Texas' 32nd Congressional District election, 2020

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Texas' 32nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 9, 2019
Primary: March 3, 2020
Primary runoff: July 14, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Colin Allred (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Texas' 32nd Congressional District
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Texas elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 32nd Congressional District of Texas, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Colin Allred won election in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 32.

Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
December 9, 2019
March 3, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Colin Allred, who was first elected in 2018.

Allred ran unopposed in the March 3, 2020, Democratic primary. Collins defeated Floyd McLendon Jr. and three others in the Republican primary, receiving 53 percent of the vote to McLendon's 34 percent. No other candidate received over five percent of the vote.

Allred was first elected in 2018 after defeating 11-term incumbent Pete Sessions (R) with Allred receiving 52 percent of the vote to Sessions' 46 percent. Allred's election made him the first Democrat to represent the 32nd District since its creation in 2003. In 2016 and 2014, Sessions won with margins of victory of 52.1 and 26.4 points, respectively.

Branches of both national major parties focused on the race. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee listed Allred and the 32nd District as part of its Frontline program. The National Republican Congressional Committee designated Collins as a member of its Young Guns program.

Texas' 32nd Congressional District is located in the central portion of the state and includes portions of Dallas and Collin counties.[1]

This race was one of 89 congressional races that were decided by 10 percent or less in 2020.


Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Texas' 32nd Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 54.4 51.9
Republican candidate Republican Party 44 45.9
Difference 10.4 6

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Texas modified its absentee/mail-in voting, candidate filing, and early voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Local election officials could not reject an absentee ballot due to a perceived signature mismatch unless the voter was given a pre-rejection notice of this finding and a "meaningful opportunity to cure his or her ballot's rejection." Return locations for absentee/mail-in ballots were limited to one per county.
  • Candidate filing procedures: The petition deadline for independent candidates for non-presidential office was extended to August 13, 2020.
  • Early voting: Early voting began on October 13, 2020.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 32

Incumbent Colin Allred defeated Genevieve Collins, Christy Mowrey, and Jason Sigmon in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 32 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Colin Allred
Colin Allred (D) Candidate Connection
 
51.9
 
178,542
Image of Genevieve Collins
Genevieve Collins (R)
 
45.9
 
157,867
Image of Christy Mowrey
Christy Mowrey (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
4,946
Image of Jason Sigmon
Jason Sigmon (Independent) Candidate Connection
 
0.7
 
2,332

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 343,687
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 32

Incumbent Colin Allred advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 32 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Colin Allred
Colin Allred Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
72,761

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 72,761
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 32

Genevieve Collins defeated Floyd McLendon Jr., Jon Hollis, Jeff Tokar, and Mark Sackett in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 32 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Genevieve Collins
Genevieve Collins
 
52.9
 
22,908
Image of Floyd McLendon Jr.
Floyd McLendon Jr.
 
33.9
 
14,699
Image of Jon Hollis
Jon Hollis Candidate Connection
 
4.5
 
1,945
Image of Jeff Tokar
Jeff Tokar Candidate Connection
 
4.4
 
1,892
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Mark Sackett
 
4.3
 
1,880

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 43,324
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 32

Christy Mowrey defeated Ken Ashby in the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 32 on March 21, 2020.

Candidate
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Ken Ashby (L)
✔
Image of Christy Mowrey
Christy Mowrey (L) Candidate Connection

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

One of 254 Texas counties—0.4 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Jefferson County, Texas 0.48% 1.61% 2.25%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Texas with 52.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 43.2 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Texas cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 66.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Texas supported Democratic candidates slightly more often than Republicans, 53.3 to 46.7 percent. The state, however, favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Texas. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 54 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 65 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 36.4 points. Clinton won 10 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 96 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 36.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 85 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 34.5 points.


District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+5, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 5 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 32nd Congressional District the 194th most Republican nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.02. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.02 points toward that party.[5]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Colin Allred Democratic Party $5,777,600 $5,721,623 $159,422 As of December 31, 2020
Genevieve Collins Republican Party $6,014,679 $6,006,854 $7,825 As of December 31, 2020
Christy Mowrey Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Jason Sigmon Independent $11,791 $11,651 $154 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: Texas' 32nd Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticLikely Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 32nd Congressional District candidates in Texas in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Texas 32nd Congressional District Democratic or Republican N/A N/A $3,125.00 Fixed number 12/9/2019 Source
Texas 32nd Congressional District Unaffiliated 500 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election; not to exceed 500 N/A N/A 12/9/2019 (declaration of intent); 8/13/2020 (final filing deadline) Source

District election history

2018

See also: Texas' 32nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 32

Colin Allred defeated incumbent Pete Sessions and Melina Baker in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 32 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Colin Allred
Colin Allred (D)
 
52.3
 
144,067
Image of Pete Sessions
Pete Sessions (R)
 
45.8
 
126,101
Image of Melina Baker
Melina Baker (L)
 
2.0
 
5,452

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 275,620
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 32

Colin Allred defeated Lillian Salerno in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 32 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Colin Allred
Colin Allred
 
69.5
 
15,658
Image of Lillian Salerno
Lillian Salerno
 
30.5
 
6,874

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 22,532
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 32

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 32 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Colin Allred
Colin Allred
 
38.5
 
15,442
✔
Image of Lillian Salerno
Lillian Salerno
 
18.3
 
7,343
Image of Brett Shipp
Brett Shipp
 
16.3
 
6,550
Image of Edward Meier
Edward Meier
 
13.7
 
5,474
Image of George Rodriguez
George Rodriguez
 
7.6
 
3,029
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Ronald William Marshall
 
3.2
 
1,301
Image of Todd Maternowski
Todd Maternowski
 
2.4
 
945

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 40,084
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 32

Incumbent Pete Sessions defeated Paul Brown in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 32 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Pete Sessions
Pete Sessions
 
79.3
 
32,784
Image of Paul Brown
Paul Brown
 
20.7
 
8,575

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 41,359
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Texas' 32nd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Pete Sessions (R) defeated Ed Rankin (L) and Gary Stuard (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Sessions defeated Paul Brown, Russ Ramsland and Cherie Myint Roughneen in the Republican primary on March 1, 2016. No Democratic candidates filed to run in the race.[10][11]

U.S. House, Texas District 32 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPete Sessions Incumbent 71.1% 162,868
     Libertarian Ed Rankin 19% 43,490
     Green Gary Stuard 10% 22,813
Total Votes 229,171
Source: Texas Secretary of State


U.S. House, Texas District 32 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngPete Sessions Incumbent 61.4% 49,813
Russ Ramsland 23.7% 19,203
Paul Brown 11.7% 9,488
Cherie Myint Roughneen 3.2% 2,601
Total Votes 81,105
Source: Texas Secretary of State

2014

See also: Texas' 32nd Congressional District elections, 2014
U.S. House, Texas District 32 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPete Sessions Incumbent 61.8% 96,495
     Democratic Frank Perez 35.4% 55,325
     Libertarian Ed Rankin 2.7% 4,276
Total Votes 156,096
Source: Texas Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Texas Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed July 24, 2012
  2. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  4. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  5. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  6. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  7. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  8. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  9. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  10. ↑ Texas Secretary of State, "2016 March Primary Election Candidate Filings by County," accessed December 15, 2015
  11. ↑ The New York Times, "Texas Primary Results," March 1, 2016


Texas' current delegation to the United States Congress
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Chip Roy (R)
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