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Presidential election in Oklahoma, 2016

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Oklahoma
2020
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General election in Oklahoma
  Date: November 8, 2016
2016 winner: Donald Trump
Electoral votes: Seven
2012 winner: Mitt Romney (R)
Democratic Primary
  Date: March 1, 2016
Winner: Bernie Sanders
Republican Primary
  Date: March 1, 2016
Winner: Ted Cruz
Down ballot races in Oklahoma
  U.S. Senate
U.S. House
State executives
Oklahoma State Senate
Oklahoma House of Representatives
Oklahoma judicial elections
Oklahoma local judicial elections
State ballot measures
Municipal elections
Recalls
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Oklahoma held an election for the president of the United States on November 8, 2016. The Democratic and Republican parties held primary elections for president on March 1, 2016.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Donald Trump won Oklahoma in the general election. In 2016, Oklahoma had seven electoral votes, which was 1.3 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 2.6 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election.
  • Between 1904—the first year Oklahoma cast electoral votes in a general election for president—and 2016, Oklahoma voted for the winning presidential candidate 72.41 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Oklahoma supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 65.52 to 34.48 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.
  • Democratic and Republican primaries took place in Oklahoma on March 1, 2016. Bernie Sanders won the Oklahoma Democratic primary with 51.9 percent of the vote. Ted Cruz won the Oklahoma Republican primary with 34.4 percent of the vote.
  • General election candidates and results

    Candidates

    See also: Ballot access for presidential candidates

    The candidate list below is based on an email exchange between Ballotpedia and a public information officer for the Oklahoma State Election Board on September 19, 2016. The candidate names below appear in the order in which they were provided to Ballotpedia—not necessarily the order in which they appeared on the ballot in November.

    Presidential candidates on the ballot in Oklahoma

    Donald Trump/Mike Pence (Republican)
    Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (Libertarian)
    Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (Democratic)

    Results

    U.S. presidential election, Oklahoma, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 28.9% 420,375 0
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 65.3% 949,136 7
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 5.7% 83,481 0
    Total Votes 1,452,992 7
    Election results via: Oklahoma State Election Board

    Historical election trends

    See also: Presidential election accuracy

    Below is an analysis of Oklahoma's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.

    Presidential election voting record in Oklahoma, 1904-2016

    Between 1904 and 2016:

    • Oklahoma participated in 29 presidential elections. Its first was in 1904.
    • Oklahoma voted for the winning presidential candidate 72.41 percent of the time.
    • Oklahoma voted Democratic 34.48 percent of the time and Republican 65.52 percent of the time.

    Third party votes

    In 1960, Harry F. Byrd (D), running against Richard Nixon (R) and John F. Kennedy (D), took six unpledged electoral votes in Alabama and one in Oklahoma. He did win Mississippi with eight electoral votes.[1][2]

    Presidential election voting record in Oklahoma, 2000-2016

    *An asterisk indicates that that candidate also won the national electoral vote in that election.

    Electoral votes

    See also: Electoral College

    The president of the United States is not elected by popular vote but rather by electors in the Electoral College. In fact, when Americans vote for president, they are actually voting for a slate of electors selected by members of Democratic and Republican state parties or nominated in some other fashion. Under this system, which is laid out in Article 2, Section 1, of the Constitution, each state is allocated one electoral vote for every member of their congressional delegation, meaning one for each member of the U.S. House and one for each of their two Senators.

    Oklahoma electors

    In 2016, Oklahoma had seven electoral votes. Oklahoma's share of electoral votes represented 1.3 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs in the general election and 2.6 percent of the 270 votes needed to be elected president.

    "Faithless electors"

    The U.S. Constitution does not dictate how presidential electors are to cast their votes, but, in general, electors are expected to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state or the candidates of the party that nominated them to serve as electors. Electors who choose not to vote for the winner of the popular vote or the candidates of the party that nominated them are known as "faithless electors." Faithless electors are rare. Between 1900 and 2012, there were only eight known instances of faithless electors.

    Several states have passed laws against faithless electors and require electors to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state, for the candidate of the party that nominated them to serve as electors, or in accordance with any pledge they may have been required to make at the time of their nomination. In states with these types of laws, faithless electors can be fined or replaced, or their votes can be nullified.[4][5]

    Oklahoma was one of 31 states in 2016—including the District of Columbia—with a law seeking to bind the votes of presidential electors.

    Down ballot races

    See also: Oklahoma elections, 2016

    Below is a list of down ballot races in Oklahoma covered by Ballotpedia in 2016.

    Primary election

    Quick facts

    Democrats: Republicans
    • 2016 Republican winner: Ted Cruz
    • Poll leader: Donald Trump
    • 2012 Republican winner: Rick Santorum
    • Type: Primary
    • Delegate allocation: Proportional*
    • Pledged delegates at stake: 43 pledged
    • Total delegates at stake: 43

    *The Oklahoma GOP includes a provision in its nominating rules allowing any candidate who wins 50 percent of the vote cast within the state or each of the congressional districts to receive all of the state’s at-large and congressional district delegates. For more on this provision, see here.

    Democrats

    Bernie Sanders won the 2016 Oklahoma Democratic primary with nearly 52 percent of the vote.[6] Hillary Clinton was unable to recreate her 2008 win over Barack Obama in Oklahoma, losing to Sanders by approximately 10 points. According to exit polls from CNN, Sanders outperformed Clinton with men and voters 44 years of age or younger. He also won 73 percent of first-time voters. Clinton outperformed Sanders with African-Americans and voters with postgraduate education and incomes over $200,000.[7]

    Republicans

    Ted Cruz won the 2016 Oklahoma Republican primary with 34.4 percent of the vote.[6] Although Donald Trump was leading in polls of likely Republican voters in Oklahoma the week prior to the primary contest, he came in second with 28.3 percent.[8] Marco Rubio was a close third with 26 percent. According to CNN exit polls, Cruz won with men, women, voters of all age groups and self-identified conservatives.[9]

    2016 primary results

    Democrats

    Oklahoma Democratic Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Hillary Clinton 41.5% 139,443 17
    Green check mark transparent.pngBernie Sanders 51.9% 174,228 21
    Michael A. Steinberg 1.2% 4,171 0
    Keith Judd 1.3% 4,386 0
    Roque De La Fuente 0.7% 2,485 0
    Martin O'Malley 2.3% 7,672 0
    Star Locke 1% 3,458 0
    Totals 335,843 38
    Source: Oklahoma State Election Board and CNN

    Republicans

    Oklahoma Republican Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Donald Trump 28.3% 130,267 13
    Rand Paul 0.4% 1,666 0
    Carly Fiorina 0.1% 610 0
    Marco Rubio 26% 119,633 12
    Rick Santorum 0.1% 375 0
    Green check mark transparent.pngTed Cruz 34.4% 158,078 15
    Jeb Bush 0.5% 2,091 0
    Chris Chrisie 0.1% 545 0
    Mike Huckabee 0.3% 1,308 0
    Ben Carson 6.2% 28,601 0
    Lindsey Graham 0% 224 0
    John Kasich 3.6% 16,524 0
    Totals 459,922 40
    Source: Oklahoma State Election Board and CNN

    Candidate list

    Democrats[10]

    Hillary Clinton
    Roque De La Fuente
    Keith Judd


    Star Locke
    Martin O'Malley


    Bernie Sanders
    Michael Steinberg

    Republicans[10]

    Jeb Bush
    Ben Carson
    Chris Christie
    Ted Cruz


    Carly Fiorina
    Lindsey Graham
    Mike Huckabee
    John Kasich


    Rand Paul
    Marco Rubio
    Rick Santorum
    Donald Trump

    Polls

    Democratic primary

    Democratic Party Democratic Party presidential primary polling (Oklahoma)
    Poll Hillary Clinton Bernie SandersUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    Monmouth University
    February 25-28, 2016
    43%48%9%+/-5.7300
    News9/Newson6
    February 23-25, 2016
    40%31%29%+/-4.3510
    Public Policy Polling
    February 14-16, 2016
    46%44%9%+/-4.2542
    The Oklahoman
    February 6-9, 2016
    41.5%28.1%28.1%+/-5.01360
    News 9/News on 6
    November 12-15, 2015
    46.6%12.2%41.3%+/-5.1369
    The Oklahoman
    October 19-22, 2015
    30%21%48%+/-4.3500
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Republican primary

    Republican Party Republican Party presidential primary polling (Oklahoma)
    Poll Donald Trump Ted CruzMarco RubioBen CarsonJohn KasichJeb BushUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    Monmouth University
    February 25-28, 2016
    35%23%22%7%8%0%5%+/-4.9403
    News9/Newson6
    February 23-25, 2016
    34%18%21%9%6%0%12%+/-4.2540
    The Oklahoman
    February 22-23, 2016
    29%20%21%6%5%0%19%+/-4.9400
    The Oklahoman
    February 6-9, 2016
    30%25%21%5.7%3%5%10.3%+/-4.81414
    News 9/News on 6
    November 12-15, 2015
    27.1%18.3%16.3%17.5%<1%2.2%35%+/-5.1389
    The Oklahoman
    October 19-22, 2015
    19%7%9%25%2%3%35%+/-4.3500
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Delegates

    Delegate selection

    See also: 2016 presidential nominations: calendar and delegate rules

    Democratic Party

    Democratic Party Logo.png

    Oklahoma had 42 delegates at the 2016 Democratic National Convention. Of this total, 38 were pledged delegates. National party rules stipulated how Democratic delegates in all states were allocated. Pledged delegates were allocated to a candidate in proportion to the votes he or she received in a state's primary or caucus. A candidate was eligible to receive a share of the state's pledged delegates if he or she won at least 15 percent of the votes cast in the primary or caucus. There were three types of pledged Democratic delegates: congressional district delegates, at-large delegates, and party leaders and elected officials (PLEOs). Congressional district delegates were allocated proportionally based on the primary or caucus results in a given district. At-large and PLEO delegates were allocated proportionally based on statewide primary results.[11][12]

    Four party leaders and elected officials served as unpledged delegates. These delegates were not required to adhere to the results of a state's primary or caucus.[11][13]

    Oklahoma superdelegates

    See also: Superdelegates from Oklahoma, 2016 and Superdelegates and the 2016 Democratic National Convention

    Republican Party

    Logo-GOP.png

    Oklahoma had 43 delegates at the 2016 Republican National Convention. Of this total, 15 were district-level delegates (three for each of the state's five congressional districts). District-level delegates were allocated on a proportional basis; a candidate had to win at least 15 percent of the district vote in order to be eligible to receive any of that district's delegates. If only one candidate broke the 15 percent threshold, he or she received all of the district's delegates. If two candidates broke this threshold, the highest vote-getter received two delegates and the second-place finisher received one delegate. If three or more candidates received more than 15 percent of the vote in a congressional district, the top three candidates each received one of the district's delegates. If a candidate received more than 50 percent of the vote in a district, he or she received all of the district's delegates.[14][15]

    Of the remaining 28 delegates, 25 served at large. At-large delegates were allocated on a proportional basis; a candidate had to win at least 15 percent of the statewide primary vote in order to be eligible to receive any at-large delegates. If a candidate won more than 50 percent of the statewide vote, he or she received all of the state's at-large delegates. In addition, three national party leaders (identified on the chart below as RNC delegates) served as bound delegates to the Republican National Convention.[14][15]

    Presidential voting history

    Oklahoma presidential election results (1900-2024)

    • 10 Democratic wins
    • 20 Republican wins
    Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
    Winning Party N/A N/A D D D R D R D D D D D R R R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

    State profile

    Demographic data for Oklahoma
     OklahomaU.S.
    Total population:3,907,414316,515,021
    Land area (sq mi):68,5953,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White:73.1%73.6%
    Black/African American:7.2%12.6%
    Asian:1.9%5.1%
    Native American:7.3%0.8%
    Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
    Two or more:7.8%3%
    Hispanic/Latino:9.6%17.1%
    Education
    High school graduation rate:86.9%86.7%
    College graduation rate:24.1%29.8%
    Income
    Median household income:$46,879$53,889
    Persons below poverty level:19.7%11.3%
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
    Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Oklahoma.
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

    Presidential voting pattern

    See also: Presidential voting trends in Oklahoma

    Oklahoma voted Republican in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.


    More Oklahoma coverage on Ballotpedia

    See also

    Footnotes