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Tennessee's 6th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Tennessee's 6th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 2, 2020
Primary: August 6, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
John Rose (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: Varies by county
Voting in Tennessee
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Tennessee's 6th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
Tennessee elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 6th Congressional District of Tennessee, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent John Rose won election in the general election for U.S. House Tennessee District 6.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
April 2, 2020
August 6, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican John Rose, who was first elected in 2018.

Tennessee's 6th Congressional District is located in the northern and north-central portion of the state and includes all of Cannon, Clay, Coffee, Cumberland, DeKalb, Fentress, Jackson, Macon, Overton, Pickett, Putnam, Robertson, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale, White, and Wilson counties a areas of Cheatham and Van Buren counties.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 25.6 24
Republican candidate Republican Party 72.7 73.7
Difference 47.1 49.7

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Tennessee modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures and voter identification rules for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Individuals "with a special vulnerability to COVID-19" and "caretakers for individuals with a special vulnerability to COVID-19" were deemed to meet the existing statutory criteria for absentee voting eligibility. A law requiring first-time voters to vote in person was temporarily suspended.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Tennessee District 6

Incumbent John Rose defeated Christopher Finley and Christopher Monday in the general election for U.S. House Tennessee District 6 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Rose
John Rose (R)
 
73.7
 
257,572
Image of Christopher Finley
Christopher Finley (D)
 
24.0
 
83,852
Image of Christopher Monday
Christopher Monday (Independent)
 
2.3
 
8,154

Total votes: 349,578
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 6

Christopher Finley advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 6 on August 6, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Christopher Finley
Christopher Finley
 
100.0
 
21,375

Total votes: 21,375
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 6

Incumbent John Rose advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 6 on August 6, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Rose
John Rose
 
100.0
 
78,340

Total votes: 78,340
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

One of 95 Tennessee counties—1 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Hardeman County, Tennessee 7.92% 5.91% 6.18%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Tennessee with 60.7 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 34.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Tennessee cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Tennessee supported Democratic candidates for president and Republican candidates equally. The state, however, favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Tennessee. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns show the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns show the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 20 out of 99 state House districts in Tennessee with an average margin of victory of 50.7 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 22 out of 99 state House districts in Tennessee with an average margin of victory of 46.5 points. Clinton won one district controlled by a Republican heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 79 out of 99 state House districts in Tennessee with an average margin of victory of 36.8 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 77 out of 99 state House districts in Tennessee with an average margin of victory of 43.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+24, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 24 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Tennessee's 6th Congressional District the 20th most Republican nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.98. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.98 points toward that party.[5]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
John Rose Republican Party $1,582,986 $1,158,244 $454,375 As of December 31, 2020
Christopher Finley Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Christopher Monday Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: Tennessee's 6th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 6th Congressional District candidates in Tennessee in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Tennessee, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Tennessee 6th Congressional District All candidates 25 Fixed number N/A N/A 4/2/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Tennessee's 6th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Tennessee District 6

John Rose defeated Dawn Barlow, David Ross, and Lloyd Dunn in the general election for U.S. House Tennessee District 6 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Rose
John Rose (R) Candidate Connection
 
69.5
 
172,810
Image of Dawn Barlow
Dawn Barlow (D)
 
28.3
 
70,370
Image of David Ross
David Ross (Independent)
 
1.4
 
3,426
Image of Lloyd Dunn
Lloyd Dunn (Independent)
 
0.9
 
2,134

Total votes: 248,740
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 6

Dawn Barlow defeated Merrilee Wineinger, Christopher Finley, and Peter Heffernan in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 6 on August 2, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dawn Barlow
Dawn Barlow
 
54.5
 
16,881
Image of Merrilee Wineinger
Merrilee Wineinger
 
22.1
 
6,827
Image of Christopher Finley
Christopher Finley
 
15.0
 
4,654
Peter Heffernan
 
8.4
 
2,584

Total votes: 30,946
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 6

John Rose defeated Robert Ewing Corlew, Judd Matheny, LaVern Vivio, and Christopher Monday in the Republican primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 6 on August 2, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Rose
John Rose Candidate Connection
 
41.3
 
43,797
Image of Robert Ewing Corlew
Robert Ewing Corlew
 
31.2
 
33,091
Image of Judd Matheny
Judd Matheny
 
15.8
 
16,758
Image of LaVern Vivio
LaVern Vivio
 
8.9
 
9,462
Image of Christopher Monday
Christopher Monday Candidate Connection
 
2.9
 
3,026

Total votes: 106,134
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Tennessee's 6th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Diane Black (R) defeated David Kent (D) and David Ross (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Black defeated Joe Carr, Tommy Hay, and Donald Strong in the Republican primary, while Kent defeated Flo Matheson to win the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on August 4, 2016.[10][11][12]

U.S. House, Tennessee District 6 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDiane Black Incumbent 71.1% 202,234
     Democratic David Kent 21.8% 61,995
     Independent David Ross 7.1% 20,261
Total Votes 284,490
Source: Tennessee Secretary of State


U.S. House, Tennessee District 6 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDavid Kent 67% 7,551
Flo Matheson 33% 3,714
Total Votes 11,265
Source: Tennessee Secretary of State


U.S. House, Tennessee District 6 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDiane Black Incumbent 63.7% 33,215
Joe Carr 31.9% 16,665
Donald Strong 2.6% 1,354
Tommy Hay 1.8% 945
Total Votes 52,179
Source: Tennessee Secretary of State

2014

See also: Tennessee's 6th Congressional District elections, 2014

Incumbent Diane Black won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. She defeated Amos Powers and Mike Winton in the general election.

U.S. House, Tennessee District 6 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDiane Black Incumbent 71.1% 115,190
     Democratic Amos Powers 23% 37,215
     Independent Mike Winton 5.9% 9,630
Total Votes 162,035
Source: Tennessee Secretary of State Vote totals above are unofficial and will be updated once official totals are made available.

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
John Rose (R)
District 7
Vacant
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (9)
Democratic Party (1)
Vacancies (1)