Help us improve in just 2 minutes—share your thoughts in our reader survey.

Projected outcomes of state house elections, 2012

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

2012 State House Elections

SLP badge.png
Democrats

Before election: 17

Predicted after election: 16 (Excluding 4 Toss-ups)

Actual: 21
Republicans

Before election: 31

Predicted after election: 29 (Excluding 4 Toss-ups)

Actual: 28
*Note: There was one house that was tied heading into the 2012 elections -- Oregon. Additionally, Nebraska does not have a state house.
MonthSafe DLikely DLean DToss UpLean RLikely RSafe R
August 1, 2012101255515
September 1, 2012101256514
October 1, 2012101256415
November 1, 2012101246515

Note: Since there are 49 state houses (Nebraska only has a senate), a political party is defined as having the majority of state houses if it has at least 25. The Democratic Party needs to win all the Safe, Likely and Leans Democratic states, Toss Up states, and four Lean GOP states to get to 25. The Republican Party needs to win all the Safe and Likely GOP states and one Lean GOP state to get to 25.

Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
California (D)
Connecticut (D)
Delaware (D)
Hawaii (D)
Illinois (D)
Massachusetts (D)
New York (D)
Rhode Island (D)
Vermont (D)
West Virginia (D)

Not up:
Maryland (D)
Mississippi (D)
New Jersey (D)
Washington (D)
Kentucky (D)
Nevada (D)
Colorado (R)
Maine (R)
Minnesota (R)
Oregon (Even split)
Possible R Pick-up:
Arkansas (D)
New Mexico (D)

Alaska (R)
Iowa (R)
Michigan (R)
New Hampshire (R)
Arizona (R)
Missouri (R)
Ohio (R)
Pennsylvania (R)
Wisconsin (R)
Florida (R)
Georgia (R)
Idaho (R)
Indiana (R)
Kansas (R)
Montana (R)
North Carolina (R)
North Dakota (R)
Oklahoma (R)
South Carolina (R)
South Dakota (R)
Tennessee (R)
Texas (R)
Utah (R)
Wyoming (R)

Not up:
Alabama (R)
Louisiana (R)
Virginia (R)
August changes: Ohio to likely R; New Hampshire to lean R
September changes: Montana to Safe R
October changes: Arkansas to Lean Republican; Pennsylvania to Likely Republican
Partisan dominance in state houses
heading into the 2012 state legislative elections
Nevada State AssemblyMassachusetts House of RepresentativesColorado House of RepresentativesNew Mexico House of RepresentativesWyoming House of RepresentativesArizona House of RepresentativesMontana House of RepresentativesCalifornia State AssemblyOregon House of RepresentativesWashington House of RepresentativesIdaho House of RepresentativesTexas House of RepresentativesOklahoma House of RepresentativesKansas House of RepresentativesSouth Dakota House of RepresentativesNorth Dakota House of RepresentativesMinnesota House of RepresentativesIowa House of RepresentativesMissouri House of RepresentativesArkansas House of RepresentativesLouisiana House of RepresentativesMississippi House of RepresentativesAlabama House of RepresentativesGeorgia House of RepresentativesFlorida House of RepresentativesSouth Carolina House of RepresentativesIllinois House of RepresentativesWisconsin State AssemblyTennessee House of RepresentativesNorth Carolina House of RepresentativesIndiana House of RepresentativesOhio House of RepresentativesKentucky House of RepresentativesPennsylvania House of RepresentativesNew Jersey State AssemblyNew York State AssemblyVermont House of RepresentativesVermont House of RepresentativesNew Hampshire House of RepresentativesMaine House of RepresentativesWest Virginia House of DelegatesVirginia State AssemblyMaryland House of DelegatesMaryland House of DelegatesConnecticut House of RepresentativesConnecticut House of RepresentativesDelaware House of RepresentativesDelaware House of RepresentativesRhode Island House of RepresentativesRhode Island House of RepresentativesMassachusetts House of RepresentativesNew Hampshire House of RepresentativesMichigan House of RepresentativesMichigan House of RepresentativesAlaska House of RepresentativesState House Map 2012.png