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Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day for August 2, 2018

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By Scott Rasmussen

The Number of the Day columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

August 2, 2018: Republicans currently hold 33 of the nation’s 50 governorships. However, 13 of the 33 are potentially at risk in the midterm elections. Back in March, only 12 Republican governorships were at risk. Since then, the race ratings at ScottRasmussen.com show that Arizona’s race has shifted from likely Republican to leans Republican.

Additionally, two other races have moved to higher levels of risk since March. Ohio moved from tilting in the Republican direction to toss-up status. Iowa shifted from leans Republican to merely tilts Republican.

This is consistent with a worsening political environment for the GOP. The party now has 34 House seats at high risk of flipping in November. That’s up from 28 five months ago.

The race ratings at ScottRasmussen.com show three states with Republican governors where Democrats are currently favored to win: Illinois, Maine, and New Mexico.

Four other races are considered toss-ups: Florida, Michigan, Nevada, and Ohio.

Six more are leaning in the Republican direction but are expected to be competitive: Arizona, Iowa, Kansas, Maryland, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin.

With a good turnout this fall, projections at ScottRasmussen.com show that Democrats could end up with 25 governorships to match the GOP total.


Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.


Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published by Ballotpedia weekdays at 8:00 a.m. Eastern. Click here to check out the latest update.

The Number of the Day is broadcast on local stations across the country. An archive of these broadcasts can be found here.

Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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