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Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day for June 18, 2019
The Number of the Day columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
June 18, 2019: Donald Trump formally announced he was running for president on June 16, 2015. A few days later, an NBC/WSJ poll found that the new candidate attracted support from just 1% of Republican primary voters. The poll also found that 66% of Republican voters said they could not support him.[1]
Things changed dramatically in the course of the months that followed, particularly after the presidential debates began. Candidate Trump captured attention during the debates and dominated much of the media coverage on his way to the White House.
This data provides an important and cautionary reminder about reading too much into Democratic primary polling at the moment. Things could—and probably will—change dramatically after the debates begin later this month.
In that NBC/WSJ poll four years ago, the frontrunners were Jeb Bush (22%), Scott Walker (17%), Marco Rubio (14%), and Ben Carson (11%). Walker dropped out of the race within three months, and the others were all gone before a majority of delegates were selected.[2] Bush lasted a bit longer. However, despite raising $150 million for his campaign, he left the race just three weeks after the first votes were cast.[3][4]
While it’s impossible to predict what will happen in 2019 and 2020, it’s quite possible that some of the leading Democrats in today’s polls will be eliminated just as quickly.
Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.
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- June 13, 2019 – 52 years ago today, Thurgood Marshall was nominated to the U.S. Supreme Court
- June 12, 2019 – 17 percent of voters trust the federal government most of the time
- June 11, 2019 – 31 percent of voters believe Facebook has been good for the United States
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Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
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See also
Footnotes
- ↑ MSNBC, "Jeb Bush surges to lead GOP pack in new 2016 poll," June 22, 2015
- ↑ Chicago Tribune, "Scott Walker drops out of GOP presidential race," September 21, 2015
- ↑ Politico, "Jeb Bush drops out of White House race," February 20, 2016
- ↑ The Wall Street Journal, "Results from the 2016 Iowa Caucus," February 1, 2016
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