Help us improve in just 2 minutes—share your thoughts in our reader survey.
Projected outcomes of state senate elections, 2012
From Ballotpedia
Projected outcomes of state house elections • Projected outcomes of state legislative elections • November 6, 2012 election results
| Democrats Before election: 19 Predicted after election: 14 (Excluding 6 Toss-ups) Actual: 20 |
Republicans Before election: 28 Predicted after election: 30 (Excluding 6 Toss-ups) Actual: 28 |
|---|---|
| *Note: There were two senates that were tied heading into the 2012 elections -- Alaska and Virginia. Additionally, Nebraska is a nonpartisan chamber. Because Virginia does not hold elections in 2012, there are 48 possible chambers that can be held by a party. The numbers in the tables below do not include chambers without elections in 2012. | |
| Month | Safe D | Likely D | Lean D | Toss Up | Lean R | Likely R | Safe R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 1, 2012 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| September 1, 2012 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| October 1, 2012 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| November 1, 2012 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 14 |
Note: Since one state senate is nonpartisan, a political party is defined as having the majority of state senates if it has at least 25. The Democratic Party needs to win all the Safe, Likely and Leans Democratic, all Toss Ups, all Lean GOP, and one of the Likely GOP states to get to 25. The Republican Party needs to win all the Safe and Likely Republican states to get to 25. |
|---|
| Safe D | Likely Dem. | Leans Dem. | Toss Up | Leans GOP | Likely GOP | Safe R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California (D) Hawaii (D) Illinois (D) Massachusetts (D) Rhode Island (D) Vermont (D) West Virginia (D) Not up: Maryland (D) New Jersey (D) |
Delaware (D) | Possible D Pick-up Maine (R) Connecticut (D) Oregon (D) Washington (D) |
Colorado (D) Iowa (D) Nevada (D) Minnesota (R) New Mexico (D) |
Possible R Pick-up Arkansas (D) Wisconsin (D) Alaska (Even Split) New York (R) New Hampshire (R) Pennsylvania (R) |
Arizona (R) Florida (R) Missouri (R) Montana (R) South Carolina (R) |
Georgia (R) Idaho (R) Indiana (R) Kansas (R) Kentucky (R) North Carolina (R) North Dakota (R) Ohio (R) Oklahoma (R) South Dakota (R) Tennessee (R) Texas (R) Utah (R) Wyoming (R) Not up: Alabama (R) Louisiana (R) Michigan (R) Mississippi (R) Virginia (R) | |
| August changes: Alaska to lean R; Pennsylvania to lean R; Washington to lean D September changes: Rhode Island to safe D October changes: Connecticut to Lean D; Iowa to Toss-up; Arkansas to Lean R; Maine to Lean D | |||||||
|
|---|
