Monica De La Cruz Hernandez advanced from the Republican Party primary in Texas' 15th Congressional District on March 1, 2022. De La Cruz Hernandez received 56 percent of the vote and Mauro Garza was second with 15 percent. Nine candidates ran in the primary election. Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. (D) ran for re-election to Congress in Texas' 34th Congressional District. The three candidates to receive the most media attention heading into the primary election were De La Cruz Hernandez, Garza, and Ryan Krause.^[1]

At the time of the primary election, De La Cruz Hernandez was an insurance agent from Edinburg. She was the 2020 Republican nominee in the district and lost to Gonzalez 50.5% to 47.6%. De La Cruz Hernandez was selected as a member of the National Republican Congressional Committee's Young Guns program this cycle, which highlights candidates who meet benchmarks in fundraising, messaging, and communications.^[2] De La Cruz Hernandez's key campaign issues included immigration policy, investments in oil and natural gas, and school choice.^[3] Former President Donald Trump and 16 Republican members of Congress—including U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.)—endorsed De La Cruz Hernandez.^[4]

At the time of the primary election, Garza was a businessman from San Antonio. His campaign focused on fiscal policy, border security, and funding for police and the military.^[5] Garza was primarily a self-funded candidate, who loaned his campaign $195,000 as of January 2022 according to the Federal Election Commission.^[6] In 2020, Garza lost to Rep. Joaquin Castro (D) in Texas' 20th Congressional District 64.7% to 33.1%. In the 2018 election cycle, Garza did not advance from an 18-candidate Republican primary in Texas' 21st Congressional District.

At the time of the primary election, Krause was a leadership and coaching development consultant from San Antonio. His campaign website highlighted firearms, border security and immigration law enforcement, and the government's role in providing welfare benefits as key issues.^[7] Two members of the Guadalupe County Commission and five local business executives endorsed Krause.^[8] In 2020, Krause lost to De La Cruz Hernandez in the Republican primary runoff 76.0% to 24.0%. In the 2018 election cycle, Krause did not advance from an 18-candidate Republican primary in Texas' 21st Congressional District.

Also running in the primary were Jose Aizar Cavazos, Sara Canady, Vangela Churchill, Angela Juarez, John Lerma, and Steve Schmuker Jr.

De La Cruz Hernandez was expected to have an edge in the general election. According to The Texas Tribune, Texas' 15th Congressional District became more favorable to Republicans as a result of redistricting. Joe Biden (D) won the district by two percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. Donald Trump (R) would have won the new district by three percentage points.^[1] As of February 2022, the three race rating outlets considered the general election to be either Lean or Tilt Republican.

Sara Canady (R) and Vangela Churchill (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.

This page focuses on Texas' 15th Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 1, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Monica De La Cruz	56.5	16,835
		Mauro Garza	15.3	4,544
		Sara Canady	9.2	2,741
		Ryan Krause	9.2	2,728
	Submit photo	Steve Schmuker Jr.	3.6	1,064
	Submit photo	John Lerma	2.2	658
	Submit photo	Jose Aizar Cavazos	1.7	504
	Submit photo	Angela Juarez	1.4	416
		Vangela Churchill	1.0	298

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 29,788
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Sara Canady

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography: "I am currently serving as a the Judge in Wilson County, Justice of the Peace, first elected in 2010. I earned my AA Degree from Central Texas College in Killeen and BA Degree in Education from Dallas Baptist University and I hold a State of Texas Lifetime Teaching Certificate. I am also a member of the Floresville Lions Club, the Wilson County Historical Society, the American Legion Auxiliary and serve on the advisory board for Camino Real (MHMR) Services, Connally Memorial Medical Center Bio Ethics Committee and Ex-Officio member of the Mission Heritage Partners – San Antonio Missions (UNESCO) Non-profit. I am a member and children’s Bible teacher at the First Baptist Church of Sutherland Springs. Mother to four grown children and grandmother to three. I am the daughter of a well known and highly respected community leader, LaJuana Newnam-Leus, who is still very active and whole-heartedly supporting my run to serve our community in the 15th Congressional District. I will never forget where I come from or who I represent. I am a staunch Constitutional Conservative and I will never choose power over principle or politics over my family or the families of Texas District 15."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

Support the Oil and Gas Industry - As seen by the recent rise in gas prices, it is important to elect leaders that will help continue to guide our country back to an energy dominant nation, not one dependent on foreign powers.

Secure our Border - We MUST enforce the rule of law and that starts with our border. Ensuring Texas' Border Security is the key to our Nations' security.

Secure a better future for our families - At a time where the far-left continue to challenge our Values, Texans are seeking and are ready for fearless leaders that will fight for our values. I am willing to be that leader in Washington and fight for our community.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 15 in 2022.

Vangela Churchill

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography: "My name is Vangela Churchill. Every day educators face America’s problems head on. We are overwhelmed with students who entered our country illegally, English as a second language, medical issues for students with no insurance, children facing hunger, drug addiction and the collateral damage on our communities, budgetary crises, and education itself. The core of many of America’s problems are inside our schools every day. I am the proud wife of a Texas State Trooper who also serves in the National Guard. I am a mother who, like many of you, is concerned about the well-being of my children and grandchildren’s future. I’m running for Congress because for my entire adult career I have faced many of the problems that we as a nation face. Congress has failed taxpayers. I’m Vangela Churchill. Let’s send a principal to Congress. I promise to never allow a passing grade on my watch. "

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

Border Security- The federal government has already paid for the border wall, it’s time we finish it. In addition to the wall, we need to provide Customs and Border Patrol with the resources they need to do their job. With the influx of illegal immigrants comes the influx of drugs such as fentanyl, and human-trafficking.

Election Integrity- we are the freest nation in the world because of our electoral process. Voter fraud exists, and in order for people to trust the process, we need to pass laws that require government-issued IDs to vote along with other measures to ensure election integrity

Term Limits- Why do we have term limits for the President, but not for members of Congress or members of the Senate. With term limits, we will stop corporate America from influencing what happens in Washington.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 15 in 2022.

Monica De La Cruz

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography: De La Cruz Hernandez received an undergraduate degree from the University of Texas at San Antonio and attended a Spanish language studies program at La Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico. De La Cruz Hernandez worked as an insurance agent.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

De La Cruz Hernandez listed immigration as a top priority on her campaign website. She said she supported building a wall on the U.S.-Mexico border, ending the Catch and Release program, and reinstating the Remain in Mexico policy.

De La Cruz Hernandez said she supported investment in oil and natural gas jobs that would help America become energy independent and opposed the Green New Deal.

De La Cruz Hernandez said that all American families should have the ability to choose schools for their children. Her campaign website said she opposed the teaching of Critical Race Theory.

Show sources

Sources: Monica De La Cruz Hernandez's 2022 campaign website, "The Issues," accessed January 21, 2022; Monica De La Cruz Hernandez's 2022 campaign website, "Meet Monica," accessed January 21, 2022

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 15 in 2022.

Mauro Garza

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography: Garza received a master's of science from the University of Texas at San Antonio in 1992. Garza worked with the Texas Commission on Alcohol and Drug Abuse and the Southwest Foundation for Biomedical Research. He also worked as a teacher with the Alamo Colleges District and founded M. Garza Enterprises, Inc. and Everett Holdings, LLC.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Garza's campaign website featured a national debt tracker and said he would balance the national budget, reduce the national debt, and lower taxes.

Garza's campaign ads focused on the issue of border security. He criticized the Biden administration for its border policies and said he supported securing the border.

Garza's campaign ad announcing his run said he opposed what he called Radical Socialist Democrats in Congress and their policies on funding police, military spending, and the U.S.-China relationship.

Show sources

Sources: Mauro Garza's 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed January 21, 2022 ; YouTube, "Mauro Garza for Congress," accessed January 21, 2022; YouTube, "Mauro Garza for Congress 'Where Are They Now?'" accessed January 21, 2022; Mauro Garza for Congress, "About," accessed January 21, 2022

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 15 in 2022.

Ryan Krause

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography: Krause worked as an executive pastor at Palm Valley Church, executive director of The John Maxwell Team, and president of Dream Big Facility, LLC, a leadership and coaching development company.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Krause's campaign website listed firearms as a top priority. He said he opposed background checks and red flag laws because he believed both policies did nothing to reduce violent crime.

Krause said he supported securing the border and enforcing existing immigration policies before reevaluating and making any changes to immigration policy.

Krause said government should not be involved in providing welfare benefits. Instead, people should rely on the support of family, churches, and non-profit organizations.

Show sources

Sources: Ryan Krause's 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed January 21, 2022; LinkedIn, "Ryan Krause," accessed January 21, 2022; Ryan Krause's 2022 campaign website, "About," accessed January 21, 2022

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 15 in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Please list below 3 key messages of your campaign. What are the main points you want voters to remember about your goals for your time in office?

Sara Canady (R)

Support the Oil and Gas Industry - As seen by the recent rise in gas prices, it is important to elect leaders that will help continue to guide our country back to an energy dominant nation, not one dependent on foreign powers.

Secure our Border - We MUST enforce the rule of law and that starts with our border. Ensuring Texas' Border Security is the key to our Nations' security.

Secure a better future for our families - At a time where the far-left continue to challenge our Values, Texans are seeking and are ready for fearless leaders that will fight for our values. I am willing to be that leader in Washington and fight for our community.

Vangela Churchill (R)

Border Security- The federal government has already paid for the border wall, it’s time we finish it. In addition to the wall, we need to provide Customs and Border Patrol with the resources they need to do their job. With the influx of illegal immigrants comes the influx of drugs such as fentanyl, and human-trafficking.

Election Integrity- we are the freest nation in the world because of our electoral process. Voter fraud exists, and in order for people to trust the process, we need to pass laws that require government-issued IDs to vote along with other measures to ensure election integrity

Term Limits- Why do we have term limits for the President, but not for members of Congress or members of the Senate. With term limits, we will stop corporate America from influencing what happens in Washington.

What areas of public policy are you personally passionate about?

Sara Canady (R)

As a fiscal constitutional conservative, I have watched in disbelief as our elected officials choose to push costly legislation through Congress. I firmly believe the function of government is to serve the people, not take advantage of them. With our nations deficit rising at an exponential, Congress has chosen to steal hard-earned dollars directly out of the purses and wallets of taxpayers. As your Representative, I pledge to stand up to Biden and his congressional cronies to keep them out of our pocketbook.

Vangela Churchill (R)

As we know, DPS is working along with Border Patrol and Lieutenant Christopher Olivarez with stated that they have recovered over 200 million lethal doses of fentanyl. Biden and his administration are doing absolutely nothing to stop it. As Henry Cuellar put it, VP Harris is not interested in solving our border crisis. The Federal government hasn’t done its job. Now DPS, the National Guard, and BP are the only things protecting our borders. They are asking for Manpower, technology, and infrastructure. We can start by using all the steel that is already paid for and laying on the ground to finish the wall. I think that if Nancy Pelosi can have a wall around her house to protect herself, then as a nation we deserve to have a wall on our borders to protect our citizens. We al know that a nation without borders is not a nation. Border security will help decrease the influx of drugs, minimize human-trafficking, and provide safer communities.

Who do you look up to? Whose example would you like to follow, and why?

Sara Canady (R)

I look up to my mother.

Phyllis Schlafly national leader of the conservative movement since 1964 and founder of National Volunteer Organization Eagle Forum. She was an articulate and successful opponent of the radical feminist movement and named one of 100 most important women of the 20th Century by the Ladies Home Journal.

Ronald Regan, the 40th U.S. President. He was a principled conservative leader that fought for the people of this country. I've always been inspired by his positive demeanor and his position as a pro-life and pro-business president.

Vangela Churchill (R)

I look up to all of my students who, despite their circumstances, pushed through high school, going to college, the military, or straight in the workforce. Some of them wanted to give up but somehow found the courage to keep going. Now they are young adults married with families of their own. Though I was their teacher, they taught me so many lessons. If I have to follow anyone's example, it would be that of 45- Donald Trump. He accomplished so much despite all the odds against him. He is a true leader. I am ready to face adversity just as he did. Nobody can hurt my feelings as I stand up for Americans and do my part in helping bring back the America we know we are.

Is there a book, essay, film, or something else you would recommend to someone who wants to understand your political philosophy?

Sara Canady (R)

The Bible, the Declaration of Independence and the U.S. Constitution.

Vangela Churchill (R)

The Constitution of the Unites States of America!

What characteristics or principles are most important for an elected official?

Sara Canady (R)

Fiduciary Responsiblity! Governments DO NOT generate revenue! Elected Officials spend the money collected from the People and MUST remain as fiduciary agents of the People.

Vangela Churchill (R)

Integrity is number one. As an elected official, always doing the right thing even when nobody see it is a must. Stay humble and never forget why you were elected, and do right by the people that elected you.

What qualities do you possess that you believe would make you a successful officeholder?

Vangela Churchill (R)

As I said in my video, I am not a show horse but a work horse. I don't quit until the job is done.

What do you believe are the core responsibilities for someone elected to this office?

Sara Canady (R)

Fiduciary, as stated above. To listen and hear the concerns, recommendations and requirements of the people represented.

Vangela Churchill (R)

We must make every decision based on what is best for the American people- not a party and definitely not corporate America.

What is the first historical event that happened in your lifetime that you remember? How old were you at the time?

Sara Canady (R)

The death of Mao Zedong in 1976. I was 13 years old.

Vangela Churchill (R)

On September 11, 2001, I was working in La Joya, TX as a network technician for the local school district when I heard about a plane crashing into one of the twin towers. As I watched things progress, at 28 years of age, I couldn't comprehend what happened and why.

I instantly felt overwhelmingly sad, in disbelief, and even scared. I cried watching the news for months afterwards, but I also felt proud of those that were determined to sign up and serve our country to take on these terrorists that caused us so much pain.

20 years later, I look around and have those same feelings I felt that day- sad, in disbelief and scared for our country. Now it is my turn to serve our country by running for Congress. Our beautiful Nation is crumbling under the Biden Administration.

What was your very first job? How long did you have it?

Sara Canady (R)

Dishwasher at the Floresville Nursing Home. I held that job for the last year and half in high school.

Vangela Churchill (R)

Besides babysitting as a teenager, my first real job was working as a cashier at Walmart. I loved my job as I was able to get to meet new people and greet them everyday with a smile. I have always been a team player with good work ethics, and I always volunteered to work the holidays when nobody else wanted to. I worked there for about a year until I moved. I am not ashamed to say that I worked for Walmart. In fact, I tell my students it isn't about where you started or where you come from but about what you do with your life and where you go from here.

What is your favorite book? Why?

Sara Canady (R)

The Bible. It literally has everything past, present and future. And, as a good friend of mine constantly reminds me it stands for "Basic Instructions Before Leaving Earth."

Vangela Churchill (R)

I read professional development books- anything to help me better myself is what I spend my time reading.

What was the last song that got stuck in your head?

Sara Canady (R)

Greater is he that in me....

Vangela Churchill (R)

Como La Flor by Selena

What is something that has been a struggle in your life?

Vangela Churchill (R)

As someone who was raised in a cult and married off as a teenager, when I divorced that man and left the cult, I was shunned by my family. It was difficult, but it made me a stronger more determined woman.

What qualities does the U.S. House of Representatives possess that makes it unique as an institution?

Sara Canady (R)

All bills that generate tax revenue originate in the House of Representatives. As a fiscal constitutional conservative I strongly believe that the function of government is to serve the people, not take advantage of them.

Vangela Churchill (R)

The ability serve as a representative and be a part of introducing and passing bills that I know will directly affect the people of my district makes this a unique institution.

Do you believe that it's beneficial for representatives to have previous experience in government or politics?

Sara Canady (R)

Absolutely. Experience as an elected official, being responsible to constituents for decisions made on a regular basis, is extremely beneficial.

Vangela Churchill (R)

No, not necessarily. People want to know that the person that is representing them is like them. As someone who is not a career politician, I am able to focus on the people of my district and their needs versus corporate America's needs and wants.

What do you perceive to be the United States’ greatest challenges as a nation over the next decade?

Sara Canady (R)

Sovereignty, The authority of the United States to govern itself as outlined in the United States Constitution, Paragraph 1. "We the people of the United States in order to for a more perfect union establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, prove for the common defense, probe the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity"

Vangela Churchill (R)

We are now facing this border crisis and the amount of illegal immigrants that have been disbursed all over our Nation. We are going to be addressing this for years to come.

If you are not a current representative, are there certain committees that you would want to be a part of?

Sara Canady (R)

Education and Labor, Energy and Commerce, Homeland Security, Judiciary, Natural Resources, Small Business and Ways and Means.

Vangela Churchill (R)

I would love to be a part of the Education and Labor or Homeland Security committees.

If you are a current representative, why did you join your current committees?

Sara Canady (R)

N/A

Vangela Churchill (R)

N/A

Do you believe that two years is the right term length for representatives?

Sara Canady (R)

Our Founding Fathers, in the US Constitution set the term at 2 years for the House of Representatives and I am a staunch Constitutional Conservative.

Vangela Churchill (R)

Yes, but I do believe we should limit it to two terms.

What are your thoughts on term limits?

Sara Canady (R)

Terms are determined and limited by the voters as defined in the United States Constitution.

Vangela Churchill (R)

We need term limits. If we have term limits for the president, why not for senators and members of Congress. This will help avoid corporate America from dictating what happens in Washington.

Is there a particular representative, past or present, whom you want to model yourself after?

Sara Canady (R)

Yes, Sam Rayburn of Texas who served in the House of Representative from 1953 - 1961.

Vangela Churchill (R)

Dan Crenshaw is Congressman for Texas' second congressional district. He served our country and didn't call it quits when he was injured. He went on to continue to serve the American people.

Both sitting representatives and candidates for office hear many personal stories from the residents of their district. Is there a story that you’ve heard that you found particularly touching, memorable, or impactful?

Vangela Churchill (R)

In December of 2021, not too long before Christmas, Carmen Huerta Sosa, 59, and her 22-year-old daughter, Viridiana Charon Lloyd lost their lives senselessly when a human smuggler with six illegal immigrants crashed into their vehicle killing them instantly. This happened in our backyard. Had the border wall been finished and secure, this would have never of happened. Carmen and Viri would be alive today.

Tell us your favorite joke.

Sara Canady (R)

Lots of people wear Superman pajamas, but what kind of pajamas does Superman wear? Superman wears Chuck Norris pajamas.

Do you believe that compromise is necessary or desirable for policymaking?

Sara Canady (R)

Article I of the US Constitution establishes the Congress. It was established to facilitate debate and compromise on all legislative matters.

Vangela Churchill (R)

Yes. Democrats and Republicans need to work together, however there are some things that should not even be negotiated.

Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Jose Aizar Cavazos

Have a link to Cavazos' campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.

Facebook

Sara Canady

Have a link to Canady's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.

Facebook

Vangela Churchill

Have a link to Churchill's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.

Facebook

Monica De La Cruz Hernandez

January 12, 2022

View more ads here:

Mauro Garza

December 14, 2021

November 30, 2021

June 1, 2021

View more ads here:

Angela Juarez

Have a link to Juarez's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.

Ryan Krause

Have a link to Krause's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.

John Lerma

Have a link to Lerma's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.

Steve Schmuker Jr.

Have a link to Schmuker's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.

Endorsements

Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.^[9] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."^[10] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[11]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[12]^[13]^[14]

Race ratings: Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022
Race tracker	Race ratings
	November 8, 2022	November 1, 2022	October 25, 2022	October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Likely Republican	Likely Republican	Likely Republican	Likely Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Lean Republican	Lean Republican	Lean Republican	Lean Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Likely Republican	Likely Republican	Likely Republican	Likely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.^[15] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.^[16] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report	Close of books	Filing deadline
Year-end 2021	12/31/2021	1/31/2022
April quarterly	3/31/2022	4/15/2022
July quarterly	6/30/2022	7/15/2022
October quarterly	9/30/2022	10/15/2022
Pre-general	10/19/2022	10/27/2022
Post-general	11/28/2022	12/08/2022
Year-end 2022	12/31/2022	1/31/2023

Name	Party	Receipts*	Disbursements**	Cash on hand	Date
Jose Aizar Cavazos	Republican Party	$5,435	$6,376	$2,084	As of March 31, 2022
Sara Canady	Republican Party	$23,680	$18,107	$5,573	As of March 31, 2022
Vangela Churchill	Republican Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Monica De La Cruz	Republican Party	$4,688,233	$4,643,522	$52,217	As of December 31, 2022
Mauro Garza	Republican Party	$782,982	$828,869	$0	As of December 31, 2022
Angela Juarez	Republican Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Ryan Krause	Republican Party	$19,452	$10,881	$9,004	As of June 2, 2022
John Lerma	Republican Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Steve Schmuker Jr.	Republican Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election. * Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.^[17]^[18]^[19]

If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.

By candidate	By election
Federal Election Commission - Jose Aizar Cavazos Federal Election Commission - Sara Canady Federal Election Commission - Vangela Churchill Federal Election Commission - Monica De La Cruz Hernandez Federal Election Commission - Mauro Garza Federal Election Commission - Angela Juarez Federal Election Commission - Ryan Krause Federal Election Commission - Steve Schmuker Jr.	Open Secrets - Texas' 15th Congressional District Election Federal Election Commission - Texas' 15th Congressional District Election

Election context

District history

2020

See also: Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 15

Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. defeated Monica De La Cruz and Ross Lynn Leone in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 15 on November 3, 2020.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Vicente Gonzalez Jr. (D)	50.5	115,605
	Monica De La Cruz (R)	47.6	109,017
	Ross Lynn Leone (L)	1.9	4,295

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 228,917
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Carlos Fabara (G)

Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15

Monica De La Cruz defeated Ryan Krause in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15 on July 14, 2020.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Monica De La Cruz	76.0	7,423
	Ryan Krause	24.0	2,350

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 9,773 (100.00% precincts reporting)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 3, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Vicente Gonzalez Jr.	100.0	43,689

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 43,689
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Monica De La Cruz and Ryan Krause advanced to a runoff. They defeated Tim Westley in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 3, 2020.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Monica De La Cruz	43.0	11,330
✔	Ryan Krause	39.7	10,441
	Tim Westley	17.3	4,550

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 26,321
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Carl Spandau (R)

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 15

Ross Lynn Leone advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 21, 2020.

		Candidate
✔		Ross Lynn Leone (L)

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 15

Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. defeated Tim Westley and Anthony Cristo in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 15 on November 6, 2018.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Vicente Gonzalez Jr. (D)	59.7	98,333
	Tim Westley (R)	38.8	63,862
	Anthony Cristo (L)	1.6	2,607

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 164,802
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 6, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Vicente Gonzalez Jr.	100.0	33,549

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 33,549
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Tim Westley advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 6, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Tim Westley	100.0	14,794

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 14,794
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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2016

See also: Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Vicente Gonzalez (D) defeated Tim Westley (R), Vanessa Tijerina (G), and Ross Lynn Leone (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. A runoff for both parties was held on May 24, 2016. In the runoff primaries, Westley defeated Ruben Villarreal, and Gonzalez defeated Juan Palacios Jr. Incumbent Ruben Hinojosa did not seek re-election.^[20]^[21]

**U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 2016**
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Vicente Gonzalez	57.3%	101,712
	Republican	Tim Westley	37.7%	66,877
	Green	Vanessa Tijerina	3.1%	5,448
	Libertarian	Ross Lynn Leone	1.9%	3,442
Total Votes				177,479
Source: Texas Secretary of State

**U.S. House, Texas District 15 Republican Primary, 2016**
Candidate	Vote %	Votes
Tim Westley	45%	13,164
Ruben Villarreal	32%	9,349
Xavier Salinas	23%	6,734
Total Votes		29,247
Source: Texas Secretary of State

**U.S. House, Texas District 15 Republican Runoff Primary, 2016**
Candidate	Vote %	Votes
Tim Westley	50.5%	1,384
Ruben Villarreal	49.5%	1,355
Total Votes		2,739
Source: Texas Secretary of State

**U.S. House, Texas District 15 Democratic Primary, 2016**
Candidate	Vote %	Votes
Vicente Gonzalez	42.2%	22,151
Juan Palacios Jr.	18.9%	9,913
Dolly Elizondo	16.9%	8,888
Joel Quintanilla	11.7%	6,152
Ruben Ramirez Hinojosa	6%	3,149
Rance Sweeten	4.2%	2,224
Total Votes		52,477
Source: Texas Secretary of State

**U.S. House, Texas District 15 Democratic Runoff Primary, 2016**
Candidate	Vote %	Votes
Vicente Gonzalez	65.7%	16,071
Juan Palacios Jr.	34.3%	8,379
Total Votes		24,450
Source: Texas Secretary of State

2014

See also: Texas' 15th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 15th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Ruben Hinojosa Sr. (D) defeated Eddie Zamora (R) and Johnny Partain (L) in the general election.

**U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 2014**
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Ruben Hinojosa Incumbent	54%	48,708
	Republican	Eddie Zamora	43.3%	39,016
	Libertarian	Johnny Partain	2.7%	2,460
Total Votes				90,184
Source: Texas Secretary of State

2012

See also: Texas' 15th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 15th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Ruben Hinojosa Sr. (D) won re-election. He defeated Dale Brueggemann (R) and Ronald Finch (L) in the general election.^[22]

**U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 2012**
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Ruben Hinojosa Incumbent	60.9%	89,296
	Republican	Dale A. Brueggemann	36.9%	54,056
	Libertarian	Ron Finch	2.3%	3,309
Total Votes				146,661
Source: Texas Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Earlier results

To view the electoral history dating back to 1990 for the office of Texas' 15th Congressional District, click [show] to expand the section.

2010
On November 2, 2010, Ruben Hinojosa won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Eddie Zamora (R) and Aaron Cohn (L) in the general election.^[23]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 2010
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Ruben Hinojosa incumbent	55.7%	53,546
	Republican	Eddie Zamora	41.6%	39,964
	Libertarian	Aaron Cohn	2.7%	2,570
Total Votes				96,080

2008
On November 4, 2008, Ruben Hinojosa won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Eddie Zamora (R) and Gricha Raether (L) in the general election.^[24]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 2008
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Ruben Hinojosa incumbent	65.7%	107,578
	Republican	Eddie Zamora	31.9%	52,303
	Libertarian	Gricha Raether	2.3%	3,827
Total Votes				163,708

2006
On November 7, 2006, Ruben Hinojosa won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Paul Haring (R) and Eddie Zamora (R) in the general election.^[25]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 2006
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Ruben Hinojosa incumbent	61.8%	43,236
	Republican	Paul Haring	23.7%	16,601
	Republican	Eddie Zamora	14.5%	10,150
Total Votes				69,987

2004
On November 2, 2004, Ruben Hinojosa won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Michael Thamm (R) and William Cady (L) in the general election.^[26]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 2004
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Ruben Hinojosa incumbent	57.8%	96,089
	Republican	Michael Thamm	40.8%	67,917
	Libertarian	William Cady	1.4%	2,352
Total Votes				166,358

2002
On November 5, 2002, Ruben Hinojosa won re-election to the United States House. He ran unopposed in the general election.^[27]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 2002
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Ruben Hinojosa incumbent	100%	66,311
Total Votes				66,311

2000
On November 7, 2000, Ruben Hinojosa won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Frank Jones (L) and Israel Cantu (Write-in) in the general election.^[28]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 2000
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Ruben Hinojosa incumbent	88.5%	106,570
	Libertarian	Frank Jones	10.9%	13,167
	Write-in	Israel Cantu	0.6%	711
Total Votes				120,448

1998
On November 3, 1998, Ruben Hinojosa won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Tom Haughey (R) in the general election.^[29]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 1998
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Ruben Hinojosa incumbent	58.4%	47,957
	Republican	Tom Haughey	41.6%	34,221
Total Votes				82,178

1996
On November 5, 1996, Ruben Hinojosa won election to the United States House. He defeated Tom Haughey (R) and Rob Wofford (Natural Law) in the general election.^[30]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 1996
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Ruben Hinojosa	62.3%	86,347
	Republican	Tom Haughey	36.7%	50,914
	Natural Law	Rob Wofford	1%	1,333
Total Votes				138,594

1994
On November 8, 1994, E de la Garza won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Tom Haughey (R) and John c.c. Hamilton (I) in the general election.^[31]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 1994
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	E de la Garza incumbent	59%	61,527
	Republican	Tom Haughey	39.4%	41,119
	Independent	John c.c. Hamilton	1.6%	1,720
Total Votes				104,366

1992
On November 3, 1992, E de la Garza won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Tom Haughey (R) in the general election.^[32]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 1992
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	E de la Garza incumbent	60.4%	86,351
	Republican	Tom Haughey	39.6%	56,549
Total Votes				142,900

1990
On November 6, 1990, E de la Garza won re-election to the United States House. He ran unopposed in the general election.^[33]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 1990
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	E de la Garza incumbent	100%	72,461
Total Votes				72,461

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
Texas	U.S. House	Democratic or Republican	2% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less	$3,125.00	12/13/2021	Source
Texas	U.S. House	Unaffiliated	5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less	N/A	6/23/2022	Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

	2024 → ← 2020
Texas' 15th Congressional District
	Democratic primary; Democratic primary runoff; Republican primary; General election
Election details
	Filing deadline: December 13, 2021
	Primary: March 1, 2022; Primary runoff: May 24, 2022; General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
	Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.; Voting in Texas
Race ratings
	Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+1; Cook Political Report: Likely Republican; Inside Elections: Lean Republican; Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
	U.S. Senate battlegrounds; U.S. House battlegrounds; Federal and state primary competitiveness; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
	Texas' 15th Congressional District; 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 19th • 20th • 21st • 22nd • 23rd • 24th • 25th • 26th • 27th • 28th • 29th • 30th • 31st • 32nd • 33rd • 34th • 35th • 36th • 37th • 38th; Texas elections, 2022; U.S. Congress elections, 2022; U.S. Senate elections, 2022; U.S. House elections, 2022; Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Texas District 15
before 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Texas District 15
after 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.^[34] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.^[35]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Texas
District	2022 district		Political predecessor district
District	Joe Biden	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Donald Trump
Texas' 1st	26.5%	72.4%	27.2%	71.6%
Texas' 2nd	37.9%	60.7%	48.6%	49.9%
Texas' 3rd	42.0%	56.4%	48.7%	49.8%
Texas' 4th	36.4%	62.4%	24.4%	74.4%
Texas' 5th	38.2%	60.6%	37.9%	60.9%
Texas' 6th	37.4%	61.3%	47.8%	50.8%
Texas' 7th	64.2%	34.5%	53.6%	45.1%
Texas' 8th	35.8%	63.0%	28.1%	70.6%
Texas' 9th	76.2%	22.8%	75.7%	23.3%
Texas' 10th	39.8%	58.6%	48.4%	50.0%
Texas' 11th	29.1%	69.5%	19.7%	79.1%
Texas' 12th	40.1%	58.3%	37.9%	60.5%
Texas' 13th	26.5%	72.0%	19.4%	79.2%
Texas' 14th	35.0%	63.6%	39.6%	59.0%
Texas' 15th	48.1%	51.0%	TX-15: 50.4% TX-34: 51.5%	TX-15: 48.5% TX-34: 47.5%
Texas' 16th	67.0%	31.5%	66.4%	32.0%
Texas' 17th	38.0%	60.5%	43.6%	54.6%
Texas' 18th	73.6%	25.1%	75.7%	23.0%
Texas' 19th	26.2%	72.4%	26.3%	72.2%
Texas' 20th	65.8%	32.7%	63.7%	34.7%
Texas' 21st	39.4%	59.1%	47.9%	50.6%
Texas' 22nd	41.3%	57.4%	48.9%	49.8%
Texas' 23rd	45.8%	52.9%	48.5%	50.3%
Texas' 24th	43.0%	55.4%	51.9%	46.5%
Texas' 25th	33.8%	64.9%	44.4%	54.0%
Texas' 26th	40.0%	58.6%	42.1%	56.3%
Texas' 27th	38.1%	60.6%	37.5%	61.2%
Texas' 28th	52.9%	45.9%	51.6%	47.2%
Texas' 29th	67.8%	31.0%	65.9%	32.9%
Texas' 30th	77.8%	21.0%	79.8%	18.9%
Texas' 31st	39.0%	59.2%	47.6%	50.4%
Texas' 32nd	65.7%	32.7%	54.4%	44.0%
Texas' 33rd	74.2%	24.4%	73.0%	25.6%
Texas' 34th	57.3%	41.8%	TX-15: 50.4% TX-34: 51.5%	TX-15: 48.5% TX-34: 47.5%
Texas' 35th	71.7%	26.5%	---	---
Texas' 36th	33.6%	65.2%	26.9%	71.9%
Texas' 37th	75.5%	22.7%	67.7%	30.5%
Texas' 38th	40.2%	58.4%	---	---

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2022. Information below was calculated on Jan. 27, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 223 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 143 Republicans, 79 Democrats, and one independent candidate. That’s 5.9 candidates per district, less than the 6.5 candidates per district in 2020 and 5.9 in 2018.

Texas gained two U.S. House districts following the 2020 census. Two members of the U.S. House filed to run for re-election in a different district than the one represented before redistricting: Lloyd Doggett (D) filed in the new 37th District, while Vicente Gonzalez (D) filed in the 34th District seat held by retiring Rep. Filemon Vela (D).

Six districts were open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. In addition to Gonzalez’s and Doggett’s districts, these included the newly-created 38th District and the 1st, 8th, and 30th districts. 1st District incumbent Louie Gohmert (R) filed to run for state attorney general, while incumbents Kevin Brady (R) and Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) did not file for re-election.

This was the same number as 2012, the previous post-redistricting cycle, and 2020. There were seven open seats in 2018.

There were 13 incumbents who filed to run in districts without any primary challengers.

Three districts were likely to be won by Republicans because no Democrats filed. There were no districts where the same is true of Democratic candidates.

Fifteen candidates each filed to run in the 15th and 30th Districts, more than any other. Six Democrats and nine Republicans filed in the 15th. Nine Democrats and six Republicans filed in the 30th. Both districts were open.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+1. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 15th the 216th most Republican district nationally.^[36]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Texas' 15th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
48.1%	51.0%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2020

Texas presidential election results (1900-2020)

16 Democratic wins
15 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	D	D	D	R	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Texas and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019. {{{Demo widget}}}

State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas, November 2022
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	0	12	12
Republican	2	24	26
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	36	38

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Texas, November 2022
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Greg Abbott
Lieutenant Governor	Dan Patrick
Secretary of State	John Scott
Attorney General	Ken Paxton

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Texas State Legislature as of November 2022.

Texas State Senate

Party		As of November 2022
	Democratic Party	13
	Republican Party	18
	Vacancies	0
Total		31

Texas House of Representatives

Party		As of November 2022
	Democratic Party	65
	Republican Party	83
	Vacancies	2
Total		150

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Texas was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Texas Party Control: 1992-2022
Three years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Governor	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
Senate	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
House	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

External links

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Footnotes

↑ ^1.0 ^1.1 The Texas Tribune, "U.S. Rep. Vicente Gonzalez will run for a different House seat in 2022 after redistricting made his more competitive," October 26, 2021
↑ RollCall, "House GOP campaign arm taps 32 for ‘Young Guns’ support program," October 12, 2021
↑ Monica De La Cruz Hernandez's 2022 campaign website, "The Issues," accessed January 21, 2022
↑ Monica De La Cruz Hernandez's 2022 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed January 21, 2022
↑ Mauro Garza's 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed January 21, 2022
↑ Texas Standard, "With a congressional seat suddenly open, Democrats in the Rio Grande Valley race to recruit for a competitive district," November 2, 2021
↑ Ryan Krause's 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed January 21, 2022
↑ Ryan Krause's 2022 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed January 21, 2022
↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
↑ Texas Secretary of State, "2016 March Primary Election Candidate Filings by County," accessed December 15, 2015
↑ The New York Times, "Texas Primary Results," March 1, 2016
↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Texas," November 6, 2012
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013
↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023

[show]

Texas' current delegation to the United States Congress

Senators

John Cornyn (R)

Ted Cruz (R)

Representatives

District 1

Nathaniel Moran (R)

District 2

Daniel Crenshaw (R)

District 3

Keith Self (R)

District 4

Pat Fallon (R)

District 5

Lance Gooden (R)

District 6

Jake Ellzey (R)

District 7

Lizzie Fletcher (D)

District 8

Morgan Luttrell (R)

District 9

Al Green (D)

District 10

Michael McCaul (R)

District 11

August Pfluger (R)

District 12

Craig Goldman (R)

District 13

Ronny Jackson (R)

District 14

Randy Weber (R)

District 15

Monica De La Cruz (R)

District 16

Veronica Escobar (D)

District 17

Pete Sessions (R)

District 18

Vacant

District 19

Jodey Arrington (R)

District 20

Joaquin Castro (D)

District 21

Chip Roy (R)

District 22

Troy Nehls (R)

District 23

Tony Gonzales (R)

District 24

Beth Van Duyne (R)

District 25

Roger Williams (R)

District 26

Brandon Gill (R)

District 27

Michael Cloud (R)

District 28

Henry Cuellar (D)

District 29

Sylvia Garcia (D)

District 30

Jasmine Crockett (D)

District 31

John Carter (R)

District 32

Julie Johnson (D)

District 33

Marc Veasey (D)

District 34

Vicente Gonzalez (D)

District 35

Greg Casar (D)

District 36

Brian Babin (R)

District 37

Lloyd Doggett (D)

District 38

Wesley Hunt (R)

Republican Party (27)

Democratic Party (12)

Vacancies (1)

[ttgonz-1] 1.0 ^1.1 The Texas Tribune, "U.S. Rep. Vicente Gonzalez will run for a different House seat in 2022 after redistricting made his more competitive," October 26, 2021

[2] RollCall, "House GOP campaign arm taps 32 for ‘Young Guns’ support program," October 12, 2021

[3] Monica De La Cruz Hernandez's 2022 campaign website, "The Issues," accessed January 21, 2022

[4] Monica De La Cruz Hernandez's 2022 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed January 21, 2022

[5] Mauro Garza's 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed January 21, 2022

[6] Texas Standard, "With a congressional seat suddenly open, Democrats in the Rio Grande Valley race to recruit for a competitive district," November 2, 2021

[7] Ryan Krause's 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed January 21, 2022

[8] Ryan Krause's 2022 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed January 21, 2022

[9] For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.

[10] Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016

[11] Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.

[12] Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018

[13] Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018

[14] Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018

[15] Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.

[16] Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022

[definition-17] OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021

[stats-18] OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021

[19] National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021

[20] Texas Secretary of State, "2016 March Primary Election Candidate Filings by County," accessed December 15, 2015

[primaryresults16-21] The New York Times, "Texas Primary Results," March 1, 2016

[22] Politico, "2012 Election Map, Texas," November 6, 2012

[23] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013

[24] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013

[25] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013

[26] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013

[27] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013

[28] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013

[29] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013

[30] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013

[31] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013

[32] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013

[33] U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013

[34] Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.

[35] Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022

[36] Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023

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Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary)

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Campaign advertisements

Jose Aizar Cavazos

Sara Canady

Vangela Churchill

Monica De La Cruz Hernandez

Mauro Garza

Angela Juarez

Ryan Krause

John Lerma

Steve Schmuker Jr.

Endorsements

Election competitiveness

Polls

General election race ratings

Election spending

Campaign finance

Satellite spending

Election context

District history

2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 15

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 15

2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 15

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

2016

2014

2012

Earlier results

Ballot access requirements

District analysis

District map

Texas District 15before 2020 redistricting cycle

Texas District 15after 2020 redistricting cycle

Effect of redistricting

Competitiveness

Post-filing deadline analysis

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

2020 presidential election results

Presidential voting history

Demographics

State party control

Congressional delegation

State executive

State legislature

Texas State Senate

Texas House of Representatives

Trifecta control

See also

External links

Footnotes

Information about voting

2025 Elections

2026 Elections

2024 Election analysis

Trending

Public Policy

Information for candidates

Texas District 15
before 2020 redistricting cycle

Texas District 15
after 2020 redistricting cycle