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Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Republican primary)

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Texas redrew its congressional district boundaries in August 2025. Voters will elect representatives under the new map in 2026. Click here to read more about mid-decade redistricting ahead of the 2026 elections.


2024
Texas' 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 8, 2025
Primary: March 3, 2026
Primary runoff: May 26, 2026
General: November 3, 2026
How to vote
Poll times:

7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas

Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026
See also
Texas' 2nd Congressional District
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Texas elections, 2026
U.S. Congress elections, 2026
U.S. Senate elections, 2026
U.S. House elections, 2026

Steve Toth (R) defeated incumbent Daniel Crenshaw (R), Martin Etwop (R), and Nicholas Plumb (R) in the Republican primary for Texas' 2nd Congressional District on March 3, 2026. Crenshaw and Toth led in fundraising and local media attention.[1] Click here for detailed results.

According to the Houston Chronicle's Jeremy Wallace, Crenshaw, who media outlets described as a rising star in the GOP after he was first elected, "has the power of incumbency and is one of the most recognizable members of Congress."[2] Toth was, as of the 2026 primaries, a state representative who the Texas Tribune's Gabby Birenbaum described as "aligned with the rightmost faction of the Texas Legislature...by far the best-known primary opponent Crenshaw has faced in his career."[1] Crenshaw defeated Jameson Ellis (R) 75%–17% and 60%–40% in the 2022 and 2024 primaries.

Toth was elected to the Texas House of Representatives in 2012. He ran unsuccessfully for state Senate in 2014 and U.S. House in 2016 before being re-elected to the state House in 2018. He ran on his record as a state legislator, which he said included "banning both Critical Race Theory and Social Transitioning of Children in Texas schools" and securing "billions in funding for border security initiatives as a member of our Appropriations Committee." He was also, as of the 2026 primaries, a pastor and small business owner.[3] As of November 2025, Toth's campaign website listed "Securing Our Southern Border," "Fighting Liberal Indoctrination," "Our National Security," among his top priorities. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) endorsed Toth on February 24, 2026.[4]

Crenshaw was elected to the House in 2018 and was a U.S. Navy veteran. He ran on his record which he said included bringing flood mitigation funding to the district and "leading the fight in Congress to defeat the Mexican drug cartels." Crenshaw said he stood for "common sense policies that ensure our nation’s prosperity and security, represent our Foundational values, and give Texans a reason to once again be proud of their leaders."[5]

As of March 2026, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales, and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball each rated the general election Solid/Safe Republican.

Texas conducted redistricting between the 2024 and 2026 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. According to an Inside Elections analysis, under the old map, Donald Trump (R) would have won the district by 24 percentage points in the 2024 presidential election. Under the new map, Trump would have won the district by 23 percentage points.

Nicholas Plumb (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.

This page focuses on Texas' 2nd Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2

Steve Toth defeated incumbent Daniel Crenshaw, Martin Etwop, and Nicholas Plumb in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 3, 2026.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve Toth
Steve Toth
 
57.3
 
31,637
Image of Daniel Crenshaw
Daniel Crenshaw
 
39.3
 
21,715
Image of Martin Etwop
Martin Etwop
 
1.8
 
1,013
Nicholas Plumb Candidate Connection
 
1.5
 
849

Total votes: 55,214
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Texas

Election information in Texas: March 3, 2026, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Feb. 2, 2026
  • By mail: Postmarked by Feb. 2, 2026
  • Online: N/A

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

No

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Feb. 20, 2026
  • By mail: Received by Feb. 20, 2026
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: March 3, 2026
  • By mail: Postmarked by March 3, 2026

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Feb. 17, 2026 to Feb. 27, 2026

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (CT/MT)

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Daniel Crenshaw

WebsiteFacebookXYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

Biography:  Crenshaw obtained a bachelor's degree from Tufts University before commissioning as an officer in the Navy SEALs. Crenshaw deployed overseas five times during his time in the U.S. Navy. On his third deployment, Crenshaw lost his right eye in an IED attack. After leaving the Navy in 2016, Crenshaw obtained a master's degree in public policy from Harvard University.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Crenshaw said he was inspired to serve in Congress by the time he spent in the Navy SEALs, with his campaign website saying he "believes in service before self and understands that there is no higher calling than service to the American people...the integrity, leadership, vision, and tenacity he learned in the SEAL teams are present every day in his fight for common-sense solutions in Congress."


Crenshaw said the 2026 midterms were a turning point for the nation: "I've been in tough fights before, but the one we're in now will decide the future of our country. President Trump needs reinforcements, now more than ever. That's why I keep doing this job. It's about mission, actions, solutions. It's about persuading the public that our agenda is the right one, and we are finally moving in the right direction."


Crenshaw said he had demonstrated leadership on issues that are important to the district including energy policy and Hurricane Harvey recovery. His campaign website said: "As a 6th generation Texan and Houstonian, Dan has a deep love for his country and state."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 2 in 2026.

Silhouette Placeholder Image.png Do you have a photo that could go here? Click here to submit it for this profile!

WebsiteX

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Submitted Biography "I was adopted at four by parents born in the Great Depression. We lived in a trailer park on the edge of small-town Texas, where every dollar was stretched and every value was earned. My mom patched my jeans from the inside, my dad preached on Sundays, and I learned that discipline mattered more than image. At eighteen, I enlisted in the Army. Later, I served in the Navy JAG Corps, deploying to Iraq and working defense at Guantanamo Bay. I’ve stood in rooms most politicians can’t pronounce, let alone endure. After the military, I rebuilt from scratch, rising through Walmart and Amazon, where I ran billion-dollar operations, launched sites, exposed fraud, and stood alone when it counted. I’ve led from the front in boardrooms and breakrooms, not just campaign rallies. I wasn’t groomed for this seat. I built the tools to take it. And I’m not running because I need a title. I’m running because I’ve lived the consequences of bad leadership. Our government operates like a broken ops floor: bloated, misaligned, and serving insiders instead of outcomes. I know how to fix broken systems. That’s exactly what I intend to do."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


I’ve run billion-dollar operations, launched fulfillment centers, and cleaned up the messes weak leaders left behind. I didn’t inherit power. I earned trust by fixing broken systems. I’ve led teams in war zones and warehouses, in courtrooms and crisis. Now I’m watching Congress operate like a bloated ops floor: detached, inefficient, and serving itself. I’m not running to be liked. I’m running to deliver. I bring real-world execution to a place that runs on excuses. If we want results, we need leaders who know how to get their hands dirty, call the bluff, and make the floor work again.


I’m not a polished politician. I’m a product of grit, service, and hard truth. I was raised by Depression-era parents, served in Iraq and Guantanamo, and worked my way from retail trainee to corporate fixer. I’ve seen how policy failure hits real families, and I’ve stood alone when integrity demanded it. When I say I’m running for working Americans, I mean the ones who don’t have lobbyists or golden parachutes - the ones who get up early, stay late, and still get priced out of the future. I’ve lived their story. I’ve fought their fights. I’ll take that truth to Washington.


I’ve seen firsthand how quiet displacement is reshaping our economy, how foreign labor programs, corporate loopholes, and captured leadership hollow out opportunity. I’ve fought that machine from the inside. We need a workforce policy built for American families - not spreadsheets. I’ll defend labor, protect veterans, and cut through the false choice between business and people. You shouldn’t need a master’s degree or visa to earn a life with dignity. If we want a future worth inheriting, we need leaders who still believe in the American worker and aren’t afraid to fight for them.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 2 in 2026.

Image of Steve Toth

WebsiteFacebookX

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Toth was an ordained pastor and the owner of a residential pool service company. Toth's earlier professional experience includes work in sales, marketing, and business development for businesses including Johnson & Johnson, Apple Orthodontix, and Harris Interactive.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Toth said his background as a pastor and business owner meant that he understood "what’s at stake when Republicans cede ground to the progressive left and lose sight of our strong conservative values. Family, faith, and freedom are the cornerstones of America."


Toth said his record in the state legislature demonstrated his commitment to conservative principles, with his campaign website saying he "has consistently been ranked as one of the most conservative legislators in the Texas House while delivering real wins for Texans...Steve has always fought for Texas families and will never back down from doing what is right."


Toth said he had a record of having "stood against liberal policies, even when they came from within his own party, serving as a voice for conservatives across the state," and that he had opposed the "Democrats and Moderate Republicans [who] were trying to tear down Trump’s wall."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 2 in 2026.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

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Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

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I’ve run billion-dollar operations, launched fulfillment centers, and cleaned up the messes weak leaders left behind. I didn’t inherit power. I earned trust by fixing broken systems. I’ve led teams in war zones and warehouses, in courtrooms and crisis. Now I’m watching Congress operate like a bloated ops floor: detached, inefficient, and serving itself. I’m not running to be liked. I’m running to deliver. I bring real-world execution to a place that runs on excuses. If we want results, we need leaders who know how to get their hands dirty, call the bluff, and make the floor work again.

I’m not a polished politician. I’m a product of grit, service, and hard truth. I was raised by Depression-era parents, served in Iraq and Guantanamo, and worked my way from retail trainee to corporate fixer. I’ve seen how policy failure hits real families, and I’ve stood alone when integrity demanded it. When I say I’m running for working Americans, I mean the ones who don’t have lobbyists or golden parachutes - the ones who get up early, stay late, and still get priced out of the future. I’ve lived their story. I’ve fought their fights. I’ll take that truth to Washington.

I’ve seen firsthand how quiet displacement is reshaping our economy, how foreign labor programs, corporate loopholes, and captured leadership hollow out opportunity. I’ve fought that machine from the inside. We need a workforce policy built for American families - not spreadsheets. I’ll defend labor, protect veterans, and cut through the false choice between business and people. You shouldn’t need a master’s degree or visa to earn a life with dignity. If we want a future worth inheriting, we need leaders who still believe in the American worker and aren’t afraid to fight for them.
I care deeply about the dignity of work, the people who still believe in earning their way, and the systems that are supposed to support them. I’ve seen too many Americans pushed aside by policies written for someone else; whether it’s the worker priced out by foreign labor schemes or the veteran lost in bureaucracy. I believe in accountability, not as a slogan, but as something you live by: on the job, at home, and in office. I’m drawn to the nuts and bolts of policy that actually fix things: labor, infrastructure, government operations. Not theory. Execution.
I look up to my father. He wasn’t rich, powerful, or famous. He was a Depression-era preacher who wore boots to the pulpit and treated integrity like currency. He didn’t chase approval, and he didn’t tolerate lies. When I was a kid, a teacher accused me of something I didn’t do. My dad showed up in his Sunday suit, pressed that teacher against the wall with a calm voice and steel in his spine, and said, “My son doesn’t lie to me.” He didn’t raise his voice. He didn’t need to. He was a man who meant things.

He raised me to work with my hands, speak with clarity, and stand my ground even when it’s unpopular. That has cost me: in jobs, in relationships, in comfort. But it’s also why I’ve led billion-dollar operations, why I’ve exposed fraud inside massive systems, and why I’m still standing after it all.

If I bring his example to public office, I won’t need a rebranding campaign or spin team. I’ll need a desk, a voting card, and a conscience. And I’ll be dangerous to anyone who’s made a career out of hiding behind bureaucracy.
I’d point them to two things: one personal, one historical.

First, my own memoir - because unlike most politicians, I didn’t get here through back channels or branding. I was raised by parents born in the Great Depression, joined the Army at 18, served in the Navy JAG Corps, and worked my way up through Walmart and Amazon by fixing what others couldn’t. My political philosophy comes from a lifetime of earned perspective. I’ve seen what works, what breaks, and who gets hurt when bad policy meets no accountability. My story is the blueprint for my platform.

Second, I’d recommend “The Forgotten Man” by Amity Shlaes. It captures how real leadership isn’t about promises—it’s about hard tradeoffs, real-world understanding, and the unseen costs that hit working people first. It doesn’t idolize government, but it doesn’t dismiss it either. That balance matters to me. We need leaders who understand economics from the ground up, not just from textbooks or elite circles.

If you want to understand where I stand, don’t look for labels - look for lived experience. I’m not here to sound smart. I’m here to be useful.
Integrity is non-negotiable. An elected official should never forget that the seat they hold doesn’t belong to them - it belongs to the people. Too many forget that. They treat office like a career, not a responsibility. They serve donors, parties, and personal agendas instead of the citizens they represent. I believe public office demands the same qualities required to lead in the real world: courage under pressure, calm in chaos, and the ability to say “no” when everyone else is saying “yes” for the wrong reasons.

Discipline is just as critical. I don’t mean ideology, I mean consistency of character. Show up. Learn the system. Do the job. Listen more than you speak. Deliver outcomes, not soundbites. I’ve managed launch days, flood responses, labor negotiations, and investigations where failure had real consequences. I don’t respect leaders who pass blame. I respect the ones who stay late, take ownership, and fix the floor.

Finally, humility matters. You can’t lead what you refuse to understand. I’ve worked shoulder-to-shoulder with inner-city warehouse workers and career civil servants. I’ve stood in rooms with generals, CEOs, and federal judges. What I’ve learned is that the best leaders don’t pretend to know everything, they know who to listen to and how to stay grounded. That’s what we’re missing in Congress: not just competence, but character. Not just noise, but principle. That’s what I bring.
I’ve spent my life being the one who shows up when others don’t - whether that meant leading troops, launching a billion-dollar logistics site, or fighting fraud inside a system that didn’t want it found. I don’t flinch when things get hard. I work the problem until it’s fixed.

I bring operational discipline, moral clarity, and an ability to earn trust across every level of an organization. I’ve led people from every background: union workers, federal attorneys, hourly teams, special forces, and C-suite executives. I know how to get performance without politics, and results without excuses.

I also bring something Washington sorely lacks: a memory. I remember what it feels like to stretch a paycheck, to lose your job, to take pride in dirty hands. I haven’t forgotten who I am. That’s what keeps me grounded - and dangerous to the status quo.
The job of a Representative is simple to define and hard to execute: defend your district, steward your country, and stay loyal to neither party nor profit -only to the people who sent you. Too many lose sight of that. They get addicted to status, clicks, or committee assignments. I’ve managed billion-dollar operations where every decision affected real people’s lives. That clarity never left me. Your first duty is showing up and doing the work. Not just casting votes, but reading the bills. Not just holding hearings, but asking questions that matter. And when things break, you don’t tweet - you fix it.

The second responsibility is oversight. Congress is supposed to hold the executive branch accountable. That’s not partisan, it’s constitutional. But accountability is useless without knowledge. I’ve read 70,000 pages of classified discovery in a terrorism case. I’ve audited logistics pipelines to recover hundreds of millions in waste. You can’t fix what you don’t understand. Our country’s in trouble partly because too many in office don’t even know how systems work anymore.

Last - and this is personal: you owe people honesty. I was raised by Depression-era parents who believed your word was your bond. I don’t care how powerful the lobby is, how complicated the bill looks, or how many people are pressuring you to “just go along.” If it’s wrong, you vote no. If it’s right, you stand alone if you have to. That’s the job. And if you can’t stomach that, you shouldn’t run.
I want to leave a legacy of realignment, of showing that the American system still works when people with backbone and clarity step in to lead. I want to prove that you don’t have to be groomed, polished, or owned to make a difference. You just have to be ready for the fight.

I’d like my daughters to grow up in a country where working people are respected, where veterans aren’t tokenized, and where leadership means doing what’s right when it costs you - not just when it polls well. If I can help shift even a few parts of the system toward that, it’ll be worth it.

More than anything, I want people to look back and say, “That guy didn’t play the game, he broke it and built something better.”
My first official job was working at a public golf course - mowing, hauling, clearing brush, whatever needed doing. I’d be there before sunrise, sometimes clocking out just in time to head to my second job at a local record store. I was still in high school, balancing work, classes, and trying to hold it all together. That year, I left varsity football to join the work program. I wasn’t preparing for college - I was preparing for life.

I kept both jobs through my senior year, helping cover my car note, clothes, and basic expenses. We weren’t broke, but we were stretched. My dad was a Depression-era minister. We didn’t believe in handouts. My mom patched jeans from the inside so they’d last through winter. If you wanted something, you earned it.

That experience taught me more than any class. I learned what it meant to show up tired, to carry responsibility before you were ready, and to take pride in doing honest work - especially when no one was watching. I didn’t realize it at the time, but those early shifts would shape how I lead today. When I look at Congress, I don’t see a work ethic problem: I see a lived experience problem. Too few have ever had to do what the rest of America does daily just to survive. That has to change.
Being underestimated has been both a curse and a gift. I wasn’t born into status. I didn’t go to Ivy League schools. I was raised in a trailer park by Depression-era parents, started in special ed, and worked my way into gifted programs. Even now, people sometimes look at the beard, the tattoos, the lack of polish and assume I don’t belong in certain rooms.

They’re wrong. And I’ve spent my whole life turning those assumptions into fuel. But it does wear on you. When you’re constantly having to prove you belong, it can harden you. You start building walls. You stop expecting fairness.

It’s a struggle I still carry - but it’s also why I fight. I know what it means to be left out. That’s why I won’t leave others behind when I’m elected.
The House is closest to the people, by design. It turns over every two years, which means real accountability if representatives stop listening. It was built to reflect the heartbeat of the nation in real time. The Senate can posture. The courts can interpret. But the House has to produce - constantly.

That constant pressure is what makes it powerful when used right and dangerous when misused. It has the power of the purse, the voice of districts, and the responsibility to make government deliver results that touch real lives. When it forgets that role, when it acts like a club, not a job site -we all lose.

The House is also the one body where someone like me can still walk in: not groomed, not preselected, but forged by experience. It’s the place for people who didn’t come from privilege but came ready to serve. That’s what keeps it grounded - and worth fighting for.
It can help but it’s far from necessary. In fact, sometimes it’s the problem. Too much political experience without real-world execution creates lawmakers who know how to navigate systems, but not how to fix them. We end up with policy built for appearance, not outcome.

What matters more is whether a person has had to deliver results - under pressure, in imperfect conditions, with real lives at stake. That’s leadership. I’ve led operations, managed crises, trained teams, and exposed waste. I’ve had to make payroll, meet metrics, and stay until the floor worked again. That’s the kind of experience Congress is sorely lacking.

Government is not the only training ground for service. In fact, sometimes it blinds people to how most Americans actually live. We need more doers and fewer brand-builders. So no, I don’t think prior political experience is required. I think courage, clarity, and work ethic are.
Our greatest challenge isn’t just economic, military, or technological -it’s operational. We have the resources, the people, and the infrastructure. What we lack is executional leadership. We’re governed by systems built for the 1950s trying to handle the complexity of 2030 and the gap is widening.

From labor markets distorted by foreign work programs, to tech monopolies outpacing regulators, to massive government systems that can’t even process claims or secure data; we’re falling behind not from lack of power, but from a refusal to update how we govern. It’s death by misalignment.

The second great challenge is trust. People don’t believe in the system anymore, and they’re not wrong. Congress serves its own incentives. The courts are weaponized. Agencies are bloated. We must rebuild the legitimacy of governance through real transparency, clean execution, and a workforce-first national strategy.

If we don’t modernize our systems and restore faith in who operates them, we’ll have the tools of a superpower with the dysfunction of a failed state.
I support term limits. If you’re doing the job well, you’ll train the next generation to build on your work; not cling to the seat like it’s property. Our system was never meant to be a permanent political class. Founders served, then returned to private life. We’ve lost that cycle of service and return.

Too many politicians today view their seat as a brand or career path. They build war chests, make backroom deals, and insulate themselves from consequences. That disconnect leads to stagnation, corruption, and policymaking that serves donors, not constituents.

Term limits would force a sense of urgency by forcing leaders to focus on impact over image. They’d encourage mentorship, accountability, and fresh perspective. They wouldn’t fix everything, but they’d be a healthy disruption to a system that’s grown too comfortable serving itself.
Compromise is a tool- not a virtue. Used well, it can break deadlocks and move the ball forward. Used poorly, it’s how we end up with bloated bills, watered-down outcomes, and no one accountable for the result. I’m not against working across the aisle, I’ve done it in the military, in logistics, and in corporate environments where success meant aligning very different people fast. But compromise should serve the mission, not preserve dysfunction. We’ve confused unity with uniformity. The real goal isn’t to agree for agreement’s sake - it’s to solve problems. If compromise gets us there without selling out the people we serve, I’m for it. But I’ll never trade principle for photo ops. If it’s a bad bill, I vote no, no matter who’s smiling behind it.
I’m interested in serving on committees where execution and operational reform matter most:

Oversight and Accountability – to investigate waste, fraud, and systemic failure across agencies, especially related to workforce displacement, procurement, and misaligned incentives.

Education and the Workforce – to modernize labor policy, restore integrity to vocational and veteran pipelines, and address quiet displacement through H-1B and other foreign labor loopholes.

Veterans’ Affairs – to ensure those who served get what they earned without navigating broken systems or empty ceremonies.

Homeland Security – with a focus on real infrastructure, not just theater - especially as it intersects with cyber, supply chain, and domestic resilience.

I bring systems thinking, field-tested leadership, and the discipline to drive real results - not just talk.
Financial transparency isn’t a nice-to-have, it’s the bare minimum. I’ve worked in environments where every dollar had to be accounted for, and leaders were held to hard metrics. If a logistics site or compensation system failed to balance out, heads rolled. Meanwhile, Congress can misplace billions and blame “the process.” That’s unacceptable.

Government needs real-time reporting, external audits, and hardline penalties for misuse of funds - at all levels. Every taxpayer should be able to trace where their money went and what it produced. If a government program can’t show measurable results, it shouldn’t get another blank check.

Accountability also means eliminating insider perks and backdoor deals. No more bills packed with carve-outs or midnight amendments. Publish legislation in plain language. Hold hearings that lead to action, not theater. And apply the same scrutiny to Congress that it applies to the people. You can’t restore trust without proof of discipline.



Campaign ads

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Dan Crenshaw



Republican Party Steve Toth

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Steve Toth while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.


Endorsements

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Republican primary endorsements
Endorser Republican Party Steve Toth
Other
U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz  source

Polls

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Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2026
Race trackerRace ratings
3/3/20262/24/20262/17/20262/10/2026
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillPendingPendingPendingPending
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Campaign finance

Candidate spending

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Daniel Crenshaw Republican Party $2,138,124 $2,051,281 $556,151 As of February 11, 2026
Martin Etwop Republican Party $13,788 $10,401 $995 As of February 11, 2026
Nicholas Plumb Republican Party $9,245 $6,216 $3,029 As of February 18, 2026
Steve Toth Republican Party $589,340 $324,371 $264,969 As of February 11, 2026

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[10][11][12]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate By election

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2026 election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2026 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below is the district map used in the 2024 election next to the map in place for the 2026 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.

2024

2023_01_03_tx_congressional_district_02.jpg

2026

2027_01_03_tx_congressional_district_02.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2026

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2026. Information below was calculated on Dec. 8, 2025, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Two hundred fifty-two candidates — 98 Democrats and 154 Republicans — ran for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts. That’s 6.6 candidates per district. There were 4.2 candidates per district in 2024, 5.8 in 2022, 6.4 in 2020, 5.9 in 2018, 3.5 in 2016, and 2.8 in 2014.

These were the first elections to take place since the Texas Legislature passed a new congressional map. The Texas House of Representatives passed it on Aug. 20, 2025, and the Texas Senate passed it on Aug. 23, 2025. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) signed the new congressional map into law on Aug. 29, 2025.

This was the highest total number of candidates who ran for the U.S. House since 2014.

Ten districts were open in 2026. There were three districts open in 2024, six in 2022, six in 2020, eight in 2018, two in 2016, and one in 2014. 

Reps. Morgan Luttrell (R-8th), Michael McCaul (R-10th), Jodey Arrington (R-19th), Troy Nehls (R-22nd), Marc Veasey (D-33rd), and Lloyd Doggett (D-37th) retired from public office. Reps. Jasmine Crockett (D-30th) and Wesley Hunt (R-38th) ran for the U.S. Senate. Rep. Chip Roy (R-21st) ran for attorney general of Texas.

Two incumbents — Reps. Christian Menefee (D) and Al Green (D) — ran against each other in the redrawn 18th district. Menefee was the incumbent in the 18th district, and Green was the incumbent in the 9th district.

Fifty-nine primaries — 32 Democratic and 28 Republican — were contested in 2026. In total, there were 39 contested primaries in 2024, 44 in 2022, 50 in 2020, 46 in 2018, 33 in 2016, and 19 in 2014.

Fifteen candidates ran for the open 9th district, 21st district, and 35th district, tying for the most candidates running for a district in 2026.

Nineteen incumbents — eight Democrats and 11 Republicans — faced primary challengers in 2026. There were 19 incumbents in a contested primary in 2024, 19 in 2022, 18 in 2020, 15 in 2018, 19 in 2016, and 12 in 2014.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all 38 districts, meaning no districts were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+12. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 12 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 2nd the 98th most Republican district nationally.[13]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2024 presidential election was in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by The Downballot.

2024 presidential results in Texas' 2nd Congressional District
Kamala Harris Democratic PartyDonald Trump Republican Party
35.9%62.0%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2024

Texas presidential election results (1900-2024)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R D D D R D R R R R R R R R R R R R
See also: Party control of Texas state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of February 2026.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 13 13
Republican 2 25 27
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 38 40

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of October 2025.

State executive officials in Texas, October 2025
OfficeOfficeholder
GovernorRepublican Party Greg Abbott
Lieutenant GovernorRepublican Party Dan Patrick
Secretary of StateRepublican Party Jane Nelson
Attorney GeneralRepublican Party Ken Paxton

State legislature

Texas State Senate

Party As of October 2025
     Democratic Party 11
     Republican Party 18
     Other 0
     Vacancies 2
Total 31

Texas House of Representatives

Party As of October 2025
     Democratic Party 62
     Republican Party 88
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 150

Trifecta control

Texas Party Control: 1992-2025
Three years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District election history

2024

See also: Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2024

Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)

Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 2

Incumbent Daniel Crenshaw defeated Peter Filler in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 2 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Daniel Crenshaw
Daniel Crenshaw (R)
 
65.7
 
214,631
Image of Peter Filler
Peter Filler (D)
 
34.3
 
112,252

Total votes: 326,883
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 2

Peter Filler advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Peter Filler
Peter Filler
 
100.0
 
17,044

Total votes: 17,044
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2

Incumbent Daniel Crenshaw defeated Jameson Ellis in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Daniel Crenshaw
Daniel Crenshaw
 
59.5
 
40,379
Image of Jameson Ellis
Jameson Ellis Candidate Connection
 
40.5
 
27,482

Total votes: 67,861
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 2

Chuck Benton advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 23, 2024.

Candidate
Chuck Benton (L)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2022

See also: Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 2

Incumbent Daniel Crenshaw defeated Robin Fulford in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Daniel Crenshaw
Daniel Crenshaw (R)
 
65.9
 
151,791
Image of Robin Fulford
Robin Fulford (D) Candidate Connection
 
34.1
 
78,496

Total votes: 230,287
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 2

Robin Fulford advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 1, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robin Fulford
Robin Fulford Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
17,160

Total votes: 17,160
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2

Incumbent Daniel Crenshaw defeated Jameson Ellis, Martin Etwop, and Milam Langella in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 1, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Daniel Crenshaw
Daniel Crenshaw
 
74.5
 
45,863
Image of Jameson Ellis
Jameson Ellis Candidate Connection
 
16.6
 
10,195
Image of Martin Etwop
Martin Etwop Candidate Connection
 
4.5
 
2,785
Image of Milam Langella
Milam Langella Candidate Connection
 
4.5
 
2,741

Total votes: 61,584
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 2

Incumbent Daniel Crenshaw defeated Sima Ladjevardian and Elliott Scheirman in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Daniel Crenshaw
Daniel Crenshaw (R)
 
55.6
 
192,828
Image of Sima Ladjevardian
Sima Ladjevardian (D)
 
42.8
 
148,374
Image of Elliott Scheirman
Elliott Scheirman (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.6
 
5,524

Total votes: 346,726
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary runoff election

The Democratic primary runoff election was canceled. Sima Ladjevardian advanced from the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 2.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 2

Sima Ladjevardian and Elisa Cardnell advanced to a runoff. They defeated Travis Olsen in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Sima Ladjevardian
Sima Ladjevardian
 
47.6
 
26,536
Image of Elisa Cardnell
Elisa Cardnell Candidate Connection
 
31.0
 
17,279
Travis Olsen
 
21.3
 
11,881

Total votes: 55,696
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2

Incumbent Daniel Crenshaw advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Daniel Crenshaw
Daniel Crenshaw
 
100.0
 
48,693

Total votes: 48,693
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 2

Elliott Scheirman defeated Laura Antoniou and Carol Unsicker in the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 14, 2020.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Earlier results


Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Texas U.S. House Democratic or Republican 2% of votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less $3,125 12/8/2025 Source
Texas U.S. House Unaffiliated 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less N/A 12/8/2025 Source

2026 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This is a battleground election. Other 2026 battleground elections include:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 The Texas Tribune, "State Rep. Steve Toth to challenge Congressman Dan Crenshaw in Republican primary," July 15, 2025
  2. Houston Chronicle, "Is Dan Crenshaw's reelection bid in jeopardy? His GOP primary challenger Steve Toth thinks so," October 24, 2025
  3. Steve Toth campaign website, "Meet Steve Toth," accessed November 24, 2025
  4. X.com, "Ted Cruz on February 24, 2026
  5. Daniel Crenshaw campaign website, "Issues," accessed November 11, 2025
  6. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  8. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  9. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  10. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  11. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  12. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  13. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  14. Texas Secretary of State, "2016 March Primary Election Candidate Filings by County," accessed December 15, 2015
  15. The New York Times, "Texas Primary Results," March 1, 2016
  16. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Texas," November 6, 2012
  17. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  18. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  19. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  20. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  21. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  22. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  23. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
  24. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
  25. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
  26. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
  27. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Al Green (D)
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
Chip Roy (R)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
Republican Party (27)
Democratic Party (13)