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State supreme court partisanship, 2016

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2016 State
Judicial Elections
2017 »
« 2015
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Part 1: Overview
Part 2: Supreme Courts
Part 3: Partisanship
Part 4: Changes in 2016
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While influence on state supreme courts shifted in the course of 2016 elections, party control of partisan-elected state supreme courts remained unchanged. Among state supreme courts with nonpartisan elections but partisan-affiliated judges, only North Carolina and Michigan could have seen a shift of known political balance. North Carolina shifted from 4-3 Republican-affiliated justices to 4-3 Democratic-affiliated justices; Michigan's balance remained at 5-2 Republican.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • No states with partisan supreme court elections saw a partisan switch in 2016.
  • Only two states with nonpartisan supreme court elections—North Carolina and Michigan—could have seen a political shift in 2016. North Carolina shifted; Michigan did not.
  • A majority of eligible incumbent justices sought re-election in 2016.
  • Overview

    Based on the seats in the seven states with partisan 2016 state supreme court elections, no court could have switched party control.

    Despite this, in states with closely divided courts, the 2016 elections set the stage for the next election cycle.

    Not all courts elect justices in partisan elections. In most states, justices are appointed. Of those that initially elect their justices, 16 use nonpartisan elections, while only seven use partisan elections. Nonpartisan elections vary widely from state to state. Nonpartisan elections in some states require judges to declare their partisan affiliations; in other states, judges are not required to declare a political affiliation and in fact may be prohibited from doing so. Where possible, Ballotpedia uses the available information to describe the partisan or ideological leanings of nonpartisan candidates. In Michigan and North Carolina, which both elect justices in nonpartisan elections, North Carolina's supreme court shifted balance to 4-3 Democratic-affiliated justices; Michigan's remained unchanged at 5-2 Republican.

    Parties and partisan affiliation

    Republican majority courts

    Republicans had a majority in 2016 on four courts of last resort in three states. A partisan switch was not possible in Louisiana because in one seat, two Republicans ran for what was a Democratic seat; in the other seat, the incumbent Republican ran unopposed.

    Court Partisan control Seats up for election Possible partisan switch?
    Alabama Supreme Court elections, 2016 9 Republicans
    0 Democrats
    3 (R) seats No
    Louisiana Supreme Court elections, 2016 4 Republicans
    3 Democrats
    1 (D) seat & 1 (R) seat No
    Texas Supreme Court elections, 2016[1] 9 Republicans
    0 Democrats
    3 (R) seats No
    Texas Court of Criminal Appeals elections, 2016[1] 8 Republicans
    1 Democrat
    2 (R) seats & 1 (D) seat No

    Democratic majority courts

    Democrats controlled three state supreme courts in 2016:

    Court Partisan control Seats up for election Possible partisan switch?
    Illinois Supreme Court 4 Democrats
    3 Republicans
    No seats up in 2016 No
    New Mexico Supreme Court elections, 2016 4 Democrats
    1 Republican
    1 (R) seats No
    Pennsylvania Supreme Court 5 Democrats
    2 Republicans
    No seats up in 2016 No

    Partisan-affiliated nonpartisan courts

    Supreme court elections in Michigan and Ohio are nonpartisan, but the partisan affiliations of justices are known because justices are nominated in party conventions. In Michigan, both incumbent Republican justices were re-elected; the court's balance, therefore, remained steady at 5-2 Republican. In Ohio, a partisan switch was not possible because one incumbent Republican justice ran unopposed. Both of the other seats up for election went to Republicans, leaving the court's balance steady at 6-1 Republican.

    Court Partisan control Seats up for election Possible partisan switch?
    Michigan Supreme Court elections, 2016 (5-2) Republican majority 2 (R) seats Yes (did not occur)
    Ohio Supreme Court elections, 2016 (6-1) Republican majority 3 (R) seats No

    Nonpartisan courts with partisan leanings

    In Wisconsin, justices are elected in nonpartisan elections and are not officially nominated in party conventions; however, it is possible to determine the ideological leaning of each of the justices based on election endorsements and personal statements.

    In West Virginia, judicial elections were partisan until a 2015 law was passed. Liberal-leaning justices held a 3-2 advantage in the state supreme court heading into the new nonpartisan 2016 elections and continued to hold it in the wake of the race.

    In North Carolina, analysts observed a 4-3 conservative majority on the court. This shifted to a 4-3 liberal majority with the election of Judge Michael R. Morgan over incumbent Justice Robert H. Edmunds Jr.

    Court Partisan control Seats up for election Partisan switch?
    Wisconsin Supreme Court elections, 2016 5 conservatives
    2 liberals
    1 conservative seat No
    West Virginia Supreme Court elections, 2016 3 liberals
    2 conservatives
    1 conservative seat No
    North Carolina Supreme Court elections, 2016 4 conservatives
    3 liberals
    1 conservative seat Yes

    2016 candidates

    Of the 20 states holding partisan or nonpartisan elections, 44 seats were up for grabs.

    Incumbents

    See also: State supreme court elections, 2016

    In the 2016 elections, 33 incumbents filed for re-election; three incumbents were forced to retire because they reached the mandatory retirement age; eight incumbents had the option to run for re-election but chose not to.

    Court Incumbents Retiring or running?
    Alabama Supreme Court elections, 2016 Kelli Wise (R)
    Michael Bolin (R)
    Tom Parker (R)
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Arkansas Supreme Court elections, 2016 Howard Brill
    Paul Danielson
    Retiring
    Retiring
    Georgia Supreme Court elections, 2016 David Nahmias Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Idaho Supreme Court elections, 2016 Roger Burdick
    Jim Jones
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Retiring
    Kentucky Supreme Court elections, 2016 Mary Noble Retiring
    Louisiana Supreme Court elections, 2016 Jeannette Theriot Knoll (D)
    Marcus Clark (R)
    Mandatory retirement
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Michigan Supreme Court elections, 2016 Joan Larsen (R)
    David Viviano (R)
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Minnesota Supreme Court elections, 2016 Natalie Hudson Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Mississippi Supreme Court elections, 2016 Jim Kitchens
    Dawn Beam
    Ann Lamar
    James Maxwell
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Retiring
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Montana Supreme Court elections, 2016 Patricia O'Brien Cotter
    Mike McGrath
    Jim Shea
    Retiring
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Nevada Supreme Court elections, 2016 James Hardesty
    Ron Parraguirre
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    New Mexico Supreme Court elections, 2016 Judith Nakamura (R) Won Green check mark transparent.png
    North Carolina Supreme Court elections, 2016 Robert H. Edmunds Jr. Defeated
    North Dakota Supreme Court elections, 2016 Dale Sandstrom
    Lisa Fair McEvers
    Retiring
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Ohio Supreme Court elections, 2016 Judith Ann Lanzinger (R)
    Maureen O'Connor (R)
    Paul Pfeifer (R)
    Mandatory retirement
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Mandatory retirement
    Oregon Supreme Court elections, 2016 Rives Kistler
    Lynn Nakamoto
    Jack Landau
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Texas Court of Criminal Appeals elections, 2016 Cheryl Johnson (R)
    Michael Keasler (R)
    Lawrence Meyers (D)
    Retiring
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Defeated
    Texas Supreme Court elections, 2016 Paul Green (R)
    Eva Guzman (R)
    Debra Lehrmann (R)
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Washington Supreme Court elections, 2016 Mary Yu
    Charlie Wiggins
    Barbara Madsen
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    Won Green check mark transparent.png
    West Virginia Supreme Court of Appeals elections, 2016 Brent Benjamin Defeated
    Wisconsin Supreme Court elections, 2016 Rebecca Bradley Won Green check mark transparent.png

    Uncontested races

    In the 2016 elections, 33 seats were held by incumbents who decided to run for re-election; 15 of those incumbents had no challengers in either the primary or the general election; one incumbent, Tom Parker, had a primary challenger, but had no general election challengers.

    Court Unopposed candidate Primary challenger General election challenger
    Alabama Supreme Court elections, 2016 Kelli Wise (R)
    Michael Bolin (R)
    Tom Parker (R)
    No
    No
    Won
    No
    No
    No
    Georgia Supreme Court elections, 2016 David Nahmias Georgia holds no judicial primary. No
    Idaho Supreme Court elections, 2016 Roger Burdick Idaho holds no judicial parimary. No
    Louisiana Supreme Court elections, 2016 Marcus Clark (R) No No
    Mississippi Supreme Court elections, 2016 James D. Maxwell Mississippi holds no judicial primary. No
    Montana Supreme Court elections, 2016 Mike McGrath
    Jim Shea
    No
    No
    No
    No
    Nevada Supreme Court elections, 2016 James Hardesty
    Ron Parraguirre
    No
    No
    No
    No
    North Dakota Supreme Court elections, 2016 Lisa Fair McEvers No No
    Ohio Supreme Court elections, 2016 Maureen O'Connor (R) No No
    Oregon Supreme Court elections, 2016 Rives Kistler
    Lynn Nakamoto
    Jack Landau
    No
    No
    No
    No
    No
    No

    2016 trifectas

    See also: State government trifectas

    A state government trifecta occurs when one political party holds the following three positions in a state's government:

    A trifecta plus is a state where the party with a trifecta also enjoys control over the state's supreme court.

    There are trifectas plus in five of the 50 states.

    Republican trifectas plus

    The following states had a Republican trifecta plus going into the 2016 elections. This means that the state has a Republican governor, a Republican majority in the state legislature, and a Republican majority on the state supreme court.

    Trifectas in states with nonpartisan or retention elections

    Below are the states with nonpartisan or retention elections, and their 2016 trifecta status.

    Republican trifecta states

    Democratic trifecta states

    Divided government

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. 1.0 1.1 Texas has two courts of last resort: the Supreme Court deals with civil cases, while the Court of Criminal Appeals deals with criminal cases.