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Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day for November 14, 2018

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By Scott Rasmussen

The Number of the Day columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

November 14, 2018: From 2000 to 2016, there were a total of 4,687 statewide elections in the United States, and 26 of them have been close enough to require a recount. Three of those recounts overturned the results declared on election night: a 2004 governor’s race in Washington, a 2006 state auditor’s race in Vermont, and a 2008 U.S. Senate race in Minnesota.[1]

In all three cases, the change in votes was very small, 440 or less. According to an analysis by FairVote, the average change was about two-hundredths of a percentage point (0.019%). In all three cases, a Republican was initially declared the victor and the Democrat won on the recount.

This year, the Florida Senate and governor’s races are both involved in a recount. The initial recount is scheduled to end on Thursday at 3 p.m.[2] While the elections were very close, the leads currently held by Republicans Rick Scott and Ron DeSantis are much larger than the number of votes that typically shift during a recount.

Prior to Election Day, 76% of voters nationwide were confident that votes would be accurately counted and the correct winner declared. That has fallen to 63% this week.[3]


Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.


Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published by Ballotpedia weekdays at 8:00 a.m. Eastern. Click here to check out the latest update.

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Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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