South Carolina's 1st Congressional District

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South Carolina's 1st Congressional District
SC 1st District Map.PNG
Incumbent
Joe Cunningham Democratic Party
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+10
U.S. Census Bureau (2010 data)[1]
Population: 667,388
Gender: 48% Male, 52% Female
Race[2]: 75.2% White, 18.6% Black, 1.8% Asian
Ethnicity: 6.9% Hispanic
Unemployment: 10.2%
Median household income
$56,079
High school graduation rate
90.9%
College graduation rate
34.9%

South Carolina's 1st Congressional District is located in the southeastern portion of the state. The First District stretches along the eastern coast of South Carolina, from Hilton Head Island through Charleston County. It includes portions of Beaufort, Berkely, Charleston, Colleton, and Dorchester counties.[3]

The current representative of the 1st Congressional District is Joe Cunningham (D).

2016 Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties and Congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties

Following the 2016 election, this district was one of 105 congressional districts that intersected with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.

The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. The partisan makeup of the 109 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House following the 2016 election. Of the 109 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 64 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.[4]

Elections

2020

See also: South Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2020

General election candidates

Democratic Party Democratic primary candidates

This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:


Did not make the ballot:

Republican Party Republican primary candidates


Did not make the ballot:


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.


2018

See also: South Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2018

General election
General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 1

Joe Cunningham defeated Katie Arrington and Dimitri Cherny in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Joe_Cunningham-1.jpg

Joe Cunningham (D)
 
50.6
 
145,455

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Katie_Arrington.jpg

Katie Arrington (R)
 
49.2
 
141,473
  Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
505

Total votes: 287,433
Democratic election
Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 1

Joe Cunningham defeated Toby Smith in the Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 1 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Joe_Cunningham-1.jpg

Joe Cunningham
 
71.5
 
23,493

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Toby_Smith_Headshot.jpg

Toby Smith
 
28.5
 
9,366

Total votes: 32,859
Republican election
Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 1

Katie Arrington defeated incumbent Mark Sanford and Dimitri Cherny in the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 1 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Katie_Arrington.jpg

Katie Arrington
 
50.6
 
33,153

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Mark_Sanford.png

Mark Sanford
 
46.5
 
30,496

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/DimitriCherny.jpg

Dimitri Cherny
 
2.9
 
1,932

Total votes: 65,581

2016

See also: South Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Mark Sanford (R) defeated Dimitri Cherny (D), Michael Grier Jr. (Libertarian), and Albert Travison (American) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Sanford defeated Jenny Horne in the Republican primary on June 14, 2016.[5][6]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMark Sanford Incumbent 58.6% 190,410
     Democratic Dimitri Cherny 36.8% 119,799
     Libertarian Michael Grier Jr. 3.6% 11,614
     American Albert Travison 0.9% 2,774
     N/A Write-in 0.2% 593
Total Votes 325,190
Source: South Carolina Secretary of State

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMark Sanford Incumbent 55.6% 21,299
Jenny Horne 44.4% 17,001
Total Votes 38,300
Source: South Carolina Secretary of State

2014

See also: South Carolina's 1st Congressional District elections, 2014

The 1st Congressional District of South Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Mark Sanford (R) ran unopposed in the general election.

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMark Sanford Incumbent 93.4% 119,392
     N/A Write-in 6.6% 8,423
Total Votes 127,815
Source: South Carolina State Election Commission

2013

See also: South Carolina's 1st Congressional District special election, 2013

The 1st Congressional District of South Carolina held a special election for the U.S. House of Representatives on May 7, 2013. The election filled the vacancy left by the appointment of Representative Tim Scott (R) to the United States Senate.

Mark Sanford (R) defeated Elizabeth Colbert-Busch in the race.

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 General Special Election, 2013
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMark Sanford 54% 77,600
     Democratic Elizabeth Colbert-Busch 45.2% 64,961
     Green Eugene Platt 0.5% 690
     N/A Write-in 0.3% 384
Total Votes 143,635
Source: South Carolina Election Board, "Official Special Election Results"

2012

See also: South Carolina's 1st Congressional District elections, 2012

The 1st Congressional District of South Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Timothy Scott won re-election in the district.[7]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Bobbie Rose 35.7% 103,557
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTimothy Scott Incumbent 62% 179,908
     Libertarian Keith Blandford 2.2% 6,334
     N/A Write-In 0.1% 214
Total Votes 290,013
Source: South Carolina State Election Commission "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010
On November 2, 2010, Tim Scott won election to the United States House. He defeated Ben Frasier (D), Robert Dobbs (Working Families), Rob Groce (G), Keith Blandford (L) and Jimmy Wood (I) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTim Scott 65.7% 152,755
     Democratic Ben Frasier 28.8% 67,008
     Working Families Rob Groce 1.8% 4,148
     Green Robert Dobbs 1.4% 3,369
     Libertarian Keith Blandford 1.2% 2,750
     Independence Jimmy Wood 1.1% 2,489
Total Votes 232,519

2008
On November 4, 2008, Henry E. Brown, Jr. won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Linda Ketner (D) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHenry E. Brown, Jr. incumbent 51.9% 177,540
     Democratic Linda Ketner 47.9% 163,724
     N/A Write-in 0.2% 615
Total Votes 341,879

2006
On November 7, 2006, Henry E. Brown, Jr. won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Randy Maatta (D) and James E. Dunn (G) in the general election.[10]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHenry E. Brown, Jr. incumbent 59.9% 115,766
     Democratic Randy Maatta 37.9% 73,218
     Green Party James E. Dunn 2.2% 4,287
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 104
Total Votes 193,375

2004
On November 2, 2004, Henry E. Brown, Jr. won re-election to the United States House. He defeated James E. Dunn (G) in the general election.[11]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHenry E. Brown, Jr. incumbent 87.8% 186,448
     Green Party James E. Dunn 12.1% 25,674
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 186
Total Votes 212,308

2002
On November 5, 2002, Henry E. Brown, Jr. won re-election to the United States House. He defeated James E. Dunn (United Citizens) and Joe Innella (Natural Law) in the general election.[12]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHenry E. Brown, Jr. incumbent 89.6% 127,562
     United Citizens James E. Dunn 6.9% 9,841
     Natural Law Joe Innella 3.5% 4,965
     N/A Write-in 0% 57
Total Votes 142,425

2000
On November 7, 2000, Henry E. Brown, Jr. won election to the United States House. He defeated Andy Brack (D), Bill Woolsey (L) and Bob Batchelder (Natural Law) in the general election.[13]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 1 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngHenry E. Brown, Jr. 60.9% 139,597
     Democratic Andy Brack 36% 82,622
     Libertarian Bill Woolsey 2.6% 6,010
     Natural Law Bob Batchelder 0.5% 1,110
     N/A Write-in 0% 40
Total Votes 229,379

Redistricting

2010-2011

This is the 1st Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.
See also: Redistricting in South Carolina

In 2011, the South Carolina State Legislature adopted a new redistricting map. The Department of Justice approved it in October 2010. As a result, South Carolina gained the 7th Congressional District.[14]

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+10, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made South Carolina's 1st Congressional District the 137th most Republican nationally.[15]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[16]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Demographic data were added to this page in 2013. Ballotpedia will update this page in 2021 after data from the 2020 Census become available.
  2. Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.
  3. South Carolina Redistricting Map "Map" accessed July 30, 2012
  4. The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  5. South Carolina Election Commission, "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election," accessed March 31, 2016
  6. The New York Times, "South Carolina Primary Results," June 14, 2016
  7. Politico, "2012 Election Map, South Carolina"
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  13. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  14. Roll Call, "DOJ approves new South Carolina map," January 10, 2012
  15. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  16. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018