Presidential election accuracy data

Presidential Election voting trends
Read more about what a Bellwether is and Presidential election accuracy.
Voting trends by state
Alabama • Alaska • Arizona • Arkansas • California • Colorado • Connecticut • Delaware • District of Columbia • Florida • Georgia • Hawaii • Idaho • Illinois • Indiana • Iowa • Kansas • Kentucky • Louisiana • Maine • Maryland • Massachusetts • Michigan • Minnesota • Mississippi • Missouri • Montana • Nebraska • Nevada • New Hampshire • New Jersey • New Mexico • New York • North Carolina • North Dakota • Ohio • Oklahoma • Oregon • Pennsylvania • Rhode Island • South Carolina • South Dakota • Tennessee • Texas • Utah • Vermont • Virginia • Washington • West Virginia • Wisconsin • Wyoming

This page provides historical presidential election results from 1900 to 2024 indicating whether the popular vote winner in each state won the national presidential election. It also includes information about the most and last accurate states during this time period.

Click here to read about the 2024 presidential election.

Most and least accurate states

See also: Presidential voting trends by state

The following table compares the presidential voting accuracy of each state and the District of Columbia between 1900-2024 and 2000-2024.

HIGHLIGHTS

Ohio was the most accurate state between 1900 and 2024, voting for the winning candidate 90.6% of the time. Ohio voted for the winner in every election cycle between 1964 and 2016, and also voted for the winner in 2024. In 2020, Ohio broke its five-decade streak, voting for President Donald Trump (R) rather than the winner, former Vice President Joe Biden (D).

Mississippi was the least accurate state between 1900 and 2024, voting for the winning candidate 46.9% of the time.

Between 1900 and 2024, Woodrow Wilson (D) and Trump were the only two presidents to have lost in their home states. While Wilson won in his home state of New Jersey in 1912, he lost in New Jersey in 1916. Trump lost in New York in 2016, 2020, and 2024.

Election results by state

1900 to 1948

Election results by state and presidential election winner (1900-1948)
State/Elected candidate	McKinley (R) 1900	T. Roosevelt (R) 1904	Taft (R) 1908	Wilson (D) 1912	Wilson (D) 1916	Harding (R) 1920	Coolidge (R) 1924	Hoover (R) 1928	FDR (D) 1932	FDR (D) 1936	FDR (D) 1940	FDR (D) 1944	Truman (D) 1948
Alabama	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
Alaska	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Arkansas	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Arizona	-	-	-	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
California	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Colorado	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes
Connecticut	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
Delaware	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
District of Columbia	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Florida	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Georgia	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Hawaii	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Idaho	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Illinois	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Indiana	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	No
Iowa	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes
Kansas	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	No
Kentucky	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Louisiana	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
Maine	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	No	No	No
Maryland	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
Massachusetts	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Michigan	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Minnesota	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Mississippi	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
Missouri	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Montana	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Nebraska	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	No
Nevada	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
New Hampshire	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
New Jersey	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
New Mexico	-	-	-	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
New York	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
North Carolina	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
North Dakota	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	No
Ohio	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes
Oklahoma	-	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Oregon	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
Pennsylvania	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
Rhode Island	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
South Carolina	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
South Dakota	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	No
Tennessee	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Texas	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Utah	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Vermont	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	No	No	No
Virginia	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Washington	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
West Virginia	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Wisconsin	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes
Wyoming	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes

1952 to 1996

Election results by state and presidential election winner (1952-1996)
State/Elected candidate	Eisenhower (R) 1952	Eisenhower (R) 1956	Kennedy (D) 1960	Johnson (D) 1964	Nixon (R) 1968	Nixon (R) 1972	Carter (D) 1976	Reagan (R) 1980	Reagan (R) 1984	George H.W. Bush (R) 1988	Bill Clinton (D) 1992	Bill Clinton (D) 1996
Alabama	No	No	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Alaska	-	-	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Arkansas	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Arizona	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes
California	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Colorado	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
Connecticut	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Delaware	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
District of Columbia	-	-	-	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	No	No	Yes	Yes
Florida	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes
Georgia	No	No	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
Hawaii	-	-	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes
Idaho	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Illinois	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Indiana	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Iowa	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes
Kansas	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Kentucky	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Louisiana	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Maine	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Maryland	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Massachusetts	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes
Michigan	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Minnesota	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	No	Yes	Yes
Mississippi	No	No	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Missouri	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Montana	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No
Nebraska	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Nevada	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
New Hampshire	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
New Jersey	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
New Mexico	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
New York	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes
North Carolina	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
North Dakota	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Ohio	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Oklahoma	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Oregon	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes
Pennsylvania	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Rhode Island	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes
South Carolina	No	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
South Dakota	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Tennessee	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Texas	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Utah	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Vermont	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Virginia	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No
Washington	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes
West Virginia	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes
Wisconsin	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes
Wyoming	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No

2000 to 2024

Election results by state and presidential election winner (2000-2024)
State/Elected candidate	George W. Bush (R) 2000	George W. Bush (R) 2004	Obama (D) 2008	Obama (D) 2012	Trump (R) 2016	Biden (D) 2020	Trump (R) 2024
Alabama	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Alaska	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Arizona	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes
Arkansas	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
California	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Colorado	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Connecticut	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Delaware	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
District of Columbia	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Florida	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes
Georgia	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes
Hawaii	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Idaho	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Illinois	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Indiana	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes
Iowa	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes
Kansas	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Kentucky	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Louisiana	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Maine	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Maryland	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Massachusetts	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Michigan	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Minnesota	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Mississippi	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Missouri	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Montana	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Nebraska	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Nevada	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes
New Hampshire	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
New Jersey	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
New Mexico	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
New York	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
North Carolina	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes
North Dakota	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Ohio	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes
Oklahoma	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Oregon	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Pennsylvania	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Rhode Island	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
South Carolina	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
South Dakota	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Tennessee	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Texas	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Utah	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Vermont	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Virginia	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
Washington	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No
West Virginia	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes
Wisconsin	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Wyoming	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	Yes

See also

Ballotpedia's 2024 presidential election coverage

• Presidential election
• Presidential candidates
• Battleground states
• Presidential election by state
• Ballotpedia's presidential election coverage index

Presidential election voting trends
Use the dropdown menu below to navigate Ballotpedia's coverage of presidential election voting trends in each state.

AlabamaAlaskaArizonaArkansasCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDelawareFloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIdahoIllinoisIndianaIowaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMaineMarylandMassachusettsMichiganMinnesotaMississippiMissouriMontanaNebraskaNevadaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNew YorkNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth DakotaTennesseeTexasUtahVermontVirginiaWashingtonWashington, D.C.West VirginiaWisconsinWyomingSubmit

Additional reading

Presidential election results analysis

Click the links below to read more presidential election results analysis.

• Presidential voting history by state
• Presidential voting trends by state
• Presidential election accuracy data
• Presidential statewide margins of victory of five percentage points or fewer, 1948-2024
• Splits between the Electoral College and popular vote
• Results of U.S. House elections in presidential election years, 1920-2020

Ballotpedia's 2024 election coverage

Click the links below to read more of Ballotpedia's 2024 election coverage.

• Congressional elections
• Ballot measures
• State executive elections
• State legislative elections
• State judge elections
• Local elections
• School board elections

Information about voting

Click the links below to read about how to cast your ballot in 2024.

• What's on my ballot?
• Where do I vote?
• When do I vote?
• How do I register to vote?
• How do I request a mail ballot?
• When are the polls open?

External links

• U.S. National Archives and Records Administration
• University of California Santa Barbara, The American Presidency Project

Footnotes

Ballotpedia

About

Overview • What people are saying • Support Ballotpedia • Contact • Contribute • Job opportunities

---

Executive: Leslie Graves, Founder and CEO • Gwen Beattie, Chief Operating Officer

Communications: Alison Graves, Director of Communications • Carley Allensworth • Abigail Campbell • Frank Festa • Sarah Groat • Nathaniel Harwood • Dillon Redmond • Erica Shumaker
External Relations: Geoff Pallay, Director of External Relations • Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy • Ashley Fleming • Thomas Mardik • Hannah Nelson
Operations: Meghann Olshefski, Director of Operations • Amanda Herbert • Mandy Morris • Caroline Presnell • Kelly Rindfleisch
Tech: Matt Latourelle, Director of Technology Operations • Ryan Burch • Kirsten Corrao • Beth Dellea • Travis Eden • Tate Kamish • Margaret Kearney • Eric Lotto • Joseph Sanchez • Mary Susmitha

Contributors: Scott Rasmussen

---

Editorial Content

Josh Altic, Director of Content • Daniel Anderson, Associate Director of Elections & Data • Cory Eucalitto, Associate Director of Features • Ryan Byrne, Managing Editor of Ballot Measures • Mandy McConnell, Managing Editor of News • Doug Kronaizl, Managing Editor of Local Expansion • Abbey Smith, Managing Editor of Elections • Janie Valentine, Managing Editor of Law • Joel Williams. Managing Editor of Events • Andrew Bahl • Jaclyn Beran • Marielle Bricker • Joseph Brusgard • Emma Burlingame • Kelly Coyle • Jon Dunn • Thomas Ellis • Nicole Fisher • Joseph Greaney • Thomas Grobben • Brianna Hosea • Molly Kehoe • Tyler King • Glorie Martinez • Norm Leahy, Senior Editor • Nathan Maxwell • Jimmy McAllister • Brandon McCauley • Ellie Mikus • Ellen Morrissey • Mackenzie Murphy • Kaley Platek • Samantha Post • Adam Powell • Annelise Reinwald • Ethan Rice • Spencer Richardson • Victoria Rose • Briana Ryan • Myj Saintyl • Maddy Salucka • Emma Soukup • Alexis Thacker • Mina Vogel • Samuel Wonacott • Trenton Woodcox