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Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day for November 22, 2022

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By Scott Rasmussen

The Number of the Day columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

November 22, 2022: Thirty-six percent (36%) of voters, regardless of their own preferences, believe that Donald Trump will likely be the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 26% believe it will be Ron DeSantis.

The survey found that Donald Trump is viewed very favorably by 25% of voters and very unfavorably by 38%, for a net of -13 points. Ron DeSantis is viewed very favorably by 25% and very unfavorably by 20%, for a net of +5 points. On the Democratic side, Joe Biden is viewed very favorably by 17% and very unfavorably by 39% for a net of -22 points, while Gavin Newsom, the least well-known of the four, is viewed very favorably by 10% and very unfavorably by 26% for a net -16 points.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 registered voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on November 10-12, 2022. Fieldwork for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of registered voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left nearly a decade ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Survey Questions

[Asked of all] Regardless of your personal preferences, who is most likely to be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?

  • 36%-Donald Trump
  • 26%-Ron DeSantis
  • 15%-Someone else
  • 22%-Not sure

Please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following politicians:

Donald Trump

  • 25%-Very favorable
  • 20%-Somewhat favorable
  • 13%-Somewhat unfavorable
  • 38%-Very unfavorable
  • 4%-Not sure

Joe Biden

  • 17%-Very favorable
  • 25%-Somewhat favorable
  • 14%-Somewhat unfavorable
  • 39%-Very unfavorable
  • 4%-Not sure

Ron DeSantis

  • 25%-Very favorable
  • 16%-Somewhat favorable
  • 15%-Somewhat unfavorable
  • 20%-Very unfavorable
  • 24%-Not sure

Gavin Newsom

  • 10%-Very favorable
  • 16%-Somewhat favorable
  • 13%-Somewhat unfavorable
  • 26%-Very unfavorable
  • 35%-Not sure




Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.


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Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published by Ballotpedia weekdays at 8:00 a.m. Eastern. Click here to check out the latest update.

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Footnotes