardian/Survey USA June 8, 2016 | 39% | 36% | 6% | 4% | 15% | +/-2.7 | 1,408 | ||||||||||||
Fox News June 5-8, 2016 | 39% | 36% | 12% | 0% | 13% | +/-3 | 1,004 | ||||||||||||
IBD/TIPP May 31-June 5, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 11% | 0% | 15% | +/-3.3 | 908 | ||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports May 31-June 1, 2016 | 38% | 37% | 8% | 0% | 17% | +/-3 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||
Quinnipiac May 24-30, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 5% | 3% | 14% | +/-2.5 | 1,561 | ||||||||||||
Morning Consult May 19-23, 2016 | 38% | 35% | 10% | 0% | 17% | +/-2 | 2,001 | ||||||||||||
Fox News May 14-17, 2016 | 39% | 42% | 10% | 0% | 9% | +/-3 | 1,021 | ||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling May 6-9, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 4% | 2% | 14% | +/-3.2 | 1,222 | ||||||||||||
Monmouth University March 17-20, 2016 | 42% | 34% | 11% | 0% | 13% | +/-3.4 | 848 | ||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Ballotpedia Battleground Poll (June 10-22, 2016)
- See also: Ballotpedia's battleground poll, 2016
Ballotpedia partnered with Evolving Strategies and surveyed voters across seven states (June 10 – 22) regarding their vote preferences. We tested six election scenarios. In one set, we matched Hillary Clinton (D) in a series of two-way contests with Donald Trump (R), Ohio Governor John Kasich (R), and House Speaker Paul Ryan (R). In the second set, we matched these same candidates in a series of three-way contests that also included former governor Gary Johnson.
In all seven states, Clinton polled higher than Trump. The tightest battleground race between the two frontrunners was in Iowa, where Clinton led Trump by a weighted 4 percentage points. Clinton saw the largest lead in Michigan, where she led Trump by a weighted 17 percentage points. Comparatively, John Kasich polled ahead of Clinton in five of the seven states, and Paul Ryan polled ahead of Clinton in three states.
Evolving Strategies and Ballotpedia surveyed 4,242 registered voters, with a margin of error of +/-4.0%.
State-specific public opinion polls
Click on a state in the map below to view presidential polls conducted on statewide sample groups, plus additional state-specific election information.
Recent news
The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms 2016 Presidential Poll. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.
See also
- Presidential candidates, 2016
- Important dates in the 2016 presidential race
- Presidential straw polls, 2016
- Presidential election, 2016
- Barack Obama
- Democratic National Committee
- Republican National Committee
External links
- Republican Candidate live poll at OpiWiki
- Democratic Candidate live poll at OpiWiki
Footnotes