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Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary)

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2024
2020
Texas' 1st Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Democratic primary runoff
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 13, 2021
Primary: March 1, 2022
Primary runoff: May 24, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+26
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Texas' 1st Congressional District
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Texas elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

Nathaniel Moran defeated Aditya Atholi, Joe McDaniel, and John Porro in the Republican primary for Texas' 1st Congressional District on March 1, 2022. The general election was scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Rep. Louie Gohmert (R) announced on November 22, 2021, that he was retiring from the U.S. House of Representatives and instead running for Texas Attorney General in 2022.

Atholi was a former oil rig worker and Marine Corps officer whose political experience included working in Gohmert's D.C. office and working in the Economic Development Division of former Governor Rick Perry's (R) office.[1] In his campaign announcement, Atholi said strengthening local government was his main campaign priority: "Only by giving people the ability to fix their own problems, can the country move forward. This is what Republicans have believed for hundreds of years, and there is a specific and simple (but not easy) way we can return to this again."[2]

McDaniel was a business owner who had also worked on the boards of organizations like Gregg County Boys and Girls Club and the Tyler Homeless Coalition.[3] His campaign announcement said he was "ready to fight for the things that are near to the heart of the people of East Texas. Inflation, the national debt, gun rights, our southern border, and oil and gas are top on the list of priorities and are at the forefront of his campaign."[4]

Moran, an attorney, was appointed a judge of the Smith County Court in 2016. He was a member of the Tyler City Council from 2005 to 2009.[5] In his campaign announcement Moran said, "I know that securing our borders, limiting government overreach, eliminating foreign influence, and pushing back against cultural Marxism are what is needed to protect the hopes and dreams of the next generation."[6]

Porro worked in hospital management and had worked as a physician assistant.[7] In his campaign announcement Porro said, "We need strong constitutional conservatives to take back the House and the Senate. We need people who are going to fight back against the totalitarian socialists that have infected our Congress, our communities, and our classrooms."[8]

As of January 2022, three independent outlets rated the general election as Solid Republican. Gohmert had represented the district in Congress since 2003. In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) defeated Joe Biden (D) in Texas' 1st 72% to 27%.[9]

Aditya Atholi (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.

This page focuses on Texas' 1st Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-GOP-Ad-1-Small.png

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 1

Nathaniel Moran defeated Joe McDaniel, Aditya Atholi, and John Porro in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 1 on March 1, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Nathaniel Moran
Nathaniel Moran
 
63.0
 
51,312
Image of Joe McDaniel
Joe McDaniel
 
24.2
 
19,708
Image of Aditya Atholi
Aditya Atholi Candidate Connection
 
7.6
 
6,186
Image of John Porro
John Porro
 
5.2
 
4,238

Total votes: 81,444
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Aditya Atholi

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "My name is A.D. Atholi. I'm an Oil & Gas Roughneck, a Marine Officer, and a conservative Republican. I'm running for Congress with a specific, simple, and practical Plan to get our country back to conservative values. So far, The Plan has been approved as an actionable, realistic way that we can fix our country's direction by: grassroots voters, evangelical Christians, business people, lawyers, doctors, engineers, teachers, former US congressional staffers, former US Congressmen, East Texas County GOP Chairs, and East Texas County Judges. No one thinks it'll be easy, but not a single person can identify flaws in The Plan. This can be done. If it couldn't, I wouldn't waste my time, money, or self-respect wading into politics."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Rebrand the Republican party as the Party of Local Government.


Give Republicans an offensive strategy.


Help win back control of the culture from the left.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 1 in 2022.

Image of Joe McDaniel

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  McDaniel graduated from Baylor University and attended Columbia Seminary. His professional experience included being a business owner, and serving on the board of organizations like Gregg County Boys and Girls Club and the Tyler Homeless Coalition.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


McDaniel said inflation was a problem and that he would address it by reducing government spending and changing Federal Reserve policies.


In his campaign announcement, McDaniel said: “I am an outsider candidate who does not have a membership in the Smith County political bubble. I am not a Politician. I am not a Lawyer. I am an East Texan, just like you.”


McDaniel said he supported firearm ownership, and that he would oppose federal regulation of firearms.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 1 in 2022.

Image of Nathaniel Moran

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

  • Smith County Court Judge (Assumed office: 2016)
  • Tyler City Council (2005-2009)

Biography:  Moran received a bachelor’s degree in Russian Area studies, a master’s degree in business, and a law degree from Texas Tech University. His professional experience included working as an attorney at Romey & Flock, P.C. and Snow Fogel Spence LLP and as a shareholder at Romey & Flock, P.C.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Moran said that as a county judge he did not mandate closures in Smith County during the coronavirus pandemic, and worked with healthcare professionals to take precautions while respecting individual rights.


Moran said that “our safety and security depend on a secure border. Because the current administration refuses to act to secure our border, it is a full-scale national security issue.”


Moran said that the federal deficit was a problem and that he would work to reduce government spending.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 1 in 2022.

Image of John Porro

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Porro received a bachelor’s degree in history from SUNY Binghamton and attended Cornell University’s physician assistant program. His professional experience included working as a teacher, EMT, physician’s assistant, and in hospital management.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


In his first campaign ad, Porro said: “To Joe Biden and the rest of the socialists out there who are trying to destroy this country, let me repeat the message that I heard from President Bush at Ground Zero 20 years ago: you better hear us now.”


Porro said he supported authorized immigration, and opposed unauthorized immigration. He said he supported the construction of a border wall and withholding funds from cities that enact sanctuary policies for unauthorized immigrants.


Porro said that he would work to reduce government spending and support a balanced federal budget.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 1 in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Rebrand the Republican party as the Party of Local Government.

Give Republicans an offensive strategy.

Help win back control of the culture from the left.
Healthcare, education, blue-collar jobs revival, gun control. Supporting local government programs by giving block grants to the states.
I admire Abraham Lincoln, who helped reunite a divided nation. I see parallels in the United States today with the Civil War, widespread protest, distrust of the Government, and censorship in the media. My goal is to start the healing process by placing power back in the hands of the States. Allowing states and counties to run programs will cut down on corruption and spending, and it is the only functional path forward.
A good leader should genuinely care for the people and have a doable plan to meet the needs of the citizens. I feel that a quality lacking in most politicians is being able to truly understand the middle class, their needs, wants, and concerns.
The qualities I feel will help me in this office are the leadership skills I learned as a Captain in the military, my determination not to back down, and my faith which keeps me going.
Good use of this office would not just include officially working in Congress, fighting to get bills passed. It would also include making connections with businesses and organizations inside and outside of the district and putting them in contact with each other. Doing this would help my district grow economically and prosper.
To bring the United States back to a country of local self-government as we have been for hundreds of years.
My first job was in junior high. During lunch, I used to charge other students to go get them food from the lunch line. I would use this extra money to buy myself more food during lunch. I did this for roughly four years from sixth to ninth grade.
It took me 8 years to join the United States Marine Corps; I never gave up, was finally accepted, and worked my way up to Captain.
It was built to be a direct reflection of the citizenry of the united states. It is the political institution in the US meant to be closest to the people.
I believe that background knowledge is important in politics, just like any other profession. However, career politicians tend to be more talk than action, so I feel that my background of accomplishment in the Oilfield and the US Marine Corps are more important than a background in politics.
To win back the culture from the left. To return to bedrock American values such as free markets, free speech, and free people.
The unelected federal bureaucracy (often called the Deep State) is by far the biggest threat to American democracy. We will never get this bureaucracy under control until we put term limits on Congress. I believe in 12year term limits, as this is plenty of time for Congressmen to learn their job, learn the system, and legislate responsibly. I will term limit myself to 12 years.
None from recent history. I'd model myself after General Mattis and Marcus Aurelius.
A man asked me what his daughter could do right now to not lose her job because of COVID vaccine mandates. He almost started crying, saying that she was about to lose her livelihood because of not taking the vaccine.
On most popular issues, cooperation between both political parties is a fantasy. Republicans and Democrats will not work together; one party needs to lead and fix middle-class problems. Historically this is how the American political system operated.
I would focus more on decreasing spending and using block grant funding to the States for government programs. When programs are set up at the state or county level, wasted expenditure tends to be less. This would cut down on expenses and corruption while helping out local communities. If revenues need to be raised, they should be done at the state or local level.




Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Aditya Atholi

December 17, 2021
January 28, 2022

View more ads here:


Republican Party Joe McDaniel

Have a link to McDaniel's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.


Republican Party Nathaniel Moran

Have a link to Moran's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.


Republican Party John Porro

December 21, 2021

View more ads here:


Endorsements

Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[10]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[11][12][13]

Race ratings: Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[14] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[15] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Aditya Atholi Republican Party $166,328 $166,328 $0 As of March 31, 2022
Joe McDaniel Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Nathaniel Moran Republican Party $1,051,039 $932,295 $118,744 As of December 31, 2022
John Porro Republican Party $72,473 $70,667 $1,806 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[16][17][18]

If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.

By candidate By race

Election context

Primary election competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2022. Information below was calculated on Jan. 27, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 223 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 143 Republicans, 79 Democrats, and one independent candidate. That’s 5.9 candidates per district, less than the 6.5 candidates per district in 2020 and 5.9 in 2018.

Texas gained two U.S. House districts following the 2020 census. Two members of the U.S. House filed to run for re-election in a different district than the one represented before redistricting: Lloyd Doggett (D) filed in the new 37th District, while Vicente Gonzalez (D) filed in the 34th District seat held by retiring Rep. Filemon Vela (D).

Six districts were open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. In addition to Gonzalez’s and Doggett’s districts, these included the newly-created 38th District and the 1st, 8th, and 30th districts. 1st District incumbent Louie Gohmert (R) filed to run for state attorney general, while incumbents Kevin Brady (R) and Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) did not file for re-election.

This was the same number as 2012, the previous post-redistricting cycle, and 2020. There were seven open seats in 2018.


There were 13 incumbents who filed to run in districts without any primary challengers.

Three districts were likely to be won by Republicans because no Democrats filed. There were no districts where the same is true of Democratic candidates.

Fifteen candidates each filed to run in the 15th and 30th Districts, more than any other. Six Democrats and nine Republicans filed in the 15th. Nine Democrats and six Republicans filed in the 30th. Both districts were open.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Texas U.S. House Democratic or Republican 2% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less $3,125.00 12/13/2021 Source
Texas U.S. House Unaffiliated 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less N/A 6/23/2022 Source


District history

2020

See also: Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2020

Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2020 (March 3 Democratic primary)

Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2020 (March 3 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 1

Incumbent Louis B. Gohmert Jr. defeated Hank Gilbert in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 1 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Louis B. Gohmert Jr.
Louis B. Gohmert Jr. (R)
 
72.6
 
219,726
Image of Hank Gilbert
Hank Gilbert (D)
 
27.4
 
83,016

Total votes: 302,742
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 1

Hank Gilbert advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 1 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hank Gilbert
Hank Gilbert
 
100.0
 
25,037

Total votes: 25,037
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 1

Incumbent Louis B. Gohmert Jr. defeated Johnathan Davidson in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 1 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Louis B. Gohmert Jr.
Louis B. Gohmert Jr.
 
89.7
 
83,887
Image of Johnathan Davidson
Johnathan Davidson
 
10.3
 
9,659

Total votes: 93,546
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 1

Incumbent Louis B. Gohmert Jr. defeated Shirley McKellar and Jeff Callaway in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Louis B. Gohmert Jr.
Louis B. Gohmert Jr. (R)
 
72.3
 
168,165
Image of Shirley McKellar
Shirley McKellar (D)
 
26.3
 
61,263
Image of Jeff Callaway
Jeff Callaway (L)
 
1.4
 
3,292

Total votes: 232,720
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 1

Shirley McKellar defeated Brent Beal in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 1 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Shirley McKellar
Shirley McKellar
 
61.0
 
9,181
Brent Beal
 
39.0
 
5,858

Total votes: 15,039
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 1

Incumbent Louis B. Gohmert Jr. defeated Anthony Culler and Roshin Rowjee in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 1 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Louis B. Gohmert Jr.
Louis B. Gohmert Jr.
 
88.3
 
64,004
Image of Anthony Culler
Anthony Culler
 
9.0
 
6,504
Image of Roshin Rowjee
Roshin Rowjee
 
2.7
 
1,955

Total votes: 72,463
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2016

See also: Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Louie Gohmert (R) defeated Shirley McKellar (D) and Phil Gray (L), in the general election on November 8, 2016. Gohmert defeated Simon Winston and Anthony Culler in the Republican primary on March 1, 2016. [19][20]

U.S. House, Texas District 1 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngLouie Gohmert Incumbent 73.9% 192,434
     Democratic Shirley McKellar 24.1% 62,847
     Libertarian Phil Gray 1.9% 5,062
     N/A Write-in 0% 66
Total Votes 260,409
Source: Texas Secretary of State


U.S. House, Texas District 1 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngLouie Gohmert Incumbent 81.9% 96,313
Simon Winston 13.9% 16,335
Anthony Culler 4.2% 4,879
Total Votes 117,527
Source: Texas Secretary of State

2014

See also: Texas' 1st Congressional District elections, 2014

The 1st Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Louie Gohmert (R) defeated Shirley McKellar (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Texas District 1 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngLouie Gohmert Incumbent 77.5% 115,084
     Democratic Shirley McKellar 22.5% 33,476
Total Votes 148,560
Source: Texas Secretary of State

March 4, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Texas District 1
before 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Texas District 1
after 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[21] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[22]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Texas
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Texas' 1st 26.5% 72.4% 27.2% 71.6%
Texas' 2nd 37.9% 60.7% 48.6% 49.9%
Texas' 3rd 42.0% 56.4% 48.7% 49.8%
Texas' 4th 36.4% 62.4% 24.4% 74.4%
Texas' 5th 38.2% 60.6% 37.9% 60.9%
Texas' 6th 37.4% 61.3% 47.8% 50.8%
Texas' 7th 64.2% 34.5% 53.6% 45.1%
Texas' 8th 35.8% 63.0% 28.1% 70.6%
Texas' 9th 76.2% 22.8% 75.7% 23.3%
Texas' 10th 39.8% 58.6% 48.4% 50.0%
Texas' 11th 29.1% 69.5% 19.7% 79.1%
Texas' 12th 40.1% 58.3% 37.9% 60.5%
Texas' 13th 26.5% 72.0% 19.4% 79.2%
Texas' 14th 35.0% 63.6% 39.6% 59.0%
Texas' 15th 48.1% 51.0% TX-15: 50.4%
TX-34: 51.5%
TX-15: 48.5%
TX-34: 47.5%
Texas' 16th 67.0% 31.5% 66.4% 32.0%
Texas' 17th 38.0% 60.5% 43.6% 54.6%
Texas' 18th 73.6% 25.1% 75.7% 23.0%
Texas' 19th 26.2% 72.4% 26.3% 72.2%
Texas' 20th 65.8% 32.7% 63.7% 34.7%
Texas' 21st 39.4% 59.1% 47.9% 50.6%
Texas' 22nd 41.3% 57.4% 48.9% 49.8%
Texas' 23rd 45.8% 52.9% 48.5% 50.3%
Texas' 24th 43.0% 55.4% 51.9% 46.5%
Texas' 25th 33.8% 64.9% 44.4% 54.0%
Texas' 26th 40.0% 58.6% 42.1% 56.3%
Texas' 27th 38.1% 60.6% 37.5% 61.2%
Texas' 28th 52.9% 45.9% 51.6% 47.2%
Texas' 29th 67.8% 31.0% 65.9% 32.9%
Texas' 30th 77.8% 21.0% 79.8% 18.9%
Texas' 31st 39.0% 59.2% 47.6% 50.4%
Texas' 32nd 65.7% 32.7% 54.4% 44.0%
Texas' 33rd 74.2% 24.4% 73.0% 25.6%
Texas' 34th 57.3% 41.8% TX-15: 50.4%
TX-34: 51.5%
TX-15: 48.5%
TX-34: 47.5%
Texas' 35th 71.7% 26.5% --- ---
Texas' 36th 33.6% 65.2% 26.9% 71.9%
Texas' 37th 75.5% 22.7% 67.7% 30.5%
Texas' 38th 40.2% 58.4% --- ---

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2022. Information below was calculated on Jan. 27, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 223 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 143 Republicans, 79 Democrats, and one independent candidate. That’s 5.9 candidates per district, less than the 6.5 candidates per district in 2020 and 5.9 in 2018.

Texas gained two U.S. House districts following the 2020 census. Two members of the U.S. House filed to run for re-election in a different district than the one represented before redistricting: Lloyd Doggett (D) filed in the new 37th District, while Vicente Gonzalez (D) filed in the 34th District seat held by retiring Rep. Filemon Vela (D).

Six districts were open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. In addition to Gonzalez’s and Doggett’s districts, these included the newly-created 38th District and the 1st, 8th, and 30th districts. 1st District incumbent Louie Gohmert (R) filed to run for state attorney general, while incumbents Kevin Brady (R) and Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) did not file for re-election.

This was the same number as 2012, the previous post-redistricting cycle, and 2020. There were seven open seats in 2018.


There were 13 incumbents who filed to run in districts without any primary challengers.

Three districts were likely to be won by Republicans because no Democrats filed. There were no districts where the same is true of Democratic candidates.

Fifteen candidates each filed to run in the 15th and 30th Districts, more than any other. Six Democrats and nine Republicans filed in the 15th. Nine Democrats and six Republicans filed in the 30th. Both districts were open.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+26. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 26 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 1st the 9th most Republican district nationally.[23]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Texas' 1st based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
26.5% 72.4%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2020

Texas presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R D D D R D R R R R R R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Texas and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Texas
Texas United States
Population 25,145,561 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 261,266 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 74% 72.5%
Black/African American 12.1% 12.7%
Asian 4.8% 5.5%
Native American 0.5% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 5.8% 4.9%
Multiple 2.7% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 39.3% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 83.7% 88%
College graduation rate 29.9% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $61,874 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 14.7% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 12 12
Republican 2 24 26
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 36 38

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Texas, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Greg Abbott
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Dan Patrick
Secretary of State Republican Party John Scott
Attorney General Republican Party Ken Paxton

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Texas State Legislature as of November 2022.

Texas State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 13
     Republican Party 18
     Vacancies 0
Total 31

Texas House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 65
     Republican Party 83
     Vacancies 2
Total 150

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Texas was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Texas Party Control: 1992-2022
Three years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

2022 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Aditya Atholi's campaign website, "About Aditya," accessed January 11, 2022
  2. Aditya Atholi's campaign website, "Campaign Announcement," accessed January 11, 2022
  3. Joe McDaniel's campaign website, "Meet Joe," accessed January 11, 2022
  4. Joe McDaniel's campaign website, "East Texas Native Joe McDaniel Enters Texas’ 1st Congressional District to Focus On East Texas," December 7, 2021
  5. Nathaniel Moran's campaign website, "About Nathaniel," accessed January 11, 2022
  6. YouTube, "Judge Nathaniel Moran officially announces his run for Congress," December 2, 2021
  7. John Porro's campaign website, "Meet John," accessed January 11, 2022
  8. Youtube, "John Porro for Congress Launch Event," October 7, 2021
  9. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," November 19, 2020
  10. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  11. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  12. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  13. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  14. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  15. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  16. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  17. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  18. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  19. Texas Secretary of State, "2016 March Primary Election Candidate Filings by County," accessed December 15, 2015
  20. The New York Times, "Texas Primary Results," March 1, 2016
  21. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  22. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  23. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Al Green (D)
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
Vacant
District 19
District 20
District 21
Chip Roy (R)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
Republican Party (27)
Democratic Party (12)
Vacancies (1)