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South Carolina's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary)

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2024
2020
South Carolina's 7th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 30, 2022
Primary: June 14, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in South Carolina
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+11
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
South Carolina's 7th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th
South Carolina elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

Russell Fry defeated six other candidates in the Republican primary election for South Carolina's 7th Congressional District on June 14, 2022. The two candidates who received the most media attention were incumbent Tom Rice and Fry.

Rice was first elected to the U.S. House in 2012 and had represented the district since it was created following the 2010 census. Rice was one of 10 Republican members of the U.S. House who voted to impeach former President Donald Trump (R) in 2021, which he had defended during his primary campaign. During a June 5 appearance on ABC's This Week, Rice said, "Defending the Constitution is a bedrock of the Republican platform, defend the Constitution, and that’s what I did. That was the conservative vote. There’s no question in my mind."[1] In response to the impeachment vote, the Republican Party of South Carolina censured Rice.[2]

Fry was elected to the South Carolina House of Representatives in 2015. Trump endorsed Fry in February 2021.[2] Fry had called Rice a RINO (Republican in Name Only) over his impeachment vote. Following Trump's endorsement, Fry said, "Radical Leftists, enabled by RINOs (Republicans In Name Only) like Tom Rice, are trying to erase President Trump’s legacy and move America towards socialism. We can’t let that happen."[3]

U.S. Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.), former U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) endorsed Rice. In addition to Trump, eight members of the South Carolina House of Representatives endorsed Fry. To read more about the endorsements in this election, click here.

Also running in the primary were Barbara Arthur, Garrett Barton, Mark McBride, Spencer Morris, and Ken Richardson.

Barbara Arthur (R), Garrett Barton (R), and Spencer Morris (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.

This page focuses on South Carolina's 7th Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-GOP-Ad-1-Small.png

Election news

Click below to view a timeline leading up to the election, including polling, debates, and other noteworthy events.

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 7

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 on June 14, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Russell Fry
Russell Fry
 
51.1
 
43,509
Image of Tom Rice
Tom Rice
 
24.6
 
20,927
Image of Barbara Arthur
Barbara Arthur Candidate Connection
 
12.3
 
10,481
Image of Ken Richardson
Ken Richardson
 
7.1
 
6,021
Image of Garrett Barton
Garrett Barton Candidate Connection
 
2.5
 
2,154
Image of Mark McBride
Mark McBride
 
2.0
 
1,676
Image of Spencer Morris
Spencer Morris Candidate Connection
 
0.5
 
444

Total votes: 85,212
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Tom Rice

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

U.S. House South Carolina District 7 (Assumed office: 2013)

Biography:  Rice received his bachelor's degree, master's degree in accounting, and J.D. from the University of South Carolina. His professional experience includes working in accounting and tax law before opening his own law firm.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Rice said he was a "true conservative" and defended his record in Congress, citing an 89% rating by the American Conservative Union.


Rice said his CPA background and work on the Ways and Means Committee gave him a unique insight into tax issues. Rice said he supported a balanced budget amendment and a simplified tax code.


Rice said that infrastructure funding should scale up with usage to help with maintenance and improvements for highways and bridges. He said that any future infrastructure package should include expanded broadband internet access.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 in 2022.

Image of Barbara Arthur

WebsiteFacebookYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I am a Cuban-American who came to the United States in 1969 with my father and two siblings. Because of the Cold War and Cuba's proximity to the US, in 1965 President Lyndon Johnson enacted the Freedom Flights. My father applied for visas in 1966 but did not receive them until 1969 - a three year legal process. My mother, however, did not receive her visa and was not able to leave the country. She was forced to stay behind with three of my siblings. Because of communism, my family was separated for twenty-three years. Today, I am happily married to my husband, Warren, of almost 24 years. We have eight children and seven grandchildren. I am a Christian women's speaker, a home educator, I will graduate my youngest this year, and a small insurance business owner. I have never run for elected office or had political ambition, but no one in this race will fight harder than I will against the socialist/communist agenda in the current administration, because for me it's personal!"


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Immigration! President Trump's immigration policies worked. I will work to reenact those policies.


The current administration's socialist/communist agenda. My family was ravaged by Castro's communist regime. No one will work harder against this issue than me.


Upholding the Constitution - the law of the our land.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 in 2022.

Image of Garrett Barton

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "My name is Dr. Garrett Barton, a proud resident of South Carolina. I am a follower of Christ, husband and father. My wife and I both serve our community that has a significant need for healthcare. As a family physician, I am a community servant, leader and one who truly does life with the entire community. The best way we move forward is by forming bridges and coming together on issues that we can and must achieve. "


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


We have many problems in our district that have been overlooked for ten years and it is time we get a true representative of the people in our seat.


We need to promote policies that put America first.


We must rebuild our main streets of the 7th district

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 in 2022.

Image of Russell Fry

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

South Carolina House of Representatives District 106 (Assumed office: 2015)

Biography:  Fry received his bachelor's degree in political science from the University of South Carolina and his J.D. from the Charleston School of Law. His professional experience includes working as a lawyer.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Fry's campaign website described him as an America First candidate, a term often associated with the platform of former President Donald Trump (R) and candidates who say they support Trump's agenda.


At a March 2022 rally with Trump, Fry criticized Rice's impeachment vote. "This time we conservatives in the Grand Stand and the Pee Dee are going to impeach Tom Rice at the ballot box," he said.


Fry's website highlighted his legislative experience and said that as chief majority whip, he helped pass the state's Open Carry Act, fetal heartbeat bill, and legislation that closed primaries, required voter identification for absentee ballots, and established term limits.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 in 2022.

Image of Spencer Morris

Website

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I am a registered pharmacist and small business owner. I have been practicing the profession of pharmacy for 20 years. I have been working full-time in hospital pharmacy for the past 11 years and I am a nationally accredited provider of continuing pharmacy education. I served on the South Carolina Board of Pharmacy from 2013 to 2020 during which time I gained valuable regulatory and public policy experience."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Energy Independence


Jobs and Economic Growth


Peace Through Strength and Border Security

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Immigration! President Trump's immigration policies worked. I will work to reenact those policies.

The current administration's socialist/communist agenda. My family was ravaged by Castro's communist regime. No one will work harder against this issue than me.

Upholding the Constitution - the law of the our land.
We have many problems in our district that have been overlooked for ten years and it is time we get a true representative of the people in our seat.

We need to promote policies that put America first.

We must rebuild our main streets of the 7th district
Energy Independence

Jobs and Economic Growth

Peace Through Strength and Border Security
I am passionate about protecting our liberties guaranteed to us in the Constitution. In America, one of our most precious rights is our freedom of speech. Government nor big tech can impede that right. We have the freedom to believe whatever we want because American soldiers died that we may enjoy such freedom. For our own government, or media, to try to hinder the exercise of that right is to spit on the grave of our fallen heroes. My father fled a communist country with three small children, I do not want to relive that scenario again.
I am passionate about policies that place the American citizen and American interest at the forefront. We will work to bring back the respect and honor our country deserves and has been torn down by radical left ideology. I will also use by medical degree to finally find real solutions to healthcare. It is a major financial strain on our economy and people are getting older and sicker as time passes.
I am passionate about the three key messages of my campaign: 1) U.S. Energy Independence 2) Jobs and Economic Growth for South Carolina and the United States 3) Strong International Foreign Policy to promote stability and strength and secure borders. As a lifelong conservative, I believe in limiting the role of government in both our professional and personal lives. I am a staunch advocate for all Americans' 2nd Amendment rights.
I love Daniel from the Bible. Daniel was an extremely gifted and faithful man. I especially appreciate that excellence in his work was attributed to him. I also like the character Sam of Lord of the Rings. I'm greatly moved by his words to his friend, Mr. Frodo, "I can't carry it [the ring] for you, but I can carry you." Oh that we would all be so loyal and faithful in all we do.
My parents. They worked hard to make a better life for me and my brother. Never was it acceptable to misbehave or come home with poor grades. It was instilled in me to always work hard for your goals and never expect a handout.
I believe elected U.S. officials should love America, our flag, and fight to defend our Constitution. There are more socialist in Congress today than ever before in U.S. history. There is a clear conflict of interest for a socialist serving in our American government.
Honesty, integrity, and a solid listener. Many feel that this is the biggest lacking quality found in Washington.
I love our country, America, because it's the greatest country in the world. I am deeply grateful to the men and women in uniform who have given their lives to keep our country free. I want to fight to preserve the freedom they died for.
To listen to your constituents, be a continual voice of the people in your district and work to better your state and country you are serving
The Challenger explosion on January 28, 1986. I was 21 years old, almost 22. It was a horrible experience I will never forget.
I remember Bob Dole being on TV for the Republican nominee. At that time it was 1996 and I was roughly 9-10 years old.
The Space Shuttle Challenger explosion in January 1986. I was eight years old.
In the seventh grade my junior high school offered a work experience class. I was assigned to help in the office with filing. If I remember correctly, I made $74 every two weeks. I believe it was just one semester.
At 14, I was a dishwasher, waiter for a mexican restaurant. Around that time I took a job hauling hay for a local farmer. These were both summer jobs.
I mowed the grass of Elim United Methodist Church cemetery starting when I was approximately 12 years old up until my 2nd year in college.
That answer is easily Googled. I believe what makes U.S. Representatives unique is that we bring the taste and feel of our constituents to Washington.
An opportunity to be the voice of the American people is an honor and a privilege that must be taken seriously. The decisions that are made in the house ultimately lay the groundwork for policy and law that our children and grandchildren will be living under. Also, we also have the opportunity to remove any person who does not fulfill the duty of true representation of the people every 2 years.
No, I do not believe we need more politicians in Washington. We need men and women who love America and our flag, and are willing to work hard to uphold the Constitution to save the republic which it established.
No. The job entails voting in a way that reflects the desires and way of life in their district. We have had the system hijacked by career politicians that are usually lawyers that climb the ladder to pad their own retirement funds. People was really representation that cares more about their well being than the perks of office.
The greatest threats to America right now that supersedes all others is socialism and immigration.
I believe we have major issues with America's security. This means border control, cybersecurity, economic stability, election integrity and energy independence.
I want to be a part of a committee where my vote will make a difference.
Agriculture, Small Business, Ways and Means, Appropriations, Transportation and Infrastructure, and any healthcare policy committee that drives our nation's health.
In all sincerity, no, I do not. I believe the term should be four years, serving only two terms like the president. We should not have life-long politicians - like Joe Biden and many others.
I am fine with this. There are thoughts to extended the term so more work can be done and less campaigning. I am for whatever the people wish the length to be.
I support term limits for congress. Would be a motivator for change. Members should be concerned and spend more time on their constituents rather than prioritizing working to get themselves re-elected. New candidates will bring fresh ideas and more voices will be heard. Congress should be limited to 6-10 years. Should not be a lifetime career.
While there are and have been good representatives, I cannot say I want to model myself after anyone. I want to be found faithful, loyal, and honest.
I enjoy Tim Scott who was a house rep now senator, Jim Jordan, and Jim Banks.
A restaurant owner in Florence, SC, who desperately needs help to keep his business alive, told me he called 83 former job applicants. But no one wanted to work because they are collecting unemployment checks. Thanks for nothing Joe Biden. Your administration is destroying America.
I have heard several stories about how many in our district feel forgotten. Mostly in the Pee Dee region. They have seen their family business legacy disappear due to lack of support. Our communities really want a voice of all people not just a select few.
Yes. However, compromising moral beliefs is not an option. At this point in time, the radical left has shifted to socialist views that tears apart the very fabric of our nation and everything our forefathers fought for. Finding common ground on things we agree on is always a wise idea to move forward.
I will seek to reduce taxes, not increase them.
The regulation of the federal budget and tax structure is arguably the most important aspect of congressional power. As a Congressman it would be my duty to give my constituents the best possible opportunity for them to create their version of the American dream. Our taxes must remain low to promote economic growth, encourage private sector spending and increase state revenues to provide for local infrastructure. As our economy and our revenue grows it is the duty of Congress to continually reassess our spending needs and cut taxes and services appropriately to create an environment for long term success.


Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Tom Rice

May 12, 2022
May 12, 2022
May 11, 2022

View more ads here:

Republican Party Barbara Arthur

June 9, 2022
January 6, 2022

View more ads here:


Republican Party Garrett Barton

September 9, 2021

View more ads here:


Republican Party Russell Fry

May 26, 2022
May 24, 2022
May 2, 2022

View more ads here:


Republican Party Mark McBride

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Mark McBride while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us. View more ads here:


Republican Party Spencer Morris

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Spencer Morris while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.


Republican Party Ken Richardson

March 8, 2021

View more ads here:

Satellite spending

This section includes a selection of campaign advertisements released by satellite groups. If you are aware of other satellite ads that should be included, please email us.

Grand Strand Pee Dee PAC

The Grand Strand Pee Dee PAC released an ad in opposition to Fry. To view the ad on AdImpact, click here.[10]

Debates and forums

This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.

May 5 debate

On May 5, 2022, Rice, Arthur, Barton, Fyr, and Richardson participated in a debate hosted by the Florence County Republican Party at the Francis Marion Performing Arts Center.[6]

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

News and conflicts in this primary

This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Republican U.S. House primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[11] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[12] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.


South Carolina's 7th Congressional District election, 2022: Republican primary election polls
Poll Date Republican Party Tom Rice Republican Party Barbara Arthur Republican Party Garrett Barton Republican Party Russell Fry Republican Party Mark McBride Republican Party Spencer Morris Republican Party Ken Richardson Undecided/Other Margin of error Sample size[13] Sponsor[14]
Trafalgar Group May 26-29, 2022 25% 10% 3% 42% 2% 2% 10% 7%[15] ± 4.0 572 LV N/A

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[16]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[17][18][19]

Race ratings: South Carolina's 7th Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[20] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[21] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Tom Rice Republican Party $1,979,106 $2,873,671 $226,789 As of December 31, 2022
Barbara Arthur Republican Party $155,624 $155,624 $0 As of July 14, 2022
Garrett Barton Republican Party $255,798 $255,510 $288 As of December 31, 2022
Russell Fry Republican Party $1,428,233 $1,218,495 $209,738 As of December 31, 2022
Mark McBride Republican Party $51,354 $48,512 $2,842 As of July 14, 2022
Spencer Morris Republican Party $24,185 $35,018 $775 As of July 15, 2022
Ken Richardson Republican Party $863,273 $863,273 $0 As of July 26, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[22][23][24]

If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.

By candidate By election

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

South Carolina District 7
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

South Carolina District 7
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in South Carolina after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[25] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[26]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, South Carolina
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
South Carolina's 1st 44.9% 53.5% 46.1% 52.1%
South Carolina's 2nd 43.9% 54.5% 43.6% 54.9%
South Carolina's 3rd 30.6% 68.0% 30.5% 68.1%
South Carolina's 4th 39.8% 58.4% 38.9% 59.3%
South Carolina's 5th 40.2% 58.4% 41.0% 57.6%
South Carolina's 6th 65.3% 33.2% 67.0% 31.8%
South Carolina's 7th 40.2% 58.8% 40.2% 58.8%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in South Carolina.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in South Carolina in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 10, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Twenty-eight candidates filed to run for South Carolina’s seven U.S. House districts, including nine Democrats and 19 Republicans. That’s four candidates per district, more than the 2.86 candidates per district in 2020 and less than the 6.14 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. South Carolina was apportioned seven districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. All incumbents ran for re-election, meaning there were no open seats this year. The only years to feature open seats between 2012 and 2022 were 2018, when the 4th district was open, and 2012, when the newly-drawn 7th district was open.

There were two contested Democratic primaries this year, the lowest number since 2016, and four contested Republican primaries, the highest number since at least 2012.

Eight candidates - one Democrat and seven Republicans, including incumbent Rep. Tom Rice (R) - filed to run in the 7th district, more than in any other. That’s three less than the highest number of candidates who ran for a seat in 2020, when five candidates ran in the 1st district. There were three districts - the 2nd, the 3rd, and the 5th - where incumbents did not face primary challengers. One district - the 3rd - was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed. No districts were guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+11. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made South Carolina's 7th the 128th most Republican district nationally.[27]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in South Carolina's 7th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
40.2% 58.8%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in South Carolina, 2020

South Carolina presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 14 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D D D D D D SR[28] D D D R R R D R R R R R R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in South Carolina and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for South Carolina
South Carolina United States
Population 4,625,364 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 30,064 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 67.2% 72.5%
Black/African American 26.8% 12.7%
Asian 1.6% 5.5%
Native American 0.4% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 1.8% 4.9%
Multiple 2.3% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 5.7% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 87.5% 88%
College graduation rate 28.1% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $53,199 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 15.2% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of South Carolina's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from South Carolina, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 1 1
Republican 2 6 8
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 7 9

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in South Carolina's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in South Carolina, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Henry McMaster
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Pamela Evette
Secretary of State Republican Party Mark Hammond
Attorney General Republican Party Alan Wilson

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the South Carolina State Legislature as of November 2022.

South Carolina State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 16
     Republican Party 30
     Vacancies 0
Total 46

South Carolina House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 43
     Republican Party 80
     Vacancies 1
Total 124

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, South Carolina was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

South Carolina Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in South Carolina in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in South Carolina, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
South Carolina U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A $3,480.00 3/30/2022 Source
South Carolina U.S. House Unaffiliated 5% of the active, registered voters in the geographical area the office represents N/A 7/15/2022 Source

District election history

2020

See also: South Carolina's 7th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 7

Incumbent Tom Rice defeated Melissa Watson in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tom Rice
Tom Rice (R)
 
61.8
 
224,993
Image of Melissa Watson
Melissa Watson (D) Candidate Connection
 
38.1
 
138,863
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
235

Total votes: 364,091
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 7

Melissa Watson defeated Robert Williams and William Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Melissa Watson
Melissa Watson Candidate Connection
 
51.2
 
27,200
Image of Robert Williams
Robert Williams
 
41.3
 
21,923
Image of William Williams
William Williams Candidate Connection
 
7.5
 
3,965

Total votes: 53,088
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Tom Rice advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 7.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: South Carolina's 7th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House South Carolina District 7

Incumbent Tom Rice defeated Robert Williams in the general election for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tom Rice
Tom Rice (R)
 
59.6
 
142,681
Image of Robert Williams
Robert Williams (D)
 
40.3
 
96,564
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
309

Total votes: 239,554
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House South Carolina District 7

Robert Williams defeated Mal Hyman in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robert Williams
Robert Williams
 
51.4
 
7,729
Image of Mal Hyman
Mal Hyman
 
48.6
 
7,309

Total votes: 15,038
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 7

Robert Williams and Mal Hyman advanced to a runoff. They defeated Bill Hopkins and Bruce Fischer in the Democratic primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robert Williams
Robert Williams
 
41.3
 
14,222
Image of Mal Hyman
Mal Hyman
 
29.7
 
10,225
Image of Bill Hopkins
Bill Hopkins
 
17.8
 
6,122
Image of Bruce Fischer
Bruce Fischer
 
11.2
 
3,863

Total votes: 34,432
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 7

Incumbent Tom Rice defeated Larry Guy Hammond in the Republican primary for U.S. House South Carolina District 7 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tom Rice
Tom Rice
 
83.6
 
38,346
Image of Larry Guy Hammond
Larry Guy Hammond
 
16.4
 
7,532

Total votes: 45,878
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: South Carolina's 7th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Tom Rice (R) defeated Mal Hyman (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent.[29]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 7 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTom Rice Incumbent 61% 176,468
     Democratic Mal Hyman 38.9% 112,744
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 251
Total Votes 289,463
Source: South Carolina Secretary of State

2014

See also: South Carolina's 7th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 7th Congressional District of South Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tom Rice (R) defeated Gloria Bromell Tinubu (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, South Carolina District 7 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTom Rice Incumbent 60% 102,833
     Democratic Gloria Bromell Tinubu 40% 68,576
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 115
Total Votes 171,524
Source: South Carolina State Election Commission

2012

See also: South Carolina's 7th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 7th Congressional District of South Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Republican Tom Rice won the election in the district.[30]

U.S. House, South Carolina District 7 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTom Rice 55.5% 153,068
     Democratic Gloria Bromell Tinubu 44.4% 122,389
     N/A Write-In 0.1% 281
Total Votes 275,738
Source: South Carolina State Election Commission "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2022 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Politico, "‘That was the conservative vote,’ Tom Rice says of his vote to impeach Trump," June 5, 2022
  2. 2.0 2.1 NPR, "South Carolina GOP Censures Rep. Tom Rice Over Trump Impeachment Vote," January 30, 2021
  3. WBTW, "Trump backs Russell Fry, Tom Rice fires back," February 1, 2022
  4. Trafalgar Group, "SC-07 GOP Primary Survey," accessed June 2, 2022
  5. The Hill, "Paul Ryan to campaign for Tom Rice, who voted for Trump impeachment," May 27, 2022
  6. 6.0 6.1 WMBF, "Candidates vying to be Republican nominee for 7th Congressional District face off in debate," May 9, 2022
  7. WBTW, "Tom Rice ‘honored’ by former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s support," April 22, 2022
  8. Fits News, "SC7: Liz Cheney Backs Tom Rice," March 30, 2022
  9. WPDE, "Former President Donald Trump endorses Russell Fry, calls Tom Rice a 'coward,'" February 1, 2022
  10. AdImpact, "Never Enough," accessed June 8, 2022
  11. For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  12. Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  13. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  14. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  15. Reported as "Undecided."
  16. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  17. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  18. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  19. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  20. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  21. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  22. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  23. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  24. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  25. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  26. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  27. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  28. States' Rights Democratic Party
  29. South Carolina Election Commission, "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election," accessed March 31, 2016
  30. Politico, "2012 Election Map, South Carolina"


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