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Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day for July 28, 2021

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By Scott Rasmussen

The Number of the Day columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

July 28, 2021: Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. That’s down three points from a week ago and 22 points over the past two months.[1][2][3]

A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that a slightly larger number—38% of voters—believe the worst is still to come. That’s up five points from a week ago and 18 points since late May.[1]

This is the first time since the vaccine rollout in January that a plurality of voters has said the worst is yet to come.[1]

While confidence among all segments of the population has fallen over the past two months, the decline is sharpest among Democrats and independents.[1]

Compared to last week, Republicans' responses are essentially unchanged. By a 50% to 25% margin, GOP voters tend to believe the worst is behind us.[1]

However, 47% of Democrats now believe the worst is yet to come, up eight points from a week ago. Just 26% of Democrats believe the worst is behind us.[1]

Among independent voters, 45% believe the worst is yet to come. That’s up 11 points over the past week.[1]

Throughout 2020, public confidence about the pandemic resembled a roller-coaster ride:

  • Optimism bounced up and down between August and October.[4][5][6][7]
  • Following the election last fall, confidence fell sharply. In late November, 68% believed that the worst was still to come. However, following the arrival of COVID-19 vaccines, confidence surged.[8][9]
  • By late January, 33% of voters believed the worst of the pandemic was behind us, while 40% believed the worst was still to come.[10]
  • Then, in mid-February, for the first time ever, a plurality of voters believed that the worst was behind us. At that point, 39% took the optimistic view, while 31% gave a more pessimistic answer.[11]
  • After that surge, the trend of growing confidence appeared to stall. From mid-February to mid-April, there was little change in public confidence.[11][12][13]
  • Beginning in mid-April, optimism soared once again.[13]
  • Confidence peaked in late May, and we are now witnessing the biggest drop in confidence since last summer.[3]

Worst of Pandemic is Behind Us Worst of Pandemic is Still to Come Net
July 22-24 34% 38% -4%
July 15-17 37% 33% +4%
May 27-29 56% 20% +36%
May 20-22 52% 21% +31%
Apr. 29-May 1 50% 24% +26%
Apr. 15-17 41% 32% +9%
Mar. 4-6 42% 28% +14%
Feb. 18-20 39% 31% +8%
Jan. 28-30 33% 40% -7%
Dec. 10-12 21% 62% -41%
Nov. 27-28 18% 68% -50%
Nov. 12-14 22% 62% -40%
Oct. 15-17 22% 56% -34%
Oct. 8-10 27% 52% -25%
Oct. 1-3 24% 55% -31%
Sept. 3-5 29% 49% -20%
Aug. 13-15 20% 59% -39%
July 23-25 15% 63% -48%
June 4-6 29% 42% -13%
April 9-11 16% 60% -44%



Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.

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Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published by Ballotpedia weekdays at 8:00 a.m. Eastern. Click here to check out the latest update.

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