Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day for December 5, 2022
The Number of the Day columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
December 5, 2022: Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters think it is at least somewhat likely that Donald Trump will be elected president in 2024, including 19% who think it is very likely. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 42% think it is unlikely, including 16% who think it is not at all likely.
The survey also found that half (50%) of voters think it will be good for America if Donald Trump is elected president in 2024. Forty-two percent (42%) think it will be bad for America.
Methodology
The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on November 17-20, 2022. Fieldwork for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of registered voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.
The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.
Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left nearly a decade ago and has had no involvement since that time.
Survey Questions
How likely is it that Donald Trump will be elected president in 2024?
- 19%-Very likely
- 28%-Somewhat likely
- 26%-Not very likely
- 16%-Not at all likely
- 11%-Not sure
Suppose that Donald Trump is elected president in 2024. Would that be good for America or bad for America?
- 29%-Very good
- 21%-Somewhat good
- 10%-Somewhat bad
- 32%-Very bad
- 9%-Not sure
Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.
- December 2, 2022-58% of voters say the U.S. is currently in a recession
- December 1, 2022-80% of voters believe the federal government should promote policies that treat all Americans equally
- November 30, 2022-43% of voters say that America is a racist country
- November 29, 2022-34% of voters are very confident that the votes were accurately counted in the recent midterm elections
- November 28, 2022-58% of voters discussed politics with family in the days following the midterm elections
- To see other recent numbers, check out the archive.
Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published by Ballotpedia weekdays at 8:00 a.m. Eastern. Click here to check out the latest update.
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Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
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See also
Footnotes